Bangladesh is lagging behind neighbouring countries in buffalo milk production due to low productivity, poor breeding practices, and limited investment in the dairy sector.

Buffalo milk accounts for 65 percent of total milk production in Pakistan, 43 percent in India, 57 percent in Nepal, and only 5 percent in Bangladesh, according to data from the Department of Livestock Services (DLS).

Pakistan produces 60.01 million tonnes of milk, of which 39.80 million tonnes come from buffalo. In India, total milk production stands at 239.03 million tonnes, with 104 million tonnes from buffalo. Nepal produces 2.90 million tonnes, including 1.65 million tonnes from buffalo.

In Bangladesh, total milk production is 16.20 million tonnes, against an annual demand of 16.23 million tonnes, but only 0.08 million tonnes comes from buffalo.

Md Bayezur Rahman, director for administration at the DLS, told The Daily Star that Bangladesh lags behind mainly due to a smaller buffalo population and the lack of targeted development in the sector.

He said that in those countries, buffalo populations have historically been higher due to natural conditions, while in Bangladesh research is underway and a buffalo development project has already been initiated.

DLS data shows buffalo numbers in the country have been rising steadily. In fiscal year 2024–25, the figure stood at 15.32 lakh, up from 15.24 lakh the previous year and 14.16 lakh in FY23.

Gautam Kumar Deb, principal scientific officer and head of a division at the Bangladesh Livestock Research Institute (BLRI), said the low contribution of buffalo milk is rooted in the historical use of buffaloes as draft animals rather than dairy producers.

Unlike in India, Pakistan, and Nepal -- where buffaloes have long been bred for milk -- buffaloes in Bangladesh were primarily used for ploughing fields and pulling carts in low-lying areas, resulting in native breeds with low milk-yielding capacity.

He said the buffalo population declined by around 50 percent after independence as their role in agriculture diminished, though numbers have since stabilised and are gradually rising.

Buffaloes are mainly raised in char and coastal areas, where most farmers rely on natural grazing. In remote char areas, transporting milk to markets is difficult, making calf rearing and meat production a more profitable option for many farmers.

Deb said buffalo farming in Bangladesh remains at a stage comparable to where cattle farming was in the 1980s. The BLRI, DLS, and Bangladesh Milk Producers’ Co-operative Union Limited have been working to introduce high-yielding Indian buffalo breeds, with research populations already established. Improved animals are expected to reach farmers within one to two years.

A buffalo development project launched in July 2020 is nearing completion, with both infrastructure and research components more than 95 percent complete.

Jahangir Alam Khan, former director general of the BLRI and an agricultural economist, said buffaloes have historically received little attention in Bangladesh, where livestock development efforts largely focused on cows. He said continued government support could lead to significant progress over the next 15 to 20 years, and that expanding buffalo farming could help meet domestic demand and reduce reliance on imported buffalo meat.

At an event in Dhaka yesterday marking World Milk Day 2026, State Minister for Fisheries and Livestock Sultan Salauddin Tuku said Bangladesh must increase milk production to reduce import dependence.

He said the government would take measures to expand production capacity with a view to building future export potential in the dairy sector.

Prime Minister's Office (PMO) Spokesperson Mahdi Amin yesterday (1 June) said the government has made a limited adjustment to fuel prices in line with global market trends.

"As we do not produce fuel internally, we are fully dependent on imports. So, any global price increase directly affects us. The adjustment has been made in line with international market conditions, and the increase is limited," he said while speaking at a press conference at the PMO.

The press conference was held at the Karobi Hall of the Prime Minister's Office to brief the media on various public-oriented initiatives and programmes taken on the orders of the prime minister for smooth celebrations of Eid-ul-Adha.

Responding to a question, Mahdi Amin said Bangladesh delayed raising fuel prices longer than many other countries despite growing international pressure.

"Oil prices have increased across the world since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict. Many countries have already raised prices, while Bangladesh is among those that adjusted them relatively late," he said.

The PMO spokesperson said fuel prices in Bangladesh still remain lower compared to many neighbouring countries, helping the government keep inflation under control.

"Overall, as global oil supply and prices are changing, Bangladesh has made a limited price adjustment in line with international trends," he said.

Mahdi Amin said the latest adjustment was made considering global fuel supply conditions and rising international prices.

Replying to another question, Mahdi Amin said the government, under the leadership of Prime Minister Tarique Rahman, has been making every possible effort over the past three months to deliver what a truly accountable government can achieve.

Asked whether remarks made by State Minister for Primary and Mass Education Bobby Hajjaj regarding Dhaka University embarrassed the government following strong reactions from university teachers and students, he highlighted the historic role of Dhaka University and other public universities in the country's major democratic and political movements.

"The contribution of Dhaka University and other public universities is deeply embedded in Bangladesh's history – from the Language Movement and the 1969 Mass Uprising to the Liberation War, the anti-autocracy movement of 1990 and the July mass uprising," the PMO spokesperson said.

He said many individuals currently serving in important state positions emerged from Dhaka University and other public universities on the basis of merit and competence.

Mahdi Amin also noted that the country's private university sector began its journey during the government of former Prime Minister Khaleda Zia in 1992 and has made significant progress over the years.

He said private universities also played an important role during the July movement, standing alongside public universities and people from all walks of life.

"We do not see Dhaka University, North South University or any other university separately. We believe all educational institutions complement one another rather than compete with each other," he said.

The PMO spokesperson said students frequently move between public and private universities for undergraduate and postgraduate studies, reflecting a shared national education system that helps produce skilled, capable and responsible citizens.

"As an elected government, we believe that what matters is not which university someone attended but their honesty, competence and merit," he said.

Mahdi Amin said the government wants to build a discrimination-free Bangladesh where talent and qualifications are properly recognised and where all universities receive policy support from the state.

Responding to a question regarding the buffalo named after US President Donald Trump, now kept at the National Zoo, he said the government's foremost responsibility is to maintain stability, law and order, and social harmony.

The PMO spokesperson said authorities wanted to avoid any situation that could trigger unnecessary controversy or create discomfort at home or abroad.

"A responsible and accountable government always seeks to move the country forward in a positive and festive environment where everyone can participate with goodwill and sincerity," he said.

Mahdi Amin described the handling of the matter as a prudent decision taken through government channels and later implemented as part of a state decision.

Every budget season in Bangladesh unfolds with a familiar ritual. The finance ministry unveils an ambitious revenue collection target, wrapped in promises of growth, macroeconomic stability, and development, while economists raise quiet eyebrows. The National Board of Revenue then spends the rest of the fiscal year scrambling to close an ever-widening gap.

