Stocks ended almost flat today (11 March), with the DSEX – the benchmark index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) – rising by 2.50 points after two days of recovery.

Following the trading session in two-days, most of the stocks today increased but turnover fell 12% to Tk523.59 crore as investors remained watchful of the current situation.

Within the two trading sessions (9 and 10 March), DSEX recovered 280 points to close at 5,290, mostly riding on large-cap blue-chip stocks, including banks.

On Tuesday, the DSEX surged 148 points, fuelled by price gains in shares of banks and telecom sector stocks with 87% of issues advancing after absorbing the recent massive sell-offs.

Earlier, stocks suffered a highest single-day fall in six years on Sunday, the first trading session of the week as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East triggered panic selling across the market.

The index plunged 231 points, or 4.42%, to close at 5,008, hitting a two-month low and marking the biggest one-day decline since the Covid-19 pandemic era.

The other major indices – DSES, surged by 3.90 points to 1,062 and DS30 with 30 leading companies and is considered the exchange's investable index, declined 0.81 points.

EBL Securities in its daily market commentary said that the capital bourse displayed a mixed trading pattern as investors remained watchful amid ongoing developments surrounding the Middle East conflict, prompting the benchmark index to close largely on a flat note.

"Investors were active on both sides of the trading fence, while cautious investors utilized the recent market recovery to lock in gains from sector-specific large-cap scrips and preferred to observe the market's trend," it said.

Meanwhile, price appreciation was evident in several speculative and momentum-driven stocks as opportunistic investors continued to chase potential quick gains.

On the sectoral front, Pharma accounted for the highest share of turnover by 18.4%, followed by Bank 16.3% and Textile 11.4%. In the previous two trading sessions, bank stocks lead in strong recovery as most banks price surges.

Of the 391 issues traded, 236 advanced, 98 declined, and 57 remained unchanged.

People's Leasing topped the gainer list hitting upper circuit, a highest single day limit capped by the regulator, by 10% to Tk3.3 each at the DSE.

Followed by Fareast Finance by 10% to Tk3.3 each, Fas Finance by 10% to Tk3.3 each, HR Textile by 9.86% to Tk21.1 each, and Anlima Yarn by 9.73% to Tk20.3 each.

While on the losing side, National Bank topped the loser list as its shares price fell by 5.55% to Tk5.1 each, followed by Tung Hai Knitting by 5.40% to Tk3.5 each, Mithun Knitting by 3.63% to Tk15.9 each.

The port city bourse, CSE, also settled on a positive territory. The Selective Categories' Index (CSCX) and All Share Price Index (CASPI) advanced by 31.5 points and 48.5 points, respectively.

Bangladesh will purchase three more cargoes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) on the spot market from South Korean and UK-based companies at more than double the price paid in December, as the government moves to prevent a looming energy crisis.

The cabinet committee on public purchase approved the deal yesterday. The three shipments are expected to arrive between April 5 and April 13.

UK-based TotalEnergies Gas & Power Ltd will supply one cargo at $21.58 per MMBtu (Million Metric British Thermal Units), while South Korea-based Posco International Corporation will provide two cargoes at $20.76 per MMBtu.

The government will spend around Tk 2,660 crore on these deliveries, adding pressure on the fiscal budget.

Earlier, state-run Petrobangla secured two emergency LNG cargoes for March deliveries from the spot market at nearly three times December prices due to supply uncertainties caused by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

One cargo was purchased from US-based Gunvor at $28.28 per MMBtu, a 183 percent increase over December rates, while a second shipment from Vitol cost $23.08 per MMBtu, according to Petrobangla officials.

Previously, the government had approved LNG purchases at $9.99 per MMBtu in December and $11.97 per MMBtu in July, highlighting how sharply spot-market prices have risen. This situation highlights how vulnerable South Asian markets are to global price swings when shipping routes face disruption.

“We had to pay a steep premium because suppliers were increasingly reluctant to submit bids,” a Petrobangla official said on condition of anonymity. “The ongoing Middle East crisis has reduced the number of participants willing to make short-term deliveries to this region.”

LNG prices, which had been gradually falling, spiked last week due to the US-Israel war on Iran. Bangladesh had to turn to the spot market after failing to attract bidders for two consecutive days, even at more than double the usual rate.

This comes amid ongoing uncertainty over timely shipments from Qatar, as Gulf shipping remains heavily disrupted. Tehran has threatened to “set fire” to vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil chokepoint connecting the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea.

Bangladesh meets nearly 30 percent of its gas demand through imported LNG, while domestic output continues to fall short of the total requirement of about 2,650 mmcfd (million cubic feet per day).

The country also spends around $1 billion annually to import over 6 million tonnes of petroleum, mostly sourced from the Middle East, with more than half of LNG imports in 2025 passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

In other approvals, the government yesterday cleared the purchase of 3.10 lakh litres of rice bran oil and palm oil. Indonesian bidder Powerhouse General Trading will supply 1.30 lakh litres of palm oil, while local suppliers will provide rice bran oil.

Additionally, the cabinet committee on public purchase approved the buying of 240 megawatts of electricity from a gas-based power plant of the Electricity Generation Company of Bangladesh at a cost of Tk 23,880 crore, with a tariff rate of Tk 3.3664 per kilowatt-hour.

