A conditional two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran has led to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, easing concerns over global energy supplies and pushing oil prices lower.

Brent crude fell 15.9% to $92.30 a barrel, while US-traded oil dropped 16.5% to $93.80 after the announcement. Prices remain above the roughly $70 per barrel level seen before the conflict began on 28 February, says the BBC.

Under the agreement, President Donald Trump said, "I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks... subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz."

Iran signalled conditional acceptance of the truce. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran would agree to a ceasefire "if attacks against Iran are halted," adding that safe passage through the waterway "will be possible."

Asian financial markets rose following the development, with Japan's Nikkei 225 gaining 4.5% and South Korea's Kospi jumping 5.5%.

The ceasefire follows weeks of disruption to global energy markets. The Philippines declared a national energy emergency on March 24 after petrol prices doubled, while migrant workers in India were forced to leave cities due to shortages of cooking gas.

Analysts said economic considerations may have played a role in the agreement. Xavier Smith of AlphaSense said Trump was likely wary of allowing energy prices to "skyrocket," risking a "self-inflicted economic wound."

Trump's rhetoric during the conflict also drew criticism. He had threatened that "a whole civilisation will die tonight" if a deal was not reached by his deadline, prompting concern from the United Nations. The UN chief was reported to be "deeply troubled" by the remarks.

While the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has provided short-term relief to markets, analysts said the events surrounding the ceasefire could have longer-term implications for perceptions of the United States globally.

Bangladesh’s net foreign direct investment witnessed a sharp 39 percent increase in 2025, reaching $1.77 billion, according to central bank data.

The growth, however, was driven almost entirely by existing foreign firms, not new investors entering the market.

Bangladesh Bank (BB) data shows that net FDI stood at $1.27 billion in 2024.

Meanwhile, net equity inflows, the most direct measure of new investment, stood at $554.63 million last year, barely changing from $544.63 million a year earlier.

The increase in overall FDI instead came from reinvested earnings, which rose to $781.67 million from $621.96 million, and from intra-company loans, which surged more than fourfold to $434.11 million. Both reflect existing companies financing their local operations rather than fresh capital coming in.

Economists say despite the growth in 2025, the net FDI inflow remains insignificant relative to the size of the economy, particularly in terms of fresh investment. Data indicates that the country is struggling to attract new investors or major expansion projects. In a healthy FDI environment, rising net inflows are typically accompanied by strong equity growth, signalling new projects, job creation, and technology transfer.

Mohammad Abdur Razzaque, chairman of the Research and Policy Integration for Development, said equity inflows have been persistently low for some time.

“Equity investment is very low, which suggests that new investors are not coming. What we are seeing is largely expansion by existing investors,” he said, attributing the weak equity inflows to broader macroeconomic vulnerabilities and an unfavourable investment climate.

The economist also questioned the gap between official claims and actual outcomes, saying that while the Bangladesh Investment Development Authority (Bida) continues to highlight investment prospects, the ground reality does not reflect strong or meaningful inflows.

Rupali Chowdhury, president of the Foreign Investors’ Chamber of Commerce & Industry, pointed to several factors behind the weak inflows.

According to her, the shift to an interim administration, from mid-2024 till February this year, has created uncertainty around long-term investment decisions. In addition, delays in government-backed projects have raised concerns about policy continuity and contract enforcement.

Furthermore, she said episodes of social unrest and “mob culture” have damaged Bangladesh’s image among foreign investors.

A broader global slowdown has also made investors more cautious, with capital flowing to more stable and predictable destinations.

To attract fresh FDI, she stressed the need for consistent policies, respect for contracts, improved infrastructure, and above all, political and social stability.

Khondker Golam Moazzem, research director at the Centre for Policy Dialogue, meanwhile, pointed out that Bangladesh’s FDI inflows remain subdued, with limited signs of strong growth compared with regional peers such as India.

He said a major concern is the composition of inflows. “Intra-company loans have risen sharply, but these largely reflect financing by parent companies to existing operations, not fresh investment.”

He added, “Greenfield investors continue to face hurdles, including complex licensing requirements, delays in opening bank accounts, land acquisition difficulties, and slow approvals.”

FDI also remains concentrated in traditional sectors, he said, while weak intellectual property enforcement and regulatory gaps have kept investment out of non-traditional, export-oriented industries.

In a similar tone, M Masrur Reaz, chairman and CEO of the Policy Exchange of Bangladesh, noted that equity accounts for only around a third of total FDI. “This composition is not encouraging for job creation or economic diversification, even though net FDI recorded strong growth in 2025.”

Oil ​prices extended gains on Tuesday as a US-imposed deadline loomed for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or be “taken ‌out”, with US President Donald Trump threatening to order attacks on Iranian bridges and power plants.

Brent crude futures rose $1.44, or 1.3 percent, to $111.21 a barrel by 0700 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up $2.32, or 2.1 percent, at $114.73.

Trump has threatened to rain “hell” on Tehran if it fails to comply with his deadline of 8 p.m. ​EDT on Tuesday (0000 GMT Wednesday) to reopen the strait, through which about a fifth of global oil supply is normally shipped, if a ​deal is not reached.

Responding to a US proposal through mediator Pakistan, Tehran rejected a ceasefire and said a permanent end to the war was necessary, and pushed back against pressure to reopen the strait.

Iran’s rejection of the US ceasefire proposal has kept tensions ​elevated and left diplomacy hanging by a thread, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“Oil is holding its gains because the ​battlefield risk is no longer theoretical. Attacks on energy and shipping assets continue, and traders fear that even if the war ends, damage to infrastructure could sideline barrels for months, not days,” she said.

Exports from several Gulf producers have already collapsed due to restricted flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

Iranian forces effectively shut the ​strait after US and Israeli attacks began on February 28.

“Clock-watching is now playing almost as big a role in oil markets as the ​fundamentals themselves in the run-up to Trump’s ultimatum deadline,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

“The potential for a ceasefire deal offers some counterweight ‌and could ⁠spark a relief move lower if it gains traction, but persistent supply worries from the Hormuz chokepoint and damaged energy facilities are keeping the floor under prices.”

The U.N. Security Council is expected to vote on Tuesday on a resolution to protect commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, but in significantly watered-down form after veto-wielding China opposed authorizing force, diplomats said.

Attacks in the region continued with explosions heard in the Syrian capital, ​Damascus, and surrounding countryside on Tuesday ​that were caused by the ⁠Israeli interception of Iranian missiles, Syrian state TV reported.

Saudi Arabia said on Tuesday it intercepted and destroyed seven ballistic missiles launched towards its Eastern Region, with debris falling near energy facilities.

The conflict has squeezed global crude supply, ​sending spot premiums for US WTI crude surging to record highs as Asian and European refiners scramble to ​secure replacement supplies amid ⁠disrupted Middle Eastern flows.

Saudi Arabia’s state oil company Aramco raised the official selling price of its Arab Light crude to Asia for May delivery, setting a record premium of $19.50 a barrel above the Oman/Dubai average.

