Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury has said the government is working towards achieving a $1 trillion economy by 2034, outlining a broad set of measures to raise income and sustain economic growth.

He made the statement today (6 April) in response to a written question from SM Jahangir Hossain, member of parliament for Dhaka-18, on the ninth day of the first session of the 13th National Parliament, with Deputy Speaker Kayser Kamal presiding.

The minister also informed parliament that the country's per capita income for the 2024–25 fiscal year stands at $2,769.

"One of the primary goals of the current government is to achieve the trillion-dollar economy milestone by 2034. To this end, the government is creating an action plan taking into consideration investment, employment, economic democratisation, creative economy, sports economy, etc," he said.

He added that the government is not focusing on a single sector to raise per capita income, but is taking a comprehensive approach that includes employment, investment, production, exports, remittance, skill development, social safety and macroeconomic stability.

The minister outlined several key steps initiated by the government to support this goal:

Employment generation and reducing unemployment: The government is giving priority to creating new employment opportunities across production, construction, services, information technology, agro-processing and small entrepreneurship sectors. Increased employment is expected to raise household income and gradually increase per capita income.
Increasing private investment and industrialisation: Measures are being taken to simplify the process of starting and expanding businesses, create an investment-friendly environment, encourage industrial establishment and increase the flow of finance into productive sectors. This is expected to generate jobs and income.
Support for small and medium enterprises: Small and medium enterprises are a major source of employment. Initiatives include simplifying access to finance, supporting new entrepreneurs, encouraging women and youth entrepreneurs and expanding market access. This is expected to strengthen local economic activity.
Increasing exports and market expansion: Efforts are underway to boost foreign income by supporting export-oriented industries, diversifying exports, exploring new markets and retaining existing ones. Higher export income is expected to increase production and employment.
Increasing remittance: Steps have been taken to enhance the skills of workers going abroad, expand overseas employment opportunities, encourage remittance through legal channels and simplify related services. This is expected to strengthen household income and the country's foreign exchange position.
Skill development and training: Technical and practical training is being expanded in line with labour market demands at home and abroad. A skilled workforce is expected to secure better employment and improve productivity.
Strengthening agriculture and rural economy: Initiatives are being taken to strengthen agricultural production, rural infrastructure, irrigation, food supply and agro-based small businesses. Increased rural income is expected to contribute significantly to overall national income.
Implementation timeline: Some of these measures are already being implemented in the current 2025-26 fiscal year, while others will be carried out in phases over the short, medium and long term, particularly in areas such as employment, investment, skill development, exports and remittance growth.

"With the goal of increasing per capita income, the government is taking steps that will increase people's income, reduce unemployment, boost production and investment, strengthen remittance and exports, and simultaneously protect the purchasing power of the common people," the finance minister said.

The country’s economic growth slowed in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025-26 as a sharp fall in industrial activity dragged down overall output, according to provisional data from the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).

The economy expanded 3.03 percent in the October-December quarter, down from 3.53 percent a year earlier, with industrial growth slipping to just 1.27 percent from 5.78 percent in the same period last year.

It was the slowest second-quarter expansion since FY21, when growth fell to 1.28 percent during the Covid-19 disruption.

Earlier in the fiscal year, the revised growth figure for the first quarter stood at 4.96 percent, compared with 3.91 percent in the corresponding quarter of FY25, showing that the slowdown has gathered pace as the year progressed.

At current prices, the size of the economy reached Tk 15,17,615 crore in the October-December quarter of FY26, up from Tk 13,90,147 crore in the same period a year earlier.

Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank’s Dhaka office, said weak exports, energy constraints and political uncertainty weighed on production.

Besides, reciprocal tariffs imposed by the Trump administration affected global trade flows, hurting export-oriented manufacturing.

According to the economist, domestic disruptions like frequent street protests and demonstrations further dented output, especially in energy-intensive sectors such as ceramics.

“Manufacturing investment and production are usually slow in periods of political uncertainty,” Hussain added.