The Bangladesh government has sent a letter to India seeking energy assistance in light of the situation created by the ongoing war in the Middle East.

Indian High Commissioner to Bangladesh Pranay Verma confirmed the development today (11 March) after a meeting with State Minister for Power, Energy and Mineral Resources Iqbal Hassan Mahmood at the Secretariat.

Responding to questions from journalists, the Indian envoy said, "We have received a formal letter from the government of Bangladesh requesting additional assistance. I have accepted it and will forward it to the concerned authorities for prompt consideration."

Regarding the discussion at the meeting, Verma said India and Bangladesh maintain a very strong connection in the power and energy sectors, which is one of the key pillars of their economic cooperation.

He noted that cross-border electricity transmission lines and pipelines between the two countries are currently operational, adding that the meeting also discussed ways to further strengthen this cooperation.

Finance Minister Amir Khasru Mahmud Chowdhury said Bangladesh has sought a temporary waiver from the United States to purchase Russian oil, similar to the exemption granted to India, amid a global fuel crisis due to tensions in the Middle East.

"We told them [US] that if Bangladesh is given a similar opportunity, it would greatly support our economy. They have said the matter will be sent to Washington. Now we will see what happens," the minister told journalists after a meeting with US Ambassador to Bangladesh Brent T Christensen at the planning minister's office in Sher-e-Bangla Nagar today (11 March).

Indian refiners buying prompt Russian oil as Iran war hits supplies, sources say

Khasru said that the meeting mainly discussed the uncertainty in the international energy market, particularly regarding oil and gas supply.

Issues related to increasing investment, trade, and economic cooperation between Bangladesh and the United States were also discussed at the meeting.

The minister added that there were discussions on capacity building of various government institutions as well.

Govt seeks seamless fuel import from China, ramps up diesel imports from India

Responding to questions from journalists, he said that no specific decision was made in the meeting regarding a possible trade agreement with the United States.

He said, "A trade agreement is a matter between two countries. It is not possible for us to say anything specific right now. However, we are considering how the issue can be utilised in the best possible way for Bangladesh's interests."

In response to a question about the government's course of action if the current international conflict becomes prolonged, he said the government is preparing by considering different possible scenarios.

"Whether the war is short-term, medium-term, or prolonged we are planning by taking every situation into account. These issues were discussed in detail today," Khasru said.

Despite adequate imports and stocks of edible oil and sugar in Bangladesh, panic-buying triggered by fears over the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war has created shortages at the retail level in the capital.

Traders and importers say there is no actual supply crisis, noting that the country still holds sufficient stocks to meet demand for at least a month, while import activities remain normal.

A visit to several markets in the capital showed that loose soybean oil is being sold at Tk178-193 per kilogramme. Five-litre bottles are selling for Tk940-Tk955, while two-litre bottles are priced between Tk390 and Tk395. Palm oil is being sold at Tk158-Tk162 per kilogramme, and sugar at Tk100-Tk105 per kilogramme.

In many neighbourhood grocery stores, however, the supply of soybean oil appears insufficient compared with demand. Five-litre bottles are largely unavailable, according to retailers, a situation that has persisted for around two weeks.

Traders say the shortage is mainly due to a surge in consumer demand. Mohammad Saiful Islam, a trader in Dhaka's Shahjadpur, said companies are supplying very limited quantities of bottled oil.

"We hardly receive five-litre bottles, and two-litre bottles arrive only occasionally. Companies are saying they themselves do not have enough supply. People have also been buying more than usual, but at the moment I simply do not have the product to sell," he said.

Among consumers, anxiety about the war has also led to stockpiling. Israt Jahan Lipsa, a resident of Mohammadpur and a former banker, said she bought two months' worth of groceries after the war began.

"During crises or disasters, food prices usually rise and sometimes products become unavailable. We have seen this before, so I bought two months' worth of supplies in advance so that we would not face problems if shortages occur," she said.

At the wholesale level, however, traders say the supply of edible oil and sugar remains sufficient. At Karwan Bazar in the capital, wholesaler Mamunur Rashid said there had been minor disruptions for a day or two, but the situation has now normalised.

According to the commerce ministry, Bangladesh's annual demand for soybean and palm oil is around 25 lakh tonnes, while sugar demand stands at about 20-21 lakh tonnes.

Of this, only around 30,000-37,000 tonnes of sugar are produced locally. Demand for both commodities peaks during Ramadan, when around 3 lakh tonnes of each are required.

Ample storage confirmed by importers

Officials from oil and sugar importing companies also insist there is no real shortage. They say panic buying is largely responsible for the temporary supply pressure in the retail market, adding that private companies currently hold at least one month's stock.

Supplier companies have also rejected claims of a soybean oil shortage, saying the scarcity at local shops is the result of panic-buying rather than supply disruption. Some industry insiders, however, said a few companies, including Bashundhara, faced difficulties opening letters of credit (LCs), which may have created limited supply constraints.

Taslim Shahriar, deputy general manager of Meghna Group, one of the leading suppliers of consumer goods, said the company imported additional oil and sugar during January and February compared with regular months.

"We are supplying more than 50,000 tonnes of oil per month. There should be no shortage," he said, adding that if problems arise at the dealer level, the Directorate of National Consumer Rights Protection should take action.

Echoing the view, Biswajit Saha, executive director of City Group, said the company has not reduced supply. He noted that some smaller firms are struggling to import edible oil due to LC-related complications.