The current fiscal year 2025-26 is proving to be no different. Revenue growth has remained sluggish amid a slowing economy, weakening private sector expansion, persistent inflation, and mounting pressure on businesses already struggling with rising costs and deep financial uncertainty.

Compounding these challenges are the NBR’s own institutional inefficiencies, which have further undermined collection efforts, leaving the revenue authority staring at a shortfall approaching Tk 1 lakh crore in the first nine months of FY26.

Despite these strains, the state’s appetite for revenue continues to grow. Rising expenditure demands are driven by the new government’s pledges on social protection programmes, including several targeted cards and higher allocations for health and education. This has only widened the distance between what Bangladesh needs and what it can raise.

Against this backdrop, the government is preparing another ambitious target for FY27 of over Tk 6 lakh crore, a 20 percent increase over this fiscal year’s revised budget, aimed at lifting the tax-to-GDP ratio that fell to just 6.8 percent last year, one of the lowest in the world for an economy of Bangladesh’s size and trajectory.

This reality is difficult to avoid: Bangladesh’s fiscal framework is increasingly caught between rising expenditure demands and a revenue system struggling to keep pace with economic reality. Each year, the targets grow taller. But the gap between ambition and achievement widens.

Over the last decade, the tax administration has been missing its targets.

For instance, the last fiscal year (FY25), the tax authority’s overall receipts were Tk 370,874 crore, falling short of its revised target by Tk 92,626 crore. The government initially aimed to collect taxes of Tk 480,000 crore in FY25 but ultimately slashed the target by Tk 18,500 crore.

Although such shortfalls have become almost routine, they are increasingly exposing deeper structural weaknesses in the country’s tax administration and broader economic governance. The problem lies not only in poor collection performance, but also in the way revenue targets are set-- often unrealistically and without adequate alignment with prevailing economic conditions.

This ‘unplanned’ targeting system has turned into a persistent institutional failure, placing enormous pressure on NBR officials to meet ambitious goals through ad hoc and often arbitrary tax collection measures. In many cases, that pressure ultimately trickles down to ordinary citizens and compliant businesses, further worsening public frustration and weakening confidence in the tax system itself.

On top of that, the tax system badly needs rigorous reform and automation, with the separation of tax policy from tax administration. Unfortunately, the process that began with the interim government has now stalled after being lapsed by the Parliament.

Following widespread criticism, the BNP-led government later formed a nine-member committee to review the Revenue Policy and Revenue Management Ordinance, 2025, along with its subsequent amendment. The committee, headed by Prime Minister’s Adviser on Public Administration Ismail Zabiullah, has been tasked with scrutinising the contentious reform measures and assessing their administrative and policy implications.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury has recently acknowledged as much and gone further, offering a rare public critique of the mindset that has long governed tax policy in Bangladesh.

“Tax policymakers need to understand the pain of business, the pain of industry, and the pain of ordinary people,” he said at a recent discussion in Dhaka.

“A certain mindset has developed in taxation: ‘I need tax, so take this much percent from here, that much percent from there.’ When tax falls short, the thinking becomes-- take this much from here, that much from there. It is simply a matter of making the numbers add up.”

“By trying to make the numbers add up through taxation, you cannot bring about any real change,” he said.

That is precisely why policymakers are now speaking of the need for a qualitative transformation, one that moves beyond bureaucratic entanglements, arbitrary target-setting and reactive tax measures.

If pursued properly, the ongoing reform efforts could provide Bangladesh with an opportunity to rebuild a more rational, efficient and credible tax system.

Unless the country can break free from this pattern of “big budgets and bigger revenue deficits”, the ritual will continue unchanged. Targets will rise, collections will fall short, deficits will deepen, and next year, someone will once again sit down, sharpen a pencil, and write an even bolder number than before.

Stocks edged higher in the first trading session after the week-long Eid vacation today (1 June), driven by strong investor participation on the buying side, which lifted both indices and turnover.

According to market data, the DSEX, the benchmark index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), rose 37 points to close at 5,372. Turnover also increased by 17% to Tk 912.38 crore.

Market momentum was largely supported by banking stocks, with strong buying interest in fundamentally sound issues. The banking sector alone accounted for seven of the top 10 contributors to the index gain.

BRAC Bank emerged as the single largest contributor, adding 5 points to the DSEX, according to data from the LankaBangla Financial Portal.

A majority of listed stocks recorded price gains. Of the traded securities, 179 advanced, 152 declined, while 55 remained unchanged at the DSE.

In its daily market commentary, EBL Securities said the benchmark index opened the post-Eid trading session on a positive note, supported by buoyant investor sentiment and continued interest in selective high-momentum stocks.

"The market was upbeat from the opening bell, building on post-Eid optimism that continued to fuel buying interest and drive broad-based price appreciation across most scrips for a sixth consecutive session," it said.

On the sectoral front, engineering stocks accounted for the highest share of turnover at 17.4%, followed by banking (16.0%) and pharmaceuticals (12.4%).

Most sectors posted positive returns, with IT, life insurance and banking leading the gains. In contrast, jute, tannery and general insurance sectors recorded the highest corrections.

Among individual movers, Sonargaon Textiles topped the gainers' list, rising 10% to Tk49.5 per share, followed by Golden Son, which gained 9.93% to Tk16.6, and Nahee Aluminum, up 9.32% to Tk37.5.

On the other hand, Premier Leasing led the losers, falling 7.40% to Tk2.5 per share, followed by Union Capital, down 6.52% to Tk4.3, and Prime Finance, which declined 6.06% to Tk3.1.

The Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) also ended the session in positive territory. The CSCX and CASPI indices advanced by 45.2 points and 61.0 points, respectively.

Remittance inflows in Bangladesh remained above $3 billion for the sixth consecutive month, hitting $3.42 billion in May, as expatriates sent more money home to support family spending for Eid.

Bangladesh Bank data showed that inflows rose by 15.34 per cent in May compared with those of $2.96 billion in May 2025.

The figure was $3.12 billion in April, $3.75 billion in March, $3.02 billion in February, $3.11 billion in January and $3.22 billion in December

In the first 11 months of the 2025-26 financial year, remittance receipts increased by about 19 per cent to $32.75 billion, compared with those of $27.5 billion in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal year, reflecting sustained growth in inflows.

Bankers said that seasonal factors played a key role in the surge, as migrant workers typically send higher amounts to support family spending for Eid.

