Gold prices climbed ‌to a nearly three-week high on Wednesday as markets reassessed near-term risks after US President Donald Trump agreed to suspend bombings and attacks on Iran for two weeks, easing fears of energy-driven inflation.

Spot gold ​was up 2.5 percent at $4,819.52 per ounce, as of 0726 GMT. Earlier in the session, ​bullion rose more than 3 percent to its highest level since March 19. US gold futures for June delivery gained 3.4 percent to $4,845.30.

Trump said Washington had agreed to a two-week ​pause in attacks and received what he described as a “workable” 10-point proposal from Iran as a basis for negotiations.

His comments ​followed earlier warnings that Tehran must reopen the Strait of Hormuz or risk US retaliation on its civilian infrastructure.

“People went into this session thinking that escalation was very likely, but the announcement of a two-week ​truce kind of upended that expectation and that was gold positive,” said Nicholas Frappell, ​global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery.

Iran’s Supreme Security Council said negotiations with the United States would begin ‌on ⁠April 10 in Islamabad after it submitted its proposal via Pakistan, adding that talks did not signal an end to the war.

Meanwhile, rising energy prices could fuel inflation and complicate central banks’ interest rates decision.

While gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation and uncertainty, its appeal tends to weaken ​in a high-interest-rate environment ​as it offers ⁠no yield.

Markets are now awaiting minutes of the Federal Reserve’s March meeting later in the day.

Gold, which began the year on a strong note, ​has fallen more than 8 percent since the Iran war erupted on ​February 28.

“This ⁠is a knee-jerk relief rally and it remains to be seen if Iran complies. For gold, the 200 day-moving-average at $4,930 and then $5,000 will be key hurdles. Similarly, $80-$81 is a important level for ⁠silver,” ​independent metals trader Tai Wong said.

Linde Bangladesh has announced a 100% cash dividend for the year 2025, maintaining a strong payout for shareholders despite a significant decline in profit compared to the previous year.

The decision was taken at a board meeting held on Wednesday (8 April) of the multinational industrial and medical gas producer, according to a price sensitive disclosure. The company has scheduled its annual general meeting for 10 June, while the record date has been fixed for 29 April.

For the year ended 2025, the company reported a net profit of Tk34 crore, with earnings per share (EPS) standing at Tk22.60. This marks a sharp drop from the previous year's EPS of Tk421.9, which had been exceptionally high due to a one-off gain.

The company clarified that its 2024 earnings were significantly boosted by income generated from the divestment of its hard goods business.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) today (8 April) kept its key interest rate unchanged, citing inflationary pressures driven by higher import costs following the recent West Asia conflict.

Announcing the first bi-monthly monetary policy of the fiscal year, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously decided to retain the repo rate at 5.3% while maintaining a neutral stance.

The decision comes after the six-week-long Middle East war disrupted global energy supplies, pushed up crude oil prices and triggered inflationary and fiscal pressures for import-dependent economies such as India, the world's third-largest energy consumer.

This is the first monetary policy review after the Indian government announced a fresh retail inflation target of 4% with a margin of 2% on either side for another five years ending March 2031.

The central bank's pause follows easing inflation, with the consumer price index (CPI)-based headline inflation falling to 3.2% in February, closer to its medium-term target.

Meanwhile, the Indian rupee has depreciated by more than 4% since the conflict began on 28 February.

The United Kingdom’s visiting trade envoy, Baroness Rosie Winterton of Doncaster, has called on Bangladesh to increase exports to her country utilising the Developing Countries Trading Scheme (DCTS), which offers duty-free access.

During a meeting with Commerce Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury at the Secretariat yesterday, she pointed to scope for increasing exports beyond ready-made garments, including processed foods, seafood, light engineering and leather goods.

She also encouraged Bangladesh to make use of approximately £2 billion in export credit facilities available under UK Export Finance for increased infrastructure and other investments, according to a commerce ministry press statement.

During the meeting, both sides agreed to reactivate the Bangladesh–UK Trade and Investment Dialogue, the statement adds.

The DCTS, which replaced the UK’s Generalised Scheme of Preferences, came into force on 19 June 2023. Under the scheme, the UK cuts tariffs, removes conditions and simplifies trading rules for 65 developing countries.

The scheme heavily benefits UK businesses and consumers by reducing the import cost of thousands of products from around the world. Importers enjoy zero percent import tariff on 99.8 percent of products from 47 eligible least developed countries (LDCs), including Bangladesh, under the scheme’s Comprehensive Preferences tier.

The UK has confirmed it will maintain duty-free access for Bangladeshi goods under DCTS even after Bangladesh graduates from LDC status.

During the meeting with the UK envoy, Minister Chowdhury said the government has been working to improve the investment climate, cut logistics costs and ease doing business.

He said Bangladesh is pursuing free trade agreements and economic partnership agreements with several countries and intends to deepen trade ties with the UK.

The UK is Bangladesh’s third-largest export destination after the United States and Germany.

In the last fiscal year 2024-25, Bangladesh exported $4.62 billion worth of goods to the European country, accounting for 9.57 percent of total exports, according to data from the Bangladesh High Commission in London.

The major exportable items include ready-made garments, frozen food, IT engineering, leather and jute goods, and bicycles, with knitwear and woven garments accounting for 90 percent of total exports.

Bangladesh’s economy may have expanded at a slower pace in March, primarily driven by the manufacturing sector’s first contraction after 18 consecutive months of growth, according to the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).

Bangladesh’s PMI declined by 2.2 points to 52.5 in March compared to the previous month, according to the report issued yesterday by the Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Dhaka (MCCI) and Policy Exchange Bangladesh (PEB).

The PMI is a forward-looking indicator used globally to gauge economic direction. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction.

“The March PMI readings point to moderate economic growth, largely driven by a manufacturing sector slowdown due to extended holidays and global demand uncertainties stemming from the Middle East crisis,” said M Masrur Reaz, chairman and CEO of PEB.

He added that the US-Israeli war on Iran has weakened economic momentum through heightened inflationary pressures and risks of supply disruptions, increasing the economy’s vulnerability.

A decline in new orders, exports, finished goods, imports, and employment fuelled the downturn in the manufacturing sector. However, factory output and input purchases continued to expand, and order backlogs returned to growth.