"The temporary shortage may be linked to the extra demand during Ramadan and stockpiling by some consumers," he said.

Zohurul Islam, business manager of ACI Limited, said the current stock of soybean oil in the country should be sufficient for about a month.

"So far, we have not increased prices, and there should be no need to do so within the next 15 to 20 days. However, if crude oil prices rise in the global market, it will inevitably have an impact everywhere," he said.

Strict monitoring urged

SM Nazer Hossain, vice-president of the Consumers Association of Bangladesh, said the issue cannot be blamed solely on consumers.

"During such situations, many dealers and retailers also start hoarding products, which creates artificial shortages and allows them to sell at higher prices," he said.

Nazer urged the government to conduct inspections of warehouses to check if there is any case of hoarding.

"According to our estimates, there are about six months' worth of crude sugar and edible oil either in stock or in the import pipeline. Since these products also require time for refining, there is no question of a real shortage. This appears to be an attempt to create an artificial crisis to raise prices," he added.

Oil prices rebounded on Wednesday as markets doubted whether the International Energy Agency’s reported plan for a ​record release of oil reserves could offset potential supply shocks from the US-Israeli conflict with Iran.

Brent futures traded up 59 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $88.39 a barrel ‌by 0727 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traded 98 cents higher, or 1.2 percent, at $84.43 a barrel.

Both contracts extended losses in early Asian trade, after plunging more than 11 percent on Tuesday, despite US crude prices leaping 5 at the market’s opening.

The IEA’s proposed drawdown would exceed the 182 million barrels of oil that IEA member countries put onto the market ​in two releases in 2022 when Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the WSJ said, citing officials familiar with the matter.

In ​a note to clients, Goldman Sachs analysts said that a stockpile release of that size would offset 12 days of the investment bank’s estimated 15.4 million barrel-per-day Gulf exports disruption.

The US and Israel pounded Iran on Tuesday with what the Pentagon and Iranians on the ground ​called the most intense airstrikes of the war.

The US military also “eliminated” 16 Iranian mine-laying vessels near the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, the US Central Command said, ​as US President Donald Trump warned any mines laid in the Strait by Iran must be removed immediately.

Some analysts were sceptical about the IEA’s proposal and its impact on oil prices.

“Moves like IEA SPR release are not the solution to the crisis. How oil prices will evolve will depend on the duration of the Iran war,” said DBS ​energy sector team lead Suvro Sarkar.

Near-term upside price risks will be “reined in through periodic strategic signalling moves like we have seen over the past couple ​of days to calm markets down”, Sarkar added.

G7 officials have also gathered online to discuss a potential release of emergency oil stockpiles to soften the market blow.

French President Emmanuel ‌Macron will host ⁠a video call with other G7 country leaders on Wednesday to discuss the impact of the conflict in the Middle East on energy and measures to address the situation.

Trump has repeatedly said the US is prepared to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz when necessary. However, sources told Reuters the US Navy has refused requests from the shipping industry for military escorts as the risk of attacks is too high for now.

The president and his energy team are closely watching the markets, speaking with industry leaders, and the US military is

Abu Dhabi state ​oil giant ADNOC has shut its Ruwais refinery ​in response to a fire ⁠at a facility within the complex following a drone strike, according to a source, marking the latest energy infrastructure disruption due to the US-Israeli war on Iran.

Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil exporter, is seen boosting supplies via ​the Red Sea, although they are still far below the levels needed to compensate for the drop in ​flows from the Strait ⁠of Hormuz, shipping data showed.

The kingdom is relying on the Red Sea port of Yanbu to help it boost exports to avert steep production cuts as its neighbours Iraq, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates have already reduced output.

Energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie said the war is currently cutting Gulf oil and oil products supply ⁠to the ​market by some 15 million barrels per day, which could raise crude prices to $150 per barrel.

“Even ​a quick resolution probably implies weeks of disruption for energy markets yet,” Morgan Stanley said in a note.

Reflecting higher demand, US crude, gasoline and distillate stocks fell last week, market sources said, ​citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

Garment exports from Bangladesh to non-traditional markets declined by 6.34 percent year-on-year to $4.24 billion in the July-February period of the current fiscal year.

Every market other than the European Union (EU), the UK, Canada, and the US is considered non-traditional or emerging for Bangladesh.

The total market share of garment exports to non-traditional markets stood at 16.44 percent during this time, according to data from the Export Promotion Bureau (EPB).

In the same period, Bangladesh’s total RMG exports reached $25.8 billion, registering a 3.73 percent year-on-year fall.

The EU remained Bangladesh’s largest export destination for RMG, accounting for 49.18 percent of total exports in this category. Export earnings from the bloc stood at $12.69 billion, registering a year-on-year decline of 5.49 percent.

The US retained its position as the second-largest market, with RMG exports amounting to $5.03 billion during the period. This represented 19.50 percent of total RMG exports, though shipments fell by 0.74 percent year-on-year.

Exports to Canada and the UK showed positive momentum. Apparel exports to Canada grew by 3.08 percent in July-February to reach $871.58 million, representing a 3.38 percent share.

Shipments to the UK slightly increased by 1.22 percent to $2.97 billion, accounting for an 11.5 percent share.