This year, Eid-ul-Azha, one of the biggest religious festivals of the Muslims, was observed on May 28.

They also pointed to the ongoing Middle East conflict as an additional factor.

Many expatriates reportedly sent larger sums or transferred savings back home due to concerns over potential disruptions in host countries and financial uncertainty linked to the war.

The interbank dollar rate rose to about Tk 122.75 in May from Tk 122.27 in late February, indicating growing pressure on the local currency.

Bangladesh recorded more than $30 billion in remittance inflows for the first time in the 2024-25 financial year, with total receipts reaching $30.32 billion, up from $23.91 billion a year earlier.

Monthly inflows have remained above $2 billion since August 2024.

Officials said that policy support had contributed to the steady rise.

Since January 2022, the government has provided a 2.5 per cent cash incentive on remittances sent through formal banking channels.

Improved exchange rates and stricter monitoring of cross-border transactions have also encouraged expatriates to avoid informal transfer systems.

Higher remittance earnings have helped ease pressure on the balance of payments and support foreign exchange reserves.

According to the Bangladesh Bank, reserves stood at $30.1 billion under IMF methodology on June 1, while gross reserves were around $34.76 billion.

The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) has again rejected Daffodil Computers Limited's plan to issue shares against loans, according to a stock exchange disclosure.

After facing the rejection of its initial plan, the IT sector firm in November last year reapplied to the commission for converting Tk49 crore loans, availed from one of its associate firms of the Daffodil Group, into equity.

With the shareholders' approval through an extra-ordinary general meeting (EGM), after revising its plan, it again applied to the commission, but the commission rejected converting loans into equity citing that the regulator is not in a position to accord its consent.

Daffodil Computers had availed Tk49.03 crore loans from Creative International, a concern of Daffodil Group. To offset the loan, it had planned to issue shares in favour of the lender company.

In its revised plan, the listed company sought stock market regulator nod to issue shares at Tk15 each with a plan of issuing total 3.27 crore shares.

In December 2024, its board had approved and subsequently submitted the plan to the commission to issue shares at Tk10 each against the loans.

Then, the commission rejected its share issuance plan as it had not secured its shareholders' nod. Later in December 2025, the company secured shareholders' nod on share issuance decision.

At that time, too, the securities regulator turned down the plan, citing that the move would unfairly favour the group's controlling interests while diluting the holdings and earnings of ordinary investors.

Now, Daffodil Computers faced a second time rejection for a share issuance plan for repayment of loans.

Daffodil Computers, one of the early technology companies listed on the stock exchange, remains a key entity within the Daffodil Group, which has diverse interests in IT, education, and media.

According to its quarterly financial statements, in the first nine months of the current fiscal year, it had reported declining revenue and profitability slightly.

In the July to March period, its revenue declined to Tk28.79 crore and net profit after tax to Tk1.16 crore, which was Tk30.28 crore and Tk1.56 crore respectively.

Daffodil Computers' shares closed 4.24% higher at Tk142.50 each on the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE).

Earlier, the company decided not to pay any dividend to its shareholders for the fiscal year of 2024-25. During the fiscal year, its earnings per share dropped by 24% to Tk0.16, compared to the previous year.

Oil prices rose more than 3 percent on Monday after Iran and the US traded strikes and Israel ordered troops to move further into Lebanon in its battle with Tehran-backed Hezbollah.

Brent futures rose $2.93 or ​3.2 percent to $94.05 a barrel at 0906 GMT. US crude futures rose $3.36 or 3.9 percent to $90.72 a ​barrel. Over May, Brent and WTI lost around 19 percent and 17 percent, respectively.

The fighting in ⁠the Middle East, after Washington hosted Israel-Lebanon peace talks on Friday, dimmed hopes that the US ​and Iran could soon announce an extension to their ceasefire.

The US said on Sunday it conducted "self-defence strikes" ​while Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said on Monday its aerospace force targeted an air base used for US attacks.

US President Donald Trump said on Friday he would soon decide on a proposed deal to extend a ceasefire announced in early ​April.

Israel would be key to any such deal, and Iran has said repeatedly that Hezbollah must be ​included. The US has proposed a "gradual de-escalation" plan, a US official said on Sunday.

Concerns are rising about mines in the ‌Strait ⁠of Hormuz, a key oil and gas shipping lane, IG analyst Tony Sycamore said in a note. "Even if an agreement is reached, it won't deliver a flood of supply," Sycamore said.

An Axios reporter said on X on Friday that Iran had dropped more mines in the strait earlier in the week.

Iran's ​Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil ​Baghaei said on Monday ⁠the delay in the diplomatic process to end the war can be explained by a lack of trust, Washington's contradictory positions and Israel's attacks on Lebanon.

Concerns ​over supply outweighed weekend economic data from China which showed stalling factory activity. ​This added to ⁠concerns the world's second-largest economy is losing momentum.

Saudi Arabia is likely to cut its official selling prices (OSPs) for crude oil to Asia in July for a second month, a Reuters survey showed.

Goldman Sachs said on Sunday weak ⁠oil demand ​in China and Europe poses a major downside risk to ​its fourth-quarter Brent crude forecast of $90 a barrel and WTI forecast of $83, although Middle East supply disruptions could still push prices ​higher.

Bangladesh is entering a critical phase in its trade outlook as it prepares for graduation from least developed country (LDC) status, according to a recent assessment by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).The transition is expected to reshape the country’s access to key global markets and expose exporters to higher tariffs unless new trade arrangements are secured.

Bangladesh has formally requested a deferral of its LDC graduation from November 2026 to 2029, reflecting concerns over the loss of preferential access under key schemes, particularly the European Union’s Everything but Arms (EBA) initiative.The EBA framework has long underpinned Bangladesh’s export growth, especially in the ready-made garments sector, by providing duty-free access to European markets.

Under the current regional transition timeline, Bangladesh is still expected to graduate alongside other Asian LDCs in 2026, with most major trading partners likely to offer a three-year transition buffer. This would extend EBA-level benefits until around 2029, softening the immediate impact but not fully replacing long-term preferential access.A central concern highlighted by ESCAP is the erosion of trade preferences, which could affect billions of dollars in export earnings across Asia-Pacific LDCs. For Bangladesh, the impact is expected to be most pronounced in the garments sector, where preferential margins remain a key factor in global competitiveness.The EU is also preparing a revised Generalised Scheme of Preferences (GSP) for 2027-2034, including a strengthened GSP+ framework. Bangladesh may be eligible to apply for GSP+ after graduation, but access will depend on strict compliance with international standards covering labour rights, environmental protection and governance, alongside legal commitments under conventions of the International Labour Organization.

