Private sector credit growth fell to 4.72 percent -- a record low -- in March, marking another month of slowdown.

The downturn in loan flow was recorded at a time when Bangladesh elected a new government for five years after the general election, which many thought would bring an end to the dry spell in private investment.

The latest data has dampened those expectations. Rather, it has raised questions about what has gone wrong.

The obvious answer is the US-Israel war on Iran and the consequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key maritime chokepoint, by Iran and its ripple effects on the global economy. Oil prices, as well as gas, fertiliser and various other commodity prices jumped, unnerving investors.

Many investors who planned to make a fresh start after the election held back amid an uncertain global economic environment, risks of imported inflation and worries over the war fallout on Bangladesh’s economy, a net import-dependent country.

“None invests under such an unstable environment,” said Taskeen Ahmed, president of the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

The record-low credit growth, he said, reflects that investors are “downbeat” because of the economic pressure since the Covid-19 pandemic. The Russia-Ukraine war, worsening energy crisis, persistent inflation and rising interest on bank loans were some of the challenges they faced over the last few years.

The war has added a fresh concern for entrepreneurs. So, this low credit growth is a culmination of all these factors, Ahmed said.

Sohail R K Hussain, Managing Director of Bank Asia PLC, said many investment decisions have been deferred as investors fear that the local currency may be devalued further, since several countries have devalued their currencies against the US dollar amid global uncertainty.

He added that during the last seven to eight years of the Awami League-led government, there was excessive lending to some large borrowers; as a result, the market is now correcting, and demand has weakened.

Mir Nasir Hossain, former president of the Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry, said the slowing credit flow is bad for investment and employment.

One main factor is soaring interest rates, which has made borrowing costly not only for fresh loans but also for existing loans. Banks are also reluctant to extend commercial loans. Many make hefty profits by investing in government bonds for secure returns.

For Hossain, the latest private credit growth data is an ominous sign. “It is really very concerning.”

Abdur Razzaque, chairman of Research and Policy Integration for Development, echoed similar concerns. To him, the exceptionally weak private sector credit growth is a critical warning sign of a deeper private investment crisis.

“It reflects a unique situation in which firms are reluctant to expand, banks are increasingly constrained or unwilling to take credit risks, borrowing costs remain high, public borrowing is absorbing financial space, and uncertainty over energy, inflation, external conditions and the exchange rate continues to weigh on business decisions.”

A number of factors -- rising non-performing loans, provisioning pressure, undercapitalisation, fragile depositor confidence and liquidity constraints -- have weakened banks’ capacity to lend, while uncertainty over borrower quality has reduced their willingness to extend fresh credit.

“In effect, the banking system is becoming more defensive. It is protecting its balance sheets rather than supporting new investment.”

Razzaque said the overall situation is quite unusual as Bangladesh is facing both weakened demand for credit and a lacklustre supply response from the banking system.

“This combination risks pushing the economy into a low-equilibrium trap: firms are not investing because confidence is weak, banks are not lending because risks are high, production remains subdued because investment and imports are compressed, and slow activity then further weakens the case for new lending. Breaking this cycle will require more than marginal changes in credit targets.”

However, Md Ezazul Islam, director general of Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management, said credit demand will pick up from April to May as political stability returns. “It seems that the sluggish phase has bottomed out,” he said.

However, Razzaque said the recovery of private sector credit growth will remain difficult unless the government recognises the wider consequences of excessive borrowing from the banking system.

“When public borrowing offers banks a safer and easier return, private enterprises are pushed further to the margins. Restoring credit growth, therefore, requires not only lower inflation and a more stable exchange-rate environment, but also credible banking-sector repair, disciplined public borrowing, improved confidence, and a clear policy signal that productive private investment will again be treated as the central engine of growth.”

He said the government and the central bank should increase lending to the small and medium enterprise (SME) sector at low interest rates under refinance schemes.

He also said ongoing legal reforms could help improve the investment climate further.

The National Board of Revenue (NBR) is on course to miss its annual revenue target for the current fiscal year, extending its run of shortfalls to a tenth straight year.

Revenue officials blame the shortfall on a slowing economy, ambitious targets and inefficient collection.

In the first 10 months of fiscal year 2025-26, the tax authority collected Tk 3.27 lakh crore, falling Tk 1.04 lakh crore short of the July-April target, according to provisional revenue data released yesterday.

To avoid another shortfall, the NBR would have to collect Tk 2.27 lakh crore in the remaining two months, a goal officials describe as a “herculean task”.

Economists too say that is unrealistic. Collecting nearly half of the full-year target in the final two months would require an unprecedented surge.

“The NBR is set to miss its target this year,” said Towfiqul Islam Khan, additional director (research) at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD). “This will significantly constrain the government’s fiscal space.”

Measured against the original annual targets, the situation looks worse. By that yardstick, the NBR has failed to meet its goal for 14 consecutive years.

As revenues fall short, the government is leaning more heavily on borrowing.

In the July-February period of FY26, net deficit financing rose 67 percent year-on-year to Tk 1.05 lakh crore, up from Tk 63,040 crore in the same period last year. Of that, Tk 88,309 crore came from the banking system, according to Bangladesh Bank data.

Despite the shortfall, the government has set a revenue target of Tk 6.95 lakh crore for the next fiscal year, covering both tax and non-tax income. That implies growth of at least 42 percent over the revised FY26 target.

CPD Additional Director Khan called it a “near-impossible revenue challenge”.

“No historical benchmark supports this,” he said, noting that even the most optimistic compound annual growth rate between FY01 and FY19 was 15.6 percent and would still leave a Tk 1.3 lakh crore shortfall.

“For FY27, the budget deficit and the government’s financing capacity are more likely to become the main anchors of public financial management, rather than expenditure ambitions alone,” he added.

He said much of the country’s foreign borrowing is tied to the Annual Development Programme (ADP), leaving limited flexibility in public spending.

“At the margin, the government’s ability to mobilise domestic revenue will determine the extent of total public expenditure in FY27,” he added.

Last month, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury told parliament that the tax-to-GDP ratio has dropped from about 11 percent to below 7 percent.

The fallout from the US-Israel war on Iran has added pressure to state finances, as the government has been forced to buy fuel at elevated prices. Bangladesh imports about 95 percent of its energy, and state agencies have increasingly turned to the volatile spot market.

“The mounting costs are bleeding the exchequer,” the minister said on the sidelines of the IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington last month, citing nearly $2 billion in additional energy import costs following supply disruptions.

“On top of that, the tax-to-GDP (ratio) is not increasing because of business stress; the businesses are in bad shape,” he said, adding that if businesses do not recover, tax receipts will not improve.