The knitwear segment recorded a 4.56 percent fall to $13.68 billion, while woven exports fell by 2.79 percent to $12.10 billion during the same period.

Gold edged higher on Wednesday on safe-haven demand and as ‌a retreat in oil prices calmed inflation worries, reviving expectations for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts this year as investors awaited US CPI data that may offer more cues.

Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at $5,198.29 ​per ounce, as of 0641 GMT. US gold futures for April delivery fell 0.7 percent ​to $5,206.40.

Oil prices dropped below $90 per barrel amid reports that the International Energy Agency proposed the largest release of oil reserves in its history to curb surging prices.

“With ​these (inflation) concerns having eased... hedging and safe-haven attributes (of gold) have once again come to the fore. So, ​I think from current levels we remain optimistic,” said Nikos Kavalis, Singapore managing director of Metals Focus.

The US and Israel pounded Iran with what the Pentagon and the Iranians on the ground called the most intense ​airstrikes of the war, despite global markets betting that Trump will seek to end ​the conflict soon.

The war has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for a fifth of global ‌oil and liquefied natural gas, stranding tankers for more than a week and forcing producers to halt output as storage fills, driving energy prices soaring.

Bullion, traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset, has risen more than 20 percent so far this year, notching successive record highs amid heightened geopolitical and ​economic uncertainty.

“I think it’s ​very likely that ⁠we’ll see gold get to over $6,000 an ounce by the third or fourth quarter this year, probably even higher early next year,” Kavalis ​said.

Markets are now awaiting the US consumer price index for February, ​due later ⁠in the day, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index - the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge - on Friday.

Investors expect the Fed to keep rates steady at the end of its two-day meeting on March ⁠18 ​but still see at least two rate cuts this year, ​per CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

The government has asked the National Board of Revenue (NBR) to outline plans for increasing revenue collection during the remaining months of the current fiscal year.

According to the government's plan, in order to raise the tax-to-GDP ratio to 8% in the current FY2025-26, revenue collection must increase by around Tk1.25 lakh crore compared to the previous fiscal year.

This means revenue collection needs to grow by about 34% from last fiscal year, although growth in revenue collection during the seven months from July to January has been less than 13%.

Prime Minister's Adviser on Finance and Planning Dr Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir has instructed the NBR to explain what measures it will take to boost revenue collection during the remaining four months of the fiscal year, from March to June, and from which sectors revenue will be increased.

He gave the instruction during a meeting with senior officials at the NBR headquarters in Agargaon, Dhaka, today (11 March), several officials present at the meeting told The Business Standard.

However, speaking on condition of anonymity, a VAT division official who attended the meeting told TBS, "According to the government's target, the opportunity to increase revenue collection significantly in the remaining months of the fiscal year is limited. Some increase in revenue may come through special drives to recover arrears."

Explaining the reasons, the official said, "Due to both domestic and global factors, there is currently little dynamism in the country's economy. Development project implementation is slow. Import and export activities are also sluggish. So how will such a huge amount of revenue come?"

The official also said there is little scope to increase taxes midway through the fiscal year. As a result, regardless of the outcome in the current fiscal year, some measures may be taken in the next budget to ensure better progress in revenue collection in FY2026-27.

In FY2024-25, the tax-to-GDP ratio dropped to 6.6%, which is far below the target set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for Bangladesh. Ahead of the national election, the BNP government also pledged to increase the tax-to-GDP ratio or domestic revenue collection.

In line with that commitment, pressure has been mounting on the NBR since the government assumed responsibility to increase revenue collection.

Sources at the NBR said the authority currently has nearly Tk1 lakh crore in outstanding revenue, a large portion of which is undisputed while the rest is tied up in legal cases. NBR officials believe that if a major drive is launched to recover these arrears in the remaining months of the fiscal year, a significant amount of revenue could be collected. Beyond that, opportunities to increase revenue to meet the target remain limited.

Analysis of NBR revenue collection statistics also shows that the pace of revenue growth has slowed over the past three months. The growth rate seen at the beginning of the fiscal year has gradually declined. In such a situation, officials believe maintaining normal revenue growth in the coming months will be a major challenge for the NBR.

Inflow of remittances witnessed a year-on-year growth of 51.7 percent reaching US$1,738 million in the first ten days of March, according to the latest data of Bangladesh Bank (BB) issued today (Wednesday).

Last year, during the same period, the country's remittance inflow was $1,145 million, BSS reports.

During the July to March 10, 2026 of the current fiscal year, expatriates sent remittances of $24,191 million, which was $19,635 million during the same period of the previous fiscal year.

US liquefied natural gas (LNG) companies are projected to earn more than $1 billion per week in additional profits as global energy prices surge amid the ongoing conflict involving Iran, according to new data from energy research firm EnergyFlux.

The crisis escalated after a US–Israel coalition launched strikes in Iran on 28 February, destabilising global energy markets. The situation intensified when Qatar shut down its Ras Laffan LNG facility, which accounts for about 20% of global LNG supply, triggering a worldwide supply shortage.

EnergyFlux data shows that profits from a single LNG cargo shipped from the United States to Europe have doubled from around $25 million last week to more than $50 million as of 2 March.

Analysts estimate that if the Ras Laffan plant remains closed for a month, US LNG exporters could earn up to $4 billion in extra profits. If disruptions continue through the summer, the figure could rise to around $20 billion per month.