The construction sector remained in the downtrend for the second consecutive month, while the agriculture sector saw its seventh month of expansion, albeit at a slower pace.

Agriculture reported slower expansion in business activity and input costs. While order backlogs grew, the sector faced tightening in new business and employment.

Construction continued its decline, with new business and activity levels falling. While employment and order backlogs in the sector rebounded, input costs rose at a faster pace.

The services sector continued its momentum, recording its 18th consecutive month of expansion with slightly accelerated growth across new business, employment, and business activity.

Looking ahead, the future business index signals continued expansion across all key sectors, agriculture, manufacturing, construction, and services, reflecting sustained business optimism, the report said.

The MCCI and PEB began publishing the PMI in January last year. Initiated by the UK government, the index covers over 500 private sector firms.

An important objective of income tax policy is to strengthen long-term savings, enhance future financial security, and advance the social protection of taxpayers. In line with this objective, investments and donations in fourteen (14) specified sectors have been made eligible for tax rebate, subject to Section 78 of the Income Tax Act, 2023 and Part III of the Sixth Schedule.

Under the prevailing provisions, a resident normal person taxpayer and a non-resident Bangladeshi (NRB) normal person taxpayer may claim a tax rebate of up to 3% of total income against the tax payable in a tax year, provided the investment or donation meets the prescribed conditions, subject to an overall maximum eligible amount of Tk 1,000,000.

While this incentive is positive in principle, certain inconsistencies and implementation risks warrant a review of both the eligible investment limits and the investment-eligible sectors in the forthcoming national budget.

The tax rebate facility is intended to encourage responsible savings and long-term financial resilience. However, this objective can be undermined if the incentive structure does not sufficiently account for risk management and investor protection.

At present, there are explicit caps on investments in comparatively safer instruments such as government securities, DPS, and life insurance. For instance, investments up to Tk 500,000 in government securities, Tk 120,000 in DPS accounts, and up to 10% of the sum assured in life insurance are treated as eligible for tax rebate. These caps reflect an intent to direct incentives toward safer savings instruments, thereby keeping risk relatively controlled.

In contrast, there is no clearly defined tax-related cap for investment in the stock market under the tax rebate facility. This creates an evident policy imbalance: stricter limits apply to safer instruments, while comparatively higher-risk market participation may be incentivized without equivalent safeguards.

In practice, a segment of ordinary taxpayers enters the stock market primarily to maximize tax rebate benefits. Yet the knowledge, analytical capacity, access to timely information, and risk tolerance required for equity market participation vary significantly across taxpayers.

Consequently, uninformed or inadequately assessed investments increase the likelihood of capital loss, which may directly conflict with the stated objective of strengthening future security.

This contradiction is material. The tax rebate is not merely a mechanism of tax reduction; it is a policy instrument that influences taxpayer financial behavior. If the incentive structure unintentionally encourages participation in higher-risk instruments without appropriate protection measures, it may lead to adverse outcomes, reduced household savings, heightened financial stress, and weakened long-term security.

Recent market-related events have further affected investor confidence. Developments such as restructuring decisions in the financial sector, uncertainty regarding shareholder outcomes in certain institutional changes, and the closure of some finance companies have heightened perceived risk among general investors.

In an environment of reduced trust, ordinary investors are more likely to be influenced by short-term signals and informal information channels, and they often lack effective institutional protection during periods of market volatility.

Most importantly, taxpayers who invest in the stock market for the purpose of tax rebate currently lack a visible and effective risk mitigation or protection framework. A tax rebate does not safeguard invested capital if an issuer becomes insolvent or if the market experiences significant decline.

Therefore, a policy designed to promote future security may inadvertently expose ordinary taxpayers to capital loss, raising concerns regarding both the practicality and fairness of the incentive design.

In view of the above, it is submitted that the National Board of Revenue (NBR) may consider redefining the eligible investment limits and the scope and conditions of eligible sectors under the tax rebate facility in the forthcoming budget 2026-27.

Proposed policy measures:

Increase the investment tax rebate ceiling
Raising the ceiling from Tk 10 lakh to Tk 20 lakh signals a forward-looking, investor-friendly policy shift, encouraging greater participation in formal savings and long-term financial planning.

Rational enhancement of limits for safer savings instruments
Existing caps for safer instruments may be reviewed and rationally increased. For example, the maximum eligible investment limit may be raised to Tk 2,000,000 for government securities and Tk 360,000 for DPS accounts. Such adjustments would encourage secure savings behavior and reduce the incentive-driven shift toward higher-risk instruments.

Establish a protection framework for tax-rebate-eligible stock market investments
A defined protection mechanism should be introduced for the rebate-eligible portion of stock market investments. Coverage or compensation in qualifying events such as issuer insolvency may be considered. Without such a framework, encouraging ordinary taxpayers into higher-risk instruments raises concerns of equity and fairness.

Adopt a risk-adjusted incentive structure
A balanced policy is required so that taxpayers are not compelled to concentrate on risk-prone instruments to maximize rebate benefits. Incentives should reflect both risk and protective safeguards to align with broader objectives of social protection and long-term security.

Treat dividend withholding as final tax
To enhance compliance simplicity and transparency, tax deducted at source (TDS) on dividends may be considered as final tax settlement, subject to legislative alignment. This would reduce administrative complexity and provide certainty to taxpayers.

Implement an annual investment awareness campaign (January–March)
A structured national campaign should be undertaken annually to improve taxpayer understanding of investment options, risks, and informed decision-making. Improved awareness would support planned participation and contribute to meeting short-term financing needs through stable instruments.

The tax rebate facility is an important policy tool to promote savings, strengthen future security, and advance social protection. Accordingly, the design of eligible limits and sectors should incorporate risk awareness, protection measures, and a pragmatic incentive balance.

The proposed measures would support safer long-term savings among ordinary taxpayers, reduce undue risk-taking in equity markets driven primarily by tax incentives, and improve alignment between the incentive framework and its intended policy objectives.

The US-Israel war on Iran, before reaching a ceasefire agreement just yesterday, highlighted a longstanding vulnerability of Bangladesh – Bangladesh's only refinery, Eastern Refinery Limited (ERL), has not been significantly modernised or expanded in more than five decades.

This issue had also surfaced during the Russia-Ukraine war in 2022, when attempts to process Russian crude failed due to the refinery's outdated configuration. Despite that experience, little progress was made in upgrading its capacity.