He said the government has sought budget support from development partners and is pursuing structural reforms. It has prepared an action plan aimed at building a trillion-dollar economy by 2034, centred on investment, jobs and macroeconomic stability.

INCOME TAX GROWTH OUTPACES VAT

In the July-April period, income tax recorded the strongest growth among major revenue heads. Collections rose 11.59 percent year-on-year to Tk 1.09 lakh crore, accounting for 33.5 percent of the total.

Value-added tax (VAT) remained the largest single source of revenue, contributing 38 percent of the total. Receipts increased 11 percent to Tk 1.26 lakh crore.

Revenue from import duties and supplementary taxes grew more slowly, rising 8.87 percent to Tk 90,762 crore.

In April alone, VAT collection contracted by 3.17 percent year-on-year. Facing mounting pressure, the NBR is considering structural changes for the next fiscal year.

A senior revenue official said yesterday that the board is proposing several fiscal measures in the upcoming budget to expand the tax base.

It is also weighing steps to strengthen collection, including reintroducing a wealth tax, raising rates for the ultra-rich and rationalising existing exemptions.

“We will also strengthen enforcement to curb tax evasion and gradually reduce existing tax exemptions, aiming to raise revenue collections,” he said.

The NBR also plans to raise the top marginal income tax rate for ultra-rich individuals from 30 percent to 35 percent, with the measure tentatively scheduled for FY28.

Fewer than 3 percent of manufacturing units in Bangladesh use computers or information technology (IT) in their production work, according to the latest Economic Census 2024.

The census shows that only 2.44 percent of 11.19 lakh manufacturing units in the country use computers or IT in the production processes.

Use varies by type of establishment. Among permanent units, 4.74 percent use computers in production. The rate falls to 1.36 percent for temporary units and just 0.80 percent for economic households.

There are also wide regional differences. Dhaka division records the highest rate of ICT use in production at 5.65 percent, while Barishal division has the lowest at 1.14 percent.

According to sector-wise data, 9.06 percent of establishments in electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply use computers in production. In construction, the rate is the lowest at 0.92 percent.

Across industrial units as a whole, the rate stands at 2.41 percent.

There are also wide regional differences. Dhaka division records the highest rate of ICT use in production at 5.65 percent, while Barishal division has the lowest at 1.14 percent.
Location also matters for computer use by businesses. In urban areas, 4.03 percent of businesses use computers in production, while the rate drops to 1.60 percent in rural areas.

The figures come after years of Digital Bangladesh campaigns by the previous Awami League government. Yet technology use in productive work remains limited, especially outside large cities.

The contrast is stark because manufacturing contributes about 21.9 percent to GDP. Even so, most factories and business units still depend on manual processes.

A 2021 World Bank study found that more than 40 percent of firms in Bangladesh still use handwritten records for business administration. Nearly three-quarters carry out quality checks by hand. The report said that the country risks losing competitiveness unless firms adopt better technology and raise productivity.

Over the past decade, internet access has expanded quickly in the country. Bangladesh now has more than 130 million internet subscribers.

In fiscal year 2024-25, 53.4 percent of the population was online, according to the latest survey by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). That still leaves nearly half the population without internet access.

Experts say wider connectivity has not led to greater use of technology inside factories, workshops and small businesses. According to them, access to the internet alone does not improve productivity.

Other countries in the region have moved faster. Vietnam and India have introduced more automation, software systems and digital supply tools in manufacturing. This has helped them attract higher-value investment.

Fahim Mashroor, founder and CEO of BDjobs.com and former president of Bangladesh Association of Software and Information Services (Basis), said Bangladesh should now focus less on expanding access and more on using technology effectively in production, logistics and business management.

Greater use of software and digital systems could reduce productivity losses across industries, he said.

“We have a large number of SMEs in the country, but technology adoption remains concentrated among bigger firms,” he said. “The more businesses become mechanised, computerised and automated, the more productivity will improve.”

He said wider use of ICT is essential if Bangladesh is to remain competitive in global markets.

“Without wider adoption of digital tools in businesses, particularly among small and rural enterprises, Bangladesh may struggle to improve productivity,” he added.

The government is likely to reintroduce a provision allowing the legalisation of undisclosed income through investment in selected sectors in the national budget for the next fiscal year.

The proposed amnesty scheme will include disclosure conditions, a finance ministry official said yesterday.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, the official said taxpayers may be allowed to regularise undisclosed funds by investing in designated sectors, provided they declare the actual transaction value in income tax returns filed by both buyers and sellers.

“Taxpayers can legalise their income by paying their regular rate in any assessment year in certain sectors, without any concessional treatment,” said the finance ministry official.

The Awami League government previously allowed taxpayers to legalise undisclosed assets by paying a flat 15 percent tax rate. Under that arrangement, individuals could declare previously undisclosed money in any assessment year by paying the specified rate, after which no government agency would question the source of the income.

But the proposed provision this time will introduce changes to that approach, said the official.

According to him, taxpayers will not be offered a single flat rate for regularising undisclosed income. Instead, in cases involving such undeclared gains, both buyers and sellers will be required to adjust their declared income and reflect the actual transaction values in their tax returns.

He added that structural inefficiencies in parts of the economy often lead to portions of income or capital gains remaining undeclared, and the government wants to provide an opportunity to adjust such income to encourage productive investment.

He also said the prime minister has, in principle, approved the proposal on May 14, with the expectation that it could help accelerate investment flows.

The official argued that the measure is intended to broaden the tax base and formalise informal capital, rather than offer a blanket waiver or reduced tax rate, as seen in previous amnesty schemes.

The move comes amid ongoing debate in policy circles over how to address large volumes of undisclosed income generated through property transactions, especially in land, flats and commercial real estate, where significant gaps often exist between market prices and declared deed values.

However, the proposal has already drawn criticism from economists and tax experts, who say repeated regularisation windows risk weakening compliance and discouraging honest taxpayers.

National Board of Revenue (NBR) Chairman Md Abdur Rahman Khan recently reiterated that the tax administration is moving away from concessional whitening schemes that allowed undeclared income to be legalised at reduced rates.

“We want to say that anyone can disclose undisclosed income in their tax records by paying taxes according to the existing rates. In fact, we would welcome that,” he said during a pre-budget discussion.

Criticising past practices, he added that successive amnesty schemes over the past five decades had “ultimately backfired”, as they discouraged compliant taxpayers and distorted tax culture.

“We want to move away from this culture,” he said, adding that individuals who evaded taxes in the past should not be incentivised with lower rates.

“At the very least, you must pay the regular tax,” he said.