Bangladesh has already ratified several key ILO conventions, though implementation remains under close scrutiny, particularly in areas such as workplace safety, inspections and freedom of association.

Other major markets are also undergoing policy shifts. The United Kingdom’s Developing Countries Trading Scheme (DCTS) and Japan’s Generalised System of Preferences remain important for Bangladesh’s exports, but both are increasingly linking market access to sustainability and governance conditions.

China has introduced a zero-tariff regime for all LDCs, supporting exports from the poorest economies. However, Bangladesh is expected to lose this benefit after graduation, as China does not offer a comparable preferential framework for higher-income developing countries.

At the same time, the United States’ Generalized System of Preferences remains expired, meaning Bangladesh continues to face standard Most Favoured Nation tariffs in the US market, further limiting preferential access options.

ESCAP notes that Bangladesh’s long-term trade strategy will need to shift away from reliance on unilateral preferences towards deeper regional integration and reciprocal trade agreements. Frameworks such as the Asia-Pacific Trade Agreement and broader regional integration efforts are seen as key pathways to sustaining market access after graduation.

The Russian government has banned aviation fuel exports until ​November 30, it said on ​Monday, as Ukrainian strikes on Russia’s refineries and other energy infrastructure continue.

Russia ​exports jet fuel mainly by rail to ​Central Asia, including Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.“The aim of this decision is to ​ensure stability in the domestic fuel ​market,” the government’s statement said.Russia has already restricted ‌gasoline exports but has yet to action on diesel, though the Interfax news agency reported last week that measures were ​being considered.

Diesel ​production in Russia fell by about 10 percent in May, adding ​to a 10 percent monthly drop ​in April as Ukrainian drone attacks on refineries forced them to reduce or halt output, ​Reuters data showed on ​Friday, while exports of the fuel rose.

BRAC Bank PLC has signed two refinancing agreements with Bangladesh Bank.

The aim is to improve access to affordable finance for cottage, micro, small, and medium enterprises (CMSMEs). This step shows BRAC Bank's commitment to entrepreneurship and financial inclusion.

The agreements allow BRAC Bank to provide financing to entrepreneurs in different clusters across the country. Through Bangladesh Bank's Financial Sector Fund for MSMEs, the bank can offer low-cost credit support.

Through the Tk3,000 crore Cluster Finance Refinance Scheme, BRAC Bank will provide term loans and working capital. These loans support entrepreneurs in various industrial clusters. Eligible businesses can access financing at concessional rates starting from 7 per cent. This support helps expand businesses, boost productivity, and create jobs.

The second agreement lets BRAC Bank use the Tk1,500 crore Financial Sector Fund for MSMEs. MSMEs in the manufacturing and service sectors can get financing at a 7 per cent interest rate. The facility offers loans of up to Tk1 crore for microenterprises and up to Tk5 crore for small and medium enterprises.

Tareq Refat Ullah Khan and Nawshad Mustafa exchanged agreement documents at a ceremony at the Bangladesh Bank on 18 May 2026. Deputy Governor Nurun Nahar was present.

Husne Ara Shikha, Executive Director of Bangladesh Bank, and Mahbubur Rahman, Head of Cottage, Micro and Small Business and Liability and Cash Management, SME Banking, BRAC Bank, also attended.

BRAC Bank, as the country's leading SME-focused bank, continues to pioneer the expansion of access to finance for grassroots entrepreneurs, leveraging Bangladesh Bank's refinancing schemes. The bank states that these initiatives will foster business growth, job creation, and sustainable economic development across Bangladesh.

The government is going to expand social safety net programmes in the upcoming budget to check growing poverty amid an economic slowdown made complicated by regional wars.

This is one of the priorities of the newly elected government led by the Bangladesh Nationalist Party to set the platform for a welfare economy, said finance division officials.

In its first budget of the current five-year tenure on the back of war in the oil-rich Middle East, about 41 lakh family cards will be distributed at a cost around Tk 12,373 crore in the next financial year of 2026–27.

Farmer Cards would also be provided to 42 lakh beneficiaries with a financial allocation of Tk 1,062 crore in FY27.

Finance and planning minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury has already said they are committed to the Family Card project referring it a cornerstone of the government›s commitment to social welfare and inclusive development.

Economists say targeting needy and poor through the card programme was a good idea, but it has implementation challenges like politics on selection and wastes of money.

Family Card holders will receive cash assistance of Tk 2,500 per month, while Farmer Card holders will receive Tk 2,500 once a year.

Both cards have already been launched on an experimental basis in line with the BNP’s electoral pledges.

The government will also increase the number of old-age allowance beneficiaries by one lakh in FY27 with a recipient currently getting Tk 700 a month.

The allowance is one of the government’s 95 social safety net programmes for which around Tk 1.17 lakh crore was allocated in FY26 national budget.

In FY27 national budget, the amount will go up to Tk 1.30 lakh crore, said the finance ministry officials.

Through the new budget, the government will also implement a decision that beneficiaries enjoying the privileges of Family Cards would not qualify for any other benefits under the social safety net programmes.

Even the government employees, pensioners, savings certificate holders, Trading Corporation of Bangladesh cards or vehicles registered with the Bangladesh Road Transport Authority will not be eligible, said the finance ministry officials.

The finance and planning minister said the government was actively identifying and rectifying initial implementation errors to ensure a long-term success of the family cards.

Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies director general AK Enamul Haque has suggested that the government should made randomised controlled trial on piloting cards distribution.

Randomised controlled trial is a type of statistical experiment designed to evaluate the efficacy or safety of an intervention by minimising bias, he said.

Terming the overall card programme as a good step, the BIDS DG says more important was overcoming the implementation challenges like political selection, duplication and wastes of money.

Institute for Inclusive Finance and Development Executive Director Mustafa K Mujeri says the government needed to expand social safety net progrmme to check growing poverty.

A recent World Bank report titled ‘Bangladesh Development Update: Special Focus – A Business Environment that Delivers Jobs’ projected around 1.4 million more people falling into poverty in the country in 2025, the rate reaching 21.4 per cent, which was 20.5 per cent in 2024.

Economists attribute falling growth in gross domestic products below 4 per cent in 2024-25 from 7 per cent 2021-22 on the back of double-digit inflation for the growing poverty.

Post service benefits of the public employees shown in the social safety net programme to show a bigger allocation should be excluded for the benefit of poor and needy people, economists say.