As the Iran war disrupted supplies from the Middle East — the country's primary source of oil and gas imports, the state-run Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation (BPC) has started exploring crude options beyond Middle Eastern countries, while also seeking technical recommendations from Eastern Refinery on suitable crude specifications.

Since ERL cannot process all types of crude oil, the BPC is carefully assessing transport costs, compatibility and by-product impacts before moving ahead with imports from new sources.

Former caretaker government adviser and energy expert M Tamim said the Middle East remains the most cost-effective source due to proximity, but stressed that the planned second unit of ERL must include modern facilities capable of refining a wider range of crude types to ensure energy security during crises.

Search for alternatives intensifies

Apart from closing the Strait of Hormuz, the Middle East war also caused output cuts in the region's major energy facilities, resulting in force majeure by key suppliers for Bangladesh.

In March, shipments of crude oil from Saudi Arabia and Abu Dhabi – each carrying around 1 lakh tonnes – were cancelled. As a result, Bangladesh did not receive any crude consignments during the month. Authorities have since secured a replacement shipment from Saudi Arabia's Yanbu port for next month, though at a slightly higher cost of about $0.25 per barrel.

According to ERL officials, the refinery was originally designed to process Arabian Light crude from Saudi Arabia and Murban crude from the UAE. Heavier crude types, such as those from Russia, cannot be refined using the existing setup. With no blending facility in place, the refinery lacks flexibility to adapt to alternative sources.

To address this, ERL has analysed crude specifications from several countries – including Nigeria, Azerbaijan, Norway, Angola, and the UK – and submitted its findings to BPC. The corporation is now reviewing these options, considering both economic and technical feasibility.

BPC General Manager (Commercial and Operations) Muhammad Morshed Hossain Azad said work on alternative sourcing is ongoing, adding that maintaining a diversified supply line will be important even if the geopolitical situation stabilises.

Capacity constraints remain a major concern

Bangladesh imports between 65 lakh and 68 lakh tonnes of fuel annually, with crude oil accounting for about 15 lakh tonnes — all refined at ERL. The country also imports around 45 lakh tonnes of refined fuel, mainly diesel, from countries like India and China.

Despite rising demand, refining capacity has remained stagnant since independence. This has forced Bangladesh to rely heavily on costly refined fuel imports, increasing pressure on foreign currency reserves.

A long-delayed project to build ERL's second unit – which would double refining capacity to 30 lakh tonnes annually – has faced repeated setbacks. Although the project was first proposed in 2010 and approved in various forms over the years, it took more than a decade and a half to receive final approval.

The project, now estimated to cost around Tk31,000 crore, was approved by the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council (Ecnec) in December last year. Authorities are exploring financing options, including potential loans from external sources such as the Islamic Development Bank.

Officials say the new unit will be designed with greater flexibility to process a wider range of crude oil, addressing one of the key weaknesses of the current refinery.

Until then, Bangladesh remains exposed to global supply shocks — with limited capacity to adapt quickly when its primary fuel sources are disrupted.

A ceasefire in the Iran war will deliver badly-needed relief to economies battered by the world's worst ever energy crisis, but hopes the truce will quickly restore normal oil and gas flows from the Middle East are almost certainly misplaced.

US President Donald Trump on Tuesday agreed to a two-week ceasefire, conditional on Iran pausing its blockade ​of oil and gas shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway that typically handles about one-fifth of global oil trade. Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araqchi said Tehran ‌would halt counter-attacks and guarantee safe passage for vessels transiting the strait.

How quickly the ceasefire will take full effect, however, remains unclear. Iran launched further attacks on Israel and Gulf countries shortly after Trump's announcement, underscoring the fragility of the deal. The war, now in its sixth week, has claimed more than 5,000 lives across nearly a dozen countries and badly damaged vital regional infrastructure, including oil and gas facilities.

Financial markets nonetheless welcomed the news. Japan's benchmark Nikkei jumped 5% to a one‑month high, while ​Brent crude prices tumbled roughly 13% to around $95 a barrel by 0300 GMT, as traders priced in a near-term easing of supply risks.

QUICK RELIEF VALVE

A temporary halt in fighting and the reopening of ​Hormuz would allow Middle Eastern exporters to ship significant volumes of oil that have been trapped inside the Gulf since hostilities began, offering global energy markets some ⁠immediate relief.

Around 130 million barrels of crude oil and 46 million barrels of refined fuels are currently floating on roughly 200 tankers in the region, according to data from analytics firm Kpler. Another 1.3 million tonnes ​of liquefied natural gas are also stuck on vessels awaiting safe passage.

For Asia, which relies on the Middle East for 60% of its oil and 80% of gas imports, the disruption has been particularly severe. Several countries ​have been forced to curb industrial output and ration fuel supplies following the abrupt cut in deliveries. The release of these trapped volumes would therefore ease the most acute pressure on Asian economies and energy systems.

But clearing the backlog of cargoes is only part of the problem. Getting tankers out of the Gulf is one thing; persuading shipowners and charterers to send vessels back in is quite another.

The unprecedented blockade of Hormuz has caused severe disruption to global shipping markets by sharply reducing ​tanker availability, pushing freight rates to record highs. Many shipowners are likely to remain extremely cautious about re-entering the region during what is, at best, a shaky and time-limited ceasefire, fearing their vessels and crews could ​once again become trapped if hostilities resume.

That caution would in turn constrain any attempt to revive normal export flows.

OIL PRODUCTION TO LAG

Middle East oil exports via Hormuz collapsed by around 13 million barrels per day (bpd) in March, equivalent to ‌roughly 13% of ⁠global consumption, according to Kpler. While Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates managed to divert some shipments through alternative routes, the disruption forced regional producers to shut in an estimated 7.5 million bpd of output in March, including 2.8 million bpd in Iraq and 1.9 million bpd in Saudi Arabia, the world's largest exporter, according to US Energy Information Administration estimates.

As matters stand, much of that production is unlikely to come back quickly.

Restarting oilfields, especially at the scale found in the Middle East, is a complex, time-consuming process that can take weeks at best. National oil companies such as Saudi Aramco and the UAE's Adnoc are likely to hesitate before ​restoring output without greater clarity on the durability of ​the ceasefire.