A candid admission comes from the finance minister that many well-established companies are facing acute capital shortages, in a crunch he attributes to lack of "fair competition" and governance gaps.
FE

"Many big companies and banks are in serious capital shortage," Finance and Planning Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said Wednesday while speaking as chief guest at the inaugural session of the first-ever Financial Accounting and Reporting (FAR) Summit held at a city hotel.

The summit was jointly organised by the Financial Reporting Council (FRC), the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Bangladesh (ICAB) and the Institute of Cost and Management Accountants of Bangladesh (ICMAB).

Turning to the predicament of banking sector, the finance minister said the current financial strain reflected deeper structural weaknesses, including distorted lending practices within banks.Bangladesh economic report

"Depositors keep money in banks, and loan approvals were often influenced by board-level decisions," he points out, adding that auditors should adopt stronger "self-regulation" to ensure transparency.

He stresses full transparency and accountability for restoring investor confidence and achieving long-term economic stability in the country.

"Bangladesh is now at a crossroads and all depend on the institutions," the finance minister implicitly reminds about the transition following political upheavals.

Mr. Chowdhury notes that the Financial Reporting Council would continue to exist but should focus on supervision and monitoring rather than direct enforcement alone.

"Every day, fund managers are contacting us-from Hong Kong, London, even JPMorgan. But if foreign investors see that our accounting is not up to international standards, they will be discouraged," he told the meet.

The minister also recalls delegating authority for issuing export-utilisation certificates to Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA) during his tenure as commerce minister in a previous BNP government, and says the move had improved governance after earlier allegations of corruption at the Export Promotion Bureau.Financial literacy course

He strongly feels that Bangladesh needs a financial system built on institutional integrity.

"The current government wants a system of complete transparency and accountability."

The new custodian of exchequer alerts that Bangladesh's economic future depends on institutions such as FRC, ICAB and ICMAB. "No regulator can identify every mistake daily. Accountants and professional bodies must take the lead in self-regulation."

Mentioning that institutions have weakened over time due to past "governance failures", the minister alleges that financial irregularities and bank fund diversions were often linked to misleading accounts.

"Many companies listed on the capital market used false information. Investors were misled," he deplores.

Prime Minister's Finance and Planning Adviser Prof Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir, speaking as special guest, said weak auditing practices had contributed to financial-sector instability.

"In many cases, audit firms have become their own judges," he said through online platform, adding that regulatory gaps had deepened banking-sector vulnerabilities.Economic trend analysis

He says investors had suffered significant losses due to misleading financial statements, while banks had extended large loans based on inaccurate reports that later turned into defaults.

BGMEA President Mahmud Hasan Khan told the meet that out of 7,200 registered member-organisations only around 2,500 were now active, largely due to poor accounting practices.

"Inflated accounts can destroy organisations," he notes, adding that discrepancies between assets and liabilities were a common concern in the sector.

He also warns that lack of transparent accounting discouraged foreign buyers and reduced competitiveness in export markets. Chairman of FRC Md Sajjad Hossain Bhuiyan presented the keynote paper, titled 'Reliable Financial Reporting: Where Does It Really Matter?'

Finance Secretary Dr Khairuzzaman Mozumder chaired the inaugural session. ICAB acting president Rokunuzzaman and ICMAB president Kauser Alam also spoke at the event.

The summit featured two technical sessions attended by CFOs, auditors and policymakers from leading institutions.

Major banking scandals, market manipulation, and financial misreporting have created severe capital shortages in banks and the private sector, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said yesterday.

Addressing the “Financial Accounting and Reporting (FAR) Summit 2026” as chief guest at the Pan Pacific Sonargaon Dhaka, he said financial discipline in the banking and capital market sectors has not been restored despite repeated scandals.

He alleged several companies entered the stock market using false representations, which has discouraged strong firms from getting listed and weakened fair competition and price discovery.

Khosru, also the planning minister, said economic management institutions in Bangladesh have become increasingly ineffective, with accountability and monitoring systems failing to function properly.

He noted that regulatory bodies, including the Financial Reporting Council (FRC), play a vital role in ensuring transparency in corporate reporting, but said the overall governance ecosystem has weakened since the council’s establishment in 2015.

He warned against a culture of shareholders treating banks as personal property, despite banks operating mainly with depositors’ funds.

He stressed the need for a transparent and accountable financial system where regulators, institutions, and professional bodies properly discharge their responsibilities.

Referring to the self-regulation model of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA) in issuing exporters’ utilisation certificates, he said similar accountability mechanisms are needed in accounting, auditing, and financial reporting.

The minister said Bangladesh is attracting strong interest from international investors and global fund managers, particularly in bonds and other instruments.

However, he said such investment depends on confidence in the country’s financial reporting, auditing, and governance systems.

He urged regulators and stakeholders to work together to establish global-standard practices and restore investor trust.

Virtually addressing the event, Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir, finance and planning adviser to the prime minister, said past failures in auditing and financial oversight were driven by weak standards, lack of accountability, and conflicts of interest, where audit firms effectively acted as their own regulators.

He said unreliable financial reporting, manipulated valuations, and weak regulation had pushed the banking and capital market sectors into crisis, resulting in loan defaults, instability, and repeated scams.

He added that thousands of small investors lost money due to misleading financial statements of listed companies, while honest entrepreneurs were disadvantaged as dishonest firms attracted investment by showing inflated profits.

He called for stronger regulation, greater independence and authority for the FRC, stricter punishment for fraudulent reporting, and adoption of international standards to restore investor confidence and strengthen economic governance.

Mahmud Hasan Khan Babu, president of BGMEA, said audit reports often failed to reflect the true condition of banks despite serious sectoral weaknesses.

He said asset quality reviews later exposed multiple irregularities, highlighting major gaps in financial reporting accuracy.

He added that poor reporting led to loans being granted to unqualified borrowers, while viable businesses struggled to obtain financing.

He also noted inconsistencies where companies showed strong financial positions to banks but reported losses to tax authorities, creating challenges in tax compliance and loan recovery.

Md Sajjad Hossain Bhuiyan, chairman of the FRC, presented the keynote paper at the event. The inaugural session was chaired by Md Khairuzzaman Mozumder, secretary of the finance division.

The summit was jointly organised by the FRC, the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Bangladesh, and the Institute of Cost and Management Accountants of Bangladesh.

The government announced Tk 20 crore in incentives for cotton farmers for the 2026–27 financial year, aiming to boost local cotton production and support marginal farmers across the country, said the Cotton Development Board officials.

The CDB officials said that about 25,000 farmers of 26 districts would receive seeds, fertilisers and pesticides for cultivating cotton as an intercrop on one bigha of land.

Md Rezaul Amin, executive director of the CDB, told New Age that under the program, each farmer would receive agricultural inputs worth Tk 8,000, including seeds, fertilizers, and pesticides.

