Bangladesh's garment exporters welcomed short-term relief after the US Supreme Court scrapped reciprocal tariffs but uncertainty looms large as President Donald Trump increased to 15% the 10% fresh levy he announced immediately after the court ruling.

Industry leaders and economists warn that persistent policy uncertainty in their largest export market could dampen longer-term gains.

Until Friday's ruling, Bangladesh faced a 20% reciprocal tariff on exports to the United States, despite signing — but not ratifying — a bilateral trade agreement that envisaged a 19% rate. Following the court's decision, President Donald Trump immediately declared a flat 10% tariff on all countries for 150 days, a measure that will also apply to Bangladesh. But, a day later, he chose to increase it to its highest ceiling of 15% under the relevant trade clause.

If implemented as announced, Bangladesh's competitive position in the US market would revert to levels seen prior to April 2025. Exporters say the reduced rate could lower import costs for American buyers, potentially translating into lower retail prices for apparel and stronger consumer demand.

Yet they caution that frequent shifts in US tariff policy are unsettling importers. Without clarity over future rates, buyers may avoid placing large, long-term orders and instead opt for smaller consignments to minimise risk exposure.

Agreement in limbo

Commerce Secretary Mahbubur Rahman said the bilateral trade agreement signed with Washington could effectively lapse following the court's ruling. However, analysts believe the United States may still press signatory countries to honour commitments made under the deal, including increased imports of US goods such as arms, wheat, liquefied natural gas and aircraft.

According to Trump, the court has curtailed his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, but other statutory avenues remain open for the administration to pursue trade and tariff measures.

The White House has reportedly requested countries including India, the UK and the European Union — all of which have signed trade arrangements with the US — to adhere to concessions granted to Washington under those agreements, despite the shift to a 15% uniform tariff in place of the previously anticipated reciprocal rates.

Experts urge caution, not complacency

Exporters and economists have urged Bangladesh to avoid complacency and closely monitor developments at least until the US midterm elections in November.

Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank's Dhaka office, said Bangladesh's response should be guided by strategy rather than sentiment. He recommended using the 150-day window to identify areas of vulnerability, strengthen compliance with labour and environmental standards, and prepare for potential renegotiations.

Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue, described the development as presenting both opportunities and risks. If the reciprocal tariff framework is invalidated, he said, Bangladesh could seek a review of prior commitments within the agreement's legal provisions — provided exit clauses and notification requirements permit it.

However, he cautioned that the US could still impose uniform tariffs, new non-tariff barriers, quotas or export restrictions. "A sudden withdrawal from the entire agreement could be strategically hazardous," he said, calling for a comprehensive review of existing commitments and preparation for alternative trade restrictions.

Former WTO Cell Director General Md Hafizur Rahman and RAPID Chairman Mohammad Abdur Razzaque said Bangladesh may face pressure to implement pledges on increased imports of US goods, even though the agreement has not been ratified and is not legally binding.

Industry reaction: relief tempered by risk

Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association President Mahmudul Hasan Babu described the shift as a "lesser of two evils", noting that lower tariffs typically reduce prices and stimulate consumption.

However, he acknowledged that persistent tariff fluctuations are creating uncertainty. "Retailers will not leave shelves empty, but they are likely to import in smaller volumes. Overall exports could actually decline."

Ha-Meem Group Managing Director AK Azad said the 15% levy would not significantly affect Bangladesh, as it is substantially lower than the previous rate.

However, Azad predicted fresh legal challenges in the US against the new tariff regime, suggesting such measures could conflict with global trade rules.

Echoing similar concerns, Anwar-ul Alam Chowdhury, president of the Bangladesh Chamber of Industries, stressed that the situation remains temporary and unpredictable.

Economist Selim Raihan, professor at the University of Dhaka, said predictability is nearly as important as tariff levels for Bangladesh's garment sector.

"I would not expect a sharp spike in orders immediately, as US buyers typically plan months in advance," he said. While the court ruling may ease legal uncertainty and improve sentiment, he warned that further restrictive trade measures from Washington could disrupt the global trading system and continue to cast a shadow over Bangladesh's export outlook.

Bangladesh’s economy last week witnessed a mix of post-election gains in the capital market alongside data underscoring underutilised development spending. While investors regained confidence following the national polls, systemic challenges in fiscal management and trade readiness remain pressing.

The following is a recap of major stories covered by Star Business:

Rebuilding business confidence cannot wait (Feb 15)
Business leaders and economists urged the government to restore investor trust to revitalise the private sector. They noted that persistent law-and-order challenges and weak institutional coordination have eroded confidence, making immediate policy interventions essential for a sustainable turnaround.

Stocks jump to 18-month high after vote (Feb 16)
The Dhaka Stock Exchange surged following the national election, with indices hitting an 18-month high. Investors displayed renewed optimism as political clarity returned, sparking a buying spree across sectors and sharply increasing daily turnover.

US trade deal overshadows Bangladesh’s economic freedom (Feb 17)
A newly signed trade agreement with the US offers a 19 percent reciprocal tariff but imposes restrictive clauses. Critics argue that the requirement to use US-origin cotton for duty-free access may benefit Washington more than Dhaka’s garment industry.