Moreover, refineries, fields and export terminals damaged ⁠by missile and drone strikes will require months, and in some cases years, to repair. The region also faces a shortage of specialised equipment and skilled labour, which could further slow restoration efforts.

Crucially, without confidence that sufficient tankers will be available to load crude oil, diesel and jet fuel, producers will be reluctant to risk ​restarting fields and refineries only to find they cannot move the output.

LASTING SCARS

Were Washington and Tehran to agree on a permanent cessation of hostilities that ​led to the full reopening ⁠of Hormuz, oil and gas trade could eventually return to more normal operations. But even under that more optimistic scenario, the war is likely to leave lasting scars on global supply.

In the medium term, the oil market could remain 3 to 5 million bpd tighter over the next few years than pre-war expectations, due to damage to export infrastructure and the need to rebuild depleted inventories, according to Saul Kavonic, head of energy research at MST Marquee.

Unless the warring ⁠sides strike a ​firmer peace deal, the two‑week ceasefire now taking shape risks being little more than a short-term patch in what has become ​an unprecedented global energy crisis.

In a rare step in September last year, the Dhaka bourse published a list of 30 companies that had long been out of production. The move was meant to inject transparency into the market, check rumour-driven trading and warn investors chasing whispers rather than market fundamentals.

Instead, it had the opposite effect.

After the disclosure, share prices of 29 of those zombie firms, whose factories are padlocked, machines are gathering dust, and workers have long since left, surged. Some doubled. Others tripled.

Market analysts say allowing companies with no operational heartbeat to trade freely undermines confidence. For the sake of ordinary investors and the long-term health of the market, the regulator should move quickly to clean house.

The Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) says it is now preparing to delist companies with no realistic prospect of revival in phases.

But the obvious question is, why did the shares race ahead even though production has been halted for years?

Saiful Islam, president of the DSE Brokers Association of Bangladesh (DBA), said the answer lies in speculation. “Globally, there are always some investors who prefer to invest in penny stocks,” he said, referring to low-priced and highly speculative shares of small companies.

“There is a class of traders who are heavy risk takers and essentially enjoy gambling,” said Islam.

“They believe that if prices start to rise for any reason, the relatively low number of shares in these companies makes it easier to play in their favour,” he added.

DISCLOSURE TRIGGERS SURGE

After the disclosure by the DSE, shares of Familytex BD, Appollo Ispat and Tung Hai Knitting have more than tripled in the past three months, even though operations have been shut for years.

Other dormant firms have also seen sharp gains.

Hamid Fabrics, New Line Clothing, Nurani Dyeing and Shurwid Industries have more than doubled. Prime Textile rose 83 percent, while Meghna Pet Industries and Northern Jute climbed 69 percent each.

Meghna Pet Industries has been out of operation for 24 years. Its rally has left many analysts baffled.

“Why did this company’s stock rise to that extent?” asked Al Amin, an accounting professor at Dhaka University and a market analyst.

“Why did the company remain in the stock market for two decades despite having no operation, no dividend, nothing?” he questioned.

“These are surging absolutely due to manipulation and rumours by a vested interest group,” he added.

“By allowing trading of closed companies, the DSE and the BSEC [Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission] are basically allowing investors to burn their hands,” he further said.

Among the 30 companies, only GBB Power reported positive news, announcing that it had signed a power purchase contract with the Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) for the installation of an 18 MW solar power plant.

Of the other dormant firms, Zaheen Spinning Mills rose 63 percent, Emerald Oil gained 55 percent and Regent Textile advanced 52 percent.

Prof Al Amin said the DSE cannot avoid its responsibility simply by publishing the status of the companies, especially when the securities regulator operates surveillance software.

In his view, both DSE and the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) should dig deeper and suspend trading in such shares.

When asked whether suspension would hurt small investors, he said those who bought the shares should have had supporting information.

DBA President Islam also advocated for stronger action. The DSE’s responsibility, he said, does not end with labelling companies as non-operational.

He said investor protection is a core duty of the market regulator. If firms have remained dormant for years, the DSE could have suspended trading, summoned management, explored mergers or restructuring and engaged merchant banks to assess options.

AXE FINALLY LOOMS OVER THEM

Abul Kalam, spokesperson of the BSEC, said the regulator has placed the companies under surveillance. If it finds manipulation, insider dealing or regulatory breaches, it will act.

On whether the companies will continue trading despite years of closure, he said listing and delisting are fully in the hands of the stock exchange.

“Stock exchange can delist the companies complying with listing regulations; it is their task,” he added.

Mominul Islam, chairman of the DSE, said the exchange has asked the non-operational companies about plans to resume operations. Some have replied, others have not.

“A few cited political disruptions over the past decade as the reason for closure and said they are trying to reopen factories. The DSE will allow them time,” he told The Daily Star.

For the rest, the exchange will assess whether operations can realistically resume. If not, it will review assets and liabilities before making a decision. Some companies will be delisted gradually if there is no prospect of revival, he said.

The taka edged up against the US dollar yesterday, buoyed by a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran that eased pressure on the foreign exchange market.

The weighted average exchange rate stood at Tk 122.75 per dollar, down from Tk 122.84 the previous day, according to Bangladesh Bank (BB) data.

A senior treasury official at a private commercial bank said the market turned volatile in recent weeks as importers rushed to buy dollars amid fears of a prolonged war. That anxiety appears to have subsided following the ceasefire.

When importers scramble for forward buying, rates tend to climb. As tensions cool, demand for forward trading of US dollars is expected to ease, he said.

Forward buying means agreeing today to purchase dollars at a fixed rate on a future date. Forward trading refers to buying or selling dollars now at a pre-agreed rate for delivery later, usually to hedge against exchange rate swings.

In its Bangladesh Bank Quarterly published yesterday, the central bank, however, cautioned that the economy remains exposed to external oil price shocks and currency depreciation.

“A sharp increase in global oil prices, particularly when combined with exchange rate depreciation, could exert significant upward pressure on inflation and lead to a decline in foreign exchange reserves,” it said.

The BB report said that allowing some exchange rate flexibility could help ease pressure on reserves. At the same time, balancing fiscal costs and inflationary pressures may require a partial adjustment to global oil prices.

“Rising geopolitical tensions -- particularly the Iran-Israel-USA conflict -- have already disrupted global energy and food supply chains and may exert additional pressure on both the external balance and domestic inflation. These developments pose near-term risks to price stability, export demand, and import costs,” said the report.