Adding to supply concerns, Russia on Monday said Ukrainian drones attacked the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s terminal on ⁠the Black ​Sea, which handles 1.5 percent of global oil supply. Russia reported damage to loading infrastructure ​and storage tanks.

Opec+ agreed on Sunday to lift oil output quotas by 206,000 bpd in May, though the increase will be largely notional as key members cannot boost production because ​strait closures are curbing exports.

In a move to lower financing costs and enhance global competitiveness, the Bangladesh Bank is set to introduce offshore dollar loans for exporters at a significantly lower interest rate.

Under the proposed scheme, exporters will be able to borrow at an interest rate of 8%, substantially lower than the prevailing 14% to 16% charged on local currency loans. The central bank is expected to issue a circular shortly outlining the operational framework, officials said.

Exporters would be permitted to use the funds for day-to-day business expenses, including utility payments, wages, and other working capital needs. The loans will be repaid from export proceeds in foreign currency, reducing pressure on the domestic banking system.

The facility will also allow exporters to convert the borrowed dollars into the taka through currency swaps with their banks if needed, without incurring additional interest costs.

Providing exporters with such facilities will enhance their financial capacity. Consequently, this is expected to bolster their competitiveness in the international market while easing the pressure on the country's foreign exchange reserves.

According to central bank officials, the loan amount will be linked to export orders. "For instance, if an exporter secures an order worth $100 and opens a letter of credit (LC) for $60 to import raw materials, they may borrow up to $40 under the offshore facility to meet remaining operational expenses," an official told The Business Standard.

Banks will be allowed to extend these loans based on their relationships with clients, with maturities ranging from three months to one year, he said, adding that no strict cap on lending has been imposed, giving banks flexibility to assess client needs.

"Currently, there is an opportunity to take this type of loan from the banking system, but it must be taken in the taka and the interest rate is 14% or more. The main objective of providing the facility to take loans from offshore banking at 8% interest is to increase the competitiveness of exporters and support them," the official said.

The Bangladesh Bank will instruct banks to provide short-term foreign currency loans to exporters from offshore banking units, based on established banker-customer relationships.

No further credit limits or additional conditions will be imposed on the banks. Depending on the specific requirements of the customer, banks may extend these loans for a tenure of three months to a maximum of one year.

The initiative follows a reduction in the Export Development Fund from $7 billion to $2.2 billion, a move necessitated by conditions under the International Monetary Fund programme. This reduction has significantly curtailed exporters' access to existing low-cost foreign currency financing.

What experts say

Speaking to TBS, economists and business leaders have welcomed the move, noting that exporters are facing increasing pressure due to declining global demand and rising production costs. They believe the new facility will help improve liquidity, reduce financing costs, and encourage investment.

However, experts have also highlighted risks. If export earnings are not repatriated, loan recovery could become difficult. In addition, exchange rate fluctuations could increase the repayment burden in local currency terms if the taka depreciates.

Mahmud Hassan Khan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association, said at a time when the country's export earnings are consistently declining, such an initiative to bolster export capacity and support exporters is a highly positive step. However, he noted that the interest rate for these loans should be lower than 8%.

"Currently, when borrowing in dollars from the Bill Transformation Fund and the Technological Development Fund, the interest rate is 5%. Therefore, it is only logical that the interest rate for loans from offshore banking be set at 6% or 7%," he argued.

Syed Mahbubur Rahman, managing director and CEO of Mutual Trust Bank, said exporters would naturally benefit if working capital credit facilities were provided through offshore banking. He noted that as businesses are currently facing a crisis, the Bangladesh Bank is introducing this facility to compensate for the reduction in credit available from the Export Development Fund.

"Once this offshore banking facility is launched, instead of borrowing for back-to-back LCs, exporters will opt for these lower-interest loans. However, the significant risk here is that the exports must be executed against the orders, and the export proceeds must be repatriated to the country," he added.

While welcoming the move, Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue, advocated for a rigorous vetting process to select eligible borrowers and ensure that these loans are not misused.

"Bangladesh's foreign exchange reserves stand at approximately $30 billion. If monthly import costs average $5 billion, it is possible to cover six months of import expenses. Therefore, it is crucial to safeguard our foreign currency and ensure it is not squandered under any circumstances," she said.

Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank's Dhaka office, also viewed the decision to lift existing restrictions on loan disbursements from offshore banking as a positive move. He added that allowing loan distribution and currency swap facilities based on banker-customer relationships is also a logical step.

"However, if there is a significant depreciation of the taka due to exchange rate fluctuations, borrowers will have to repay a higher amount in local currency terms. The resulting additional liability must be borne by the borrowers themselves. It is crucial to ensure that they do not seek incentives or assistance from the Bangladesh Bank when such situations arise," he added.

Foreign investors significantly reduced their exposure to Bangladesh's capital market in March, offloading shares in leading blue-chip companies including Olympic Industries, BRAC Bank and Grameenphone, reflecting a sharp shift in sentiment driven by global uncertainties and lingering domestic concerns.

Data from the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) showed that foreign investors remained heavily skewed towards selling throughout the month, with overall participation declining significantly.

Foreign turnover stood at Tk272 crore, down 59% from February, signalling reduced activity. Of this, total sales reached Tk215 crore, far exceeding purchases of Tk50 crore, highlighting a clear net outflow of foreign funds.

Among the worst-hit stocks, Olympic Industries saw the largest sell-off, with foreign investors offloading shares worth Tk76 crore. As a result, foreign shareholding in the company fell to 27.62% in March, from 30.26% a month earlier.

BRAC Bank followed, with Tk34 crore worth of shares sold, bringing foreign ownership down slightly to 36.48%. Similarly, Square Pharmaceuticals recorded Tk32 crore in sales, while Grameenphone saw Tk29 crore worth of divestment, reducing its already low foreign holding to 0.51%.

Other large companies also came under selling pressure, though in smaller volumes. Renata Limited saw Tk11.50 crore in sales, followed by City Bank with Tk10 crore and BAT Bangladesh with Tk4.60 crore.

Foreign investors also trimmed positions in a range of firms, including BSRM Limited, LafargeHolcim Bangladesh, Marico Bangladesh, Prime Bank, Beximco Pharmaceuticals, IDLC Finance and Linde Bangladesh, pointing to a broad-based retreat across sectors.

In contrast, a handful of smaller-cap stocks saw modest inflows. Daffodil Computers attracted the highest foreign purchases at Tk2.38 crore, lifting its foreign shareholding to 0.59%. Ring Shine Textile and Paramount Textile also recorded limited gains.

Overall, foreign investors reduced holdings in 25 listed companies in March, while increasing stakes in just eight. Holdings remained unchanged in 81 firms, underscoring a cautious and selective approach.

As of 6 April, the number of non-resident beneficiary owner (BO) accounts stood at 43,230, according to DSE data. 

Global tensions, domestic concerns weigh on sentiment

Market experts attributed the sharp decline in foreign investment to a mix of global geopolitical tensions and domestic structural weaknesses.