Development spending plunges to 16-year low (Feb 17)
Implementation of the Annual Development Programme fell to a 16-year low due to political unrest and bureaucratic delays. Only a fraction of the allocated budget was utilised, threatening GDP growth targets and slowing critical infrastructure projects nationwide.

Interim govt stopped macro bleeding but couldn’t reignite growth (Feb 18)
While the interim administration stabilised foreign exchange reserves and narrowed the current account deficit, industrial growth remains stagnant. High inflation and energy shortages continue to hamper manufacturing, preventing full recovery.

Legal fights heat up in telecom sector (Feb 19)
Major telecom operators are locked in intensifying legal disputes with the regulator over audit claims and spectrum fees. These courtroom battles risk disrupting future investment and service quality in one of the country’s most dynamic sectors.

‘Substantial gaps’ found in LDC readiness (Feb 20)
A recent assessment revealed significant shortcomings in Bangladesh’s preparation for graduating from Least Developed Country (LDC) status. Experts warned that without addressing supply chain weaknesses and securing GSP+ benefits, the export sector faces a steep competitive cliff.

Rising costs of consumer goods and industrial materials are being driven by delays and lack of coordination at Chattogram Port, Finance and Planning Minister Amir Khasru Mahmud Chowdhury said today (20 February).

"These inefficiencies are affecting both industrial production and market prices. If port problems are addressed, cargo clearance will speed up and additional costs will decrease," he said after a meeting with the Port Users Forum at his Mehedibagh residence.

The meeting was attended by representatives from the port, customs, transport workers, and other relevant stakeholders.

The minister said each point was discussed in detail, examining where and why problems occur and the reasons behind rising costs.

Some issues were resolved immediately, while a few require further inter-ministerial coordination and will take several more days to finalise.

Khasru highlighted that different stakeholders at the port operate independently, creating a fragmented system. "Each group is running its own operations, forming separate zones of control. Responsibilities are unclear, which contributes to rising costs," he said.

He added that delays in cargo clearance, extra charges, and procedural complexities are significant factors behind increased costs.

"These additional expenses are being passed on to consumers and are reflected in both industrial production and market prices," he said.

"The impact is not limited to consumer goods. Almost all imported products, including raw materials used in industries, are affected, and the public bears the burden of these additional costs. With Ramadan approaching, special emphasis is being given to faster clearance of essential items. Delays in delivery could push up market prices, while faster clearance would help reduce these extra costs," he said.

He also said the government has taken initiatives to ease the pressure on the national economy caused by port inefficiencies.

"Some solutions have already been implemented today, and others will be finalised through discussion. We hope effective measures will be taken very soon. Once port operations speed up, cargo clearance will improve, production costs will decrease, and market price pressures will ease," Khasru added.

Sri Lanka's 2022 sovereign default offers a cautionary lesson for Bangladesh as external borrowing rises and large infrastructure projects expand.

A recent study by researchers from SOAS University of London, comparing the two countries, warns that similar policy patterns could heighten long-term risks if corrective steps are delayed.

From around 2008, both Bangladesh and Sri Lanka shifted towards infrastructure-led growth, investing heavily in ports, highways and energy facilities, often financed through external partners.

In Sri Lanka's case, about 65% of foreign debt accumulated during that period was linked to energy projects, many of which were underutilised and generated limited economic returns.

The result was rising debt without sufficient growth to service it.

The study notes that Bangladesh's external debt has grown rapidly in recent years, alongside significant cost escalations in major infrastructure projects.

Projects awarded through non-competitive government-to-government arrangements were found to be substantially more expensive than those procured through transparent bidding.

Weak oversight and overpricing increase repayment burdens over time.

One key lesson from Sri Lanka is that crises can emerge suddenly.

Gradual increases in debt indicators may appear manageable, but vulnerability surfaces when a country struggles to meet interest or principal payments on time.

The researchers warn that Bangladesh could face a more exposed period between 2028 and 2032 if governance weaknesses persist.

To avoid such a scenario, the study recommends tighter expenditure control, stronger domestic revenue mobilisation and improved project governance.

Ensuring competitive procurement, limiting cost overruns and strengthening institutional oversight would help contain debt risks and protect fiscal stability.

Gold prices rose more than 1 percent on Friday, supported by weaker‑than‑expected US GDP data, while investors digested President Donald Trump’s announcement of fresh global tariffs following the US Supreme Court’s tariffs ruling.

Spot gold was up 1.5 percent at $5,071.48 an ounce by 02:08 p.m. (1908 GMT). US gold futures for April delivery settled 1.7 percent higher at $5,080.90.

“It’s hard to see the president collecting his toys and going home; he will try to re-establish tariffs using other statutes which will promote volatility,” said Tai Wong, an independent metals trader.

Medium-term uncertainty won’t deter gold bulls, Wong added. Trump said that he would impose a 10 percent global tariff for 150 days to replace some of his emergency duties that were struck down by the US Supreme Court.

The Supreme Court declared illegal his broad global tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, ruling that he had overstepped his authority under that law.

Data showed US economic growth slowed sharply to a 1.4 percent annualized rate in Q4, well below economists’ forecast of 3 percent, as the government shutdown and softer consumer spending hit activity.

Separately, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditure index, rose 0.4 percent in December, above expectations for a 0.3 percent increase.