Mirza Elias Uddin Ahmed, managing director of Jamuna Bank, told The Daily Star that Bangladesh’s external position has not fundamentally weakened, although panic driven demand had unsettled the market.

The country’s gross foreign exchange reserves stand at about $34.35 billion, which the central bank described as a strong buffer for external trade payments. Usable reserves were $29.81 billion on April 2, enough to cover more than five months of imports.

The BB report said the central bank has maintained monetary tightening in response to stubbornly high inflation.

“However, inflation remains above the comfort threshold, disproportionately affecting low- and middle-income households,” it said, adding that the government and the central bank have taken several steps to rein in price pressures.

The BB has withdrawn LC margin requirements for imports of essential commodities, including rice, onions, dates, sugar, pulses and edible oil, it added.

Alongside truck sales by the Trading Corporation of Bangladesh (TCB), relevant agencies are working to curb hoarding, syndication and other illegal practices to ease supply bottlenecks.

On money and credit markets, the report said the near-term outlook depends on striking a balance between maintaining adequate liquidity, containing inflation and reviving private sector credit growth.

It said that public sector credit is likely to remain the main driver of overall credit expansion in the short term, potentially crowding out private investment and complicating efforts to sustain growth.

“A recovery in private-sector credit will depend on further moderation of lending rates, improved investor confidence, and greater political stability,” said the BB.

Breaking a prolonged bearish spell since the onset of the Middle East conflict, Dhaka stocks rallied strongly today (8 April), with turnover and indices surging as investor sentiment rebounded after the United States and Iran agreed to a conditional two-week ceasefire.

US President Donald Trump said late on Tuesday that he had agreed to suspend attacks on Iran for two weeks after holding discussions with Pakistan, easing fears of an extended conflict.

The benchmark DSEX index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange jumped 3.12%, or 161 points, marking its highest single-day gain since 15 February.

Dhaka stocks extend rally as turnover jumps 27%

According to DSE data, stocks had rallied sharply on 15 February, the first trading session after the BNP's landslide victory in the 13th national election, when DSEX climbed 200 points, or 3.71%, amid a surge in investor participation.

Today, turnover – a key market indicator – surged 66% to Tk991 crore, the highest in seven weeks. Market breadth was overwhelmingly positive, with 93% or 367 of listed stocks advancing and 21 hitting the upper price limit.

The Shariah-based DSES index rose 2.88%, or 30 points, to 1,075, while the blue-chip DS30 index gained 2.77%, or 55 points, to close at 2,026.

Market data showed stocks opened sharply higher, with the DSEX rising 140 points within the first three minutes of trading. The upward momentum persisted throughout the session, closing at 5,317 points with a strong gain.

Following the outbreak of the US-Israel war on Iran on 28 February, the country's stock market entered a bearish phase, with most trading sessions ending in declines as persistent sell-offs eroded equity values amid fears of a prolonged conflict and its adverse economic impact.

Market insiders said investors had largely stayed on the sidelines in recent weeks due to prolonged uncertainty. The ceasefire announcement prompted a return of confidence, encouraging fresh inflows into equities.

They added that amid heavy sell-offs, many fundamentally strong stocks experienced significant value erosion. However, as the ceasefire reduced uncertainty, investor confidence improved, prompting a renewed flow of funds into the market.

EBL Securities, in its daily market commentary, said the capital bourse witnessed a strong resurgence as the announcement of a two-week ceasefire deal between Iran and the USA sparked optimism across the trading floor, triggering renewed accumulation of the beaten-down scrips in anticipation of improved market momentum amid easing geopolitical concerns.

"Market indices tracked a firm upward trajectory from the outset of the session with predominant buying interest, while investor participation strengthened steadily as the session progressed, driving broad-based price appreciation across most of the scrips," it added.

First Finance topped the gainers' list, with its shares rising 10% to close at Tk5.5 each – the maximum daily price increase – followed by ICB Islami Bank, which also gained 10% to Tk3.3, Bangas Limited up 10% to Tk134.2, BD Lamps up 9.96% to Tk157.8, and Khan Brothers PP Woven Bag Industries up 9.93% to Tk54.2.

Meanwhile, only 11 stocks declined. Techno Drugs led the losers, slipping 1.07% to Tk36.9 per share, followed by Apex Spinning Mills, Meghna PET Industries, Janata Insurance, and Summit Alliance Port.

On the sectoral front, pharmaceuticals and chemicals stocks accounted for the largest share of turnover at 15.6%, followed by engineering at 12.7% and banking at 12.6%. All sectors posted gains, with jute stocks exhibiting the most positive returns on the bourse.

The Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) also ended higher, with its Selective Categories Index (CSCX) and All Share Price Index (CASPI) rising by 192.5 points and 328.3 points, respectively.

Solar power is often discussed as a policy ambition in Bangladesh, one which has become more pertinent given the ongoing global energy uncertainty and price volatility.

Bangladesh’s energy security depends on how quickly renewable ambitions translate into real projects -- spearheaded by solar.

Developing around 5,000 Megawatt peak (MWp) of solar could require over Tk 35,000 crore in generation investment, excluding land and supporting infrastructure -- making bankable projects and investor confidence essential.

In Bangladesh, 1 MWp of solar capacity can generate roughly 1.4 million kilowatt-hour (kWh) annually, highlighting solar’s potential contribution to the national power supply.

International experience shows that countries can scale solar from negligible levels to 20–30 per cent of installed capacity within a decade or even faster when supported by clear policy frameworks, bankable procurement structures and coordinated infrastructure planning.

Despite repeated policy commitments and long-term energy planning, solar deployment in Bangladesh has remained limited -- and this is solely because of an incomplete implementation framework.

In several cases, projects were awarded without confirmed land access, grid interconnection or developers demonstrating the financial and technical capability required to deliver utility-scale projects.

As a result, many projects lacked the capacity to achieve financial closure or progress to construction within expected timeframes.

Solar prices are influenced by technology costs but, in Bangladesh, are primarily driven by financing conditions, land constraints, infrastructure requirements and project risks.

While concessional financing is available, the challenge is deploying it at scale. Lower financing costs require reducing project risk through bankable power purchase agreements (PPAs), strong payment security and credible project pipelines.