In the October-December quarter, agriculture grew 3.68 percent, up from 1.90 percent in the corresponding quarter a year earlier.

Favourable weather supported Aman rice production this year, compared to last year when flooding in parts of Noakhali region disrupted output, he said.

The services sector expanded 4.45 percent, compared with 3.48 percent in the same quarter of the previous fiscal year.

Although higher year-on-year, Hussain said that growth in the service sector usually remains above 5 percent.

According to the economist, poor law and order conditions weighed on service activities.

Mustafa K Mujeri, executive director of the Institute for Inclusive Finance and Development (InM) and former chief economist of the Bangladesh Bank, said growth has remained weak since the economic fallout from the Russia-Ukraine war.

He said the slowdown deepened in the latest quarter as both public and private spending tightened ahead of national elections in February.

Usually, the government scales back annual development programme (ADP) spending before elections, while private investors adopt a wait-and-see approach, he said.

Remittance earnings rose about 20 percent year-on-year to $8.67 billion in the second quarter, according to Bangladesh Bank data.

However, economists said the inflows have yet to translate into stronger overall growth.

Mujeri said the current quarter shows little sign of a strong rebound, citing the ongoing war in the Middle East and the risk of higher fuel prices disrupting production across sectors.

Multilateral lenders, however, expect some recovery over the full fiscal year.

The World Bank has projected the economy will expand by 4.6 percent in this fiscal year ending June 2026, despite persistent inflation, falling exports and sluggish investment.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects growth to reach 4.9 percent in FY2025-26.

Industrial production in Bangladesh is facing a severe cost-push crisis as the Middle East war drives up global fuel prices, shipping tariffs, and raw material costs.

A prolonged conflict could further drive up input costs, inevitably trickling down to consumers through higher commodity prices, warn industry leaders.

Exporters, particularly in the garment sector, are already facing financial strain as they are forced to absorb higher raw material costs for orders that have already been confirmed. With global demand weakening, their ability to pass on increased costs to buyers has diminished, eroding profit margins and raising the risk of losses.

Industry insiders say the uncertainty has also triggered panic buying among importers, who are placing larger orders to secure supplies, further fuelling price hikes. In some cases, buyers have even halted new orders amid volatility in global markets.

Interviews with more than a dozen entrepreneurs in both the export and domestic sectors indicate that import costs for various raw materials and chemicals have surged by 10% to 183%.

Key increases include prices of non-cotton fabric by around 19%, polyester filament yarn by 79%, cotton yarn by 18%, chemicals by 50% to 183%, steel raw materials by 17%, clinker by 34%, plastic resin by 67%, and pharmaceutical active ingredients by approximately 30%.

Despite no official increase in domestic fuel prices, transportation costs have already risen by nearly 30%, adding further pressure on production expenses.

Khorshed Alam, chairman of Little Star Spinning Mills Limited, said the price of lyocell fibre has increased from $1.60 per kilogram before the war to $1.90, marking a rise of about 19%. Polyester fibre prices have also risen by around 28%.

Chemical prices have seen some of the sharpest increases. Saleudh Zaman Khan, managing director of NZ Apparels, said prices have risen by 50% to 183% depending on the type, while dyeing chemicals alone have increased by 40% to 50% within a month.

He also highlighted a steep rise in sulphuric acid prices – from Tk55-60 per kilogram to Tk230 within days – warning that such increases could discourage proper use of effluent treatment plants, potentially leading to increased environmental pollution.

Shamim Ahmed, president of the Bangladesh Plastic Goods Manufacturers and Exporters Association, noted that plastic resin prices have surged to $1,600 from $900 in the global market, while Bangladesh remains almost entirely dependent on imports for this key raw material.

Similar trends are evident in the cement and steel sectors. Chanchal Kumar Roy, executive director of Bangladesh Cement Manufacturers Association, said clinker prices have risen from $43 to $58 per tonne, while steel importers report prices increasing from $600 to $700 per tonne. Some importers have delayed opening letters of credit due to the higher costs.