“(The data) shows inflation is still present in the marketplace ... but with GDP coming in lower, it suggests the economy is not close to a turning point. There are still many unknowns and uncertainties around the US economy, and that is supportive for gold,” said RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn.

Traders still expect two 25-basis-point rate cuts by the Fed this year, with the first expected in June.

Gold, considered a safe-haven asset when there is geopolitical and economic uncertainty, also tends to do well when interest rates are low.

A landmark ruling by the US Supreme Court torpedoing Trump tariffs effectively upsets Bangladesh's trade arrangements with the United States, prompting calls for a cautious reassessment of the recently signed bilateral deal.

The media-highlighted "blow" to President Donald Trump's tariff regime -- which threw world trade order into a vortex -- comes close on the heels of Bangladesh electing a new government. Business community has been requesting it to go for a review and renegotiation of the trade deal signed by the immediate-past interim government.

Business leaders and economists told The Financial Express Saturday that the verdict has effectively altered the legal foundation of the reciprocal tariff regime on which much of the Bangladesh-US agreement was based.

They note that commitments reportedly linked to the tariff framework -- including large-scale import arrangements ranging from US wheat to Boeing aircraft -- may now need to be reviewed if they were tied to the invalidated measures.

In this evolving situation, analysts say, Bangladesh must closely monitor developments in Washington and carefully evaluate its obligations under the agreement. With the legal and policy context shifting rapidly, a measured and legally sound reassessment may be essential to safeguard the country's trade interests.

Dr Zaidi Sattar, Chairman of Policy Research Institute of Bangladesh (PRI), says as of now, reciprocal tariffs come to "naught" as a result of the Supreme Court judgment. But RT is replaced with a 10-percent levy for 150 days.

As for the US-BD Reciprocal Trade Agreement, 19-percent RT will be replaced with 10-percent tariff. What is not clear as yet is if the 10 per cent will be on top of existing tariffs, which is 16.5 per cent on RMG and footwear.

"Then the new situation gets worse for BD, except that the saving grace is the 'Buy American Cotton Act 2025', which allows duty-free export of apparel that uses US cotton and MMF."

He says, "If anything, it creates a messy situation on two grounds: what about refund of tariff rev already collected, and what happens to the US-BD Reciprocal Trade Agreement"

Shovon Islam, Managing Director of Sparrow Group, says the reciprocal tariffs became "null and void" following the American apex court's decision.

"The President has to follow the Supreme Court's ruling. There are no ifs or buts," he notes.

According to the apparel exporter, if any agreement entered into by a US government department -- including the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) -- was based on modifying or applying the reciprocal tariffs, then that specific portion of the agreement would also lose its legal standing.

However, he clarifies that other components of trade agreements not directly linked to the reciprocal tariffs, such as commercial buying and selling commitments, would remain valid unless separately challenged.

Mr Islam notes that, based on information from US business partners, the Bangladesh-US trade agreement has not yet come into effect. As the deal-required exchange of formal notifications remains incomplete, its current status is still unclear.

He adds that buyers who have already paid tariffs are preparing to seek refunds from the US Treasury if the reciprocal duties are formally withdrawn.

In his view, any attempt by President Donald Trump to reintroduce similar tariffs would require fresh legislation in Congress -- a process he describes as lengthy and politically challenging.

Meanwhile, corporate America is a making a demand for US$130 refund of import tariffs already paid under the new tariff regime.

Dr Abdur Razzaque, chairman of Research and Policy Integration for Development (RAPID), says the Supreme Court ruling leaves limited room for ambiguity from a legal perspective, although its practical implications remain uncertain.

The reciprocal tariffs were introduced under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), but the court held that the statute does not authorise tariff measures of unbounded scope, magnitude and duration, given Congress's constitutional primacy in tariff-setting.

For Bangladesh, he mentions, the immediate implication is that the bilateral arrangement now stands on shifting ground.

"A large part of the agreement's logic was anchored to a specific tariff regime," he observes. And if that regime's legal basis is removed, the agreement must be reviewed clause by clause to determine what remains enforceable and what has become redundant.

The economic analyst adds that the court order would likely lead to the abolition of reciprocal tariffs, but bilateral agreements already concluded would not automatically become void. Determining which provisions are directly linked to the reciprocal tariffs will require careful legal interpretation.

He also notes that the existing 19-percent tariffs on Bangladeshi exports -- reportedly negotiated down from a proposed 37 per cent under reciprocal terms -- could be reduced to 10 per cent in line with the newly announced uniform tariff applied to all countries.

Prof Mustafizur Rahman, a distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), says the core justification for the reciprocal trade agreement has weakened significantly.

"If the original legal basis of those tariff measures has been cancelled, then the rationale for the agreement also becomes questionable."

He suggests that Bangladesh reassess the deal in the light of the changed policy landscape in Washington. The agreement is scheduled to take effect two months after the exchange of formal notifications -- a process that has yet to be completed -- leaving room for further dialogue.

Mr Rahman argues that if the reciprocal tariff structure no longer stands, related commitments -- including expanded market access and other concessions -- may also warrant reconsideration.

However, he points out that the newly announced 10-percent additional tariff applies to all countries, meaning Bangladesh is not being singled out in the revised framework.