Institutions such as Infrastructure Development Company can play a role through blended finance and credit enhancement structures, particularly if scaled and aligned with utility-scale project requirements, while foreign exchange risk mitigation can help unlock international capital.

The transition toward competitive solar tenders represents an important step forward.

Competitive tariff auctions can deliver transparent price discovery, but only when projects are genuinely ready to build.

Poorly structured tenders can encourage aggressive bids that later prove unviable, leading to delays or cancellations.

Procurement frameworks must ensure that winning bidders have credible projects, secured sites and the capability to deliver.

Many of the challenges observed in past projects reflect gaps in readiness at the time of award.

Successful projects require key fundamentals from the outset. Developers should demonstrate secure land rights, confirm sites are dispute-free and obtain preliminary grid interconnection approval.

Financial capability should be supported by credible commitments from experienced institutions, with bid bonds and performance guarantees discouraging speculative participation.

Once a project is awarded, clear and enforceable timelines should govern each stage of development.

Power purchase and implementation agreements should be executed within three months of award, followed by financial closure withinsix months of PPA signing.

Construction should then be completed within 12–18 months, depending on project size and site conditions.

Delays at any stage should trigger defined penalties, including encashment of performance guarantees.

Without disciplined timelines, projects risk remaining in prolonged development phases without progressing to construction.

Establishing and enforcing such timelines ensures that projects move predictably from award to operation.

Land and grid access remain two of the biggest barriers to scaling solar in Bangladesh.

Utility-scale solar is inherently land intensive: every 1,000 MWp of ground-mounted capacity typically requires roughly 2,200–2,300 acres. In a densely populated country, securing suitable sites becomes a major challenge. The ‘solar park’ model offers a practical solution.

Under this approach, government agencies prepare land and supporting infrastructure such as roads, drainage and substations before leasing plots to private developers.

By addressing land and grid constraints upfront, solar parks can significantly reduce development risk, lower costs and accelerate project timelines.

Such models need not rely on upfront public funding; infrastructure costs can be recovered through land leases, developer charges or structured public–private partnerships.

In the absence of a coordinated solar park framework, transmission connectivity remains a major challenge.

Developers must construct transmission lines connecting the plant to the nearest substation at their own cost, often across considerable distances and through complex right-of-way approvals.

Once completed, these lines are transferred to the national grid operator during commissioning. This requirement can significantly increase costs and delay projects.

Targeted fiscal incentives can help accelerate investment during the early stages of solar expansion.

Policies such as tax holidays, reduced or zero import duties on solar modules, inverters and key balance-of-system components and accelerated depreciation for renewable energy assets can significantly lower capital costs.

Because much solar equipment is imported, such measures can materially improve project economics and support more competitive tariffs.

Solar expansion can also stimulate domestic industrial development and job creation.

Growing deployment creates opportunities for local manufacturing and engineering firms to participate in the renewable energy supply chain, particularly in mounting structures, electrical systems and installation services.

Over time, solar module assembly could also emerge as a viable domestic industry if deployment scales sufficiently.

Rooftop solar offers a fast-track pathway for expansion. Approximately 6,000 square metres of roof space can support around 1 MWp of solar capacity.

Large factory rooftops provide suitable space for distributed generation, while net metering and third-party PPAs can enable deployment without upfront investment.

As solar capacity grows, complementary technologies such as battery storage will help manage intermittency and support grid stability.

Bangladesh has both the demand and the opportunity to scale solar power rapidly. The challenge now is execution.

With the right implementation framework in place, Bangladesh can transform solar ambition into delivered capacity -- strengthening energy security, enabling domestic industry and high-skilled job creation and driving long-term economic growth.

Listed company MK Footwear has signed a finished shoes OEM manufacturing deal with Hong Kong-based Fundrich Global Co, Limited and a separate export agreement with China's Jinjiang Akia Sports Co Ltd, marking a strong push into global markets.

According to stock exchange disclosures, the board approved the OEM deal on 6 April, though it was signed earlier on 25 March.

Trial production under the Fundrich deal will begin on 3 May, with a target of 200,000 pairs during the April–June phase as the company prepares for full-scale operations. Subject to successful completion, both parties plan to sign a five-year agreement by 1 July to secure a steady export pipeline.

For 2026-27, MK Footwear targets sales of 2.7 million pairs and export earnings of $21.6 million – up 343% from 2024-25. It aims to raise annual capacity to 5 million pairs by March 2029, with projected export turnover of $40 million, or about Tk500 crore.

The board said the partnerships would improve capacity utilisation, strengthen exports, and create shareholder value, subject to execution and compliance with contract terms. The Dhaka Stock Exchange has sought a copy of the Fundrich agreement, which the company has yet to submit, drawing investor attention.

Separately, MK Footwear signed an export deal on 24 March with Jinjiang Akia Sports, which will place a minimum annual order of 1 million pairs, subject to agreed designs and specifications, with expected export revenue of $8-10 million a year. Dedicated production capacity will be allocated, with standard terms on quality, delivery, and payment.

The expansion comes amid improved financials. In FY2024-25, revenue stood at Tk78.79 crore, while net profit rose 116% to Tk8.76 crore, partly driven by Tk6.37 crore in gains from selling shares of Legacy Footwear acquired at a lower cost.

The company earlier declared a 12% cash dividend for shareholders other than sponsors and directors for the year ended 30 June 2025.

The Dhaka stock market continued its upward momentum today, buoyed by a sharp rise in turnover and improving investor sentiment.

The benchmark index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange, DSEX, advanced by 34 points to close at 5,156, extending gains from the previous session. The blue-chip DS30 index also rose, adding 16 points to settle at 1,971, reflecting strong buying interest in fundamentally sound stocks.

Market activity saw a significant boost, with turnover surging by 27% to Tk597 crore, signalling a return of liquidity and growing investor confidence. The majority of listed securities posted gains, with 275 issues closing higher, compared to 70 decliners and 48 remaining unchanged, underscoring the strength of the rally.

According to EBL Securities, the market maintained its upward trajectory as investors showed renewed interest in beaten-down stocks, taking advantage of attractive valuations following recent corrections.

The brokerage noted that sentiment was further supported by ongoing ceasefire discussions related to the Middle East war, which helped ease global uncertainties and encouraged investors to re-enter the market.