‘The inputs would include 600 grams of hybrid cotton seed, 50 kilograms each of triple super phosphate and Muriate of Potash two kilograms of boron fertiliser, 450 millilitres of fungicide and 150 millilitres of growth regulator,’ he added.

According to the CDB, cotton cultivation has become highly profitable for farmers, as the production cost of cultivating cotton on one bigha of land is around Tk 15,000, while a farmer can earn nearly Tk 60,000 by producing 15 maunds of raw cotton.

Moreover, local cotton production would also help save foreign currency as every kilogram of domestically produced cotton reduces government import costs by around $4 per kilogram.

As the world’s second-largest exporter of readymade garments, Bangladesh imported 8.1 million bales of cotton from its global sources 2025, making it the highest importer of cotton, said the United States Department of Agriculture.

Due to weaker global demand, cotton imports might slightly decline in the 2025-26 marketing year, to 7.8 million bales.
The USDA, however, projected that imports might reach 8 million bales in MY2026-27 in its recently published report.

Meanwhile, despite being a big player in the RMG export, the domestic production of cotton remained negligible, about 153,000 bales of cotton produced on 45,000 hectares of land, which accounted for less than 2 per cent of its total consumption.

CDB executive director Rezaul Amin said the government incentives would encourage more farmers to grow cotton, which could help reduce dependence on cotton imports.

He also said that the increase in cotton production through government incentives might discourage farmers from cultivating tobacco, one of the most harmful crops.

Earlier, on May 15 of 2025, the Ministry of Agriculture issued a notification announcing raw cotton as an agricultural product.

The decision came following a meeting of the council of advisers of the then-interim government on May 6 of the same year, which approved a proposal to recognize raw cotton as an agricultural product.

Due to the recognisition, it would be easy to get agricultural loans, which could encourage cotton production in the country, would be an advantage for the country.

According to the CDB, the incentive beneficiaries would include 6,200 farmers in Kushtia zone, 5,500 in Chuadanga zone, 3,200 in Jenaidah zone, 3,000 in Jeshore zone, 2,000 in Rajshahi zone, 1,200 in Bogura zone, 1,200 in Mymensingh zone, 680 in Rangpur zone, 500 in Thakurgaon zone, and 380 farmers each in Dhaka, Bandarban, Rangamati, and Khagrachari zones.

The Ministry of Agriculture would release the funds to the deputy commissioners of the respective districts. The Department of Agriculture, CDB officials, and the upazila administration would monitor the incentives,’ said Rezaul Amin.

M Gazi Golam Mortuza, an expert at the CDB, told a news agency that the incentive is being provided for the third consecutive time to increase cotton production and provide financial support to poor and marginal farmers.

Earlier, the government allocated Tk 9.90 crore for 12,375 farmers in 2023-24 and Tk 16.88 crore for 21,100 farmers in 2025-26 under similar incentive schemes.

According to the CDB, cotton sowing usually begins in mid-June and harvesting continues until December.

Cotton cultivation also contributes positively to soil health, as the repeated cultivation of the same crops on the same land might degrade soil fertility, whereas cotton cultivation could help improve soil conditions, said the CDB official.

CDB said the introduction of genetically modified cotton varieties has also played a significant role in increasing yields and reducing import dependency.

Oil prices lost about 1 percent on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump again ‌asserted that the Iran warwill end “very quickly”, though investors remain wary about the outcome of peace talks as disruption to Middle Eastern supply continues.

Brent crude futures fell $1.52, or 1.4 percent, to $109.76 a barrel by 0831 GMT and US West Texas Intermediate futures ​were down $1.36, or 1.3 percent, at $102.79.

“Prices are likely to still exhibit some upside potential even if ​a deal is concluded, given that supply will likely not return to pre-war levels ⁠immediately,” said LSEG research analyst Emril Jamil.

Similarly, PVM analysts said global oil stocks could reach critically low ​levels. “Yet, as observed lately, market players are comparatively nonchalant (or complacent) about what the conflict might bring,” PVM said.

The premium on ‌Brent ⁠contracts for delivery next month over contracts for delivery in six months - an indicator of traders’ views of current supply tightness - is around $21 a barrel, way below last month’s highs above $35.

Two supertankers left the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday while another makes its way out after waiting for more than two months with 6 ​million barrels of Middle ​Eastern crude oil on ⁠board. The number of vessels crossing the strait remains well below the 130 or so ships that crossed daily before the war.

To make up the supply ​shortfall, countries are relying on commercial and strategic inventories.

In the US, crude oil ​inventories fell for a ⁠fifth straight week last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute data. Fuel stocks also fell.

US crude stockpiles reported by the Energy Information Administration are expected to have fallen by about 3.4 million barrels, ⁠a Reuters ​poll showed. The weekly EIA data is due at 1430 ​GMT.

In another sign of the increasing supply crunch, Britain has watered down sanctions to allow imports of diesel and jet fuel refined abroad ​from Russian crude.

Responding to Middle East crises and rising oil prices, the United Nations on Tuesday lowered its forecast for global economic growth and raised the prospects for inflation this year.

UN economists said global GDP growth is now forecast at 2.5% for 2026, down from 2.7% in January, and they said it could fall to only 2.1% "in a more adverse scenario.

That would be one of the weakest growth rates this century, outside of the COVID-19 pandemic and the global financial crisis of 2008, Shantanu Mukherjee, director of economic analysis in the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, said at a news conference.

On a somewhat positive note, he said, "we are not close" to a recession, but life can get harder for billions of people, and some countries may see their economies contract.

Global inflation is projected to rise to 3.9% this year, 0.8% higher than forecast in January, before the US and Israel launched airstrikes on Iran. Iran responded by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for shipments of oil, natural gas, fertiliser, and other petroleum products.

"Increased energy prices are a potent factor, as are the prices of refinery products that are crucial to industrial production and commercial transport," Mukherjee said.

But he stressed that not all countries will experience the same rate of inflation.

In richer developed countries, inflation is projected to rise from 2.6% in 2025 to 2.9% in 2026. In developing countries, inflation is forecast to accelerate from 4.2% to 5.2% as higher costs for energy, transportation and imported goods erode real incomes.

The impact of the Iran war has been highly uneven, with the most severe economic damage concentrated in West Asia, a region comprised of 21 Arab countries, including those in the Persian Gulf, according to the World Economic Situation and Prospects report for mid-2026.

Economic growth in the region is projected to plunge from 3.6% in 2025 to 1.4% in 2026, "driven not only by the energy shock but also by direct infrastructure damage and severe disruptions to oil production, trade and tourism."