Salim Afzal Shawon, head of research at BRAC EPL Stock Brokerage Limited, told The Business Standard, "It's not just the Middle East war. There are many reasons for the decline in foreign investment. However, in the month following the election, we thought that foreign investment would increase. But that didn't happen. Rather, it decreased in an unexpected way."

Analysts said initial optimism following the formation of a new government after the national elections had raised expectations of improved market conditions. However, rising tensions in the Middle East due to the US and Israel's war on Iran disrupted global energy markets and increased economic uncertainty.

For Bangladesh, which depends heavily on imported energy, these developments have fuelled concerns over energy security, inflation and broader economic stability.

Such external pressures have compounded existing domestic issues, leading foreign investors to adopt a risk-averse stance.

Structural issues persist

Market participants noted that overseas investors tend to concentrate their portfolios in a limited number of fundamentally strong companies, given the scarcity of high-quality listed firms in Bangladesh.

As a result, even minor shifts in sentiment can trigger significant sell-offs in these stocks.

The presence of weak or poorly governed companies – often described as "junk stocks" – has further deterred foreign participation.

Analysts emphasised that concerns over corporate governance, transparency, and financial reporting continue to undermine investor confidence, limiting the market's attractiveness to global institutional investors.

Structural barriers, including complex capital gains taxation, inconsistent regulations and difficulties in repatriating funds, have also been cited as long-standing deterrents. Although recent policy measures aim to address some of these issues, their impact has yet to be fully felt.

In response to the declining trend, policymakers have reiterated their commitment to improving market conditions.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury recently told parliament that authorities are stepping up efforts to curb market irregularities and manipulation.

He pointed to initiatives to strengthen investigation and enforcement mechanisms, accelerate digital transformation and improve accessibility for both domestic and foreign investors.

Bangladesh Bank Governor Md Mostaqur Rahman has promised full protection to the members of the country’s shariah boards and urged them to work independently.

Recently, the BB governor met members of the newly formed Bangladesh Bank Shariah Advisory Board, representatives from almost all Islamic banks, prominent scholars, and academics to discuss the current state, challenges, and future reforms of Islamic banking in Bangladesh.

“You, the members of shariah boards, shall work independently; the central bank will provide you with full protection,” he said, referring to members of the shariah boards of Islamic banks of the country.

Rahman chaired the meeting at the central bank’s headquarters, which was also attended by the deputy governor responsible for Islamic banking regulation, executive directors, directors, and senior officials.

At the event, the governor acknowledged past money laundering incidents in Islamic banking, attributing them to weak oversight. He emphasised that Islamic banking, being asset-backed, should prevent such losses if shariah principles are properly applied.

Scholars at the meeting proposed several measures to strengthen shariah governance
He underscored that Islamic banks must operate free from political influence and focus solely on service.

Scholars at the meeting proposed several measures to strengthen shariah governance, including empowering shariah supervisory committees and secretariats to operate independently of banks’ boards.

Major investments would require approval from at least a three-member shariah subcommittee. They also recommended enacting a dedicated Islamic Banking Act, appointing a deputy governor and executive director for Islamic banking supervision, and setting mandatory shariah knowledge standards for bank executives.

To enhance transparency, proposals included annual external shariah audits, separate Core Banking Systems (CBS) for shariah-compliant operations, and a shariah governance framework with a compliance rating system modelled on Malaysia.

Scholars also suggested establishing a research centre and library on Islamic economics to position Bangladesh as a regional hub for Islamic finance studies.

Additional measures included providing liquidity support, introducing shariah-compliant money market instruments, and treating major money laundering and corruption cases as acts of treason with strict penalties.

Notable attendees included Prof Abu Bakr Rafique, Mufti Shahed Rahmani, Mohammad Manjure Elahi, and shariah representatives from Islami Bank Bangladesh, Al-Arafah Islami Bank, Standard Islami Bank, UCB, ICB Islamic Bank, Jamuna Bank, and ONE Bank.

Oil prices dived, bonds rallied and stocks surged on Wednesday after a two-week ceasefire in the Middle East spurred a relief rally as investors cheered the possible resumption of oil and gas flowing through the Strait of Hormuz.

US President Donald Trump said he agreed to suspend bombing and attacks on Iran for two weeks and that a long-term peace agreement was in progress.

Global markets have been rattled since the US and Israel attacked Iran at the end of February, leading Tehran to effectively close the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway used to transit one-fifth of the world's oil and gas.

US crude futures CLc1 fell around 16.5% to $94 a barrel, S&P 500 futures ESc1 leapt over 2% and the dollar fell broadly, having been the haven of choice for investors during the tumult.

"Markets have been predicting that Trump was looking for an off-ramp in Iran," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. "Today, he got one and took it."

Futures pointed to broad gains for Asia's stock markets, which have been beaten down by war and soaring energy prices, and 10-year US Treasury futures jumped about 15 ticks.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar AUD= rose 1.3% to above $0.7070 and the euro EUR=gained 0.76% to $1.1683. Cryptocurrencies also rose.

Trump had set a late Tuesday deadline for a deal with Iran to be reached, threatening to destroy every bridge and power plant in the country if Iran did not reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iran had said it would retaliate against US allies in the Gulf.

The six-week conflict has sent oil prices surging, stoked worries of inflation and upended the global rates outlook with countries and companies scrambling to adjust to the energy shock.

In commodities, gold prices XAU= rose over 2% to $4,812 per ounce. GOL/

The Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission (BERC) has once again raised the price of jet fuel used in aircraft operations, marking the third increase in less than a month.

The new rates were announced today (7 April) and is set to take effect from midnight tonight, reads a BERC notification.

Under the latest revision, the price of jet fuel for domestic flights has been increased to Tk227.08 per litre from Tk202.29 per litre, a rise of 12.26%.

For international flights, the fuel price has been raised to $1.4806 per litre from $1.3216 per litre, exempt from duties and VAT.

Earlier, on 24 March, BERC increased jet fuel prices by around 80% for domestic routes and nearly 79% for international routes in a single adjustment.

Prior to that, on 8 March, the price for domestic routes was revised from Tk95.12 per litre to Tk112.41, while international prices were raised from $0.62 to $0.7384 per litre.

Reacting to the latest hike, Novoair Managing Director Mofizur Rahman told The Business Standard that the 12% increase may appear modest in isolation, but the cumulative rise since February has been significant.

"Jet fuel prices for domestic routes were around Tk95 per litre in early February, later surging to over Tk200 – an increase of more than 100% in a short period. With the latest adjustment, the overall rise now stands at roughly 115%-116%. In that context, a 12% hike alone may not seem very significant, but the cumulative impact is substantial," he said.

He added that rising fuel costs are compounded by higher taxes. "In February, the tax component was around Tk18 per litre. Now it has increased to over Tk40 due to the higher base price," he said, noting the added pressure on airlines.

Referring to international practices, he said several countries have cut fuel taxes to cushion the impact of rising prices.