The session began on a cautious note, with investors engaging in selective buying amid lingering concerns. However, as the trading day progressed, buying interest intensified, driven by supportive domestic cues and improving confidence. This shift in sentiment led to more decisive accumulation of stocks, ultimately pushing the indices higher by the close of trading.

Sector-wise, the pharmaceutical sector dominated trading activity, accounting for 16.8% of the total turnover, followed by the engineering sector with 13.9% and the general insurance sector with 10.8%. The strong participation across sectors suggests that the rally was broad-based rather than concentrated in a few stocks.

Among the most actively traded stocks were Lovello Ice-cream, Acme Pesticides, Khan Brothers PP Woven Bag, Techno Drugs, and Asiatic Laboratories, reflecting heightened investor interest in both large and mid-cap companies.

Most sectors ended the day in positive territory, with notable gains seen in ceramic, paper, and textile stocks, which rose 2.7%, 2.1%, and 1.8%, respectively. The food sector was the only segment to close in negative territory, albeit marginally, indicating limited profit-taking in an otherwise bullish market.

Top-performing stocks of the day included Regent Textile and Familytex, both of which gained the maximum allowable limit, followed by Lovello Ice-cream, Atlas Bangladesh, and BD Autocars, all posting strong price appreciation. On the losing side, Al-Arafah Islami Bank led the declines, followed by Uttara Finance, Sunlife Insurance, Asiatic Laboratories, and Unilever Consumer Care.

Meanwhile, the port city bourse also ended the session in positive territory, although with minor adjustments. The Selective Categories' Index and the All Share Price Index of the Chittagong Stock Exchange saw slight declines, suggesting a mixed but stable performance outside the main Dhaka market.

The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) has approved City Bank’s subordinated bond worth Tk 1,200 crore.

In a press release yesterday, the regulator said the unsecured, non-convertible, fully paid-up, fully redeemable, and coupon-bearing bond had received the green light.

Subordinated debt is an unsecured loan or bond that ranks below senior loans or securities for claims on assets or earnings, according to Investopedia.

The bond’s coupon rate will be the reference rate plus a 3 percent margin. The reference rate is the average of the upper limit of six-month fixed deposits at private conventional banks, excluding shariah banks, foreign banks, and banks licensed after 2012.

City Bank will raise funds by issuing bonds to mutual funds, individual investors, corporates, banks, and other institutional investors through private placement. Each bond has a face value of Tk 10 lakh. The proceeds will be used to provide SME, corporate, and retail loans.

EBL Investments will act as the bond’s trustee, while City Bank Capital Resources and IDLC Investments will serve as arrangers.

The BSEC said the bond will be listed on the alternative trading board of the stock exchange.

In addition, the regulator approved the extension of approval letters for Jamuna Bank’s Tk 800 crore bond and Trust Bank’s Tk 500 crore bond. Both bonds are non-convertible, unsecured, fully redeemable, and carry a floating rate.

Following the banks’ applications, their tenures have been extended until September 30, 2026.

A conditional two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran has led to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, easing concerns over global energy supplies and pushing oil prices lower.

Brent crude fell 15.9% to $92.30 a barrel, while US-traded oil dropped 16.5% to $93.80 after the announcement. Prices remain above the roughly $70 per barrel level seen before the conflict began on 28 February, says the BBC.

Under the agreement, President Donald Trump said, "I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks... subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz."

Iran signalled conditional acceptance of the truce. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran would agree to a ceasefire "if attacks against Iran are halted," adding that safe passage through the waterway "will be possible."

Asian financial markets rose following the development, with Japan's Nikkei 225 gaining 4.5% and South Korea's Kospi jumping 5.5%.

The ceasefire follows weeks of disruption to global energy markets. The Philippines declared a national energy emergency on March 24 after petrol prices doubled, while migrant workers in India were forced to leave cities due to shortages of cooking gas.

Analysts said economic considerations may have played a role in the agreement. Xavier Smith of AlphaSense said Trump was likely wary of allowing energy prices to "skyrocket," risking a "self-inflicted economic wound."

Trump's rhetoric during the conflict also drew criticism. He had threatened that "a whole civilisation will die tonight" if a deal was not reached by his deadline, prompting concern from the United Nations. The UN chief was reported to be "deeply troubled" by the remarks.

While the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has provided short-term relief to markets, analysts said the events surrounding the ceasefire could have longer-term implications for perceptions of the United States globally.

Bangladesh Bank Governor Md Mostaqur Rahman has promised full protection to the members of the country’s shariah boards and urged them to work independently.

Recently, the BB governor met members of the newly formed Bangladesh Bank Shariah Advisory Board, representatives from almost all Islamic banks, prominent scholars, and academics to discuss the current state, challenges, and future reforms of Islamic banking in Bangladesh.

“You, the members of shariah boards, shall work independently; the central bank will provide you with full protection,” he said, referring to members of the shariah boards of Islamic banks of the country.

Rahman chaired the meeting at the central bank’s headquarters, which was also attended by the deputy governor responsible for Islamic banking regulation, executive directors, directors, and senior officials.

At the event, the governor acknowledged past money laundering incidents in Islamic banking, attributing them to weak oversight. He emphasised that Islamic banking, being asset-backed, should prevent such losses if shariah principles are properly applied.

Scholars at the meeting proposed several measures to strengthen shariah governance
He underscored that Islamic banks must operate free from political influence and focus solely on service.

Scholars at the meeting proposed several measures to strengthen shariah governance, including empowering shariah supervisory committees and secretariats to operate independently of banks’ boards.

Major investments would require approval from at least a three-member shariah subcommittee. They also recommended enacting a dedicated Islamic Banking Act, appointing a deputy governor and executive director for Islamic banking supervision, and setting mandatory shariah knowledge standards for bank executives.

To enhance transparency, proposals included annual external shariah audits, separate Core Banking Systems (CBS) for shariah-compliant operations, and a shariah governance framework with a compliance rating system modelled on Malaysia.

Scholars also suggested establishing a research centre and library on Islamic economics to position Bangladesh as a regional hub for Islamic finance studies.

Additional measures included providing liquidity support, introducing shariah-compliant money market instruments, and treating major money laundering and corruption cases as acts of treason with strict penalties.

Notable attendees included Prof Abu Bakr Rafique, Mufti Shahed Rahmani, Mohammad Manjure Elahi, and shariah representatives from Islami Bank Bangladesh, Al-Arafah Islami Bank, Standard Islami Bank, UCB, ICB Islamic Bank, Jamuna Bank, and ONE Bank.