Almost a quarter of the overall allocation under the social safety net prograame is included with pension fund, added the economists.

The recent decline in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio, from 35.73 percent in September 2025 to 30.60 percent in December, may appear encouraging. However, the improvement largely reflects relaxed loan rescheduling policies rather than any meaningful improvement in asset quality. Allowing defaulted loans to be regularised with only a 2 percent down payment, now further staggered, merely delays recognition of the problem.

Even after this decline, Bangladesh still has one of the world’s highest NPL ratios. The comparison with neighbouring and crisis-hit economies is striking. Pakistan’s stands at 7.4 percent, India’s at 2.3 percent, while Sri Lanka, despite a severe sovereign debt crisis, maintains 12.6 percent. Ukraine, amid prolonged war, recorded 26.1 percent, and Lebanon, after years of economic collapse, 23.8 percent. Bangladesh’s banking distress therefore appears deeply structural.

The capital adequacy situation is even more concerning. Under Basel III guidelines, banks must maintain a Capital to Risk-Weighted Assets Ratio (CRAR) of 12.5 percent. Yet the industry’s position has deteriorated sharply. CRAR fell from 11.6 percent in 2020 to 10.64 percent in June 2023, then to 6.86 percent in September 2024 and 3.08 percent by December 2024. By December 2025, it had entered negative territory at minus 2.9 percent, the first such occurrence in Bangladesh’s history.

This exposed a reality long hidden by weak governance and underreported risk-weighted assets. For years, several banks projected an illusion of stability by understating the quality of their loan portfolios. Once disclosures became more transparent after the 2024 political changeover, the scale of impairment surfaced rapidly.

By September 2025, 23 banks had accumulated a capital shortfall of Tk 2.82 lakh crore. Five banks accounted for nearly 59 percent of the deficit. Some now carry NPL ratios exceeding 90 percent, raising serious questions about their viability under existing ownership and governance structures.

A banking system cannot survive indefinitely on regulatory forbearance. Capital is the final shield against financial instability. Without adequate buffers, banks lose credibility at home and abroad. Cross-border trade finance becomes more difficult as foreign correspondent banks place significant emphasis on capital strength before advising, confirming or funding letters of credit. Weak capitalisation also affects risk ratings, constrains deposit mobilisation and limits lending.

In this context, aggressive recapitalisation has become unavoidable.

One possible route is the issuance of rights shares. However, this may prove ineffective for distressed banks where sponsors are financially weakened or face allegations of insider lending, governance failures or siphoning money abroad. Rights issues are therefore likely to remain undersubscribed, leaving banks trapped in chronic undercapitalisation.

Bangladesh needs a more pragmatic ownership restructuring framework. The regulation restricting any individual, family or group from holding more than 10 percent equity in a financial institution may require temporary relaxation for selected distressed banks. A time-bound policy window of three to five years could allow financially capable sponsors to inject fresh capital beyond the ownership ceiling. During this period, banks could stabilise operations, improve governance, rebuild compliance standards and restore profitability. Once financial health is restored, excess ownership could gradually be diluted through partnerships with strategic investors. The central bank’s recent stipulation allowing only banks with more than Tk 20 billion in equity to declare cash dividends is a step in the right direction.

Several Asian economies have used similar restructuring approaches during periods of banking stress. Their experience shows that temporary flexibility, backed by strong oversight and governance reforms, can prevent systemic collapse and restore market discipline. Bangladesh’s banking sector requires more than liquidity support or loan rescheduling facilities. It needs credible capital, competent ownership and institutional accountability. Without them, financial stability will remain fragile, and the sector’s ability to support economic growth will continue to weaken.

The economic shock from ​the Iran war hit European factories last month, suppressing demand for their goods and pushing up raw ‌material costs at the fastest rate in four years, although their Asian peers saw activity expand due to stockpiling, surveys showed on Monday.

The US-Israeli conflict with Iran, which began in late February, has upended trade, rattled financial markets and raised concerns over global energy supplies, particularly through the ​Strait of Hormuz, a key route for oil and gas shipments.

Monday’s surveys came after the heads of the International ​Energy Agency, International Monetary Fund, World Bank and World Trade Organization warned the war was straining global energy supplies.

S&P Global’s Eurozone Manufacturing PMI fell to 51.6 in May from April’s near four-year high of 52.2, but ahead of ​a preliminary estimate of 51.4.

A reading above 50.0 indicates growth.

“Although euro area manufacturers reported an expansion for a fourth successive month ​in May, the sector is showing signs of struggling under the weight of rising prices and supply disruptions emanating from the war in the Middle East,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

In Germany, Europe’s largest economy, the manufacturing sector stalled while French factories saw a contraction for the first time since November.

The European Central Bank will hike its deposit rate this month and at least once more ​this year to try to stop higher energy prices feeding into core inflation, according to a majority of economists polled by Reuters in ‌May.

Official data due on Tuesday is expected to show inflation rose further above the ECB’s 2 percent target last month. British factories raised their prices at the fastest rate since June 2022 last month in response to a big increase in costs.

ASIAN BUFFERS

Still, factory activity expanded in most Asian economies.

China’s private sector gauge grew for a sixth straight month and South Korea’s hit the fastest pace in ​five years, highlighting a region-wide push ​to build buffers against potential conflict-led disruptions.

And the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each ticking up about two-tenths of a percent.

The RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI, compiled by S&P Global, fell to 51.8 in May from 52.2 in April, but was slightly better than analysts’ forecast of 51.6.

That outcome contrasted ​with an official survey showing factory activity in the world’s second-largest economy stalled last month as ​new orders contracted and input costs kept rising.

Japan’s factory activity also expanded with the PMI at 54.5 in May, slowing from April’s more than four-year high of 55.1, though firms there reported the sharpest rise in input costs since September 2022 due to higher raw material prices.

South Korea’s PMI ​rose to its highest since March 2021 at 54.8 in May, up ​from 53.6, again underlining firms’ drive to lock in supplies.

In Vietnam, the factory PMI gauge rose to 52.8 from 50.5, while Taiwan’s rose to 56.1 from 55.3, ​surveys showed. The index for the Philippines jumped to 50.8 from 48.3.

The government's proposed 0.20% source tax on retail shopkeepers -- designed to net an additional Tk6,000 crore annually -- relies on a collection mechanism that experts and corporate leaders warn will directly inflate consumer prices through compounded supply chain costs.