The pharmaceutical sector is also under pressure. DH Shamim, managing director of pharmaceutical raw material importer BBCON, said that prices of almost all raw materials have increased by an average of up to 30% due to global conditions, raising production costs and putting pressure on the industry.

He noted that gas shortages and rising costs of solvents and other basic intermediates have also increased the cost of producing APIs (active pharmaceutical ingredients), ultimately pushing up overall manufacturing costs.

Although domestic fuel prices remain unchanged, manufacturers claim that transportation costs have already begun to climb in several sectors.

Khorshed Alam pointed out that truck fares between Savar and Narsingdi's Madhabpur have climbed to Tk8,500, up from the previous rate of Tk6,500.

Acute instability in supply chains

Industry stakeholders report that price hikes are being compounded by acute instability in global supply chains and order processing. Kamruzzaman Kamal, marketing director of PRAN-RFL Group, said, "We are facing a shortage of plastic raw materials and are currently sustaining our operations solely on existing pipeline stocks."

He cautioned that a prolonged war could lead to production bottlenecks as early as next month.

Saleudh Zaman Khan noted, "The supply of certain chemicals has become unavailable. The agents who previously imported and supplied us from India are now unable to continue their imports."

He added, "Since we have some stock remaining, we can sustain operations for a few more days. However, smaller firms will face production disruptions very soon."

Losses for pre-existing orders

As prices continue to surge, exporters and manufacturers with pre-existing orders are bracing for significant losses.

ABM Shamsuddin, managing director of Hannan Group, said, "As we have already finalised our export orders, it will not be possible to pass the additional costs on to the buyers. We are forced to absorb these expenses, which may result in losses given our already thin profit margins."

He added, "We anticipate that fabric prices may climb further, as suppliers are now issuing proforma invoices with extremely short validity periods, often less than seven days."

Shamim Ahmed noted, "Due to the fresh hike in raw material prices, many plastic product manufacturers will face losses because they have already accepted purchase orders. It will not be possible to collect the additional costs from the buyers."

However, he added, for new orders, it might be possible to negotiate higher prices to account for the increased costs.

Garment industry stakeholders cautioned that the cooling global demand for apparel makes it difficult to pass on the full extent of increased production costs to international buyers. This scenario is expected to place significant fresh strain on the country's RMG exporters, who are already navigating a volatile market.

Oil prices fell in choppy trade today (6 April), as investors awaited clarity on the status of talks between the US and Iran and remained wary about sustained supply losses due to shipping disruptions.

Brent crude futures fell 64 cents, or 0.6%, to $108.39 a barrel at 1109 GMT US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were trading down 1.2%, or $1.33, at $110.21 per barrel.

The pricing moves in Asia trading on Monday were dwarfed by an 11% surge for WTI and an 8% rise for Brent during the previous trading session on Thursday, the biggest absolute price increase since 2020.

The US and Iran received the framework of a plan to end hostilities, but Iran rejected immediately reopening the Strait of Hormuz, after ⁠President Donald Trump threatened to rain "hell" on Tehran if it did not make a deal by the end of Tuesday.

Iran also said it had formulated its positions and demands in response to recent ceasefire proposals conveyed via intermediaries.

The Strait of Hormuz, which carries oil and petroleum products from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates, remains largely closed due to Iranian attacks on shipping after the war began on 28 February.

Some vessels, however, including an Omani-operated tanker, a French-owned container ship and a Japanese-owned gas carrier, have passed through the Strait of Hormuz since Thursday, shipping data showed, reflecting Iran's policy to allow passage for vessels from countries it deems more friendly.

"The market is trying to realise what to expect going forward. The most important headline this weekend has been that some ships passed through the Strait," said SEB Research analyst Ole Hvalbye.

Hvalbye also highlighted that Europe continued ⁠to lose physical barrels and products to Asia due to the market tightening.

Seeking alternative sources

The Middle East supply disruptions have led to refiners seeking alternative sources for crude, particularly for physical cargoes in the US and Britain's North Sea. Spot premiums for US West Texas Intermediate crude have jumped to all-time highs on competition between Asian and European refiners.