In Africa, average growth is projected to drop only slightly, from 4.2% last year to 3.9% this year, according to the report. And in Latin America and the Caribbean, it is forecast to slow from 2.5% to 2.3% in 2026.

In the United States, the economy is expected to remain "comparatively resilient" with 2% growth forecast this year, broadly similar to 2025, it said.

By contract, Europe "is more exposed, with heavy reliance on imported energy straining households and businesses," the economists said. Economic growth in the European Union is expected to slow from 1.5% in 2025 to 1.1% in 2026, while growth in the United Kingdom is forecast to drop further, from 1.4% last year to 0.7% this year.

In Asia, the UN said China's diversified energy mix, sizable strategic reserves and government actions are providing a buffer, so its economic growth is only expected to slow from 5% in 2025 to 4.6% this year.

India is forecast to remain one of the fastest-growing major economics, with its economy expanding by 6.4% this year, although that is lower than its 7.5% growth in 2025.

"The question for China, similar to the case of India and other countries, is just how long with this conflict and the impact of the conflict last, because all these different buffers are clearly limited," senior U.N. economist Ingo Pitterle told reporters.

A series of brutal killings in recent weeks has renewed concerns over public safety across the country, raising questions about the effectiveness of policing, crime prevention efforts, and the overall law-and-order situation.

From gang-style and politically linked killings in Dhaka and Chattogram to murders allegedly committed by family members and acquaintances in different parts of the country, the incidents have deepened public anxiety.

Criminologists say the persistence of violent crimes is eroding people’s sense of safety, as incidents of murder, sexual violence, torture, and mob brutality continue.

They advised law enforcers to take a tougher stance against such crimes while stressing the need to strengthen community policing.

In the first four months of the year, at least 1,142 murder cases were filed across the country, up from 1,017 during the same period in 2025 and 1,006 in 2024.

According to Police Headquarters data, the highest number of cases this year was recorded in areas under the Dhaka Range, with 265 cases, followed by 225 in the Chattogram Range and 78 in the Dhaka Metropolitan area.

The data further show that murders rose to 317 in March from 250 in February and 287 in January, before dipping slightly to 288 in April this year.

Rights organisation Ain o Salish Kendra’s data show that at least 115 children were killed in the first four months of the year. Among them, 12 were killed after alleged rape or attempted rape, 59 were killed following torture, while the bodies of 20 missing children were recovered.

In one of the most horrific recent incidents, eight-year-old Ramisa Akter, a second-grade student, was found beheaded in her neighbour’s home in Dhaka’s Pallabi on Tuesday. Police said preliminary investigations suggest the child was raped by her neighbour, Sohel Rana, before being murdered.

The gruesome incident has left the victim’s family devastated and sparked widespread outrage and anxiety.

Saika Sayeed, a schoolteacher and resident of Pallabi, said, “People are being murdered almost regularly. Even children are not being spared. One after another, incidents are taking place. It’s very frightening, and we don’t feel safe.

“Also concerning is that the culprits are sometimes arrested, but they get bail and commit crimes again.”

MAJOR INCIDENTS

Several incidents in April and May were marked by extreme brutality, fuelling concerns over rising violence and public safety.

At least 15 major killings reported during the period included family-related murders, mob attacks, gang violence, revenge killings, and assaults linked to personal disputes and criminal networks.

On Tuesday, Ramisa was allegedly killed by her neighbour in Dhaka’s Pallabi, while a man was hacked to death by local youths for protesting against drug abuse in Narayanganj.

Family-related violence also drew attention. On May 18, police recovered the bodies of a couple and their infant child in Madaripur, suspecting a murder-suicide. Earlier, on May 9, five members of a family, including three children, were brutally killed in Kapasia over a family dispute.

On May 17, the dismembered body of Saudi expatriate Mokarram Miah was recovered from Dhaka’s Manda area. Police arrested two women in connection with the murder.

Several incidents were linked to organised crime and revenge attacks. On May 7, Hasan Raju was shot dead in Chattogram’s Rowfabad -- which police described as a revenge killing -- while 11-year-old bystander Reshmi Akhter later died after being hit by bullets during the attack on Raju.

In Dhaka, listed criminal Khandoker Noyeem Ahmed Titon was shot dead near New Market on April 26, while suspected gang leader Alex Imon was hacked to death in Rayerbazar earlier that month.

Mob violence also remained a major concern.

According to the Human Rights Support Society, at least 71 people were killed in 132 mob-related incidents in the first four months of 2026. In April alone, 44 mob attacks left 22 people dead and 39 others injured.

In Kushtia, a pir was beaten and hacked to death on April 11 over allegations of hurting religious sentiments.

WEAK POLICING, SOCIAL DECAY FUELLING RISE

Political instability, economic inequality, and social degradation are driving a surge in brutal killings and violent crimes, said Omar Faruk.

“Following the events of August 5, the country’s social and political situation became fragile, while weaknesses in policing, lack of preventive measures, and poor coordination among law enforcement agencies created opportunities for criminals.

“Our system largely responds to crimes after they occur rather than focusing on prevention. If preventive measures, community awareness, and stronger social initiatives were prioritised, both crime and the fear of becoming victims could be reduced.”

Faruk said criminals now perceive the current situation as favourable due to what they see as weakened police preventive capacity, leading to an increase in murders, rape, and other violent crimes in recent months.

Many murders are being committed by acquaintances, including family members and neighbours, due to deteriorating social relationships, he said, adding that economic inequality, financial disputes, family conflicts, and social decay remain major drivers of violent crime.

“Law enforcement alone will not solve the problem,” Faruk said, calling for preventive social measures and stronger community involvement to stop the situation from worsening.

Contacted by The Daily Star, Khondaker Rafiqul Islam, additional inspector general (Crime and Operations) at the PHQ, said incidents of brutal crime appear to be increasing as people have become increasingly impatient and less tolerant, making such offences difficult to predict in advance.

“Unlike organised violence or unrest, personal enmities and individual motives behind these incidents are often hard to detect beforehand,” he said, adding that police have, however, been able to identify the causes behind each incident and collect evidence against those involved.

Referring to recent killings linked to juvenile gangs, political groups, and underworld networks, Rafiqul said law enforcers are continuing special drives and surveillance operations to prevent such crimes.

“No murder is desirable, and we always try to prevent such incidents. But if any crime occurs, our immediate priority is detection and bringing the perpetrators to justice.”

He added that police have instructed officers in areas witnessing higher levels of violent crime to intensify monitoring of listed criminals and other suspects as part of routine crime prevention efforts.

Bangladesh and Morocco are considering a free trade agreement (FTA) to deepen bilateral trade and economic engagement.

