Escalating hostilities involving Iran, the United States and Israel have triggered fresh concerns over Bangladesh's energy security, with economists and business leaders warning of potential fuel supply disruptions and sharp spikes in global energy prices.

Analysts said the latest US strikes on Iranian targets and Tehran's retaliatory attacks on American military bases across the Middle East could disrupt shipments of crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Bangladesh's principal suppliers — Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar.

If the confrontation escalates or becomes prolonged, they cautioned, the economic fallout for Bangladesh could surpass the shock experienced during the Russia-Ukraine War, exposing the country to risks in fuel supply stability, foreign exchange reserves and inflation management.

Particular anxiety centres on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint through which roughly 40% of global oil and gas shipments pass. Bangladesh's imports of LNG, LPG and crude oil transit this route, meaning any disruption could immediately affect domestic energy availability.

Markets react to tensions

Energy markets have already reacted to rising tensions. Global oil prices increased by about 2% amid fears of military escalation, while international forecasts suggest crude prices could climb to $80 per barrel or higher, with some projections warning of prices reaching $110 if the conflict intensifies.

Azam J Chowdhury, chairman of East Coast Group, told TBS that retaliatory strikes across the Middle East could halt fuel loading operations at regional refineries, effectively suspending supplies of oil, gas, LNG and LPG.

He noted that Bangladesh lacks the capacity to refine crude oil sourced from alternative producers, making it dependent on Middle Eastern suppliers. In the event of prolonged disruption, the country may be forced to import refined fuel from the spot market at significantly higher prices, he warned.

Azam added that LNG shipments from Qatar could also face interruption following missile attacks in the region, warning that Bangladesh, which imports around 12 to 13 LNG cargoes monthly, could face serious economic consequences.

He urged the government to immediately secure alternative supply arrangements, including agreements with global suppliers such as Malaysia's Petronas, and increase imports of refined petroleum products from international markets.

Risks to industry and inflation

Mahmud Hasan Khan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association, said rising fuel prices would increase electricity generation costs and worsen existing gas and power shortages, further disrupting industrial production.

Higher energy costs, he warned, would raise the cost of doing business, weaken export competitiveness and potentially fuel inflationary pressures that could trigger labour unrest across industrial sectors.

Centre for Policy Dialogue Executive Director Fahmida Khatun said supply disruptions would increase import costs and place additional strain on Bangladesh's foreign exchange reserves.

She stressed the urgency of identifying alternative fuel sources, noting that global commodity prices – including edible oil, sugar, wheat and fertiliser – could also rise as a result of the conflict.

Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank's Dhaka Office, warned that continued conflict could destabilise global commodity markets, disrupt international shipping and logistics networks and heighten investment uncertainty.

He warned that Bangladesh could face three major risks – volatility in global commodity markets, disruptions to international trade and logistics, and heightened uncertainty discouraging investment decisions.

Energy expert Professor Shamsul Alam said higher global fuel prices would inevitably increase production costs across all sectors, pushing up commodity prices and placing additional pressure on consumers.

The Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) has urged the newly elected government to immediately scrap the reciprocal trade agreement signed with the United States by the previous interim administration, terming it grossly discriminatory and detrimental to Bangladesh's economic sovereignty.

The think tank also called for a complete departure from the traditional business as usual bureaucratic approach, unveiling a comprehensive 13-sector policy roadmap to guide the government's executive and legislative decisions over the first 180 days and the next five years.

The recommendations were presented today (28 February) at a media briefing titled "New government's economic and social sector policy and administrative decisions: 180 days and beyond," held at the CPD office in Dhaka.

CPD research director Khondaker Golam Moazzem presented the extensive analysis, emphasising that the new administration must adopt knowledge-based decision-making and deeply decentralise power to overcome systemic inefficiencies.

Taking a firm stance on recent international negotiations, the CPD warned that the US trade agreement severely jeopardises Bangladesh's smooth transition strategy (STS) for LDC graduation.

According to the think tank, the agreement's clauses completely restrict Bangladesh's independence in terms of trade and investment with third countries. It forces Bangladesh to comply with US border measures and restricts the imposition of digital service taxes.

The CPD strongly advised the government to withdraw from this agreement before notifications are exchanged and also urged a review of the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with Japan, as it controversially allows duty-free imports of LNG, thereby delaying the country's renewable energy transition.

Beyond trade, the CPD's analysis spanned critical macroeconomic areas, including resource mobilisation, the business environment, and foreign direct investment (FDI). With the country's tax-to-GDP ratio plunging to a South Asian low of 6.8%, the think tank recommended forming a tax ombudsman, consolidating the current eight VAT slabs into a three-tier structure, and eliminating tax incentives for high-emission fossil fuel power producers.

To attract FDI and ease the cost of doing business, CPD proposed enacting a Single Digital Interface Act to legally bind ministries to integrate their databases. They also suggested translating the government's pledges of 48-hour company registration and 30-day profit repatriation into enforceable legal standards, alongside establishing specialised commercial courts for rapid dispute resolution.

Turning to the power and energy sector, the CPD heavily criticised the government's ambitious target to generate 35 GW of electricity by 2030.

"There is no need to fix the BNP's distant target of 35 gigawatts for 2030. Because within that target, we again see an indication of promoting fossil fuels. Therefore, we believe that instead of sticking to the 35-gigawatt target, it would be better to move towards a more realistic goal – as CPD had suggested – that reaching 30 gigawatts by 2040 would be sufficient. We think the new government should proceed with such a target in mind," said Dr Golam Moazzem.

Instead of expanding domestic coal extraction and building new inland LNG terminals, the government was advised to adopt a strict 'no new fossil fuel-based power generation' policy.

The think tank recommended shifting focus toward domestic gas exploration through Bapex, expanding the national rooftop solar programme, and inserting 'No Electricity, No Pay' clauses in all future power purchase agreements to eliminate the heavy burden of unconditional capacity charges.

On the social front, the CPD addressed pressing issues surrounding labor rights, child labour, and international migration.

CPD calls for tax justice, FDI reform

Addressing the alarming rise in child labour, which currently traps 3.5 million children, Golam Moazzem proposed utilising the newly planned Family Card scheme to provide conditional cash transfers to vulnerable households, strictly tied to withdrawing their children from hazardous work and sending them back to school.

To protect outbound migrant workers from rampant extortion, the government was urged to dismantle entrenched recruitment syndicates, mandate digital financial transactions for all recruitment fees, and transform Technical Training Centres (TTCs) into dedicated overseas placement hubs aligned with global market demands.

Golam Moazzem said true accountability cannot be achieved if the government operates solely on the "one leg" of the executive branch. He strongly advocated for parliamentary reforms.