"India has significantly reduced fuel taxes, while Australia has cut them by around 50%. Such measures help airlines manage costs," he noted.

He stressed that without similar adjustments in Bangladesh, the rising cost structure could become unsustainable and would continue to push up airfares.

A decision to increase fuel prices from next month may be made following discussions at a cabinet meeting, the energy minister told parliament Tuesday, reassuring that Bangladesh holds adequate stock of fuels despite global crisis.Bangladesh stock alerts

Minister for Power, Energy and Mineral Resources Iqbal Hasan Mahmud Tuku made the statement in the House during question hour on the tenth day of the first session of the 13th National Parliament.

The session was chaired by Speaker Hafiz Uddin Ahmad.

The minister explains that there is a structured mechanism for adjusting fuel prices, which is reviewed on a monthly basis. "The final decision for the coming month will be determined at the cabinet level."

Economists and energy experts are of the view that a hike in fuel prices would have domino effect on people's living and the economy at large.

Highlighting global challenges, Tuku pointed to geopolitical instability over the Middle East and restrictions imposed by Iran on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which have disrupted global energy-supply chains.

"Despite these challenges," he emphasizes, "the government has ensured a steady supply of fuel from multiple sources."

Providing an update on current reserves, the minister said Bangladesh has 164,644 metric tonnes of diesel in stock, with an additional 138,000 tonnes expected to arrive by April 30. The country also holds 10,500 tons of octane and 16,000 tons of petrol, with further large shipments expected within this month.

Comparing regional trends, he notes that Pakistan has increased fuel prices by 50 percent, while Sri Lanka has introduced fuel rationing. India, Afghanistan and Nepal have also raised fuel prices. "In contrast, Bangladesh has so far kept prices stable to reduce the burden on citizens."

To support farmers during the irrigation season, the government has instructed district administrators to issue "agriculture cards" to ensure uninterrupted diesel supply.

On enforcement, the minister reaffirms government's 'zero-tolerance' policy against illegal hoarding and smuggling of fuels.

Between March 3 and April 4, authorities had conducted 342 operations nationwide, filing 2,456 cases. These drives resulted in 31 jail sentences, fines totaling Tk 12.539 million, and the recovery of approximately 4.048 million litres of fuels.

The minister also assures parliament that monitoring has been strengthened through the appointment of "tag officers" at filling stations and regular virtual meetings with district administrations.

Economists are, however, divided over the government plan to raise fuel prices from next month, arguing about a difficult tradeoff between fiscal constraints and the cost of living.

One group says the increase will disproportionately hit low- and lower-middle-income households, as higher fuel costs are likely to feed through into the prices of essential goods and services.

Rising transport and production costs could amplify inflationary pressures already felt by consumers, they alert.

Dr M. Masrur Reaz, chairman and chief executive Officer of Policy Exchange Bangladesh, says the impact would be broad-based.Bangladesh stock alerts

Higher fuel prices would raise labour and freight costs, feeding into the wider economy.

"Power and electricity costs will increase as a result of the adjustment, with multiple knock-on effects," he told The Financial Express.

He adds that irrigation and transport costs would rise sharply, placing an additional pressure on lower-income groups. Others argue that an adjustment is unavoidable, as such.

The taka edged lower against the dollar yesterday, with the weighted average interbank rate marginally rising to Tk 122.85 from Tk 122.75, at which the dollar had held steady since late March, Bangladesh Bank data showed.

The dollar rate stood at Tk 122.55 on March 9.

Trading in the interbank foreign exchange market was also thin at the start of the week, suggesting importers are not rushing to buy dollars in large quantities. Just three transactions were recorded on Sunday, totalling $4.03 million, down from $62.50 million on April 2.

The devaluation of the taka comes against a volatile global backdrop. The US-Israeli war on Iran has kept oil prices elevated above $110 a barrel, stoking inflation concerns across import-dependent economies, according to a Reuters report.

The dollar softened slightly yesterday, down 0.2 percent on the DXY index, as investors watched for any signs of progress toward a ceasefire.

Even so, the dollar remains broadly strong, underpinned by expectations that the US Federal Reserve will hold rates high through the year, according to the CME FedWatch tool cited by Reuters.

Bankers say the main concern is behaviour driven by panic.

Mirza Elias Uddin Ahmed, managing director of Jamuna Bank, said the immediate risk is panic-driven demand amid the uncertainty caused by the US-Israel war on Iran rather than any fundamental deterioration in Bangladesh’s external position.

“Fuel prices and food prices are increasing,” he noted, pointing to the potential for cost-push inflation to ripple through the economy.

“A rise in fuel prices will eventually lead to an increase in food prices.”

But he stressed that Bangladesh’s underlying trade fundamentals remain sound. While the country has recorded a dip in exports to the United States recently, the broader trajectory of remittances and export growth over the last fiscal year offered a degree of cushion.

Remittance inflows for fiscal year 2024-25 (FY25) reached $30.32 billion, up 26.81 percent year-on-year, and exports grew by 8.58 percent, reaching $48.28 billion.

Ahmed flagged a particular concern around import behaviour during periods of uncertainty. Past episodes have shown that importers tend to accelerate letter of credit (LC) payments, booking early to lock in rates, which amplifies pressure on the dollar at precisely the wrong moment.

On the structural dynamics of the exchange rate, Ahmed also said the forex reserves are under slight pressure, driven in large part by the need to import oil at elevated prices.

“The volatility is mainly stemming from the war. We have to be patient to avoid panicking. This will not last long,” he added.

Bangladesh Bank has so far maintained a buffer. Gross foreign exchange reserves stood at $34.43 billion in the latest available figures, while usable reserves under the IMF’s BPM6 methodology were $29.81 billion. Since the start of FY26, the central bank has purchased over $5 billion from the interbank market to rebuild reserves, reversing a years-long trend of dollar sales.

National Board of Revenue (NBR) Chairman Md Abdur Rahman Khan on Tuesday (7 April) assured businesspeople in the agriculture sector that their concerns will be addressed, urging them to focus on problems rather than demanding tax cuts.

Speaking at a pre-budget discussion at the NBR office in Agargaon, he said, "Your demand is to reduce taxes, while our responsibility is to increase revenue. Rational coordination is needed, but revenue collection remains essential for the country."

He warned that reducing taxes often leads to endless demands for further cuts and subsidies, noting that "even zero tax does not satisfy anyone" and that tax reductions do not automatically boost compliance.

Agro industry pushes tax exemption at source

The Bangladesh Agro Processors Association has proposed a tax exemption at source for agricultural products and urged the withdrawal of supplementary duty on mineral water up to 3 litres, stressing that safe drinking water is an essential commodity, not a luxury.

NBR Chairman Abdur Rahman assured that the board will address these concerns.

Meanwhile, the Bangladesh Poultry Industries Association has requested turnover tax reductions and easier adjustments of Advance Income Tax (AIT) on imports.

The NBR chief acknowledged pressures to set turnover tax at 2.5%, saying reductions are difficult but being considered.