The issue came up during a meeting between State Minister for Foreign Affairs Shama Obaed and Morocco’s Minister of Industry and Trade Ryad Mezzour in Rabat on Tuesday.

The state minister is currently visiting Morocco after concluding a trip to Washington to attend the Second Ministerial Conference on Peacekeeping in a Francophone Environment, which opened yesterday.

During the visit, she also held meetings with Morocco’s Foreign Minister Nasser Bourita and Minister of Economic Inclusion, Small Business, Employment and Skills Younes Sekkouri.

Highlighting Bangladesh’s improved investment climate, Shama Obaed proposed exchanging business delegations to boost commercial engagement between the two countries.

According to officials, bilateral trade between Bangladesh and Morocco currently stands at around $1.15 billion, although trade remains heavily tilted in Morocco’s favour.

Bangladesh exports goods worth around $81 million to Morocco, while imports from Morocco amount to approximately $1.07 billion.

Ryad Mezzour expressed interest in sending a business delegation to Bangladesh by the end of this year.

The two sides also discussed strengthening cooperation in agriculture, particularly through government-to-government collaboration to ensure a stable supply of phosphate exports to Bangladesh.

Shama Obaed reiterated Bangladesh’s interest in promoting eco-friendly jute and jute goods in the Moroccan market.

Both countries also pledged deeper cooperation in innovation, industrial training, ICT and artificial intelligence.

During her meeting with Nasser Bourita, Shama Obaed said Bangladesh is keen to deepen engagement with African countries and elevate relations with Morocco.

The two leaders stressed the importance of regular high-level exchanges in strengthening political ties.

They also reaffirmed their commitment to expanding cooperation in trade and investment, textiles, pharmaceuticals, ceramics, sports, culture, agriculture, education, women’s empowerment, shipbuilding and people-to-people connectivity.

The two countries agreed to hold the next Foreign Office Consultations in Dhaka at the earliest opportunity.

Bangladesh Ambassador to Morocco Sadia Faizunnesa and Abdur Rouf Mondol, director general (Africa) at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, accompanied the state minister during the meetings.

The US dollar hit a six-week high on Wednesday as investors came to terms with the possible need ‌for higher interest rates to tackle inflation resulting from the Iran war.

The uncertainty over when the conflict may end has fanned inflation fears and triggered a global bond selloff, with the yield on the US 30-year Treasury bond hitting its highest level since 2007.

The dollar index , which tracks the currency against six peers, rose 0.1 percent to its highest since April 7 at 99.47. The index is up more than 1.3 percent in May due to safe-haven demand and markets pricing ​in chances of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates by the end of the year.

The euro fell to a six-week low of $1.158, down ​0.16 percent. The British pound slipped 0.07 percent to $1.338, not far from a six-week low it touched earlier this week.

The Australian dollar , often seen as a barometer for risk sentiment, was little changed at $0.711, after dropping 0.9 percent on Tuesday.

Traders are now pricing in a more than 50 percent chance of a Fed rate hike by December, ​CME FedWatch showed, in a sharp reversal from two cuts expected before the war. Investor focus will be on the minutes of the ​Fed’s last meeting due later.

Analysts said the rise in US bond yields had been the key driver of the dollar.

“There is scope for yields to ‌move further higher,” said Derek Halpenny, a senior currency analyst at MUFG.

“While we maintain that the Fed will ultimately hike by less than many other G10 central banks, market pricing remains relatively low at this juncture – especially with the risks of a further jump in crude oil prices building.”

Brent crude futures were down 1.1 percent to $110 per barrel, but remained more than 50 percent higher than in late February before the war began.

Beijing will work with Washington on reducing levies affecting tens of billions of dollars in goods, the commerce ministry said Wednesday, days after US President Donald Trump visited China.

The world’s two top economies spent much of 2025 embroiled in an escalating trade war, until Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping reached a one-year truce when they met in South Korea in October.

As a result of their summit last week, a trade council has been set up, under the auspices of which “both sides agreed in principle to discuss a framework arrangement for reciprocal tariff reductions on products of equivalent scale”, the ministry said in a statement.

The intended tariff cuts will affect goods worth “$30 billion or more on each side”, the online statement, attributed to an unnamed commerce ministry official, said.

China hopes “the US side will honour its commitment” made during the recent round of negotiations, it added, calling for an extension to the trade truce agreements reached last year.

However, the potential tariff cuts are “not significant enough to change the market’s GDP forecast”, said Zhiwei Zhang of Pinpoint Asset Management in a note.

“Nonetheless this is a positive step in the right direction,” he added. “As long as the two countries are talking to stabilise the bilateral relations, it is good news for global investors.”

The commerce ministry also said China would restore registrations for some US beef exporters, following their lapse last year during the height of tensions with Washington.

Confirming another outcome of the Xi-Trump summit, the ministry said China would purchase 200 aircraft from US aerospace giant Boeing, though it did not specify which model or models.

US media had reported for several months that Beijing was poised to make a major order from Boeing that would include 500 single-aisle 737 MAXs and about 100 larger 787 Dreamliners and 777s.

On the supply of rare earths -- the critical field dominated by China and the target of biting export restrictions implemented last year -- the statement was scant in detail.

“Both sides will work together to study and resolve each other’s legitimate and lawful concerns,” it said.

In a major move to attract more foreign investment into the country's struggling stock market, Bangladesh Bank has eliminated the requirement for an auditor's certificate for every transaction made by non-resident investors.

Under the new directive issued today (20 May), the central bank has streamlined the tax collection process for Non-Resident Investor Taka Accounts (NITA), allowing for the immediate credit of sale proceeds and automated tax withholding by banks.

Previously, foreign investors were required to obtain a certificate from a chartered accountant for every single trade to determine capital gains tax before funds could be reinvested or sent abroad. This practice frequently caused significant delays, increased compliance costs, and discouraged active trading.

According to the central bank's circular, authorised dealer (AD) banks will now ensure the deduction or withholding of applicable taxes on capital gains directly from the sale proceeds of shares or securities held by non-resident investors. These proceeds will be credited directly to the respective NITA for eventual payment to the government exchequer prior to repatriation.

Speaking to The Business Standard, a senior official from Bangladesh Bank said under the previous system, non-resident investors used to buy stock market shares, and selling them would yield profits.

"After deducting taxes from these profits, the remaining amount was credited to their accounts. In other words, profits were deposited only after tax deduction. Many had raised objections to this method because the entire process – including tax calculations and obtaining certificates – took nearly 15 days," the official said.

He further mentioned that under the newly introduced rules, the amount can be credited to the account immediately upon selling the shares.