CPD recommended ensuring that opposition MPs lead key parliamentary standing committees, such as the Public Accounts Committee, and reforming the Prime Minister's Question Time to be ballot-based rather than executive-controlled.

Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) today (28 February) urged major reforms in tax collection, business climate, trade deals and foreign investment management, warning that without evidence-based decisions and strong accountability, Bangladesh's post-election economic transition could be at risk.

CPD said Bangladesh must urgently overhaul its revenue system, ease the cost of doing business, review recently signed trade agreements and strengthen foreign direct investment (FDI) facilitation to ensure sustainable growth and smooth graduation from Least Developed Country (LDC) status.

Presenting the study titled 'New Government's Priorities in Addressing Socio-economic Challenges: Introducing Knowledge-based Decision Making in the Executive and Legislative Process' at its Dhanmondi office, CPD Research Director Dr Khondaker Golam Moazzem highlighted structural weaknesses in Sections 3, 4, 5 and 6 of the report covering revenue mobilisation, business environment, trade policy and FDI.

Tax-GDP Ratio

CPD said Bangladesh's tax-to-GDP ratio has fallen to approximately 6.8%, the lowest in South Asia, significantly weakening fiscal capacity at a time of rising development needs.

The newly elected government has pledged to raise the ratio to 10% in the medium term and 15% by 2035. But CPD cautioned that revenue sustainability would remain uncertain without prioritising tax justice and plugging systemic leakages.

The study identified 'leaking revenue' as the weakest area across all decision-making indicators.

To address regressivity and inefficiency, CPD recommended consolidating the current eight VAT slabs into a simplified three-tier structure: standard, reduced and zero rates, with a long-term transition toward a two-tier system.

It also proposed eliminating tax exemptions for non-essential services, including exclusive clubs and stock market-related entities, and phasing out tax cut incentives for fossil fuel-based power producers.

Mandatory digital tax return submission, establishment of a digital tax dispute resolution system within 30–45 days and performance-based corporate tax incentives were among the key recommendations.

CPD further suggested linking revenue gains from VAT rationalisation to direct transfers for low-income households instead of broad reduced-rate exemptions.

Business Environment

The report noted that Bangladesh's business environment continues to suffer from transport-logistics bottlenecks, unreliable utilities, regulatory complexity, corruption, weak human capital alignment and fragile banking systems.

It warned that corruption in administrative processes remains the most severe constraint to ensuring an enabling business environment.

Despite digital reforms such as the partial launch of "BanglaBiz" and activation of the Bangladesh Single Window system, CPD found that transparency and accountability remain weak.

The study recommended full backend digital integration across agencies under a unified document management framework to eliminate duplication of business licensing requirements.

It also called for establishing both a Tax Ombudsman and a Banking Ombudsman to address grievances and strengthen institutional accountability.

In the financial sector, CPD flagged high non-performing loans (NPLs) and limited SME access to financing as major barriers.

Although reforms such as the Bank Resolution Ordinance 2025 and Deposit Protection Ordinance 2025 were introduced, the think tank said credit allocation decisions lack transparency and efficient implementation.

It urged Bangladesh Bank to innovate credit assessment models, develop inclusive SME financing options with lower collateral requirements and exercise caution in interest rate reduction to avoid inflationary pressures.

US-Bangladesh Trade Agreement

CPD raised serious concerns over the recently signed "Agreement on Reciprocal Trade" between Bangladesh and the United States, saying several clauses may restrict Bangladesh's trade policy autonomy.

The study alleged that the agreement includes discriminatory provisions relating to import licensing, technical standards and digital trade.

According to CPD, Bangladesh would be required to gradually eliminate tariffs on US-origin goods while facing potential additional tariffs if deemed non-compliant.

The report also claimed that Bangladesh would not be allowed to impose digital service taxes on US companies or introduce customs duties on electronic transmissions.

Other provisions cited include restrictions on retaliatory VAT measures, limitations on agreements with third countries that conflict with US standards and preferential access for certain US goods.

CPD warned that such clauses could severely jeopardise Bangladesh's smooth transition strategy (STS) for LDC graduation, particularly in negotiating balanced free trade agreements (FTAs) and economic partnership agreements (EPAs).

It urged the government to withdraw from the agreement before formal notification exchange and revisit other deals, including the EPA with Japan, particularly provisions related to duty-free LNG imports that may delay energy transition.

FDI Reform

CPD identified six major structural challenges in attracting and retaining foreign investment, including fragmented approvals, policy unpredictability, institutional overlap, slow dispute resolution, land access bottlenecks and weak data systems.

The report said investment approvals remain sequential rather than parallel, even after the launch of BanglaBiz offering over 100 services and fast-track foreign loan approvals up to $10 million for export-oriented firms.

CPD recommended mandatory API-based integration among the Bangladesh Investment Development Authority (BIDA), National Board of Revenue, Registrar of Joint Stock Companies, Customs, BEZA and BEPZA to ensure simultaneous processing and real-time tracking.

The think tank called for converting profit repatriation commitments — including the 30-working-day resolution target — into binding legal standards through legislative amendments.

It also proposed designating specialised commercial benches within the High Court within 180 days and establishing a full-fledged International Commercial Court within 24 months.

To enhance transparency, CPD recommended creating a unified national FDI monitoring dashboard linked to the government's target of raising FDI to 2.5 % of GDP, with quarterly public reporting.

A national readiness audit of economic zones, including litigation-free land and confirmed utility capacity, should be completed within 180 days, the study added.

Dr Moazzem said that raising tax revenue, reducing business costs, negotiating trade agreements and attracting FDI must be guided by knowledge-based decision-making and parliamentary oversight.

He stressed that without structural reforms in fiscal governance, regulatory transparency and institutional accountability, policy initiatives may remain fragmented and ineffective.

"The new government has a strong electoral mandate. The challenge is to translate it into evidence-based, transparent and accountable decision-making," he said.

CPD's findings come as the government prepares to implement its first 180-day priority agenda following the 12 February national election.

Bangladesh’s economy grew 3.49 percent in the fiscal year 2024-25 (FY25), the slowest expansion in at least three years, owing to weaker performances in the agriculture and services sectors.

The growth is lower than the provisional estimate of 3.97 percent made previously by Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), which released the finalised data on gross domestic product (GDP) yesterday.

In FY24, the economy grew 4.22 percent, said the national statistical office.

The data shows that only the industrial sector posted faster growth in FY25 than in the prior year.

Between July 2024 and June 2025, the country’s factory output rose 3.71 percent, up 0.20 percentage points from FY24.

Agriculture, the second-largest employing sector, grew just 2.42 percent, down from 3.30 percent a year earlier.

Services, the biggest contributor to GDP, expanded 4.35 percent, easing from 5.09 percent in FY24.