At the same time, he cautions that the US administration retains authority under Section 232 of its trade law to impose product- or country-specific tariffs on national-security grounds. If such measures are introduced, Bangladesh would need to continue negotiations accordingly.

He also questions the timing of the agreement, reportedly signed just two days before the national elections in Bangladesh, and calls for a transparent review by the newly elected government.

The newly sworn-in government faces a daunting economic landscape characterised by fragile macroeconomic stability, stagnant private investment, and a shrinking fiscal capacity, according to the Citizen's Platform for SDGs, Bangladesh.

The observations were shared at a media briefing titled "Starting Point of the New Government: An Economic Review," held at the BRAC Centre Inn, Dhaka today (19 February) where Towfiqul Islam Khan, additional research director at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), presented the findings.

The civil society platform emphasised that addressing these structural bottlenecks is critical for stabilising the economy and steering it back toward sustainability.

Towfiqul highlighted that despite a decline in global inflation, domestic levels remain stubbornly high.

The 12-month average inflation rate reached 8.77% in January, significantly exceeding the central bank's target of 7%.

Slow-paced wage growth

Towfiqul noted that while food inflation showed slight signs of easing, non-food sectors provided little relief.

Furthermore, the slow pace of wage growth continues to erode the real income of the working class, worsening the cost-of-living crisis.

The event also pointed out that while a relatively stable exchange rate and a modest rise in foreign exchange reserves have reduced some pressure on the balance of payments, other risks remain.

The government's heavy reliance on bank borrowing to finance the budget deficit, combined with Bangladesh Bank's foreign currency collection from the open market, is contributing to an increased money supply.

The ongoing stagnation in private investment has also led to a decline in employment.

According to a presentation shared during the event, approximately 21 lakh jobs were lost during the first half of the 2025 fiscal year.

New loans to repay old

Highlighting the shrinking fiscal space, Towfiqul stated that internal revenue collection is no longer sufficient to cover recurring expenditures, leading to an increasing trend of taking out new loans to repay existing debt.

Weak revenue collection and pressure of expenditures outside the Annual Development Programme (ADP) are further constricting policy options.

Notably, according to the CPD researcher, ADP spending in fiscal years 2025 and 2026 has dropped to historically low levels.

In light of these challenges, the platform recommended the adoption of an economic stabilisation plan, including strict budget ceilings for the remainder of the current fiscal.

It also urged the formulation of a realistic budget framework for the next fiscal, the formation of a multilateral development forum, and the implementation of a reform roadmap with specific timelines.

Citizen's Platform for SDGs, Bangladesh states that achieving macroeconomic stability will be difficult without a clear LDC graduation strategy and a medium-term plan based on realistic targets.

President Donald Trump said Saturday he is raising the worldwide tariffs on goods entering the United States from 10 percent to 15 percent "effective immediately," a day after the Supreme Court largely struck down his sweeping duties.

Trump said on his Truth Social platform that after a thorough review of Friday's "extraordinarily anti-American decision" by the court to rein in his tariff program, the administration was hiking the import levies "to the fully allowed, and legally tested, 15% level."

Expatriate Bangladeshis have sent over $2 billion in remittances during the first 18 days of February, as money transfers surged ahead of Ramadan and Eid.

According to data released by Bangladesh Bank on Thursday (Feb 19), if this upward trend continues, total remittances for the month are expected to cross the $3 billion milestone.

Central bank statistics show that January 2026 saw an inflow of $3.17 billion, marking it as the third-highest monthly total in the country's history. The current fiscal year (FY 2025–26) has shown robust growth, with total remittances reaching $21.56 billion between July 1 and February 18.

This represents a significant 22.3 percent increase compared to the $17.63 billion received during the same period of last fiscal year 2024-25.

The historical peaks for monthly remittances remain:

$3.29 billion (March 2025 – fueled by Eid-ul-Fitr)

$3.22 billion (December 2025)

$3.17 billion (January 2026)

Impact on Reserves

Economists believe the surge in formal channel transfers is a result of a stabilized exchange rate and a decrease in illegal hundi activities following the political transition in August 2024. This influx is providing a much-needed boost to the nation's foreign exchange reserves.

As of February 17, the country's gross reserves stood at $34.54 billion. However, according to the IMF’s BPM-6 calculation method, the net reserves are currently valued at $29.86 billion.

Banking officials and experts point to two primary drivers:

Ramadan Preparation: Families in Bangladesh face higher expenses during Ramadan, prompting expatriates to send more money home.

Increased confidence in the banking sector and a stable dollar rate have encouraged migrants to shun illegal channels in favor of official ones.

The Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) extended its losing streak today (19 February), marking the fourth consecutive session of decline since the national election.

Over the four trading sessions, the benchmark DSEX shed a cumulative 135 points, reflecting persistent selling pressure and cautious investor sentiment.

Today, the DSEX fell 53 points to close at 5,466. The blue-chip DS30 index dropped 12 points to 2,098, while the Shariah-based DSES declined 10 points to end at 1,095.

Turnover on the premier bourse plunged 40.17% to Tk560 crore, down from Tk936 crore in the previous session, indicating weaker market participation. Of the 392 issues traded, only 46 advanced, while 313 declined and 33 remained unchanged, underscoring the broad-based downturn.