"However, when repatriating funds outside Bangladesh, the capital gains tax and the actual profit made from the share sale must be kept separate, allowing the remaining balance to be repatriated. This ensures the account is credited instantly, enabling the investor to reinvest in shares right away if they wish. If depositing funds into the account takes 30 days, it delays their reinvestment in the stock market. Now, reinvesting will take much less time, which serves as an incentive to attract foreign investment into the country."

The official added that Bangladesh Bank granted this approval in response to an application from the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE).

Misbah Uddin Affan Yusuf, managing director and CEO of City Brokerage Limited, told TBS that this was a long-standing barrier for international participants.

"Previously, even for small transactions, clients had to manually collect a CA certificate and submit it to their custodian bank. While large institutional investors could manage this through big firms like KPMG, it was a nightmare for smaller investors," Yusuf explained.

"This lengthy process essentially prevented foreign investors from trading freely. Now, the bank handles the 15% capital gains tax calculation and issues the certificate only at the time of repatriation. This is a massive relief that allows for seamless trading," he added.

Saiful Islam, president of the DSE Brokers Association (DBA), hailed the move as a "fundamental change" for the market.

"DSE and DBA have written to the central bank multiple times since the introduction of the capital gains tax, urging them to simplify NITA transactions. Finally, this issue has been resolved. It removes the hurdles for the free entry and exit of foreign capital, which is vital for market liquidity," he said.

The balances in a NITA can be used to purchase listed shares and IPOs. These balances, along with dividends and sale proceeds, are freely remittable abroad in equivalent foreign exchange, provided the applicable taxes have been withheld by the handling bank as per the new simplified rules, he added.

How NITA works for foreign investors

According to the Foreign Exchange Guideline of Bangladesh Bank, Non-Resident Bangladeshis (NRBs) and foreign individuals can invest in the local capital market using freely convertible foreign currency remitted from abroad through formal banking channels.

To begin investing, an investor needs two accounts: a Foreign Currency (FC) account for inward and outward remittances, and a NITA for converting that foreign currency into Taka to buy securities. These must be opened with an Authorized Dealer bank in Bangladesh.

Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto said on Wednesday that his government will centralise exports of key commodities as part of efforts to boost state revenues and tighten the country's grip over its abundant natural resources.

Prabowo said in a fiery speech to parliament that Indonesia had lost as much as $908 billion in revenues in the last 34 years because its commodities were being sold on the cheap, adding that key exports like palm oil and coal would in future be sold via a central government-run enterprise.

Indonesia, a global commodities powerhouse, is the world's largest exporter of thermal coal and palm oil.

"Today the Indonesian government that I lead will issue a regulation on management of commodity exports," Prabowo said.

"The issuance of this regulation is a strategic step to strengthen management of commodity exports," he said.

"All sales of our resources, from palm oil, coal must be through a SOE selected by the government...as sole exporters," he added.

Prabowo's remarks confirm earlier accounts from two sources familiar with the matter, who said Indonesia was planning the move as part of a drive to strengthen government oversight over its natural resources.

Rumours about the plan have spooked the market on concerns that it could lead to changes in pricing mechanisms and squeeze trader margins, with Jakarta's main stock index shedding 3.5% on Tuesday and close to 2% on Wednesday.

The move by Prabowo, who has vowed to optimise revenue from the country's natural resources, is aimed at addressing concerns about under-invoicing and transfer pricing by exporters, the sources said. The sources declined to be named because they were not authorised to speak publicly.

Prabowo said Indonesia's natural resources were sufficient to deliver welfare to the entire country if they were managed according to the constitution.

"In the opinion of the government - and I am sure every patriot will support this - the earth, water and all the resources within it must be enjoyed by all Indonesians," he said.

Despite being rich in resources as well as a G20 country, Indonesia had not managed the economy well enough to boost state revenues, he added.

The regulations required to bring the plan into action had not yet been finalised, one of the sources said earlier.

Britain’s annual inflation rate fell more than expected in April, largely due to a drop in energy prices in the months before the Middle East war, official data showed Wednesday.

Analysts said they expected the rate to shoot back up in the coming months after the US-Iran conflict sent oil and gas prices soaring.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 2.8 percent in the 12 months to April, down from 3.3 percent in March, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said in a statement.

Analysts’ consensus forecast had been for a slowdown to 3.0 percent in April.

“There was a notable fall in annual inflation led by lower electricity and gas prices,” ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said.

“This was due to the government’s energy bill support package... along with lower global wholesale energy prices before the conflict in the Middle East,” he added.

UK finance minister Rachel Reeves is set to deliver fresh cost-of-living support to millions of Britons by reportedly announcing she will cancel her pre-war plans to hike fuel duties.

“Over today and tomorrow I’ll set out the next phase of how we will support UK households,” Reeves said in a statement after the inflation report.

“The war in Iran is not our war but one we will need to respond to,” she added.

The planned action also comes after the Labour government suffered heavy losses to the hard-right Reform UK and the left-wing Greens in local and regional elections this month.

That triggered a leadership challenge to Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with Wes Streeting resigning as health minister as he bids to oust him.

Ruth Gregory, deputy chief economist at Capital Economics, said the drop in British CPI inflation “feels like the lull before the storm”.

“We expect inflation to hover around three percent until July,” she said.

Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club, said that while “the softer-than-expected inflation reading will come as welcome relief to policymakers and households... concerns remain that higher energy costs and geopolitical tensions could yet feed through”.

Worries over a renewed inflation spike, after prices surged following the Covid pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, are pushing up government bond yields around the world.

The return on the 30-year US Treasury bond reached the highest level since 2007 on Tuesday, while UK rates have hit peaks not seen for decades.

Consumer inflation jumped in both the United States and eurozone in April, to 3.8 percent and 3.0 percent year-on-year respectively.

As Bangladesh prepares to graduate from least developed country (LDC) status, the country needs to modernise its intellectual property (IP) laws to attract more foreign investment, especially from the United States, and strengthen confidence among global businesses, a US diplomat said yesterday.

Shilpi Jha, senior commercial specialist and IP policy advisor for South Asia at the US embassy in New Delhi, made the comment at a roundtable titled “Advancing the IPR Framework and the Way Forward”.

The American Chamber of Commerce in Bangladesh organised the event at The Westin Dhaka.

Stronger and internationally aligned intellectual property protection is no longer just a legal requirement, but an economic necessity, the diplomat said, adding that an updated IP framework would help Bangladesh integrate more effectively into the global economy, boost exports, encourage innovation, and attract foreign direct investment.

Bangladesh has already taken important steps by enacting the Patent Act 2023 and introducing a new Design Act. However, further reforms are needed to align the country’s intellectual property system with international standards and best practices, she said.

Bangladesh currently enjoys certain flexibilities under international agreements because of its LDC status, which has delayed the full implementation of some reforms.