The size of the economy reached $456 billion, up from $450 billion a year earlier. Per capita income edged up to $2,769 from $2,738.

Sluggish growth is expected to continue into the current fiscal year. The International Monetary Fund projects 4.7 percent expansion in FY26, the World Bank 4.6 percent, and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) 4.7 percent -- all below Bangladesh’s pre-pandemic trend.

The ADB trimmed its projection from 5 percent in September, citing weak investment ahead of the general election and slower export growth.

Economists said the FY25 slowdown is owed to a combination of deep-rooted internal weaknesses and persistent external shocks.

“This is certainly due to both internal and external factors,” said Prof Selim Raihan, executive director of the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (Sanem). “One of the biggest reasons was the political transition. Because of that, and the related developments in the banking sector, business confidence dropped sharply.”

He noted that the erosion of confidence discouraged fresh investment while banks turned cautious on lending. “Credit growth declined considerably. Altogether, this reflects a downward shift in investment.”

Exports also underperformed, even weakened, he said. “Only remittances have performed somewhat consistently.”

Describing the macroeconomic picture as unusual, the Sanem executive director noted, “The economy is depressed, while inflation remains high.”

High inflation has eroded purchasing power, weakening consumer demand across all components of GDP – household consumption, public spending, investment and exports, he explained.

Although a new government has taken office, Raihan warned that FY26 may follow a similar pattern and that recent turbulence at the Bangladesh Bank could further dampen investor sentiment. “I do not expect a major surge in investment at this moment.”

The economist noted that public spending has remained subdued.

“February has already ended, and only about four months remain in the fiscal year. It is unlikely that public spending will pick up significantly within this period,” Raihan said.

“Even if investor confidence begins to return, it will take time for that to be reflected in actual economic indicators,” he added.

Md Deen Islam, a professor of economics at the University of Dhaka, said businesses and investors may delay commitments until they see how policy priorities evolve.

Such caution, he warned, could weigh on short-term activity. “That can slow economic activity in the short run, even if the government implements sound policies.”

He stressed that clarity and stability will be critical going forward.

“To support stronger growth, policy clarity, macroeconomic stability, and investor confidence will be essential. This means steady fiscal management, predictable regulatory frameworks, and efforts to improve credit flow and export performance,” he said.

“If these areas are strengthened, growth could accelerate in the medium term. Conversely, if uncertainty persists, growth may remain subdued despite changes in political leadership,” he added.

To revive growth, Islam stressed the need to restore macroeconomic stability and rebuild investor confidence.

There are tentative signs of a pickup. The economy expanded 4.5 percent in the first quarter of FY26, up sharply from 2.58 percent in the same period a year earlier, driven mainly by industrial and agricultural activity.

After the interim government took over, Ahsan Mansur was perhaps one of the few people who carried out some substantial and visible work. Those of us who closely observed and evaluated his actions tend to agree on one point: during the interim period, the economic sector was the only area where meaningful steps were taken. Compared to other sectors, this one saw concrete reform initiatives, particularly from the central bank.

If we look at the record, significant reforms were introduced in the banking sector. Changes were made to the boards of directors of several banks, and restructuring efforts began. The exchange rate situation improved, foreign reserves showed signs of recovery, and remittance inflows increased. These are not minor developments. I would suggest that during Dr Ahsan H Mansur's tenure, the economic sector experienced notable progress.

That said, it is also true that despite his goodwill and intentions, some reforms could not be completed.
For example, we cannot claim that full monetary discipline was established. Nor can we say that a strong structure of accountability, transparency, and responsibility was fully institutionalised. Still, leaving those limitations aside, I would argue that his tenure left behind considerable achievements.

Now, the question is why he had to leave so abruptly. When a political government is elected, it certainly has the authority to appoint a new governor. It can reshuffle ministries and bring in people it considers more suitable or capable. That is not unusual. What surprised many of us, however, was the manner in which Dr Mansur's departure took place.

As far as we know, he did not receive a formal termination letter. He reportedly learned about his removal through news channels. To me, this indicates that proper institutional due process was not followed. When he left, there was agitation among central bank staff, and he had to leave amid that unrest.

A newly elected government has every right to bring in new leadership, but there is also a matter of institutional etiquette. A proper and respectful transition would have reflected better on the system.

If we think about the monetary and banking reforms initiated during this period, important groundwork has been laid. Discussions had also begun on recovering embezzled funds that were laundered abroad. These were serious steps.

I would like to highlight three concerns about what might happen in his absence.

First, regarding reforms: Many of the recent monetary and financial reforms were undertaken on our own initiative. In the past, such reforms often came in response to directives from institutions like the IMF. This time, however, there was an effort to act proactively. Don't we want a financial sector that operates under a proper system? Don't we want transparency and accountability? Don't we want structural changes that strengthen the sector? Of course we do. These reforms had begun to move in that direction, and many of us appreciated that.

Second, we now have a newly elected government with many pressing political priorities. There are pending bills left by the interim administration, the referendum issue, implementation of the July Charter, and several other political commitments.

My concern is how high financial sector reform will rank among these priorities. There is always the possibility that some regulatory frameworks could be rolled back. Much will depend on how seriously the new government chooses to prioritise economic and financial reform.

Third, and perhaps most importantly, just before the interim government's tenure ended, the issue of granting full autonomy to Bangladesh Bank resurfaced. Dr Mansur raised the matter and placed it before the interim administration, leaving it for consideration by the newly elected government.

The future of many reforms depends heavily on this question of autonomy. Without real independence, the central bank risks functioning more as a department of the finance ministry rather than as the state's monetary authority. In such a scenario, vested interests could exert influence, and reform efforts could stall.

Ultimately, the future of banking and monetary reform in Bangladesh will depend largely on whether the central bank is allowed to operate as a truly autonomous institution. Without that foundation, sustaining meaningful reform will be extremely difficult.

Selim Jahan is a Professorial Fellow at the BRAC Institute of Governance and Development.

Bangladesh’s foreign debt servicing crossed the amount of loans it received from international lenders in the first seven months of the ongoing fiscal year (FY) 2025-26 amid the slow pace of foreign-funded projects executed under the Annual Development Programme (ADP).

The country repaid $2.67 billion in the first seven months of the current fiscal year, according to data released by the Economic Relations Division (ERD) of the finance ministry.

Meanwhile, foreign loan disbursement dipped 33 percent year on year to $2.4 billion during July-January of this fiscal year, which an economist said is a warning sign.

“The fact that debt servicing has exceeded fresh foreign loan inflows is a warning sign,” said Ashikur Rahman, principal economist at the Policy Research Institute (PRI) of Bangladesh.

“It indicates that Bangladesh is now transferring more resources outward than it is receiving, which tightens both fiscal and external liquidity conditions,” he said.