Rather than targeting retailers directly, the National Board of Revenue (NBR) plans to shift the entire administrative and financial burden onto wholesale distributors and dealers, creating a compliance chain that might ultimately push up the retail prices of daily necessities.

The inflationary pressure begins at the point of distribution.

Under the proposed framework, green-lit by Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury for the upcoming national budget, a consumer goods manufacturer does not pay this tax; instead, their network of local dealers must calculate and collect a levy of Tk2 for every Tk1,000 worth of product value at the exact moment goods are supplied to a retail shop, a senior revenue official told The Business Standard.

For a distributor managing a vast network -- such as Pran-RFL Group's 22,000 dealers or Nestlé Bangladesh's supply lines -- this would require an immediate overhaul of billing systems to calculate micro-levies across hundreds of thousands of daily item deliveries, severely driving up corporate operational and logistical costs.

The mechanism further compounds because the tax applies at each independent distribution point.

If a small, informal grocer sources fast-moving consumer goods, packaged foods, and pharmaceuticals from multiple corporate distributors, the 0.20% tax would be deducted transaction-by-transaction by every single supplying dealer.

These automated deductions would be processed via a digital application linked to the government's "A-Challan" system, which would route the money from the dealer straight to the state treasury, tracking the small shopkeeper via their mobile number and sending them quarterly SMS updates.

The primary catalyst for consumer price hikes lies in the informal nature of Bangladesh's retail sector.

Business representatives point out that the vast majority of the country's estimated one crore small shopkeepers operate completely without Tax Identification Numbers (TIN) or formal accounting software.

Because these micro-traders cannot easily navigate the formal tax system to claim year-end refunds from the NBR -- which is only permissible if they register a formal TIN and file comprehensive tax returns -- they will view the Tk2 deduction per Tk1,000 as a direct, unrecoverable cut to their profit margins.

To insulate themselves from this multi-layered revenue deduction, small shopkeepers are highly likely to treat the source tax as an immediate overhead expense, say experts.

To cover the cost, retailers may adjust the final shelf prices of everyday goods upward.

Consequently, ordinary shoppers will absorb the final financial impact at the counter through pricier fast-moving consumer goods, food items, furniture, steel, cement, and essential medicines.

The revenue board plans to aggressively roll out this system in its first phase to target 50 lakh retailers, aiming to formalise an economy where currently only 15 lakh individuals effectively pay taxes out of 1.3 crore TIN holders.

Oil futures fell more than 2 percent on Friday, closing out their steepest ​weekly decline since early April as traders awaited word that the US, Israel and Iran had reached agreement on a ceasefire.

Brent crude ‌futures for July, which expired on Friday, settled at $92.05 a barrel, down $1.66, or 1.8 percent. WTI US oil futures finished at $87.36 a barrel, down $1.54 or 1.7 percent.

“Obviously, the market thinks the ceasefire will be all easy-peasy and is done and dusted,” said John Kilduff, partner with Again Capital.

The three-month war between the US and Iran has been marked ​by frequent chatter of an impending end to the conflict that would open the crucial Strait of Hormuz, used to ​transit one-fifth of the world’s oil and gas supply. Even with both sides suggesting an agreement was forthcoming, their characterisations of the deal were still somewhat different.

Iran’s Fars news agency said the agreement - which it has not decided yet to approve - ​required Iran to open the strait without restrictions but the Islamic Republic would reopen the waterway “according to its own pre-determined arrangements.”

Iran has said ​after the conflict that it would regulate traffic through the strait, charging fees to transit.

US President Donald Trump has said called again on Iran to immediately re-open the strait. The closure of the waterway has driven energy prices sharply higher worldwide. Recent sessions have been volatile, with swings by as much as $6 for both ​benchmarks on conflicting signals over a potential reopening of the strait.

“The questions are when are we going to open the strait? I wonder ​when are we going to hit the bottoms of the tanks,” Kilduff said. “I’m surprised prices aren’t higher.”

Brent has plunged by about 11 percent this week, its steepest ‌weekly decline ⁠in seven weeks. WTI has dropped by more than 9 percent for its biggest weekly loss in six. Both benchmarks hit their lowest price since mid-April.

“While oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain restricted and oil inventories keep falling, the market focus remains on the possibility of a deal between the US and Iran,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

President Trump has long treated the stock market like his personal scoreboard, but his latest financial disclosure suggests something far more active.

“The price drop could be forcing some market players to close ​their long positions.”

The US and Iran reached ​a tentative agreement on Thursday ⁠to extend a ceasefire and lift restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, sources told Reuters.

Traffic through the maritime chokepoint remains a small fraction of levels before the conflict. Analysts at ING said a reopening ​of the waterway would offer some immediate relief to the oil market, but a recovery is ​still uncertain.

Japan, which relies ⁠heavily on oil from the Middle East, last month registered a 66 percentdop in crude oil imports compared with April last year.

Commerzbank raised its Brent forecasts to $90 a barrel by the end of September and $85 by the end of the year, based on a scenario in which the ⁠strait remains ​closed to normal shipping for another two months.

US crude, gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell ​last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Thursday, as demand from refiners and consumers rose, while exports fell by 1.16 million barrels per day to 4.4 million ​bpd.

The banking sector on the Dhaka bourse yesterday experienced a mixed response from investors following the central bank's latest stringent directives on dividend distribution.

The Bangladesh Bank has directed that commercial banks must maintain a minimum paid-up capital of Tk2,000 crore to declare any cash dividends. The policy, aimed at strengthening the sector's capital base, is expected to significantly restrict cash payouts for most listed lenders.

Under the new framework, which is set to take effect from 31 December 2026, even banks meeting the capital threshold and other regulatory requirements will be allowed to pay a maximum of 50% of declared dividends in cash.Market data shows an immediate impact: out of 36 listed banks, 12 declined, 14 remained unchanged, and five advanced as investors assessed the implications of the new directive

Currently, the room for cash dividend distribution appears extremely limited. Only BRAC Bank meets the Tk2,000 crore paid-up capital requirement while also being in a position to offer cash returns. Although National Bank has adequate capital, its elevated non-performing loan burden continues to constrain dividend eligibility under the new rules.

A senior analyst of a brokerage firm noted that banks below the Tk2,000 crore threshold will need to raise equity—either through rights issues or repeat public offerings—if they aim to comply with the requirement by 2026.

The market reaction was reflected in price movements across key players. NCC Bank led the decliners with a 2.67% fall, followed by Dutch-Bangla Bank down 2.01% and Dhaka Bank slipping 1.77%.