Market participants attributed the slump to investor caution as they assessed the post-election political and economic landscape.

Many investors remained on the sidelines, awaiting clearer signals on policy direction and the formation of a new securities commission.

The lack of clarity regarding regulatory leadership and potential reforms continued to weigh on sentiment.

Analysts said uncertainty over possible regulatory changes and expectations surrounding appointments at the securities regulator contributed to subdued trading activity. Institutional investors, in particular, appeared reluctant to take fresh positions without greater visibility on policy continuity and market-stabilisation measures.

Over the past year, prolonged political uncertainty and regulatory decisions that failed to restore investor confidence have driven a sustained market downturn. A significant number of retail investors exited the market, while institutional and high-net-worth investors largely stayed inactive, leading to notable declines even in fundamentally strong stocks.

All major large-cap sectors closed in the red. The NBFI sector posted the steepest loss, falling 1.75%, followed by Engineering (1.46%), Fuel & Power (1.23%), and Telecommunication (1.20%). Pharmaceuticals declined 0.94%, Food & Allied lost 0.67%, and the Bank sector edged down 0.12%.

Block market transactions accounted for 3.5% of total turnover, reflecting limited negotiated large-volume trades.

Analysts believe the market may gradually stabilise in the coming months if policy consistency and investor-friendly measures are ensured.

Robi Axiata, the country's second-largest mobile network operator, posted a net profit of Tk937 crore in 2025 – its first annual profit since listing on the stock exchange five years ago. The earnings represent a 33.3% year-on-year growth compared to 2024.

Riding on improved profitability, the board recommended a 17.5% cash dividend – Tk1.75 per share – the highest since its market debut in 2020. The proposed payout accounts for 97.8% of the company's total profit for the year. In 2024, Robi declared a 15% cash dividend.

The board approved the financial statements and dividend at a meeting held today (19 February).

Managing Director and CEO Ziad Shatara said that despite a continued decline in voice revenue, the operator managed to deliver positive revenue growth driven by strong expansion in data services. Growth was supported by a substantial increase in data and 4G users, alongside higher data consumption per subscriber.
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He noted that sustained high inflation and challenging macroeconomic conditions constrained subscriber spending, moderating overall revenue growth. He also highlighted that 62% of total revenue was contributed to the government exchequer through various taxes, describing the tax regime as excessively burdensome for industry progress.

However, with nearly 70% of active subscribers now using 4G, Shatara said Robi is positioning itself as the preferred operator for digitally savvy consumers.

The company credited its operational excellence strategy for strengthening financial resilience amid a challenging revenue environment. Disciplined capital allocation ensured network investments aligned with demand growth, service quality improvements, and long-term efficiency gains.

In 2025, Robi deployed an additional 4G sites across 40 districts, expanding coverage in underserved areas.

According to a press release, total revenue rose marginally by 0.4% year-on-year to Tk9,992.2 crore. While voice revenue declined 2.9%, data revenue grew 5.1% compared to 2024. Earnings per share stood at Tk1.79.

Total capital expenditure reached Tk1,304.1 crore during the year. In the fourth quarter (October–December), revenue rose 2.9% quarter-on-quarter to Tk2,584.9 crore.

At the end of 2025, Robi's active subscriber base stood at 5.74 crore. Data subscribers reached 4.45 crore, while 4G subscribers totalled 3.99 crore. Data users accounted for 77.5% of active subscribers, and 69.5% were 4G users – the highest proportions among operators in the country.

The operator's network now includes over 19,000 4G sites, achieving 98.98% population coverage. As the first operator to launch 5G services in Bangladesh, Robi said it continues to build the ecosystem necessary for broader 5G expansion.

Robi Axiata is a public limited company majority-owned (61.82%) by Axiata Group Berhad. India-based Bharti Airtel holds 28.18% of the shares, while the remaining 10% is owned by public shareholders.

AGM

The annual general meeting (AGM) has been scheduled for 22 April, while the record date has been fixed for 16 March to determine eligible shareholders.

According to its price-sensitive information, the company's net asset value (NAV) stood at Tk69.86 billion, with NAV per share rising slightly to Tk13.34 from Tk13.08 at the end of 2024.

Its net operating cash flow per share also increased to Tk9.04, up from Tk8.83 in 2024.

Last year, Robi Axiata Limited secured a no-objection certificate from the Bangladesh Bank in favour of SmartPay Limited to operate as a Payment Service Provider (PSP).

SmartPay Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Robi Axiata, is a private company limited by shares incorporated under the Companies Act, 1994. Its principal activity is to provide fintech-driven electronic payment services, including bill payments and other related services.

Aziz Mohammad Bhai, a sponsor director and chairman of Olympic Industries Limited, has announced his intention to purchase 1 crore shares of the company through the block market of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE).

According to a disclosure published on the DSE website today (19 February), he plans to acquire the shares at the prevailing market price within the next 30 working days.

The transaction will be executed through the block market, a platform generally used for large-volume trades between institutional and strategic investors, helping to avoid sharp price fluctuations in the regular trading session.

Following the announcement, Olympic Industries' share price rose 2.10% to Tk155.30 apiece on the Dhaka bourse, reflecting a positive market response to the sponsor director's move.