“This reflects not only maturing debt obligations but also weak project implementation, slower disbursements, and limited export dynamism. While it is not yet a crisis, it reduces policy space and highlights the urgency of strengthening revenue mobilisation, export competitiveness, and a prudent external borrowing strategy.”

Data by the Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Division under the Ministry of Planning showed that in the July-January period of this fiscal year, the implementation of foreign-funded ADP was 36 percent, marginally higher than in the same period a year ago.

During this period, commitment by foreign lenders, namely the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, as well as Russia, China, Japan, and India, declined 3 percent year on year to $2.27 billion.

The decline in both commitment and disbursement against a spike in the repayment of foreign loans comes at a time when revenue collection has continued to fall short of the target, and government borrowing from the banking system has risen.

Tax collection by the National Board of Revenue, the main generator of revenue for the state, increased 13 percent in the July-January period of this FY from a year ago. However, the NBR missed its target by 27 percent, a shortfall of Tk 60,110 crore, for the period, according to provisional data.

During the period, the government’s net borrowing from the banking sector crossed Tk 48,800 crore, nearly five times the Tk 10,558 crore it borrowed in the same period a year earlier, according to Bangladesh Bank’s provisional data.

“The borrowing for debt repayment increased significantly,” said Towfiqul Islam Khan, additional director (Research) at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), in a paper on macroeconomic benchmarks for the new government presented at a briefing of Citizen’s Platform for SDGs.

He said the government’s fiscal space -- the ability to provide resources for a desired purpose without jeopardising the sustainability of its financial position or the stability of the economy, and the ability to spend for unforeseen events -- is diminishing.

Bangladesh’s foreign debt repayment has been increasing for the last several years. It paid $7 billion to multilateral and bilateral lenders in FY25, up from $6 billion a year ago.

Rahman said structural economic reforms are no longer optional.

“Enhancing Bangladesh’s international competitiveness, diversifying exports, improving the investment climate, and mobilising domestic resources more effectively are fundamental to building a stable and resilient economic architecture,” he said.

“Without these reforms, external vulnerabilities will continue to resurface, constraining growth and macroeconomic stability.”

Government authorities prepare to compensate the small investors in the five distressed private banks merged into Sammilito Islami Bank late last year, officials say.

Instructed by the high-ups of the new government, the Financial Institutions Division (FID) is now calculating how much money needed to compensate the investors who bought shares of the five banks from the stock market, they add.

Officials at the FID have prepared a preliminary list of the small investors who have been affected by the merger of the five banks, which had been extensively looted allegedly during the Awami League regime.

The mode of payment, whether the small investors will be compensated on the prices of shares on the last trading day or at face value, however, is yet to be finalised.

The FID will soon place the matter to Finance and Planning Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury for a decision and take further approval from the top of the government for securing funds to disburse the compensations.

A senior FID official has told The Financial Express they earlier placed the matter to then finance adviser Dr Salehuddin Ahmed, but he left office before giving a final decision.

The official also says soon after assuming office, the new finance and planning minister expressed interest in settling the issue shortly.

In this regard, he asked FID officials to submit a proposal detailing the number of shareholders eligible for compensation and the amount of money to be needed for the payoff.

"We will place the proposal to the minister soon as our paperwork is almost completed," says the official.

A Finance Division official familiar with the developments has told The Financial Express the finance minister is of the opinion that the share value of a company cannot be zero in any way.

He says the finance minister is convinced that the small investors who bought shares of the banks from the stock market had no role in the board of directors and management of the board, and thus, they had no responsibility for the deterioration in the financial health of the banks.

The official says the small investors bought the shares of the banks based on the financial statements, which showed the banks were making profit.

Thus, these small investors are eligible for compensation as the government itself has taken over the banks, the official says, noting that the matter of compensation may be finalised next week.

In November last year, the government formed Sammilito Islami Bank by merging five financially distressed Islamic banks under the Bank Resolution Ordinance 2025.

The five banks are First Security Islami Bank, Social Islami Bank, Global Islami Bank, Union Bank, and EXIM Bank.

The government allocated some Tk 200 billion as capital in favour of Sammilito Islami Bank from the exchequer.

Moreover, the central bank has released some Tk 120 billion from the deposit-insurance trust fund, from where each depositor is given Tk 0.2 million as compensation.

However, the small investors have yet to be given any compensation as then Bangladesh Bank governor Dr Ahsan H Mansur declared the share prices of the merged banks as zero and the stock-market regulator stopped the trading in the shares on the bourses.

Bangladesh's economy is expected to grow by 4.5 per cent this fiscal year, a little below earlier projections by Oxford Economics, as it believes the second-quarter growth ending December slowed alongside poor export growth in key markets.

However, the growth in fiscal year 2025-26 picks up above 3.49-percent mark determined for the past fiscal year by final official count.

Founded in 1981, Oxford Economics is a global economic advisory firm providing forecasting and analytical services covering more than 200 countries and a wide range of industries and cities.

"We've downgraded our GDP-growth forecast for Bangladesh to 4.5 per cent in FY2025-26 from 4.7 per cent previously," it said Thursday.

The agency predicts activity should continue to recover in FY2026-27, albeit at a relatively moderate pace of 5.7 per cent year on year.

Following a slowdown in FY2024-25, economic momentum improved temporarily in the third quarter of 2025, supported by stronger activity in manufacturing and construction.

However, it says trade data indicate a renewed loss of momentum in the fourth quarter ending December, with goods exports to the United States and Germany falling by 4.1 per cent and 12.8 per cent year on year, respectively.

Inflation remained stubbornly high, with price pressures intensifying since October despite the fact the central bank has been pursuing a tight monetary stance.

Consumer prices rose 8.6 per cent year on year in January.

"Although wage growth remained broadly stable at around 8.0 per cent, stronger remittance inflows provided some support to household incomes."

The Oxford Economics says February's general election, which delivered a decisive victory for the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), along with the passage of a constitutional reform referendum, could support business confidence.

The firm expects the new administration to maintain its reform agenda through continued engagement with the International Monetary Fund.

"A peaceful transition of power and policy continuity are expected to provide near-term support to economic sentiment," says Oxford Economics report.

However, the outlook for consumer spending remains uneven as wage increases continue to lag behind inflation, eroding real incomes.

Private investment is also likely to remain constrained by restrictive monetary policy.

Bangladesh Bank has kept policy rates unchanged, maintaining a tight stance aimed at containing inflation and rebuilding foreign-exchange reserves.

The restrictive policy environment has helped stabilise reserves, which have risen to about $30 billion, from roughly $17 billion in 2024, marking progress under the IMF-supported reform programme.

The central bank has indicated that inflation needs to fall below 7.0 per cent before policy easing can be considered.