Feed Industries Association Bangladesh highlighted that 70–80% of poultry feed costs come from raw feed materials and requested incentives to prevent price hikes.

Agriculture Machinery Manufacturers Association-Bangladesh proposed simplifying SRO descriptions for threshers, harvesters, and rice transplanters to ease VAT determinations.

Agro-Chemical Manufacturers, Fertiliser, Crop Protection & Fruit Importers Associations proposed various duty and tax exemptions on raw materials, pesticides, bio-rodenticides, fruit bags, sticky traps, and protective equipment to support local production and exports.

The proposals reflect a broad push from the agriculture sector to reduce fiscal burdens and promote accessibility, safety, and local production

Concerns raised over delayed VAT refunds

A pre-budget discussion meeting, traders raised concerns over delayed VAT refunds.

In response, the NBR Chairman said that with the launch of the online system, VAT refunds have started to be processed.

He added, "The income tax system is also almost complete; it is currently in trial runs. Once these are fully operational, we will refund you directly to your bank accounts. Currently, we have temporarily withheld refunds to enforce discipline, but ultimately, you will receive them."

Other participants included the Bangladesh Agro Feed Ingredients Importers and Traders Association, Shrimp and Hatchery Association of Bangladesh, and Animal Health Companies Association of Bangladesh.

The National Board of Revenue (NBR) has launched a pilot initiative to verify import invoices online in a bid to prevent misdeclaration of goods and values, curb revenue evasion, and speed up customs clearance.

As part of the move, the NBR is linking its customs automation platform, ASYCUDA World, with the database of the Bangladesh Bank. The pilot programme formally began today (7 April).

Speaking at the inauguration, NBR Chairman Abdur Rahman Khan described the initiative as a "landmark step" towards fully digitising customs procedures.

According to an NBR press release, the system will enable fully online, real-time verification of commercial invoices. Once implemented in full, it is expected to significantly reduce revenue risks by preventing attempts at evasion and ensuring the protection of government revenue.

The initiative is also expected to help curb trade-based money laundering, the release added.

It said the new system would reduce reliance on paper documentation, making the import and export clearance process simpler, faster, and more efficient. It will also help build a reliable database for determining the value of imported goods.

Under the system, commercial invoices issued for imports will be transmitted in a unified format through all commercial banks to Foreign Exchange Transaction Management System (FxTMS) of Bangladesh Bank. These invoices will then be shared in real time with the ASYCUDA World system used by customs authorities.

The interconnection between the two systems has been jointly developed by the Foreign Exchange Operations Department of Bangladesh Bank and the IT team of the NBR.

At the event, Kamal Hoassain, director of the Foreign Exchange Operations Department, said it is not feasible to monitor thousands or even millions of invoices quickly and accurately through manual processes.

"Real-time online verification will make it possible to check invoices more efficiently," he said, adding that the system would help reduce trade-based money laundering.

However, he also noted that the system still has some vulnerabilities.

Currently, in the case of imports, the exporter's bank sends documents, including details of goods and prices, to the importer's local lien bank in Bangladesh. Importers or their representatives then submit hard copies of these documents manually to customs authorities, a process that often leads to reported delays and additional costs.

There have also been allegations that some dishonest importers exploit the manual system by providing false information, sometimes in collusion with bank or customs officials, making misdeclaration difficult to detect.

Under the new system, commercial banks will upload invoice data in a prescribed format to the central bank's platform, allowing customs authorities direct access for verification.

The government has decided to waive import duties on electric school buses, aiming to reduce fuel consumption and promote cleaner transport in the education sector, the National Board of Revenue (NBR) Chairman Abdur Rahman Khan said today (7 April).

Speaking at a pre-budget consultation with transport sector stakeholders at the NBR headquarters, he said the initiative is part of a wider strategy to curb fuel use in the country's transport system.

"The government wants to cut fuel consumption in the transport sector. As a first step, we have decided to set zero import duty on electric buses used for school students," he said.

He added that the decision will be implemented immediately, without waiting for the national budget. "There will be broader changes in the electric vehicle (EV) sector in the upcoming budget, but we will not wait till then. A Statutory Regulatory Order (SRO) will be issued soon to formalise the duty exemption," he noted.

Industry leaders at the meeting urged the government to expand incentives for electric vehicles (EVs), including reducing registration costs through clearer classification based on engine capacity (CC) and kilowatt ratings.

The NBR chief acknowledged longstanding delays in VAT refunds, saying the issue – stemming from the lack of an automated system – has persisted for over a year and a half and promising to solve the problem.

Requests to reduce taxes on jet fuel were declined due to concerns over misuse and revenue leakage. "We must also consider revenue protection," the chairman said, noting the government's target to raise tax collection from Tk4 lakh crore to Tk6 lakh crore.

Petroleum dealers also sought duty-free imports of tank lorries used for fuel transportation, with the NBR chief promising to consider the proposal.

Meanwhile, transport operators requested zero-duty imports of truck chassis to replace ageing vehicles—some over 25 years old—but officials indicated that balancing environmental priorities with revenue needs remains a challenge.

Representatives from the motorcycle sector proposed allowing the use of compressed natural gas (CNG) in motorcycles. In response, the NBR chief discouraged further reliance on gas, citing domestic shortages and the high cost of LNG imports.

He instead highlighted the need for shifting towards renewable energy in the current context.

Aviation operators, meanwhile, said rising jet fuel taxes – now at Tk42 per litre from Tk18 previously – have significantly increased operating costs, urging the government to restore earlier rates.

The meeting brought together a broad range of industry groups, including representatives from the Bangladesh Automobile Assemblers and Manufacturers Association (BAAMA), Bangladesh Reconditioned Vehicles Importers and Dealers Association (BARVIDA), petroleum dealers, motorcycle manufacturers, shipbuilders and aviation operators.

Bangladesh's overall economic growth slowed to 3.03% in the second quarter (October-December) of the 2025-26 fiscal year, down from 3.53% in the same period last year, according to data released by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) on Monday (6 April).

Growth had been comparatively stronger in the first quarter, reaching 4.96%, up from 3.91% a year earlier. At current prices, the country's GDP rose to Tk1,517,600 crore in Q2, from Tk1,390,100 crore in Q2 FY2024-25, indicating that the overall economy continues to expand despite a slowdown in growth momentum.

Sectoral performance

Agriculture sector maintained positive momentum, growing 3.68% in Q2, up from 1.90% a year earlier. In the first quarter, agriculture posted 2.11% growth, improving from a negative 0.12% last year.

The industrial sector experienced a sharp slowdown, with growth dropping to 1.27% in Q2, compared to 5.78% a year earlier. This followed a stronger first quarter growth of 6.82%, highlighting the uneven trajectory of industrial performance.

The service sector remained relatively stable, growing 4.45% in Q2, slightly up from 3.48% last year, and maintaining similar growth in Q1 at 4.51%.

Despite strong contributions from agriculture and services, the slowdown in industry weighed heavily on overall GDP growth. Experts say boosting investment, ensuring energy supply, and recovering global demand will be critical to reviving industrial momentum.