Market analysts say such declarations are often viewed as a sign of confidence in a company's fundamentals and future prospects.

At the prevailing price of around Tk155 per share, the proposed acquisition of 1 crore shares would amount to approximately Tk155 crore. The sizeable investment is expected to increase the sponsor director's shareholding in the company, although details of his existing stake were not disclosed in the filing.

Olympic Industries is the country's largest branded biscuit manufacturer and a leading player in the fast-moving consumer goods sector. It produces a wide range of biscuits, confectionery and bakery products, supported by a strong distribution network in both domestic and export markets.

According to its financial statements for the July-December period of 2025, the company posted revenue of Tk1,548 crore, up from Tk1,490 crore in the same period a year earlier. Its earnings per share stood at Tk5.99, compared to Tk5.82 previously. As of December 2025, its net asset value per share was Tk65.34.

Newly appointed Labour and Employment Minister Ariful Haque Chowdhury today (18 February) announced a 100-day action plan focused on strengthening labour welfare, improving industrial relations, enhancing workplace safety and ensuring effective implementation of labour laws.

"Our mission is one. People's expectations are high, and we must work accordingly. To deliver results, we have to work as a team," he said while addressing officials and employees of the ministry on his first working day after taking oath as minister.

He stressed that all activities would be guided by the party's election manifesto and existing policy guidelines. "If we work together with sincerity, we will succeed," he added.

The minister said, "The ministry would review activities carried out over the past year to identify gaps and areas needing improvement. This is our country. We must determine what we aim to achieve within the next 100 days."

Addressing officials, he urged them to utilise their experience and strictly follow the Rules of Business in discharging their duties. "We will not go beyond the rules. Inform the appropriate authorities clearly about what is necessary," he said.

Highlighting the upcoming holy month of Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr, the minister directed officials to remain proactive to prevent labour unrest, particularly in labour-intensive industries and factories.

State Minister for Labour and Employment Nurul Haque Nur, who also joined the meeting, proposed preparing a three-month work plan to demonstrate tangible achievements and ensure stability in the industrial sector ahead of Eid.

Senior officials of the ministry, including Secretary Sarwar Jahan Bhuiyan, were present at the meeting.

MEP Hi-Tech Industrial Park Limited, a concern of MEP Group, will invest Tk 200 crore to set up a modern electrical and electronic products manufacturing facility on nearly 10 acres of land at the National Special Economic Zone in Chattogram.

A land lease agreement was signed between the Bangladesh Economic Zones Authority (Beza) and MEP Hi-Tech Industrial Park Limited at Beza’s office in Dhaka’s Agargaon today, according to a press release.

The factory will produce electrical wires, switches and sockets, fans, LED lights, circuit breakers, and other related products, aiming to reduce the country’s reliance on imports and expand local manufacturing capacity.

Established in 1974, MEP Hi-Tech Industrial Park Limited is a business conglomerate with around 2,000 corporate clients and more than 1,000 distribution networks nationwide.

Construction of the project is scheduled to begin in April 2026 and is expected to be completed by December 2028, with commercial production targeted for January 2029.

Once fully operational, the facility is expected to generate employment for around 2,000 people directly and indirectly.

Saleh Ahmed, executive member for investment development at Beza, said the Tk 200 crore investment by a domestic industrial group would support import substitution, export diversification, and technology-driven industrialisation.

Jahangir Alam Chaklader, managing director of MEP Group, said the project would strengthen local production of electrical goods and contribute to the country’s export prospects in the future.

Currently, around 15 industrial units are in operation at the National Special Economic Zone, while about 20 more are under construction.

Ahead of Ramadan, prices of essential items have surged at Karwan Bazar, one of Dhaka's main wholesale and retail centres. High-demand iftar goods, such as chickpeas, sugar, dates, cucumber, lemon, and lentils, have risen 10% - 30%.

A market survey shows chickpeas selling at Tk100-110 per kg, up slightly from a few days ago. Packaged sugar is Tk100-105, loose sugar over Tk110, and lentils range from Tk120-180 per kg depending on quality.

Lemon prices have risen to Tk80-100 per set of four, with larger sizes costing more. Cucumbers now sell at Tk100-120 per kg and eggplant at Tk 90-120 per kg.

Prices of spices and cooking ingredients have also risen. Green chillies sell at Tk200-240 per kg, while onions remain steady at Tk60-70 per kg.

Broiler chicken costs Tk190-200 per kg and eggs costs Tk130-160 per dozen. Egg seller Nazmul Hossain said, "We bought eggs at higher prices for Ramadan, but don't expect to make excessive profit."

Merchants said the market for iftar items usually heats up before Ramadan, with wholesale price adjustments, transport costs, and stockpiling driving prices up.

Shajahan Khan of Selim Store told Business Standard, "We are buying everything at higher prices, and transport costs are unavoidable. There isn't much room for extra profit."

Lemon prices have risen to Tk80-120 per four pieces from Tk60-100 last week. Green chillies now sell at Tk180-240 per kg, up from Tk140-180 previously.

Regular Karwan Bazar customer Shahin Ali said, "Prices always rise during Ramadan. This pressure is very hard for us. The government should strengthen market monitoring."