Nevertheless, policymakers and businesses increasingly recognise the importance of stronger IP protection for long-term economic growth, the diplomat added.

Under the Design Act, innovators can now register original industrial designs not previously available in the market.

At the same time, efforts are underway to update trademark laws to meet international standards.

Experts believe these reforms could pave the way for Bangladesh to join major international IP systems such as the Madrid Protocol and the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT).

Joining the Madrid Protocol would allow Bangladeshi businesses and entrepreneurs to apply for trademark protection in multiple countries, including the United States, India, and Nepal, through a simplified process from within Bangladesh.

Similarly, becoming a member of the PCT would enable Bangladeshi inventors to seek patent protection in numerous countries through a single international application.

Industry insiders argue that effective intellectual property protection is not only important for attracting foreign investors but also essential for supporting local industries, encouraging innovation, and helping businesses compete globally.

Weak enforcement, they warn, discourages multinational companies from introducing advanced technologies and premium products in Bangladesh due to fears of counterfeiting and misuse.

Syed Ershad Ahmed, president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Bangladesh, underscored the strategic necessity of robust IPR enforcement for the nation’s future.

He emphasised that a secure IPR framework is vital to attracting increased foreign direct investment while giving global importers and promoters the confidence to source products from Bangladesh.

The Bangladesh Bank is weighing whether to adjust policy rates in its upcoming monetary policy as internal discussions show sharp differences over the impact of interest rates on investment, inflation, and growth.

The issue was discussed at a meeting today (20 May), chaired by the governor, attended by all deputy governors, executive directors, and directors. The meeting was part of a series of consultations ahead of the next monetary policy statement.

The debate comes as lending rates remain elevated following recent policy rate hikes. Businesses have repeatedly urged the central bank to reduce rates, but no action has been taken so far.

Officials at the meeting expressed divergent views. One group argued that lower interest rates are necessary to boost investment and employment, warning that high borrowing costs risk undermining Bangladesh's competitiveness compared to neighbouring economies. They said rate cuts are essential for stimulating private sector credit growth and job creation.

Another group opposed immediate cuts, citing the "9-6 interest rate regime" between 2021 and 2024, when artificially capped lending rates failed to deliver expected investment growth. They argued that this period shows that reducing interest rates alone is insufficient to drive economic expansion.

A central bank official told TBS that Deputy Governor Zakir Hossain Chowdhury said Bangladesh is not heavily credit-dependent and that people do not typically borrow in response to price increases.

He reportedly noted that the link between interest rates, inflation, and investment is not strongly direct in the local context, adding that price increases often stem from weak market management, while strong agricultural output helps reduce inflation.

Deputy Governor Md Kabir Ahmad also said conventional economic models do not always reflect current realities and stressed that policy decisions must be taken cautiously and based on context.

The meeting further discussed profitability trends in stronger banks. Officials said deposit migration from weaker to stronger banks allows some institutions to raise deposits at lower costs while still charging higher lending rates, significantly widening interest spreads.

No decision was taken on whether rates will be increased or reduced.

Under the current monetary policy, private sector credit growth is targeted at 8.50%, but only 4.27% was achieved in March – one of the lowest levels on record. Inflation is targeted at 7%, while GDP growth is projected at 5%.

The Ministry of Finance has issued a fresh circular making the automated challan system, known as “A-Challan”, mandatory for all government revenues and receipts from July 1, 2026, completely abolishing the manual challan method.
FE

According to the circular issued on Tuesday, the decision aims to ensure maximum transparency in handling public funds, strengthen cash management, secure real-time digital deposits, and reduce the government's interest burdens resulting from hidden liquidity pools, UNB reports.

It noted that under the Constitution of Bangladesh and Treasury Rules, all government revenues and receipts must be deposited into the “Consolidated Fund” or “Public Account of the Republic” via the Treasury Single Account (TSA) maintained at Bangladesh Bank. All ministries, departments, and subordinate offices are legally obligated to use this account for their financial transactions.Bangladesh economic report

To streamline this, the government introduced the online “A-Challan” system using a 5-digit economic code during the fiscal year 2018-19 to ensure real-time deposits of revenues.

However, the Finance Division observed that several government offices are still bypassing the TSA framework. These offices continue to use old manual codes to deposit funds and are unlawfully maintaining separate bank accounts at various commercial banks.

This unauthorised practice prevents the government from determining its actual, real-time net cash balance. Consequently, despite having substantial cash scattered across commercial bank accounts, the state is forced to borrow from domestic and foreign sources at high interest rates to meet immediate expenditures.

To curb this fiscal indiscipline and minimise borrowing costs, the government has enforced three immediate directives. With the complete abolition of the manual system, the manual challan system will be completely shut down from July 1, 2026. A 100 percent automated “A-Challan” system must be implemented for all public revenues and other receipts from this date.

Cancellation of Independent Systems

Any separate financial systems or independent arrangements currently active across ministries, departments, directorates, and subordinate offices for collecting and depositing revenues must be cancelled immediately.Financial literacy course

Mandatory Fund Transfer by June 30

All funds currently accumulated by government offices in commercial banks must be mandatorily transferred to the TSA at Bangladesh Bank using the designated economic codes through “A-Challan” by June 30, 2026.

Union Capital Limited, a non-bank financial institution, has recommended no dividend for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, as the company continues to grapple with mounting losses and a deeply negative net asset value.

According to a price-sensitive disclosure filed with the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) today (20 May), the company posted a consolidated net loss after tax of approximately Tk42.50 crore for the year.

Following the announcement, its share price slipped 2.08% to Tk4.70 on the premier bourse.

The company's consolidated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 stood at negative Tk2.46 — an improvement from the negative Tk11.99 recorded in 2024.

Management attributed the narrower loss primarily to reduced provision requirements for loans and advances, higher recoveries from written-off clients, and lower operating expenses through cost control measures.

Despite the improvement in EPS, the consolidated net asset value (NAV) per share deteriorated further to negative Tk65.49, from negative Tk63.02 a year earlier.

The overall loss was largely driven by a decline in net interest income, investment income, and fee and commission earnings.

In the first quarter of 2026 (January–March), Union Capital reported a consolidated net loss after tax of Tk16.31 crore. Quarterly consolidated EPS fell sharply to negative Tk0.95, from negative Tk0.07 in the same period last year. The company said the decline was driven by lower interest income and reduced provision releases stemming from weaker recoveries against non-performing loans.

As of 31 March 2026, the consolidated NAV per share stood at negative Tk66.43, while net operating cash flow per share remained negative at Tk0.61.

The company has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 29 July 2026, with the record date for entitlement set for 22 June, when shareholders will review the annual performance alongside other agenda items.