Impact of political and economic factors

Mustafa K Mujeri, executive director of the Institute for Inclusive Finance and Development, attributed the slowdown in formal sectors to political and social instability during the pre-election period.

He noted that the second quarter coincided with the election season, when worker strikes and political unrest created a tense social and political environment.

"As a result, growth in formal sectors such as manufacturing and industry nearly bottomed out, recording just 1.27%," Mujeri said. "In contrast, informal sectors like agriculture and services managed to maintain relatively stable production trends. Production activity in formal sectors was significantly affected during this period."

He further warned that growth could slow in the coming quarters due to the ongoing Middle East crisis, rising fuel and food prices, and higher global market costs, which have increased production expenses. Reduced garment exports and shortages of diesel, water, and chemical fertilizers are also affecting output.

"In agriculture, farmers did not receive fair prices. Potato prices have fallen by almost half, and production costs for other crops were not fully covered. The government must ensure supportive measures so farmers can continue production. Without timely action, growth, employment, and public welfare could suffer," he said.

The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission has fined asset management company Bangladesh RACE Management PCL Tk55 lakh for failing to comply with regulatory requirements on investments in listed bonds and government treasury bonds.

The penalty follows findings of irregularities in 11 out of the 12 mutual funds managed by the company, with Tk5 lakh imposed on each non-compliant fund, according to a recent order issued by the BSEC and published on its website.

The regulator also directed the firm to deposit the fine within 30 days of the order, warning that failure to do so would trigger further action under securities laws.

The commission, in its order, noted that the penalty was imposed mainly for failing to invest at least 3% of fund portfolios in listed debt securities and at least 1% in government treasury bonds, as required by regulations.

According to the order, "as per the Commission's directive dated 23 May 2021, a mutual fund shall invest at least 3% of its portfolio value in listed debt securities within 30 June 2022 and shall at all times maintain such investment ratio in the listed debt securities."

The deadline was later extended to 30 June 2023. However, the commission found that, as of 30 June 2025, 11 of the 12 funds under RACE had less than the required 3% exposure to listed debt securities.

In a separate directive issued on 19 February 2023, the regulator mandated that market intermediaries – including asset managers, merchant bankers, portfolio managers, stock dealers and mutual funds – must invest at least 1% of their own portfolios in listed treasury bonds by 30 June 2023 to diversify risk.

The commission found that funds managed by RACE had no investment in listed treasury bonds as of 30 June 2025.

Trustees flagged repeated non-compliance

The Investment Corporation of Bangladesh, trustee of six mutual funds, repeatedly instructed RACE during trustee committee meetings in the 2024-25 financial year to comply with the 3% investment requirement in listed debt securities.

Similarly, Bangladesh General Insurance Company Limited, trustee of four other funds, flagged the issue as non-compliance on several occasions.

The regulator noted that RACE did not act on these instructions.

It is also worth noting that, following observations from the ICB, the Commission sent a letter to RACE on 28 May 2025, seeking an explanation on the matter.

As all the funds had similar observations, the Commission's relevant department issued the letter only in the name of "Exim Bank First Mutual Fund". However, RACE has yet to respond to the Commission's letter.

RACE disputes findings

In a statement issued today (6 April) on the enforcement action, RACE said it had never made any investment in Agni Systems, for which the penalties were imposed.

It added that RACE-managed funds had neither invested in nor traded shares of the company, terming the BSEC order illegal and saying it had immediately informed the regulator.

RACE also addressed the requirement to invest 3% in listed debt securities and 1% in listed treasury bonds, stating that during the relevant period its mutual funds were subject to trading restrictions, bank account freezes, and BO account suspensions, creating what it described as an "impossibility of performance".

It said, as a result, the funds were unable to execute trades, settle transactions, or rebalance portfolios, and therefore could not comply with the investment requirements.

"During this period, the Funds, being incapacitated from executing any trades, settling transactions, or undertaking portfolio rebalancing, were unable to maintain the newly introduced requirement of investing 3% in listed debt securities and 1% in listed treasury bonds," the company said in the statement.

"Accordingly, the alleged non-compliance, if any, concerning investment in debt securities and treasury bonds arises solely from regulatory actions, and not from any negligence or failure on the part of RACE or the mutual funds," it added.

The company further alleged that the regulator had repeatedly targeted RACE by imposing operational suspensions that led to such constraints.

RACE said, "It further appears from the record that BSEC has continuously been targeting RACE and imposing suspensions on its operations, which in turn created an 'impossibility of performance' situation. Thereafter, BSEC's highlighting of such non-performance and imposing penalties as justification for alleged violations of securities laws is tainted with malafide and shares arbitrariness on the part of the regulator."

At an earlier hearing on the matter, before the fines were imposed, RACE highlighted similar points to defend its position.

The company said certain measures – including restrictions and directives – had harmed both the company and the funds it manages. "We have found instances where the restrictive actions are not taken directly by BSEC, but rather BSEC instructs trustee/custodian to take the restrictive action," the company said.

RACE further argued that such continual actions were "against fundamental principles of equity and constitutional fairness in Bangladesh" and detrimental to unitholders. "These unlawful and restrictive actions, arbitrarily imposed, are exacting a heavy price on the wellbeing of the funds, especially eroding their asset value."

The company added that restrictions under trust deeds, particularly sectoral exposure limits, had affected its ability to comply with the investment requirements.

"The Trust Deed as approved by BSEC restriction had a direct and material impact on the ability to comply with the 3% listed debt and treasury bond securities requirement," it said, noting that most such securities in Bangladesh are issued by banks.

"As long as sectoral exposure remained above the 25% limit, the trust deeds prevented the funds from purchasing many of the listed debt and treasury bond securities that would have counted toward satisfying the Commission's requirement."

RACE noted it could only move towards compliance by first reducing bank-sector holdings and rebalancing portfolios within the allowed timeframe.

Bangladesh saw a significant decline in foreign investment in the last quarter of 2025, with net foreign direct investment (FDI) falling by 18.42% compared to the same period last year.

According to Bangladesh Bank data, net FDI inflows for the October-December 2025 quarter amounted to $108 million, down from $132.81 million in the October-December 2024 quarter.

Economists attribute the slowdown to multiple factors, particularly the overall political situation and election-related uncertainty.

Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank's Dhaka office, said, "There was no conducive environment for investment because there was uncertainty over the political settlement. At that time, it was unrealistic to expect foreign capital to flow into the country."

He noted that interim government initiatives to attract foreign investment faced resistance, further discouraging potential investors. "At that time, investors knew the interim government would not last, and there was no clear roadmap for elections. This uncertainty naturally reduced investment."

Decline in reinvested earnings

Bangladesh Bank data also shows that reinvested earnings, a key component of FDI, have decreased sharply. Over the past year, reinvested earnings dropped by 35.31%, falling to $210.74 million in the October-December 2025 quarter from $325.75 million in the same period of 2024.