Other notable losers included Eastern Bank, NRB Commercial Bank, and Southeast Bank, all declining more than 1%.

On the gainers' side, ICB Islamic Bank surged 3.85%, while One Bank and BRAC Bank rose 2.67% and 1.05% respectively.

Trading in five other listed banks remained suspended due to ongoing merger proceedings involving Sammilito Islami Bank.Commenting on the policy shift, Mashrur Arefin, managing director and CEO of City Bank, said the regulation may help prevent weaker banks from eroding capital through excessive cash payouts, but warned that a blanket approach could be counterproductive.

He argued that treating strong and weak banks alike could weaken investor confidence in well-managed institutions.Instead, Mashrur Arefin suggested using the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) as a more effective benchmark, noting that banks maintaining CAR levels of 17–18%, well above the 12.5% regulatory minimum, should have greater flexibility in rewarding shareholders.Market analysts echoed similar concerns, suggesting that a more sophisticated approach would involve linking dividend approvals to a bank's broader financial health indicators rather than just a fixed capital amount.

While they acknowledged the move as a step toward long-term financial stability, they cautioned that restricting cash dividends from otherwise strong banks could reduce the sector's appeal to institutional investors.

The government has officially decided to opt out of the existing loan agreement signed between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the erstwhile Awami League administration, moving instead to negotiate a fresh $5 billion credit package under modified terms.

This major policy shift was confirmed during a high-profile virtual meeting held on 21 May, between a Bangladeshi delegation led by Finance and Planning Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury and an IMF team headed by its Deputy Managing Director Nigel Clarke.

According to an official press release issued today (25 May) by the Ministry of Finance, the digital session focused on Bangladesh's macroeconomic stability, the progress of ongoing IMF programmes, and future institutional cooperation.

During the discussions, the finance minister recalled the fruitful talks held during the latest IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings in Washington DC, noting that the government had since reviewed the reform packages internally.

While the minister reiterated that the current administration remains fully committed to macroeconomic stability and structural overhauls, he explicitly noted that the existing IMF programme had been formulated under a completely different economic and policy context.

He explained that subsequent domestic developments, political economy considerations, and global uncertainties have created severe implementation challenges for certain structural reforms.

The minister emphasised that the government does not want to retreat from economic reforms entirely. Instead, the administration aims to execute a realistic, well-sequenced reform agenda that aligns closely with the ground realities of the country, the release added.

In light of these points, the virtual meeting focused heavily on launching a brand-new IMF credit facility under the newly elected government. The alternative framework proposes a realistic three-year timeline incorporating attainable, priority reforms structured around practical sequencing.

IMF's Nigel Clarke welcomed Bangladesh's updated reform initiatives and its proposal for a new facility, expressing hope for a continued close and constructive engagement between the lender and the state.

Both sides reached a consensus on the necessity of a realistic, implementation-focused loan package, agreeing to fast-track the preparatory activities.

Concurrently, high-level ministry sources revealed that the decision to exit the ongoing package stems from a prolonged gridlock over stringent conditionalities.

The global lender has been putting mounting pressure on Dhaka to implement a uniform 15% VAT rate, eliminate tax exemptions, and replace universal state subsidies on electricity and fertiliser with targeted cash transfers.

Furthermore, international development partners have expressed dissatisfaction with the new government's recent amendment to the bank resolution framework under the Bank Resolution Act, 2026, viewing it as a regressive step for transparency.

The finance minister has publicly asserted that as an elected government accountable to the public, the administration cannot comply with donor demands that run counter to public interest or the BNP government's election manifesto.

High-level financial bureaucrats maintain that an active IMF programme remains vital as an essential institutional seal of approval, which is critical to unlocking an estimated $3 billion to $4 billion in parallel annual budget assistance from the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank.

An IMF mission is expected to arrive in Dhaka this July or August to finalise the specific volume, timeline, and terms of the new alternative framework.

As people return to the capital after the Eid holidays, the Dhaka-Mawa-Bhanga Expressway is greeting travellers not with its usual green surroundings and fresh earthy air, but with an unmistakable stench: rotting rawhides.

After sacrificing cattle on Eid day, many people have dumped hides along the highway this year as prices continued their long decline.

Images of discarded hides, hides buried in the ground, and rawhides thrown into rivers first made national headlines in 2017, when tanneries began relocating from Dhaka’s Hazaribagh area to the Savar Tannery Estate. Nearly a decade later, the same scenes continue to recur with little sign of improvement.

The relocation from Hazaribagh, on the banks of the Buriganga river, came after years of delays by tannery owners and repeated government deadlines. International buyers had increasingly raised concerns about the industry’s environmental record. At Savar, tanners were supposed to receive a fully functional central effluent treatment plant (CETP), but the facility remains underperforming almost a decade after the move.

The Eid-ul-Azha season provides around 50-60 percent of the rawhide local tanneries need for production throughout the year. Proceeds from the sale of sacrificial animal hides traditionally go to charities, madrasas and orphanages.

For years, the government has fixed prices at which small traders are meant to buy hides from the public. Yet those rates have done little to change the overall picture.

Apart from official prices largely remaining on paper and the CETP incomplete, at least half a dozen other factors help explain why rawhides continue to rot each year.

They include a surge of rawhide supply arriving within a few days of Eid-ul-Azha, weak demand, a tannery sector struggling with environmental compliance, softer global demand for leather, cash shortages across the supply chain, poor preservation practices that reduce quality, and allegations of price manipulation by a small group of tannery owners.

Md Shaheen Ahamed, chairman of the Bangladesh Tanners Association, said the leather sector has been in decline since the relocation of tanneries to Savar.

There are now more than 115 operational tanneries in Savar estate, but only five hold Leather Working Group (LWG) certification.

The LWG is a global body that sets environmental and compliance standards for the leather sector. Certification is required for access to markets in Europe, the United States and parts of developed Asia.

Most local tanneries do not have this certification, due mainly to compliance issues and the underperforming CETP.

Ahmed said the industry cannot grow while it fails to meet international environmental and quality standards.

With most tanneries lacking certification, rawhide demand remains weak this year as usual, according to small and medium traders.

Md Anwar Hossain, a rawhide trader in the Posta area of Dhaka, said demand from tanneries is currently low.

He said the prices traders can offer are dictated by what tanneries are willing to pay.

“That is just how the chain works. An official price does not change that,” Hossain said, adding that markets do not move simply because the government puts out a number.