Oil prices dived, bonds rallied and stocks surged on Wednesday after a two-week ceasefire in the Middle East spurred a relief rally as investors cheered the possible resumption of oil and gas flowing through the Strait of Hormuz.

US President Donald Trump said he agreed to suspend bombing and attacks on Iran for two weeks and that a long-term peace agreement was in progress.

Global markets have been rattled since the US and Israel attacked Iran at the end of February, leading Tehran to effectively close the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway used to transit one-fifth of the world's oil and gas.

US crude futures CLc1 fell around 16.5% to $94 a barrel, S&P 500 futures ESc1 leapt over 2% and the dollar fell broadly, having been the haven of choice for investors during the tumult.

"Markets have been predicting that Trump was looking for an off-ramp in Iran," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. "Today, he got one and took it."

Futures pointed to broad gains for Asia's stock markets, which have been beaten down by war and soaring energy prices, and 10-year US Treasury futures jumped about 15 ticks.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar AUD= rose 1.3% to above $0.7070 and the euro EUR=gained 0.76% to $1.1683. Cryptocurrencies also rose.

Trump had set a late Tuesday deadline for a deal with Iran to be reached, threatening to destroy every bridge and power plant in the country if Iran did not reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iran had said it would retaliate against US allies in the Gulf.

The six-week conflict has sent oil prices surging, stoked worries of inflation and upended the global rates outlook with countries and companies scrambling to adjust to the energy shock.

In commodities, gold prices XAU= rose over 2% to $4,812 per ounce. GOL/

The Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission (BERC) has once again raised the price of jet fuel used in aircraft operations, marking the third increase in less than a month.

The new rates were announced today (7 April) and is set to take effect from midnight tonight, reads a BERC notification.

Under the latest revision, the price of jet fuel for domestic flights has been increased to Tk227.08 per litre from Tk202.29 per litre, a rise of 12.26%.

For international flights, the fuel price has been raised to $1.4806 per litre from $1.3216 per litre, exempt from duties and VAT.

Earlier, on 24 March, BERC increased jet fuel prices by around 80% for domestic routes and nearly 79% for international routes in a single adjustment.

Prior to that, on 8 March, the price for domestic routes was revised from Tk95.12 per litre to Tk112.41, while international prices were raised from $0.62 to $0.7384 per litre.

Reacting to the latest hike, Novoair Managing Director Mofizur Rahman told The Business Standard that the 12% increase may appear modest in isolation, but the cumulative rise since February has been significant.

"Jet fuel prices for domestic routes were around Tk95 per litre in early February, later surging to over Tk200 – an increase of more than 100% in a short period. With the latest adjustment, the overall rise now stands at roughly 115%-116%. In that context, a 12% hike alone may not seem very significant, but the cumulative impact is substantial," he said.

He added that rising fuel costs are compounded by higher taxes. "In February, the tax component was around Tk18 per litre. Now it has increased to over Tk40 due to the higher base price," he said, noting the added pressure on airlines.

Referring to international practices, he said several countries have cut fuel taxes to cushion the impact of rising prices.

"India has significantly reduced fuel taxes, while Australia has cut them by around 50%. Such measures help airlines manage costs," he noted.

He stressed that without similar adjustments in Bangladesh, the rising cost structure could become unsustainable and would continue to push up airfares.

A decision to increase fuel prices from next month may be made following discussions at a cabinet meeting, the energy minister told parliament Tuesday, reassuring that Bangladesh holds adequate stock of fuels despite global crisis.Bangladesh stock alerts

Minister for Power, Energy and Mineral Resources Iqbal Hasan Mahmud Tuku made the statement in the House during question hour on the tenth day of the first session of the 13th National Parliament.

The session was chaired by Speaker Hafiz Uddin Ahmad.

The minister explains that there is a structured mechanism for adjusting fuel prices, which is reviewed on a monthly basis. "The final decision for the coming month will be determined at the cabinet level."

Economists and energy experts are of the view that a hike in fuel prices would have domino effect on people's living and the economy at large.

Highlighting global challenges, Tuku pointed to geopolitical instability over the Middle East and restrictions imposed by Iran on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which have disrupted global energy-supply chains.

"Despite these challenges," he emphasizes, "the government has ensured a steady supply of fuel from multiple sources."

Providing an update on current reserves, the minister said Bangladesh has 164,644 metric tonnes of diesel in stock, with an additional 138,000 tonnes expected to arrive by April 30. The country also holds 10,500 tons of octane and 16,000 tons of petrol, with further large shipments expected within this month.

Comparing regional trends, he notes that Pakistan has increased fuel prices by 50 percent, while Sri Lanka has introduced fuel rationing. India, Afghanistan and Nepal have also raised fuel prices. "In contrast, Bangladesh has so far kept prices stable to reduce the burden on citizens."

To support farmers during the irrigation season, the government has instructed district administrators to issue "agriculture cards" to ensure uninterrupted diesel supply.

On enforcement, the minister reaffirms government's 'zero-tolerance' policy against illegal hoarding and smuggling of fuels.

Between March 3 and April 4, authorities had conducted 342 operations nationwide, filing 2,456 cases. These drives resulted in 31 jail sentences, fines totaling Tk 12.539 million, and the recovery of approximately 4.048 million litres of fuels.

The minister also assures parliament that monitoring has been strengthened through the appointment of "tag officers" at filling stations and regular virtual meetings with district administrations.

Economists are, however, divided over the government plan to raise fuel prices from next month, arguing about a difficult tradeoff between fiscal constraints and the cost of living.

One group says the increase will disproportionately hit low- and lower-middle-income households, as higher fuel costs are likely to feed through into the prices of essential goods and services.

Rising transport and production costs could amplify inflationary pressures already felt by consumers, they alert.

Dr M. Masrur Reaz, chairman and chief executive Officer of Policy Exchange Bangladesh, says the impact would be broad-based.Bangladesh stock alerts

Higher fuel prices would raise labour and freight costs, feeding into the wider economy.

"Power and electricity costs will increase as a result of the adjustment, with multiple knock-on effects," he told The Financial Express.

He adds that irrigation and transport costs would rise sharply, placing an additional pressure on lower-income groups. Others argue that an adjustment is unavoidable, as such.