Exports from the Port of Los Angeles, the busiest US gateway for ocean trade, fell 8 percent in January to the lowest monthly output in nearly three years, Executive Director Gene Seroka said on Tuesday.

"Exports to China look dismal," Seroka said after the Port of Los Angeles handled 104,297 20-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of loaded export containers in January.

President Trump's aggressive use of tariffs has upended global trade and retaliatory trade duties from China and other nations have hit US exporters like farmers particularly hard.

Soybean shipments from the Port of Los Angeles to China dropped 80 percent last year, Seroka said, adding that the trade did not improve in November or December, following discussions between representatives of the two nations on the sidelines at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Summit.

"There's not much that the United States is exporting to China these days," said trade expert Chad Bown, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute of Economics, who added that outgoing US shipments of everything from beef and corn to crude oil and coal also fell in 2025.

Closely watched imports to the Port of Los Angeles came in at 421,594 TEUs in January, down 13 percent from the unusually strong result the year earlier, Seroka said.

So far, imports in February appear relatively flat compared with a year earlier. Imports will slow in March due to China factory closures for the Lunar New Year holiday, he said.

Still, Seroka expects total first-quarter volume at the port to fall less than 10 percent versus the year-earlier quarter, when US importers were rushing in goods before President Donald Trump's threatened tariffs on countries like China took effect.

"I don't see the economy or cargo volume dropping off a cliff after that, and even though holiday sales were softer than we would have liked, I don't see a dire situation," Seroka said, referring to lackluster US December retail sales that signaled potential weakness in consumer spending that drives about 70 percent of the nation's total economic activity.

As growth in traditional markets such as the United States and European Union slows, Bangladesh is accelerating efforts to deepen economic engagement with Africa, with total trade nearing $4 billion.

According to data from the Export Promotion Bureau, the Bangladesh Bank and the National Board of Revenue, African exports to Bangladesh stood at $3.76 billion in the fiscal 2022-23, $2.84 billion in FY24 and $2.90 billion in FY25.

During July-January of FY26, imports reached $2.01 billion.

Bangladesh's exports to Africa also show steady growth – $367 million in FY23, $386.5 million in FY24 and $417.7 million in FY25.

Exports during July-January FY26 totalled $271 million.

Major African import sources include Morocco, South Africa, Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Mali and Algeria.

Business leaders say Africa offers stronger growth prospects compared to saturated markets in North America and Europe, particularly in IT-enabled services, pharmaceuticals and garments.

South Africa gains strategic importance

South Africa, a member of BRICS, has emerged as a key partner. Bangladesh's High Commissioner to South Africa, Shah Ahmed Shafi, said Pretoria is increasingly important to Dhaka's diversification strategy.

South Africa, with a population of about 63 million and GDP exceeding $400 billion, is Africa's most industrialised economy. KwaZulu-Natal, its second-largest contributor to GDP after Gauteng, has shown interest in Bangladeshi pharmaceutical investment.

Bangladesh's exports to South Africa rose from $119 million in FY23 to $124.2 million in FY25. South African exports to Bangladesh stood at $176 million in FY25.

Total official economic engagement between the two countries surpassed $800 million in FY25, including trade and remittance flows.

Remittances hit record levels

Remittances from expatriate Bangladeshis in South Africa have surged. In FY25, they sent home over $402.9 million. During July-January FY26 alone, remittances reached nearly $395.4 million, setting a new record.

Officials estimate that up to 30% of remittances flow through informal channels. Roughly 4,00,000–5,00,000 Bangladeshis are believed to reside in South Africa, largely engaged in small and medium businesses.

Bankers suggest that with policy support and incentives, Bangladesh's economic engagement with South Africa could reach $1 billion in 2026.

Expanding multilateral engagement

Commonwealth Observer Group Chair and former Ghanaian President Nana Akufo-Addo recently invited Bangladesh to invest in Africa's jute sector.

Meanwhile, South African High Commissioner to Bangladesh Anil Sooklal stressed the need to enhance trade visibility and people-to-people ties. He highlighted pharmaceuticals, education, culture, sports and private sector collaboration as priority areas.

Honorary Consul Md Solaiman Alam Seth said Bangladesh's steady growth, women's empowerment in garments and resilience in disaster management position it well to expand engagement with Africa's rising economies.

Stocks continued their losing streak for a third consecutive session today (18 February), as cautious investors trimmed positions despite the formation of a new government following the 13th parliamentary election.

The benchmark DSEX of the Dhaka Stock Exchange PLC fell 51 points, or 0.92%, to close at 5,519, marking a three-day decline of 81 points.

Market capitalisation dropped by around Tk7,500 crore, reflecting broad-based selling pressure. The DS30 index of blue-chip stocks also fell 16 points, or 0.76%, to settle at 2,110.

Market breadth remained heavily negative, with 286 issues declining, 82 advancing, and 25 unchanged. Turnover tumbled 23% to Tk935 crore, indicating reduced investor participation amid mounting uncertainty.

The market slide comes after the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) secured victory in the 13th parliamentary election and took oath yesterday (17 February).

While the DSEX had surged 200 points on 15 February, the first trading day after the election, initial optimism quickly faded.