Shares of major US LNG exporters have already surged. Venture Global and Cheniere Energy saw their share prices rise by about 23% and 11%, respectively, following the market shift. Venture Global has also been reported to have close ties to former US President Donald Trump.

The increase in LNG profits comes alongside a broader spike in energy prices. Since the conflict escalated, Brent crude oil prices have risen about 14%, European natural gas prices have jumped 75%, and Asian LNG spot prices have climbed roughly 47%.

With Middle Eastern supply disrupted, Europe and Asia are increasingly turning to alternative suppliers, particularly the United States. Rapid expansion of liquefaction facilities over the past decade has made the US the world's largest LNG exporter, accounting for around 25% of global exports in 2025.

Europe remains the primary destination for US LNG, especially after the region reduced reliance on Russian pipeline gas following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Countries such as Spain, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom have expanded or are expected to increase imports from the United States.

Asian countries including China, Japan, South Korea, Bangladesh and India may also increase LNG imports from the US if the Iran crisis continues, as many of them depend heavily on LNG for electricity generation and industrial use.

Energy experts say the situation highlights how LNG has become both a commercial commodity and a geopolitical tool, while also underscoring the importance of diversifying energy sources and accelerating the shift toward renewable energy.

Bangladesh Bank (BB) has identified six major business groups as primary targets in its first phase of strategic efforts to recover laundered loan assets from abroad.

Due to strategic reasons, the central bank has not yet disclosed the names of these groups, UNB reports.

However, sources confirmed that they were selected based on the volume of their defaulted loans, allegations of money laundering, and specific intelligence reports.

According to central bank officials, there is strong evidence that these groups laundered a significant portion of the massive loans they secured from the banking sector. To expedite results, the most "high-risk" and discussed groups have been prioritized.

Under this initiative, affected banks are preparing to initiate civil proceedings in foreign courts with the assistance of international asset recovery agencies and litigation funders. These experts will track the money trail, locate offshore assets, and determine legal strategies for recovery.

Bangladesh Bank Governor Md. Mostaqur Rahman has directed banks to intensify their efforts, emphasizing that the laundered money belongs to depositors.

Presiding over a meeting titled ‘Update of Civil Asset Recovery Status’ on Tuesday, the Governor, who also chairs the Stolen Asset Recovery Taskforce (SARTF), assured banks of full support.

"This is a national priority. If any bank faces political pressure while pursuing these cases, they should contact me directly. I will take the responsibility of handling such pressure," he stated.Politics

The recovery process is being conducted through two channels. One is through criminal proceedings, managed on a Government-to-Government (G2G) basis involving state agencies and law enforcement. The other is through civil proceedings, led by the affected banks, who hire international firms to sue for damages and asset repatriation in foreign jurisdictions.

The meeting revealed that 10 banks have already signed 36 Non-Disclosure Agreements (NDAs) with various international asset recovery firms. While private banks are moving swiftly, state-owned commercial banks were urged to accelerate their information-sharing and NDA processes.

Following the first phase involving these six groups, the central bank plans to expand the scope significantly. Preparation is already underway to bring over 100 potential cases under the civil asset recovery framework in the second phase.

Central bank officials believe that successful legal action against these first six groups will set a crucial precedent and send a stern warning to other large-scale loan defaulters.

Bangladesh’s processed food exports to key Middle Eastern markets have come to a standstill as disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz caused by the US-Israeli war on Iran have halted shipments, leaving containers stranded and exporters fearing mounting financial losses.

Containers loaded with snacks, spices and other food products are either stranded or unable to be shipped. Companies warn that prolonged disruptions could affect cash flow, inventory management and profitability.

Bangladesh exports a wide range of products to the Middle East, industry insiders say, including beverage items, spices, biscuits, puffed rice, chanachur (Bombay mix), noodles, mustard oil, and other snacks.

The companies’ major markets in the region include Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain.

Exports of Square Food & Beverage Ltd to the Middle East have been disrupted since the conflict began, leaving several containers stranded and causing financial losses, said Md Parvez Saiful Islam, chief executive officer (CEO) of the company.

“The crisis in the Middle East started on February 28. From March 1, all the containers that we had handed over to freight forwarders for shipment got stuck,” Islam told The Daily Star.

According to him, around 11 containers of the company’s products are currently unable to be shipped.

“If the containers cannot be shipped, we may eventually have to bring the goods back. Since the products are already packed and loaded, storage and other charges will keep increasing,” he said.

The company is now in discussions with shipping lines to determine whether the containers will be shipped or returned.

The inability to fulfil export orders is the main problem, he said.

Square Food & Beverage exports products such as spices, chanachur and mustard oil to Middle Eastern markets.

The stranded consignments alone are worth about $800,000, he added.

Some export shipments of Pran-RFL Group to Middle Eastern markets have been caught in transit, while others could not be shipped due to uncertainty surrounding maritime routes, said Kamruzzaman Kamal, marketing director of the company.

According to him, some of the company’s goods are currently at Chattogram port, while others have already reached a Sri Lankan transhipment port from where they were supposed to move through the Strait towards Gulf markets.

“Our feeder vessels carry the containers to those ports, and from there the cargo is loaded onto mother vessels for onward shipment,” Kamal said.

However, shipments moving through that route are now facing uncertainty. “So those goods have not yet moved forward,” he added. Kamal cautioned that the disruption could lead to business losses if it continues for long.