External risks remain significant.

While lower US tariffs could support exports in the near term, the gradual erosion of trade preferences associated with Bangladesh's graduation from least-developed-country status poses a challenge to medium-term export prospects.

Some export orders may be front-loaded ahead of the transition.

Meanwhile, the country's economy expanded by 3.49 per cent in fiscal year 2024-25, as tight monetary policy and restrained government spending weighed on activity, while inflationary pressures remained elevated, says Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).

According to final estimates released Thursday by the statistical bureau, gross domestic product (GDP ) reached US$456 billion, with growth slowing from 4.22 per cent in FY2023-24 and falling short of the provisional estimate of 3.97 per cent.

The weak performance followed an unprecedented mass uprising in July-August 2024 that disrupted economic activity and forced the temporary closure of many factories during the fiscal year.

Sluggish consumer demand and subdued private investment also damped growth, reflecting persistently high inflation and prolonged political uncertainty during the period under review.

"The disappointing end to the year largely reflected a self-inflicted drag from consumption and investment following higher inflation and political uncertainty," says Dr Zahid Hussain, an independent economist, about the deceleration reasons.

He adds that the contraction in public spending is expected to reverse by FY2027 as political uncertainty has been eased following polls just held this month.

The slowdown in output occurred alongside continued price pressures.

External projections had been more optimistic.

Global agency S&P Global Ratings forecast growth of 3.97 per cent for the year, while Moody's had projected around 4.5 per cent before revising its outlook downward.

Sectoral data show uneven performance across the economy.

Agricultural output expanded by 2.82 per cent, up 0.63-percentage points from a year earlier.

Industrial growth slowed to 3.35 per cent, down 0.63-percentage points, while the services sector contracted by 4.35 per cent, 0.16-percentage points lower than in the previous year.

Expenditure-based measures indicate weakening macroeconomic fundamentals.

The three main components of GDP -- investment, domestic savings and national savings -- all declined compared to the previous fiscal year.

Total investment fell to 28.54 per cent of GDP, from 30.70 per cent a year earlier.

Domestic savings declined to 21.98 per cent, from 23.96 per cent, while national savings, which include remittance income, dropped to 27.67 per cent from 28.42 per cent despite the fact that after the August 05, 2024 uprising the remittances were robust.

Per-capita income under the final estimate stood at $2,769, reflecting the slower pace of economic expansion.

Within hours of ousting Ahsan H Mansur and appointing a new governor, the Bangladesh Bank (BB) transferred five officials and reinstated three previously transferred officials back to their posts.

The five transferred officials are Md Zabdul Islam, Md Shahid Reza, Md Bayazid Sarker, Gazi Md Mahfuzul Islam -- all holding director posts -- and Md Kamrul Islam, an additional director. Their transfers were ordered yesterday through a notice issued by the central bank’s human resources department.

On Tuesday, three central bank officials were transferred. They were Nawshad Mustafa, general secretary of the pro-Awami League ‘Nil Dal’ at BB and director of the SME Special Programmes Department; AKM Masum Billah, president of the Bangladesh Bank Officers’ Welfare Council elected from Nil Dal; and Golam Mostafa Shraban, general secretary of the council.

However, an amendment was issued by the same department yesterday, reinstating them to their previous posts.

Earlier on Monday, they were served show-cause notices for holding a press conference in violation of staff rules and commenting on policy decisions. The order for their transfer came a week after a section of BB officials, under the banner of the Bangladesh Bank Officers’ Welfare Council, held a press conference on the BB premises.

At the press briefing, called suddenly on February 16, officials described Ahsan H Mansur’s position as “autocratic” on several issues, including the merger of weaker banks with EXIM Bank and Social Islami Bank and the initiative to grant digital bank licences.

Bangladesh expanded its footprint in the United States apparel market to 10.53 percent in 2025, up from 9.26 percent a year earlier, as American buyers shifted orders away from China, according to official data.

US retailers and brands imported garments worth $77.88 billion from across the world last year, according to the Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA) under the US Department of Commerce.

Of that total, Bangladesh supplied $8.20 billion, strengthening its position as the third-largest apparel exporter to the US market.

In 2025, Vietnam emerged as the largest garment exporter to the American market, overtaking China. It shipped readymade garment items worth $16.74 billion, capturing a 21.50 percent market share.

China, which led the market in 2024 with a 20.83 percent share, saw its position weaken abruptly. Its share fell to 13.66 percent in 2025, with exports totalling $10.64 billion, according to OTEXA data.

China’s decline is largely linked to punishing tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump last year.

The United States is the largest single-nation export market for Bangladeshi apparel items. Bangladesh’s performance in the American market marks a steady recovery and gradual expansion over the past few years.

Its market share stood at 9.37 percent in 2023 and 9.74 percent in 2022. The figure dropped to 8.76 percent in 2021 as exports were hit by the severe fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic.

The latest gain signals growing demand for Bangladeshi garments in the US market at a time of shifting sourcing strategies among global brands.

Industry leaders expect further growth if trade conditions remain favourable. The Trump administration has lowered the reciprocal tariff to 10 percent after a US court ruling, a move that could ease cost pressures in the US market.

“The lowering of the tariff will reduce the prices of commodities in the American markets, and the buyers will purchase more commodities such as garment items and ultimately the supply of locally made garments to the American market will grow in future,” said Mahmud Hasan Khan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA).

Oil prices were hovering near seven-month highs on Wednesday as the threat of military conflict between the US and Iran that could disrupt supply continued to worry investors as talks between the parties are set for Thursday.

Brent futures were up 43 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $71.20 per barrel at 0400 GMT. WTI futures rose 38 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $66.01.

Gold prices rose on Wednesday, lifted by a softer dollar and heightened safe-haven demand amid uncertainty over US tariffs and rising friction between Washington and Tehran.

Spot gold rose 0.8 percent to $5,190.99 per ounce, as of 0841 GMT. US gold futures for April delivery were up 0.7 percent at $5,210.40.

The US dollar index shed 0.1 percent, making greenback-priced bullion cheaper for other currency holders.

“Spot gold is being supported above the $5,000 level by the softer US dollar, a muddied outlook on US trade policy, and persistent geopolitical tensions,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Bybit.

“As long as these fundamental drivers remain intact, bullion bulls will be eager for a return towards record highs.”

Gold, a traditional safe-haven, does well during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

US President Donald Trump said in his State of the Union speech that “almost all” countries and corporations want to stick to tariff and investment agreements previously made with Washington.

The country began collecting a temporary 10 percent global import tariff on Tuesday, but Washington was working to raise it to 15 percent, a White House official said.

Meanwhile, US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are slated to meet with an Iranian delegation for a third round of nuclear talks on Thursday in Geneva.