Tipu Sultan, general secretary of the Bangladesh Hide and Skin Merchants’ Association, said rawhide collection this year is around 20 percent below expectations, and trading has not followed the government’s price announcement.

In his view, the core problem is cash.

He said businesses do not have sufficient working capital to buy at the government fixed rates during the peak collection period.

Mohammed Abu Eusuf, professor of development studies at Dhaka University, said Bangladesh’s leather sector is trapped in a cycle of low prices, weak demand and missed export potential.

He said the country stays in the loop because the compliance and governance problems have not been addressed.

Government price-setting has not been effectively enforced, he said, leaving seasonal traders to absorb losses. Unless the sector generates stronger demand and meets international environmental standards, conditions are unlikely to change.

He noted that tanneries with LWG certification are picking up solid export orders. However, much of the industry is excluded from such opportunities because the Savar Tannery Estate remains non-compliant, leaving most leather produced there tied to lower-priced markets, including China.

Md Mizanur Rahman, professor and director of the Institute of Leather Engineering and Technology at Dhaka University, traced the pressure on rawhide prices back to 2012, when international buyers began enforcing stricter environmental and compliance requirements.

Before that, Bangladeshi tanneries exported wet blue leather with fewer restrictions. As buyers in Europe and North America tightened standards, access to those markets increasingly depended on certification and environmental performance.

Rahman said the government moved tanneries from Hazaribagh to Savar to address environmental concerns, but the CETP has not delivered the level of compliance required by global buyers. As a result, many tanneries have shifted towards lower-priced markets, limiting what they can pay for rawhides.

The main driver of falling rawhide prices is weak tannery demand, not a cartel, Rahman said. “If there were strong demand, prices would naturally rise.”

Md Abdur Rahim Khan, additional secretary and head of the Export Wing at the Ministry of Commerce, said price issues in the rawhide market are mainly linked to quality, handling and coordination across the supply chain rather than administrative factors.

He said that during Eid-ul-Azha, large-scale slaughtering by unskilled butchers often leads to torn or damaged hides, reducing their value even when salt is applied.

He added that salt-treated hides generally receive government-fixed prices, but unsalted or poorly handled hides do not fetch expected rates.

Commerce Minister Khandakar Abdul Muktadir said the decline in rawhide prices in recent years is mainly due to structural problems within the industry.

He said the relocation of tanneries from Hazaribagh was the right decision, but the process was poorly managed, leaving many tanneries unable to restart operations properly.

He pointed out that the CETP at Savar, designed for a capacity of 25,000 cubic metres, is currently operating at only 14,000 to 17,000 cubic metres, around 60 percent of capacity.

According to the commerce minister, this shortfall, combined with limited processing and compliance infrastructure, has weakened overall efficiency in the sector.

Muktadir said compliance has become essential for accessing better international prices, measured through the LWG certification.

“Without this certification, factories are considered non-compliant and are excluded from reputable international buyers, including those purchasing finished leather goods and crust leather.”

He added that compared with the Hazaribagh period, there are now fewer processors and manufacturers. As a result, the sector cannot absorb the large volume of hides generated during Eid-ul-Azha, creating a supply and demand imbalance and pushing prices down.

He explained that while CETP capacity constraints prevent immediate full-scale processing, there is no major issue if leather is processed gradually over six to eight months.

The minister said an Italian company is studying the CETP to identify technical solutions for its underperformance. A report is expected in June or early July, after which corrective steps will be taken to restore full 25,000 cubic metre capacity.

Besides, individual effluent treatment plants will become mandatory for large tanneries, with government support through technical assistance and loans, said Muktadir.

India’s foreign exchange reserves fell to a more than one-year low of $681.4 ​billion in the week ended May 22, from $688.89 billion ‌a week earlier, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data showed on Friday.

The $7.5 billion decline was largely due to a $4.5 ​billion fall in the value of the ​central bank’s gold holdings, week-on-week.

The value of the RBI’s foreign currency assets also shrunk by ​nearly $3 billion to $543 billion.

Changes in foreign currency assets, expressed ​in dollar terms, include the effect of appreciation or depreciation of other currencies in the reserves.

The RBI has been selling ​dollars to defend the beleaguered rupee, which has ​declined 4 percent since the US-Iran war began, as surging energy ‌prices sparked capital outflows and clouded India’s macroeconomic outlook.

In the week to which the data pertains, the rupee slid to a record low of 96.96 per dollar ​before being shored ​up by firm RBI intervention over multiple trading sessions, including likely on Friday.

It ended the ​session at 95 per dollar, up ​0.7 percent week-on-week. Foreign exchange reserves include India’s Reserve Tranche position in the International Monetary Fund.

Just four years after entering mobile phone manufacturing, RFL is now expanding into local production of telecom service-related equipment, including routers and vehicle tracking devices (VTDs), under its Proton brand.

PRAN-RFL Group, one of the country’s largest conglomerates, has received preliminary approval from the Bangladesh Telecommunication Regulatory Commission (BTRC) to locally manufacture and assemble the products under its electronics arm, RFL Electronics Limited.

According to official documents reviewed by The Daily Star, the regulator has also decided to conduct an on-site inspection of the company’s manufacturing facilities before issuing a temporary enlistment certificate for telecommunication service-related equipment.

On May 3, RFL Electronics presented its manufacturing roadmap to BTRC officials, who found the proposal “primarily satisfactory,” according to meeting documents.

RFL started manufacturing Proton mobile phones in late 2022.

Industry observers say the initiative highlights a transformation within Bangladesh’s industrial sector, where local companies traditionally focused on plastic goods and household appliances are increasingly investing in technology hardware and smart devices.

The telecom equipment segment is seen as particularly promising given rising domestic demand for internet connectivity, digital services and smart monitoring solutions.

Vehicle tracking devices are witnessing increasing demand amid the rapid expansion of logistics, ride-sharing, e-commerce delivery and fleet management services in Bangladesh.

Businesses are increasingly using tracking systems to improve operational efficiency and security.

Demand for routers is also growing steadily as broadband internet penetration expands across urban and semi-urban areas. Industry estimates suggest Bangladesh now has around 1.4 crore Wi-Fi users, creating a sizable market for networking devices.

Market analysts say Bangladesh’s router market is expected to continue growing through the end of the decade, driven by remote work, digitalisation and rising household internet usage.

The market currently includes more than 200 models across different price ranges and consumer segments.

International brands such as TP-Link, Xiaomi and Huawei dominate much of the consumer market, while brands like Tenda remain popular because of affordability and strong signal coverage.