Bombay Sweets has also halted exports to its main Middle Eastern markets since tensions first emerged, said Khurshid Ahmad Farhad, general manager of the company.

“We have not been able to export goods worth even a single taka this month,” Farhad told The Daily Star.

“We halted shipments on the very first day the tensions started. None of our containers remains stuck because we did not release them from the factory.”

However, he said many exporters who had already shipped goods are now facing difficulties at Chattogram port.

“Some containers are stuck at the port. In some cases, shipping lines are charging demurrage. In other cases, goods are being stored at depots and accumulating additional charges,” he added.

Farhad said those who shipped goods without calculating the risks are now facing the biggest problems.

Referring to export data from the Export Promotion Bureau, he estimated Bangladesh’s processed food exports to the Middle East at $40 million to $45 million annually. The entire agriculture sector fetched around $65.24 million in the last fiscal year.

Farhad also noted the large value difference between products.

“For example, a container of spices may be worth about $100,000, while a container of chips may be worth only around $5,000,” he said.

Quamrul Hassan, chief business officer of ACI Consumer Brands, said the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has effectively halted exports to several Gulf markets.

“If the Strait of Hormuz is closed, it naturally affects markets like Dubai, Qatar and Kuwait. Most shipments to those countries pass through that route,” Hassan told The Daily Star.

ACI exports products such as biscuits, puffed rice and flattened rice to the region, which sell well during Ramadan.

“Right now, no one is able to send shipments,” he said.

Exports to the region are usually based on advance orders placed by importers.

“When exports stop, sales stop. And when sales stop, losses increase,” Hassan added.

He said exporters are also facing pressure on inventory, cash flow and profitability as goods prepared for export cannot be shipped.

The US dollar exchange rate against the taka held almost flat through late February before beginning a slow, gradual climb into March.

The shift in the curve comes as taka started to weaken with the beginning of the US-Israel’s war against Iran in March and the subsequent conflicts across the Middle East, mainly because cautious banks began trading the greenback among themselves at higher rates.

This latest fall of taka has revived memories of the 2022-23 currency stress.

At that period, heavy import bills, rising global commodity prices amid the Russia-Ukraine war, and slower remittance inflows and export earnings coincided with a rapidly depleting foreign currency reserve.

This time, however, the forex reserve stands at a much more comfortable level and dollar flow to the local market remains almost normal. But banks have shifted into a cautious mode triggered by the war in the Middle East.

The commercial lenders fear a prolonged war could again push up import bills, while a large share of expatriate Bangladeshis in the Gulf might send less money home.

“Many banks have taken a cautious approach due to the uncertainty ahead,” said Mati ul Hasan, managing director of Mercantile Bank. “However, the real impact will be understood after about a week.”

Yesterday, the weighted average interbank exchange rate stood at Tk 122.69 per dollar, up from Tk 122.58 a day earlier, according to the Bangladesh Bank (BB).

The rate was Tk 122.49 on Monday and Tk 122.43 on Sunday, according to BB data.

A top official of an import-dependent industrial group based in Chattogram told The Daily Star that banks have not yet faced a real shortage of US dollars, but some are “trying to create an artificial crisis”.

He said banks are demanding between Tk 122.90 and Tk 123 per dollar when opening letters of credit (LCs). The rate is even higher in the case of forward sales, he added.

A forward dollar sale is a binding contract to sell dollars at a fixed price on a future date, regardless of the market rate at that time.

Yesterday, state-run Sonali Bank quoted Tk 122.75 per dollar for spot selling, while its spot buying rate ranged between Tk 121.68 and Tk 121.80. Private commercial BRAC Bank quoted Tk 122.95 per dollar for selling and Tk 121.95 for buying.

Dhaka Bank quoted Tk 122.99 per dollar for bills for collection selling and Tk 121.50 for buying yesterday. Mercantile Bank offered the dollar at Tk 122.90 for selling and Tk 121.60 for buying.

Mercantile Bank MD Hasan said that since the flow of dollars had been strong for quite some time and the market remained liquid, banks had not worried much about making payments.

However, they now need to plan ahead because of rising uncertainty, he said, adding that dollar inflows are not evenly distributed across banks, which may prompt some lenders to slightly raise their rates.

“Still, the situation has not become very unstable yet. Conditions could deteriorate if the war continues for long,” said Hasan.

Meanwhile, BB officials said the central bank has stopped intervening in the market, meaning it is no longer supplying dollars from its stocks to support the taka. As a result, the currency has started to weaken.

They also noted that fuel prices in the international market have risen sharply, which could push up import costs and lead to volatility in the foreign exchange market in the coming days.

Considering that potential impact, BB has also stopped purchasing US dollars from the market, they added.

The central bank bought more than $5 billion from the foreign exchange market in FY26 as of March 2. The purchases helped lift the country’s foreign exchange reserve.

Forex reserve stood at $34 billion as of Sunday, according to BB. However, the reserve stood at $29.38 billion based on the IMF calculation.

Between FY21 and FY25, BB sold more than $25 billion from its reserve to meet import payments for fuel, fertiliser and food.

After the war broke out, the new BB governor hinted that the regulator could provide dollar support from the reserve to import fuel if needed, officials said. But leading economists at a meeting last week advised the governor to remain cautious about spending from the reserve as tensions in the Middle East could trigger fresh economic shocks.