Iran is close to a deal with China to purchase anti-ship cruise missiles, according to Reuters sources, which could target the US naval forces that have assembled near the Iranian coast.

Elsewhere, spot silver climbed 4.2 percent to $90.96 per ounce, a three-week high.

“The path ahead (for silver) will be shaped by a more complex mix of monetary policy, inflation expectations, and US dollar dynamics,” said Rania Gule, Senior Market Analyst at XS.com.

JP Morgan on Wednesday said demand from central banks and investors this year could push gold prices to $6,300 an ounce by end-2026. It also raised its long-term price forecast for gold to $4,500 per ounce.

In an abrupt shakeup in the central bank's top echelon, the new government Wednesday appointed accountant-businessman Md. Mostaqur Rahman as new governor of the Bangladesh Bank (BB).

Dr Ahsan H. Mansur made an unceremonious exit as the government terminated his job contract as governor, amid protest by a section of central bank's officers outside.

A group of the demonstrating BB officials, meanwhile, forced Ahsan Ullah, adviser to Governor Mansur, out of the central bank's premises.

With the latest appointment given by the Ministry of Finance, the country gets a businessman as the central bank governor for the first time in its history.

Amid briefings by the protesting BB officers and the governor, the ministry issued two notifications. One notification says the remaining tenure of Dr. Ahsan H. Mansur as governor has been cancelled "in public interest", with the order taking immediate effect.

Another notification announced the appointment of Mostaqur Rahman as governor for a term of four years from the date of his joining.

The order requires him to relinquish all professional affiliations with other institutions and organisations before assuming office -- and it takes effect immediately.

Mostaqur Rahman is a cost and management accountant (FCMA) and a businessman by profession. He is the managing director of Hera Sweaters located in Narayanganj.

Born in Dhaka in 1966, Mr. Rahman completed his undergraduate and master's degrees in accounting from University of Dhaka. He later obtained the FCMA qualification from the Institute of Cost and Management Accountants of Bangladesh.

An entrepreneur with more than 30 years of experience, the newly appointed governor has been involved with corporate finance, exports, institutional governance, and financial management. In addition to the ready-made garment sector, he also has business interests in real estate.

Mr. Rahman is a member of several trade bodies, including Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA), Real Estate and Housing Association of Bangladesh (REHAB), Association of Travel Agents of Bangladesh (ATAB) and Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DCCI).

He has served on various committees of these organisations and has prior experience working with Chittagong Stock Exchange Limited.

Following the July-August uprising in 2024 that toppled the Sheikh Hasina's governing regime, the interim government appointed Dr. Ahsan H. Mansur as the central bank governor to replace the then governor, Abdur Rouf Talukder, who did not attend office after the mass uprising, on 14 August 2024.

Nine days after the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)-led government came to power, Dr. Ahsan H. Mansur's appointment was cancelled, in the wake of large-scale administrative reshuffle.

Of the previous 13 governors, eight were bureaucrats, two economists, two commercial bankers and one academic.

Asked on what grounds the governor was changed, Finance and Planning Minister Amir Khasru Mahmud Chowdhury said there was nothing to be taken into consideration in this case.

"A new government has come. The new government has priorities. Naturally, the changes are taking place, not only in central bank, changes are also coming in many places and that will continue," he said.

Chowdhury makes it clear that changes will be made "wherever necessary to implement the new government's programmes, preferences, and ideas".

The outgoing governor of the central bank, Dr Ahsan H Mansur, said the government could have followed a different path to remove him from the post instead of creating the "mobocracy-like" situation.

"It could have been otherwise, but it's okay," he told the Financial Express on Wednesday night over the phone.

He said: "Whatever Allah does He does it for the welfare of the creatures. I wish both the government and the new governor success."

Contacted, Dr Zahid Hussain, a former lead economist at the World Bank's Dhaka office, said he didn't have any idea about the newly appointed governor and there is no public record about him to make a comment at this stage.

"The government should consider appointing right person in the right job," he said, so that no mismatch is created.

Dr. Hussain notes that competence of a person and conflicts of interest should be taken into consideration by the government before making new appointments in key positions.

"No compromise should be made in these two basic areas for appointment of a person who will lead an organisation."

On condition of not being quoted by name, a former managing director of a private commercial bank says Dr Mansur came into the central bank leadership when the economy was in a disastrous situation with fast-depleting forex reserves.

From such unpleasant scenario, he recounts, the policies taken by the Mr. Mansur helps reshape the economy increasing foreign-exchange reserves to $35 billion from less than $19 billion after clearing mounting accumulated unpaid bills.

"He not only stabilised the forex market but also made stable the local currency, which gives us some sort of comfort. His exit could have been done in a better way," he remarks.

About the newly appointed governor, the seasoned banker said he is a gentleman and lived close to his house. "But he lacks element of running central bank. But I wish him all the best."

Seeking anonymity, the managing director and chief executive officer of a private commercial bank said the way the outgoing governor left "is unfortunate and unexpected".

About the new governor, he said: "It's hard to believe that a businessman becomes a governor."

bdnews24.com adds: Newly appointed Bangladesh Bank Governor Md Mostaqur Rahman has signalled that "restoring trust" in the banking sector will be his top priority, alongside efforts to lower interest rates.

The garment industry entrepreneur assumed office on Wednesday, appointed by the BNP-led government, succeeding Ahsan H Mansur, who had served during the caretaker government.

Commenting on his vision for the central bank, Mostaqur said: "As you know, the economy and the banking sector face challenges. Taking on this responsibility at this time is a challenge.

"God willing, I will first sit in the bank, consult with everyone, and with cooperation, focus on the primary task-trust-building in banking, restoring discipline. Of course, the previous governor achieved a lot, and we aim to continue that work."

He added, "Another main focus will be driving growth. Credit growth is slowing, as you know, so we will work to lower interest rates and stimulate lending."

China and Germany want to deepen cooperation, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Chinese Premier Li Qiang said in Beijing on Wednesday, as Merz began a visit aimed at resetting ties against the backdrop of a widening trade imbalance.

Merz told Li that Germany attached great importance to maintaining and deepening its intensive economic exchanges with China, its largest trading partner last year, while emphasising the need to ensure fair cooperation and open communication.

"We have very specific concerns regarding our cooperation, which we want to improve and make fair," said Merz, who faces a tough balancing act of redefining an economic relationship that is increasingly unfavourable to German interests.

Li called on both sides to work together to safeguard multilateralism and free trade, in reference to US President Donald Trump's trade war, which has upended the global trading system.

"China and Germany, as two of the world's largest economies and major countries with important influence, should strengthen our confidence in cooperation, jointly safeguard multilateralism and free trade, and strive to build a more just and fair global governance system," Li said.