Market insiders said investors are cautious, awaiting clarity on leadership at the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC). Uncertainty persists over whether the current chairman and commissioners will remain in their roles or be replaced under the new administration.

EBL Securities said the election-driven rally has retreated for a third straight session, weighed down by persistent profit-booking.

"Market participants are watchful, assessing potential policy directions and the regulatory environment under the newly elected government," the firm added.

Day-long volatility dominated trading as profit-taking continued amid weak buying support. Major blue-chip stocks faced sustained selling pressure, pushing indices further into the red.

Among turnover leaders were Square Pharma, Asiatic Laboratories, Dhaka Bank, City Bank, and Pragati Life Insurance, showing that major stocks continued to dominate trading activity despite the overall decline.

On the gainers' list, Nahee Aluminum rose 9.79%, followed by S Alam Cold Rolled Steels, National Bank, Bangladesh Building System, and Pragati Life Insurance.

However, losers far outnumbered gainers, with Union Capital down 8.33%, Premier Bank 8.19%, Jute Spinners 7.62%, IFIC Bank 7.46%, and Generation Next 7.14%.

Meanwhile, the Chittagong Stock Exchange PLC also closed lower. The CSCX index fell 62 points to 9,463, while the CASPI dropped 84 points to 15,429. Turnover at the port city bourse stood at Tk22 crore.

The government has begun the process to seek a deferral of the country’s scheduled graduation from the least developed country (LDC) club at the end of this year, newly appointed Commerce Minister Khandaker Abdul Muktadir said yesterday.

“The process has been initiated by the Ministry of Commerce, and in coordination with the Economic Relations Division (ERD), necessary communications and procedures will be expedited,” a commerce ministry statement said.

Business leaders had been urging the authorities to delay the graduation, prompting the new government to act swiftly.

“Although there was no obligation to send a letter in this regard within the first week, the government has started working on the issue from today [Wednesday],” the minister told journalists after assuming office at the Secretariat in Dhaka.

He said about 85 percent of the country’s export earnings still come from apparel. This overreliance has slowed export growth.

Stressing the need to broaden the export base, Muktadir said the government would support private sector investment to help open up new markets.

Asked about market conditions during Ramadan, Muktadir sought to reassure consumers. If supplies remain steady, he said, prices should stay stable.

“The government has sufficient stock of essential commodities for the month of Ramadan and the period afterwards, and there is more in the pipeline. Therefore, there is no reason to panic,” he added.

The minister acknowledged that prices of some goods tend to rise at the beginning of the month of fasting for Muslims, often because of a sudden spike in demand. However, he said such pressures usually do not last very long.

Responding to a question on whether the proximity of Ramadan to the new administration taking office posed a challenge, he said the month would be a major test. The government must meet public expectations and deliver.

On investment, the minister said uncertainty deters both foreign and domestic investors. A stable environment is essential. Investors commit capital only when they are confident of reasonable returns on their investment and labour.

Muktadir also pointed to demographic pressures. Around 20 to 22 lakh people enter the labour market each year. Weak investment over the past two to three years has added strain to the economy. Unless reversed quickly, he said, it could threaten jobs and growth.

State Minister for Commerce Md Shariful Alam and Commerce Secretary Mahbubur Rahman were also present.

Bangladesh Bank (BB) expects inflation, which has remained high in recent years, to ease in the coming months due to strong rice and winter vegetable harvests and declining global commodity prices.

In its quarterly report for July-September 2025, published yesterday, the central bank said it, along with other government agencies, has worked hard to control inflation and support lower-income groups.

Measures such as removing Letter of Credit (LC) margin requirements for rice, onions, dates, sugar, pulses, and edible oil imports, along with Trading Corporation of Bangladesh (TCB) truck sales, are expected to reduce prices of essential goods.

Favourable Aman rice and winter vegetable production, stable exchange rates, rising foreign reserves, and easing global commodity prices are also likely to help keep inflation in check.

The central bank is expected to gradually ease its tight monetary policy once inflation consistently falls.

The report said that inflationary pressures eased in the first quarter of the current fiscal year, mainly due to ongoing monetary tightening. However, the decline has been slow, and inflation remains above the target, meaning tight policies are likely to continue in the near term.

The 12-month average headline inflation rate fell from 10.03% in June 2025 to 9.45% in September 2025.

Regarding the banking sector, the report said the country’s banks remain under strain, as a sharp deterioration in asset quality -- not seen in decades -- hit profitability and weakened capital.

However, a rebound in deposit growth improved overall liquidity, and BB’s continued support for responsible borrowers, along with banks’ stronger recovery efforts, should help curb the rise of non-performing loans (NPLs).

On the external sector, Bangladesh faced pressure in the first quarter as the current account shifted from surplus to deficit. This was driven by a larger trade deficit and higher external payment obligations, including import costs and interest on external debt.

Strong remittance inflows partly offset the pressure. On the financial account, large net inflows came from foreign direct investment and medium- and long-term borrowing, while portfolio investment remained low.

Even though the overall balance of payments was positive for the quarter, gross official reserves fell slightly, mainly due to valuation effects and lower foreign liabilities of the central bank. Nevertheless, reserve levels remained comfortable, supporting exchange rate stability under the market-based system.