Reinvested earnings refer to profits generated by foreign subsidiaries or associates that are retained and reinvested in the host country rather than repatriated as dividends. While reinvested profits create the appearance of rising investment, true FDI growth depends on new equity investment, which has remained weak.

Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), said, "Considering the state of the economy and political environment, foreign firms have reduced reinvested earnings. At the time, there was uncertainty over whether elections would be held. Although elections were held in February, concerns remained during this quarter."

Policy and infrastructural hurdles

Economists say that, beyond political uncertainty, structural and policy-related factors have significantly hindered foreign investment in Bangladesh. Policy inconsistencies, inefficiencies in transport and logistics, and limited port cargo and container-handling capacity discourage investors, leaving the country behind its South Asian peers.

Mustafizur Rahman of the Centre for Policy Dialogue noted, "Challenges such as the single window system and high cost of doing business continue to block FDI inflows. Even if the political environment improves, investment will remain difficult unless these barriers are addressed. Investors evaluate facilities and opportunities, not just which government is in power."

A senior Bangladesh Bank official observed that private-sector investment has also slowed, signalling hesitation among local entrepreneurs alongside foreign investors. "Unless policy challenges are resolved, attracting foreign investment will remain extremely difficult," he said.

According to Bangladesh Bank data, total foreign investment – including equity, reinvested earnings, and intra-company loans – stood at $363.82 million in October-December 2025, down from $490.40 million a year earlier, underscoring persistent structural and political constraints.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury has unveiled a comprehensive roadmap to revitalise Bangladesh's capital market, underscoring the government's firm commitment to building a vibrant, dynamic and sustainable financial ecosystem to support long-term economic growth.

Speaking in parliament today in response to a query from Noakhali-5 lawmaker Mohammad Fakhrul Islam, the minister said the government has already incorporated specific commitments for capital market development in its election manifesto.

He underscored that a strong and efficient capital market is critical for economic expansion and long-term financing, adding that coordinated reforms led by the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission are underway to achieve these objectives.

Restoring investor confidence remains central to the reform strategy, he said, with measures focused on strengthening governance, ensuring transparency and accountability, diversifying financial products, and expanding market depth. Measures are also being taken to scale up investment education nationwide.

A key priority is positioning the capital market as a major source of long-term financing. This includes efforts to develop a robust bond market, encourage fundamentally strong companies to get listed, and bring state-owned enterprises into the stock market.

The government is also planning to introduce modern financial instruments such as exchange-traded funds, sukuk (Islamic bonds), and green bonds, while improving governance in mutual funds to attract broader investor participation. Initiatives to launch commodity and financial derivatives are also in the pipeline to enhance market sophistication.

To improve market discipline, the minister said, authorities are stepping up efforts to curb irregularities and manipulation by strengthening investigation and enforcement, accelerating digital transformation, and easing market access for both local and foreign investors. Measures to protect whistleblowers and reinforce corporate governance across listed firms are also being prioritised. Strengthening corporate governance across listed companies is another key pillar of the reform agenda.

Legal reforms are progressing alongside these initiatives. The government is reviewing a draft Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission Act, 2025, aimed at consolidating existing laws to boost regulatory efficiency and investor protection.

A draft Capital Market Stabilisation Fund Act, 2026 is also under consideration to ensure proper management of unclaimed dividends, rights shares and IPO proceeds. New whistleblower protection rules and an updated corporate governance framework are in the works to replace the 2018 code and strengthen accountability.

Planned amendments to debt securities rules will incorporate sustainable instruments such as green, blue, orange and social bonds, reflecting a growing focus on environmentally and socially responsible financing.

The minister also highlighted efforts to expand investment education, including integrating it into school, college and university curricula, and organising nationwide training programmes for young entrepreneurs. Awareness campaigns are being rolled out at district and upazila levels, supported by digital platforms and a dedicated programme on Bangladesh Television to enhance public understanding of the capital market.

The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission has fined asset management company Bangladesh RACE Management PCL Tk55 lakh for failing to comply with regulatory requirements on investments in listed bonds and government treasury bonds.

The penalty follows findings of irregularities in 11 out of the 12 mutual funds managed by the company, with Tk5 lakh imposed on each non-compliant fund, according to a recent order issued by the BSEC and published on its website.

The regulator also directed the firm to deposit the fine within 30 days of the order, warning that failure to do so would trigger further action under securities laws.

The commission, in its order, noted that the penalty was imposed mainly for failing to invest at least 3% of fund portfolios in listed debt securities and at least 1% in government treasury bonds, as required by regulations.

According to the order, "as per the Commission's directive dated 23 May 2021, a mutual fund shall invest at least 3% of its portfolio value in listed debt securities within 30 June 2022 and shall at all times maintain such investment ratio in the listed debt securities."

The deadline was later extended to 30 June 2023. However, the commission found that, as of 30 June 2025, 11 of the 12 funds under RACE had less than the required 3% exposure to listed debt securities.

In a separate directive issued on 19 February 2023, the regulator mandated that market intermediaries – including asset managers, merchant bankers, portfolio managers, stock dealers and mutual funds – must invest at least 1% of their own portfolios in listed treasury bonds by 30 June 2023 to diversify risk.

The commission found that funds managed by RACE had no investment in listed treasury bonds as of 30 June 2025.

Trustees flagged repeated non-compliance

The Investment Corporation of Bangladesh, trustee of six mutual funds, repeatedly instructed RACE during trustee committee meetings in the 2024-25 financial year to comply with the 3% investment requirement in listed debt securities.

Similarly, Bangladesh General Insurance Company Limited, trustee of four other funds, flagged the issue as non-compliance on several occasions.

The regulator noted that RACE did not act on these instructions.

It is also worth noting that, following observations from the ICB, the Commission sent a letter to RACE on 28 May 2025, seeking an explanation on the matter.

As all the funds had similar observations, the Commission's relevant department issued the letter only in the name of "Exim Bank First Mutual Fund". However, RACE has yet to respond to the Commission's letter.

RACE disputes findings

In a statement issued today (6 April) on the enforcement action, RACE said it had never made any investment in Agni Systems, for which the penalties were imposed.

It added that RACE-managed funds had neither invested in nor traded shares of the company, terming the BSEC order illegal and saying it had immediately informed the regulator.

RACE also addressed the requirement to invest 3% in listed debt securities and 1% in listed treasury bonds, stating that during the relevant period its mutual funds were subject to trading restrictions, bank account freezes, and BO account suspensions, creating what it described as an "impossibility of performance".

It said, as a result, the funds were unable to execute trades, settle transactions, or rebalance portfolios, and therefore could not comply with the investment requirements.

"During this period, the Funds, being incapacitated from executing any trades, settling transactions, or undertaking portfolio rebalancing, were unable to maintain the newly introduced requirement of investing 3% in listed debt securities and 1% in listed treasury bonds," the company said in the statement.

"Accordingly, the alleged non-compliance, if any, concerning investment in debt securities and treasury bonds arises solely from regulatory actions, and not from any negligence or failure on the part of RACE or the mutual funds," it added.