China is seeking to pitch itself as a reliable economic partner, in contrast to the United States, as Europe struggles to address vulnerabilities in its supply chains and worries about growing dependence on China.

Europe is witnessing an acceleration of concerning trends in China, Europe's Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič told the European Parliament on Tuesday, citing China's growing dominance in key manufacturing sectors, a rising imbalance in bilateral trade, and falling market share of EU companies in China.

Merz, on his first visit to China, becomes the latest European leader seeking to reset ties with China after Britain's Starmer and Canada's Carney earlier this year, while Beijing touts the benefits of engaging with its massive consumer market and advanced manufacturing base.

Engagement between Europe's largest economy and China could set the stage for EU-China relations this year.

Merz, accompanied by a delegation of 30 firms including top carmakers such as Volkswagen and BMW (BMWG.DE), opens a new tab which are acutely feeling the strain of Chinese competition - contributing to a growing trade imbalance that has sparked concern in Berlin and led to calls for protectionist policies.

Germany's heavily manufacturing-based economy has been particularly hard hit by competition from China's manufacturers, Rhodium Group's China analyst Noah Barkin said in a recent research note.

The face of China's market, once coveted by foreign businesses for its wide consumer base and rising spending power, has changed in the last several years, with a slowing economy capping consumer demand and manufacturing overcapacity increasingly pushing domestic firms to look for opportunities abroad.

In editorials ahead of the visit, Chinese state media emphasised the potential for EU-China cooperation to become a stabilising force while US tariff policies upend global trade.

Xinhua, in an editorial published early on Wednesday, cited a German chamber of commerce survey finding that innovation gains in China are feeding back into German headquarters.

State-backed newspaper the Global Times said concerns about competition with China would be outweighed by the lure of China's massive market.

"Rhetoric such as 'systemic rival' and 'de-risking' has at times complicated Germany's China policy," it said in an early Wednesday editorial.

"Yet the enthusiasm and actions of the German business community speak louder than political slogans."

The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC) Limited on Wednesday said that net income fell $1.8 billion to $21.1 billion in 2025 as the bank ploughed ahead with sweeping overhauls to streamline its structure and cut costs.

Profit attributable to shareholders last year stood at $21.1 billion, from $22.9 billion the year before, the lender said in a filing to the Hong Kong stock exchange.

Pre-tax profit fell $2.4 billion to $29.9 billion.

When Ahsan Habib Mansur assumed office in the second week of August 2024 following a mass uprising, the financial reality was precarious.

Cheques of some banks were bouncing, many ATMs across the country were shuttered while others were awaiting routine cash supply, and the balance sheets of nearly a dozen banks were hollowed out.

Remittances and export receipts were lacklustre, commodity prices were on a wild ride, and the country had barely enough dollars to cover three months of essential imports.

By the time he left office yesterday and subsequently announced his abrupt resignation, the financial situation had somewhat stabilised, though many economic wounds were yet to be fully healed.

During his roughly 18-month tenure as the governor of the Bangladesh Bank (BB), Ahsan H Mansur, a former International Monetary Fund (IMF) economist, was able to diagnose the economy’s ills, but he could not complete his reform agenda, according to economists and top bankers.

When Mansur took charge, gross reserves were $25.92 billion, and reserves as per the BPM6 count were $15 billion. Understandably, foreign exchange management was a particular area of his focus.

Mansur worked to strengthen reserves while bringing a more market-based exchange rate, a condition linked to the ongoing loan package by the IMF.

By the time he stepped down, gross reserves had risen to $35.04 billion, while the amount was $30.3 billion as per the BPM6 count. And the exchange rate has stabilised at Tk 122.20 per dollar.

Controlling inflation was another priority. It was 10.49% in the month he took office. He pursued a tight monetary policy and raised the policy rate to 10 percent swiftly after assuming office.

However, the former governor had to inject funds into ailing banks to protect depositors.

Inflation fell to 8.58 percent by January 2026, though supply-side constraints meant the decline fell short of expectations.

The banking sector presented a deeper challenge. Around a dozen of banks were sinking under heavy non-performing loans, while non-bank financial institutions were refusing to return deposits. Many bank boards were heavily influenced by politically affiliated figures.

Many bank directors reportedly fled the country with huge funds. Mansur responded with forensic audits to determine the real health of the sector and initiated reforms, though deep restructuring remained incomplete.

As long-buried toxic loans surfaced, the volume of non-performing loans (NPL) reached Tk 6.44 lakh crore in September last year from Tk 2.11 lakh crore in June 2024.

As part of his financial mess cleanup agenda, the former governor oversaw the merger of five ailing shariah-based banks, enacted the Bank Resolution Ordinance and the Deposit Insurance Ordinance. He also pushed for amendments to the Bangladesh Bank Order and the Bank Company Act, though those got stuck at the finance ministry.

While his public warnings on bank weaknesses initially spooked depositors, the measures ultimately strengthened transparency and governance.

Mustafa K. Mujeri, former director general of BIDS and ex-chief economist at the Bangladesh Bank, said, “When Mansur assumed office, it was a challenging time as the whole financial sector was on the edge of a cliff.”

“The sector had been looted. Mansur had to spend considerable time uncovering the true state of affairs,” he added.

Fahmida Khatun, executive director at local think tank Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), echoed similar views.

She said Mansur inherited a fragile banking sector with many banks burdened by massive non-performing loans. Bangladesh Bank had functioned largely as an implementing agency of the government, and the sector’s true health had been disguised.

“He had to run forensic audits to review asset quality and find the real health of the banking sector,” she said.

Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at CPD, said that the outgoing BB governor made serious efforts to reform the banking sector and restore discipline during a critical period for the economy.

“His initiatives included restructuring bank boards, promoting mergers among weak institutions, setting up an asset recovery company for distressed assets and curbing illicit financial outflows, although some changes were not fully endorsed by the interim government.”

Rahman described these steps as essential not only for immediate stability but for laying the foundation for long-term governance in the sector.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, a former senior banker said Mansur demonstrated “earnest dedication and great sincerity” in his duties.

He described the former BB governor as an accomplished economist who stabilised fragile macroeconomic indicators amid post-Covid pressures, fallout of Russia-Ukraine war, and volatile global commodity prices.

“From a very dire situation, Mansur improved foreign exchange reserves and helped stabilise the taka-US dollar exchange rate,” the banker said. He added that Mansur also managed overdue petroleum and gas import liabilities and cleared remittance backlogs for airlines and shipping firms.

Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury has sought suggestions from business leaders on why the cost of doing business is rising, what bureaucratic obstacles they face and what measures are needed to ease operations.

He discussed the issues today (25 February) during a meeting with a delegation of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA), led by its President Mahmud Hasan Khan Babu, at the Secretariat.