They said rising global fuel prices linked to the crisis could increase the country’s import bill and eventually put pressure on the foreign exchange reserve.

The economists urged the central bank to explore alternative funding sources to settle fuel import payments instead of depending on the reserve.

M Masrur Reaz, chairman and chief executive officer of Policy Exchange Bangladesh, a private sector economic and investment advisory platform, was among the economists who met the governor.

He told The Daily Star yesterday that the situation could deteriorate sharply if the Middle East war lasts for a month.

Liquefied natural gas (LNG) and fuel prices have already increased significantly, he said, adding that this will push up import costs in the coming days.

“Due to this possibility, the price of the US dollar is also rising. It may increase further in the future because higher import costs will put additional pressure on foreign currency.”

Reaz said the current fuel rationing should continue. Besides, the government needs to estimate how much fuel will be required and what the cost will be over the next six months and one year, he said.

Based on that assessment, loans could be sought from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) or other multilateral lenders, said the economist. “The borrowed funds should be used to import fuel. In addition, projects that are currently stalled should be restarted quickly so that foreign funding can flow into the country.”

Iranian crude oil has continued to flow through the Strait of Hormuz at a near-normal pace even as Tehran-linked attacks on ships in the narrow waterway have decimated exports from other Gulf countries, a Reuters ‌review of tanker tracking data showed.

Iran has exported about 13.7 million barrels of crude oil since Israel and the US launched attacks on the country on 28 February, according to analysis from TankerTrackers.com, a maritime intelligence company that specializes in tracking the so-called shadow fleet, a network of vessels used to transport oil and gas from countries under Western sanctions.

Vessel tracking service Kpler pegged Iranian exports in the first 11 days of March even higher at about 16.5 million barrels.

Iran's retaliation to the Israeli and US attacks has included strikes on ships in the Strait of Hormuz and energy infrastructure across the Middle East, bringing non-Iranian vessel transits through the main gateway for ⁠much of Middle Eastern oil exports to a near standstill and forcing producers in the region to cut output.

Ran's ability to keep exporting oil without any reported interceptions contrasts sharply with what happened during the US military campaign in Venezuela, which involved a naval blockade of the Latin American nation and seizures of vessels attempting to enter or exit Venezuelan waters.

"I'm surprised, given their successful seizures of Venezuela-related vessels this past December, that the US did not initiate a similar campaign prior to starting this conflict, or has not done so at this time," said David Tannenbaum, a director at consulting firm Blackstone Compliance Services.

However, US efforts to stop Iran-linked tankers could unleash more attacks on vessels passing the Strait of Hormuz, Next Barrel oil and shipping analyst Matias Togni said.

So long as Iran is moving its vessels through the region, Iran has an incentive to keep the Strait of Hormuz open at least to some degree, said James Lightbourn, shipping financier and founder of Cavalier Shipping, maritime investing and advisory business.

"If the US were seizing tankers, it would give Iran less ‌to lose ⁠by shutting the strait entirely (such as with mines)," Lightbourn said.

US President Donald Trump's White House did not immediately reply to a request for comment on whether Washington plans any actions against Iranian oil exports.

Iranian exports at pace similar to last year

The TankerTracker.com and Kpler data indicate Iran's crude oil exports equate to between 1.1 million barrels per day and 1.5 million bpd from 28 February through 11 March. The country's average exports last year were 1.69 million bpd, according to Kpler records.

The pace could pick up In the days ahead. Multiple very large crude carriers, the largest oil vessels in service, ⁠are still loading oil at Iran's Kharg Island export hub, according to satellite imagery reviewed by TankerTrackers.com.

Prior to the February 28 strikes, Iran had ramped up exports to about 2.17 million bpd in February in anticipation of Israeli-US military action, Kpler data showed. Record oil exports from Iran were about 3.79 million bpd in the week of February 16, the data showed.

Six crude oil tankers have left ⁠Iran since 28 February, including the US-sanctioned vessel Cuma, which sailed this week, according to analysis from Kpler and Lloyd's List Intelligence. Two liquefied petroleum gas tankers, also under US sanctions, sailed out of Iranon Friday after loading cargoes, Reuters earlier reported.

At least 11 million barrels of crude oil have been shipped out of Iran, with four supertankers that left Iran ⁠carrying 8 million barrels arriving in waters around Singapore, a separate analysis showed.

The vessels follow the same pattern of sailing within Iran's exclusive economic zone, which extends up to 24 miles and beyond local territorial limits of 12 nautical miles.

This is seen as providing the vessels with a measure of protection by keeping them within Iran's waters, shipping sources said.

Paramount Textile, a listed textile firm, has reported that its consolidated profit in the second quarter of the current fiscal year fell by 19% year-on-year due to a decline in revenue.

During the October-December period, its consolidated profit declined to Tk20.77 with an earnings per share (EPS) of Tk1.16.

At the same time of the previous fiscal years, its profit was Tk25.79 crore and an EPS of Tk1.44, according to its disclosures published on the stock exchanges website today (11 March).

Following the disclosures, Paramount Textile's shares dropped by 3.95% to Tk51.10 each at the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

In an explanation about declining profit, it said revenue decrease in this period in comparison with the corresponding period of last year."

How much revenue declined, it was not confirmed as it yet to publish its financials statements.