The company further alleged that the regulator had repeatedly targeted RACE by imposing operational suspensions that led to such constraints.

RACE said, "It further appears from the record that BSEC has continuously been targeting RACE and imposing suspensions on its operations, which in turn created an 'impossibility of performance' situation. Thereafter, BSEC's highlighting of such non-performance and imposing penalties as justification for alleged violations of securities laws is tainted with malafide and shares arbitrariness on the part of the regulator."

At an earlier hearing on the matter, before the fines were imposed, RACE highlighted similar points to defend its position.

The company said certain measures – including restrictions and directives – had harmed both the company and the funds it manages. "We have found instances where the restrictive actions are not taken directly by BSEC, but rather BSEC instructs trustee/custodian to take the restrictive action," the company said.

RACE further argued that such continual actions were "against fundamental principles of equity and constitutional fairness in Bangladesh" and detrimental to unitholders. "These unlawful and restrictive actions, arbitrarily imposed, are exacting a heavy price on the wellbeing of the funds, especially eroding their asset value."

The company added that restrictions under trust deeds, particularly sectoral exposure limits, had affected its ability to comply with the investment requirements.

"The Trust Deed as approved by BSEC restriction had a direct and material impact on the ability to comply with the 3% listed debt and treasury bond securities requirement," it said, noting that most such securities in Bangladesh are issued by banks.

"As long as sectoral exposure remained above the 25% limit, the trust deeds prevented the funds from purchasing many of the listed debt and treasury bond securities that would have counted toward satisfying the Commission's requirement."

RACE noted it could only move towards compliance by first reducing bank-sector holdings and rebalancing portfolios within the allowed timeframe.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury on Monday said that the government is working with a comprehensive plan to increase people’s income and transform Bangladesh into a trillion-dollar economy by 2034.

Replying to a written question from ruling party lawmaker SM Jahangir Hossain (Dhaka-18) in the Jatiya Sangsad, the finance minister said that according to the latest data published by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), the per capita income of the country stood at US$2,769 in the fiscal year 2024-25.

He said the present government has set a major target to achieve the milestone of a trillion-dollar economy by 2034, and in this regard a broad-based action plan is being formulated focusing on investment, employment generation, economic democratization, creative economy and sports economy.

The finance minister said the government is not focusing on a single sector to increase per capita income; rather it is simultaneously working on employment, investment, production, exports, remittances, skill development, social protection and macroeconomic stability.

He outlined several key initiatives taken to raise people’s income and strengthen the economy.

The minister said the government is giving top priority to creating new employment opportunities in production, construction, services, ICT, agro-processing and small entrepreneurship sectors to reduce unemployment and increase household income.

Khosru added that steps are being taken to boost private investment and industrialization by simplifying business procedures, ensuring investment-friendly policies and encouraging production-oriented industries to create more jobs and income opportunities.Business intelligence tools

To strengthen the SME and entrepreneurship sector, the government is facilitating easier financing, supporting new entrepreneurs and encouraging women and youth entrepreneurs to expand economic activities at the local level.

The finance minister also said that export growth and market expansion are being prioritized through diversification of export products, exploration of new markets and retention of existing markets to increase foreign earnings and industrial production.

Highlighting remittance, he said initiatives have been taken to enhance overseas employment, improve workers’ skills and encourage sending remittances through legal channels, which will strengthen rural economies and foreign exchange reserves.

Khosru further said that skill development and training programmes are being expanded in line with domestic and international labour market demand so that skilled manpower can secure better jobs and higher income.

“The government is also strengthening agriculture, rural infrastructure and agro-based economic activities to increase production and income at the grassroots level,” he added.

Regarding implementation, the finance minister said some initiatives are already being implemented in the 2025-26 fiscal year, while others will be executed in short, medium and long-term phases.Personal finance consulting

He expressed hope that through sustained efforts in employment, investment, exports, remittances and skill development, Bangladesh will achieve higher per capita income, reduce unemployment, increase purchasing power and move steadily toward becoming a trillion-dollar economy by 2034.

The government is facing growing uncertainty over how to mobilise funds to meet mounting expenditure pressures as a surge in global fuel prices threatens to widen the fiscal gap in the upcoming budget.

Officials at the finance division say the cost of subsidies in the power and energy sectors alone could approach Tk1 lakh crore annually, driven by nearly doubled oil and gas prices in international markets amid the Middle East war.

Additional pressure is seen from increased subsidies in agriculture and fertiliser alongside spending commitments linked to the government's election pledges.

However, revenue mobilisation prospects remain weak due to sluggish economic activity, raising concerns over how the government will bridge the widening gap between income and cost.

Against this backdrop, the government's coordination council is set to meet tomorrow to review the overall situation, identify risks and outline strategies for the next fiscal year's budget.

Finance ministry officials said they had initially begun work on a budget of around Tk8.8 lakh crore to Tk9 lakh crore for FY2026, expecting a post-election rebound in investment and employment.

But the overall global situation has forced a reassessment as rising energy costs squeeze fiscal space while revenue growth remains constrained.

Officials are now considering a contractionary budget, with the size likely to be between Tk8.5 lakh crore and Tk8.6 lakh crore.

The government is expected to set a revenue target of around Tk6 lakh crore for the next FY, including approximately Tk5.3 lakh crore from the National Board of Revenue. However, concerns persist over the feasibility of this target.

The Centre for Policy Dialogue has already warned that NBR collections in the current FY may fall short of the target by about Tk1 lakh crore.

"Global economic uncertainty and structural weaknesses in revenue mobilisation have made it increasingly difficult to balance income and expenditure while delivering on election promises," a senior finance ministry official said.

He also said that the final budget size could be revised upward, potentially reaching Tk9 lakh crore, depending on the government's decisions.

The government has set a target of raising GDP growth from a provisional 3.5% this FY to 5% in the next, alongside efforts to contain inflation and boost domestic demand.

However, officials remain sceptical about achieving these targets given global perspectives.

Currently, the government has been managing subsidy pressures through spending cuts and alternative financing measures. These include reducing allocations in various sectors, issuing bonds to borrow from the private sector and utilising funds earmarked for "unforeseen expenditures."

Recent austerity measures include a ban on government vehicle purchases and restrictions on foreign travel funded by the state. While such steps have helped manage additional costs for a few months, officials warn that sustaining them over a longer period will be challenging.

"If the situation persists, adjustments in fuel and power prices may become necessary," the finance ministry official said, cautioning that such moves could further fuel inflation. This, in turn, may require higher allocations for social safety net programmes to protect low-income groups.

While initiatives like the "family card" programme have already been introduced, officials say there is limited scope to expand new schemes in the next budget. Instead, the focus will be on improving efficiency and preventing duplication in existing programmes.

Budget support from development partners is feared to decline sharply, from around $3.5 billion in FY2025 to about $1.2 billion in the current FY. Inflows may remain just above $1 billion next FY, although an additional $1.8 billion could come from the IMF under ongoing programmes.