According to three garment sector leaders present at the meeting, the minister asked them to submit proposals outlining specific problems and possible solutions.

After the meeting, BGMEA Director Faisal Samad told The Business Standard, "We told the finance minister that instead of incentives, we need policy support to simplify business procedures and reduce costs. In response, he asked us to identify the problems and suggest ways to address them."

He said the association would submit a policy paper within a week outlining measures to reduce the cost of doing business.

Requesting anonymity, another BGMEA director said they informed the minister that customs-related costs have increased compared to before.

"The government has increased port charges, and illegal payments at customs have also risen," he alleged.

Businesses have long complained about harassment and demands for unofficial payments by some customs officials, particularly in matters related to bond licences, raw material entitlements, utility permissions and audits.

Another BGMEA leader present at the meeting said the minister questioned how much more support the garment sector should receive, noting that other sectors often say the industry already receives substantial government benefits.

At the meeting, BGMEA leaders said nearly one year's worth of incentive payments, amounting to around Tk8,000 crore, remain pending and urged the government to release the funds quickly.

They also said that due to two major holiday periods over the next two months, elections and Eid-ul-Fitr, factories would operate for only 35 days, making it difficult to manage working capital.

The association sought a loan facility of around Tk7,000 crore to cover one month's wages, to be repaid over 15 months.

According to the business leaders, the finance minister responded positively to the proposal.

China has expressed interest in expanding investment in Bangladesh, focusing on job creation and industrial revival, during a meeting between Chinese Ambassador Yao Wen and Commerce Minister Khandaker Abdul Muktadir at the Secretariat today (25 February).

At the meeting, the government formally sought Chinese investment in several closed fertiliser factories struggling with prolonged gas shortages.

The commerce minister said Bangladesh has six fertiliser plants whose production has been repeatedly disrupted due to inadequate gas supply.

"We are searching for investors capable of importing LNG to restart fertiliser production. The government will purchase the fertiliser produced," Muktadir said, outlining a potential pathway to revive idle capacity and stabilise supply.

The minister also invited Chinese investors to explore opportunities in Bangladesh's closed jute mills, emphasising the sector's potential for modernisation and employment generation.

Highlighting broader areas of cooperation, Muktadir said China could assist Bangladesh in digital infrastructure development, establishment of e-learning centres, and advancement of artificial intelligence technologies.

He noted that such partnerships would further deepen bilateral economic ties.

Ambassador Yao Wen congratulated the BNP on securing a decisive mandate in the 13th national parliamentary election and congratulated Muktadir on assuming office as commerce minister.

He said China is keen to increase investment flows into Bangladesh and voiced optimism about economic collaboration under the newly elected government.

The ambassador also extended an invitation to the commerce minister to visit China.

State Minister for Commerce Md Shariful Alam, Additional Secretary (Export) Md Abdur Rahim Khan, and Additional Secretary (FTA) Ayesha Akter were present at the meeting.

Newly appointed Bangladesh Bank Governor Md Mostaqur Rahman has said restoring trust and discipline in the country's banking sector will be his foremost priority as he assumes office.

"Inshallah, first I will sit at the bank and hold discussions with everyone. With everyone's cooperation, the main task will be trust building in the banking sector and bringing back greater discipline," he told bdnews24.com in an immediate reaction today (25 February).

He acknowledged the efforts of his predecessor, Dr Ahsan H Mansur, in restoring order in the sector and expressed his intention to further strengthen those initiatives.

Mostaqur also said reducing interest rates would be among his key priorities to support economic growth.

"As you know, the economy and the banking sector are facing challenges. Taking on this responsibility at this time is itself a challenge," he said.

He noted that credit growth has slowed in recent months and emphasised the need to lower interest rates to help stimulate economic activity.

"Our priority will be to work first. We do not want a situation where we talk but cannot deliver. Please pray for us. We seek everyone's cooperation," he added.

Md Mostaqur Rahman FCMA has been appointed governor of Bangladesh Bank for a four-year term, replacing Dr Ahsan H Mansur.

The Financial Institutions Division of the Ministry of Finance issued a gazette notification this afternoon confirming his appointment.

He is the managing director and chief executive officer of Hera Sweaters Limited and currently serves as chairman of the BGMEA Standing Committee on Bangladesh Bank.

He was also a member of the BNP's election steering committee during the 13th national election held earlier this month.

A qualified Cost and Management Accountant (CMA) with 33+ years of post-qualification experience, he holds a BCom (Hons) and a Master's Degree from the Department of Accounting at Dhaka University, according to his curriculum vitae.

Throughout his career, he has been a member of prestigious professional and industry associations, including Bangladesh Garments Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA), Real Estate and Housing Associations of Bangladesh (REHAB), Association of Travel Agents of Bangladesh (ATAB), and Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DCCI), and has served on various important committees.

He has also worked closely with various regulators, including the Bangladesh Bank and Chittagong Stock Exchange Ltd.

Mostaqur is a senior financial governance specialist with over 30 years of leadership experience in corporate finance, export economics, institutional governance, and financial systems management, with expertise in financial oversight, regulatory compliance, banking-sector engagement, and capital management.

Commenting on the reshuffle at the Bangladesh Bank governor's post, Finance Minister Amir Khasru Mahmud Chowdhury has said that changes are inevitable as a new government has come to power.

"A new government has come to power. Many things will change. There has been a change here as well. This is nothing new," the minister told reporters while leaving the Secretariat this afternoon (25 February).

He added that changes would take place in many other areas, too.

Earlier in the day, the Financial Institutions Division (FID) of the Ministry of Finance issued a gazette notification appointing Md Mostaqur Rahman FCMA as the new governor of the central bank, replacing Ahsan H Mansur.

This marked the first time in Bangladesh's history that a businessman has been appointed as the Bangladesh Bank governor.

Asked whether there was any specific reason behind such a rapid change at the governor's post, the finance minister avoided a direct response, reiterating that more changes were forthcoming and that there was no particular reason behind this move.

The finance minister also had a busy day, holding meetings with the commerce minister, commerce secretary, finance secretary, FID secretary, and the chairman of the National Board of Revenue.

Mostaqur is the chairman of the BGMEA Standing Committee on Bangladesh Bank and the managing director and CEO of Hera Sweaters Limited. He was also a member of the BNP's election steering committee during the 13th national election held earlier this month.

The previous interim government on 13 August -- eight days after a mass uprising ousted the Awami League government -- appointed Mansur as the BB governor, in place of Abdur Rouf Talukder, who resigned on 9 August.

The FID in another gazette notification this afternoon cancelled the rest of Mansur's tenure, while Mostaqur's notification said his appointment order, issued in the public interest, will take effect immediately.