Meanwhile, in the first half of 2025-26 fiscal year, its profit declined by 4.23% to Tk42.27 crore, and EPS stood at Tk2.36.

In H1 of FY25, its profit was Tk4.06 crore and EPS was Tk2.46, its disclosure said.

The consolidated net operating cash flow per share for H1 declined to Tk3.26 as against Tk5.03 for the July-December of the previous fiscal year.

While its consolidated net asset value per share stood at Tk45.06 as of 31 December.

It said cash flow significantly lower because of lower revenue collection compare to the same period of the last year.

The board of directors of Safko Spinning Mills has decided to sell the loss-making company, citing operational challenges, and plans to transfer its shareholdings to interested investors.

The move aims to ensure business continuity and protect the interests of existing shareholders, the company said in a disclosure to the Dhaka and Chittagong stock exchanges today (11 March).

The share transfer process is currently underway, with steps being taken to facilitate potential ownership changes. The initiative is expected to attract new investors who may acquire the stakes currently held by sponsor-directors, including SAKM Salim, SABM Humayun, Syed Saqeb Ahmed, SFAM Shahjahan, and Syeda Momena Begum.

Following the announcement, Safko's share price rose 9.35% to Tk15.20 on the Dhaka Stock Exchange today.

A team from the DSE had visited the company's factory on 3 February 2025 and found operations closed; production resumed on 31 August last year. The company's auditor issued a qualified opinion, noting significant financial stress.

Safko has accumulated losses of Tk97.81 crore and unpaid bank loans of Tk142.24 crore. Inventory has been sold at nominal prices, and operations were temporarily halted, raising doubts about the company's ability to continue as a going concern.

In the July-December period of the current fiscal year, the company generated revenue of Tk57 lakh after resuming production, with a net loss after tax of Tk6.19 crore, compared with a loss of Tk15.89 crore in the same period last year. Loss per share improved to Tk2.07 from Tk5.30.

Market analysts noted that ownership restructuring is common among listed companies when sponsors seek strategic investors, address financial challenges, or restructure operations. Depending on incoming investors, such transfers may lead to changes in management or business strategy.

Safko confirmed that all regulatory procedures will comply with the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission and stock exchange listing rules. Shareholders will receive updates as the process progresses and approvals are secured.

Paramount Insurance Company, a non-life insurer listed on the stock exchanges, has recommended a 10% cash dividend for 2025, despite a marginal decline in profit.

According to disclosures made today (11 March), the company posted a net profit of Tk8.90 crore for 2025, down 1.87% from Tk9.07 crore in 2024. Earnings per share (EPS) fell slightly to Tk2.19 from Tk2.23 last year. The company had also paid a 10% cash dividend in 2024.

The insurer's shares were last quoted at Tk51.30 each. Data from the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) showed that Paramount shares had risen sharply in recent trading sessions, from an average of Tk41 to Tk58 by mid-February. Following sell-offs amid the Middle East conflict, the price dropped to Tk46 on 8 March but has since rebounded to around Tk51 over the past three trading sessions.

At the end of 2025, the company's net asset value (NAV) per share increased to Tk28.16 from Tk27.26 in 2024, while net operating cash flow per share declined to Tk1.79 from Tk2.91.

Paramount Insurance has scheduled its annual general meeting for 18 May through a digital platform, with 21 April set as the record date for shareholders.

Listed in 2007, Paramount Insurance has a paid-up capital of Tk40.66 crore. As of February, sponsor-directors held 48.48% of shares, institutional investors 18.52%, foreign investors 0.04%, and the general public 32.96%, according to DSE data.

Thailand and Vietnam are urging public employees and businesses to adopt remote work as well as energy-saving habits, as the US-Israel war on Iran in the Middle East disrupts oil supplies and causes fuel price volatility.

Authorities in Thailand stated that government staff should transition to remote work when possible and requested that state offices maintain air conditioning at 26°C to save energy, reports Al Jazeera.

They also advised officials to cancel non-essential overseas travel.

In neighbouring Vietnam, the government has eliminated duties on various imported petroleum products to prevent shortages and stabilise the local market.

Furthermore, the Vietnamese government encouraged companies to permit remote work whenever feasible to reduce fuel demand.

It also recommended that citizens limit the use of private vehicles in favour of public transportation, cycling or carpooling.

India's private carriers Air India and its subsidiary Air India Express on Tuesday announced they will start levying a fuel surcharge on each domestic flight ticket from 12 March and also for flights to SAARC countries due to a hike in jet fuel prices amid the Middle East conflict.

The two carriers will hike the charge for bookings for other international destinations and the new fuel surcharges will be implemented in a phased manner, said a statement from the airlines.

"Air India group announced a phased expansion of a fuel surcharge on its domestic and international routes, necessitated by the steep rise in jet fuel prices arising from the geopolitical situation in the Gulf region," the statement reads.

In the first phase, a fuel surcharge of Rs 399 per domestic flight ticket would be imposed from 12 March and the same will also be applicable for SAARC flights, the statement said.

For West Asia flights, the fuel surcharge will be $10 and hiked by $30 to $90 for Africa flights and by $20 to $60 for Southeast Asia services.

All these changes will be effective from 12 March, including for flights to and from Singapore.

Currently, there is no fuel surcharge for the Singapore services.