Indian refiners have also postponed maintenance shutdowns of their units to meet local fuel demand.
On Sunday, OPEC+, consisting of some members of the ⁠Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, agreed to a modest rise of 206,000 barrels per day for May.

However, that decision will largely exist on paper as several of the group's key producers are unable to raise output due to the war.

Saudi Arabia also set the official selling price of May ⁠Arab Light crude oil to Asia at a record premium of $19.50 a barrel above the Oman/Dubai average, an increase of $17 from the previous month, Aramco said.

Meanwhile, Russian supply has been disrupted recently by Ukrainian drone attacks on its Baltic Sea export terminals. Media reports on Sunday said its Ust-Luga terminal ⁠resumed loadings on Saturday after days of disruptions.

Exports from the Black Sea port of Tuapse are set to rise to 794,000 metric tons in April, up 8.7% on a daily basis from 755,000 metric tons planned for March, according to two traders and Reuters calculations.

Banking sector stocks helped the benchmark index stage a modest recovery today (6 April), as the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) returned to positive territory after two consecutive sessions of losses, despite lingering investor caution.

The DSEX, the prime index of the bourse, rose by 10 points or 0.2% to close at 5,122, snapping its recent downturn, while the blue-chip DS30 index gained 9 points to settle at 1,954. Market activity, however, remained subdued as turnover declined by 8% to Tk470 crore, reflecting continued uncertainty among investors.

Key banking stocks, including BRAC Bank, Prime Bank, National Bank and City Bank played a pivotal role in lifting the index, offsetting broader market weakness where declining issues outnumbered gainers. A total of 149 stocks advanced, while 172 declined and 68 remained unchanged.

According to EBL Securities, the market edged back into positive territory as opportunistic investors engaged in bargain hunting following recent sharp corrections. However, sentiment remained fragile as participants closely monitored geopolitical tensions in the Middle East alongside unresolved domestic concerns, including the ongoing fuel crisis and uncertainty surrounding government austerity measures.

The session began on a strong note, with the index gaining nearly 75 points within the first half hour of trading, driven by early buying interest. However, the initial optimism faded as selling pressure emerged later in the day, eroding much of the gains and pulling the market closer to flat territory before a slight recovery at the close.

Sector-wise, pharmaceuticals dominated turnover, accounting for 15.1% of total transactions, followed by engineering at 13.8% and general insurance at 10.4%. The overall market displayed mixed performance, with cement, mutual funds and banking sectors posting modest gains, while IT, jute and telecom sectors faced declines.

Among the most traded stocks were Dominage Steel, Acme Pesticides, Summit Alliance Port, Khan Brothers PP Woven Bag and Techno Drugs, indicating continued interest in selective scrips.

On the gainers' side, Bangladesh Autocars, Dominage Steel and Familytex posted notable advances, while Trust Bank First Mutual Fund and Tung Hai Knitting also saw strong price appreciation.

Conversely, financial sector stocks remained under pressure, with Prime Finance, Pioneer Insurance, Fareast Finance, Peoples Leasing and FAS Finance emerging as the top losers.

Meanwhile, the Chittagong Stock Exchange also ended the day in positive territory, although its key indices showed marginal movements, reflecting a similarly cautious sentiment among investors in the port city bourse.

Industrial production in Bangladesh is coming under added pressure as instability in global supply chains disrupts the availability of key raw materials, raising concerns over possible production slowdowns in the coming weeks.

Industry stakeholders report that price hikes are being compounded by acute instability in global supply chains and order processing.

Kamruzzaman Kamal, marketing director of PRAN-RFL Group, said, "We are facing a shortage of plastic raw materials and are currently sustaining our operations solely on existing pipeline stocks."

He cautioned that a prolonged war could lead to production bottlenecks as early as next month.

Saleudh Zaman Khan, managing director of knit apparel manufacturer NZ Apparels, said, "The supply of certain chemicals has become unavailable. The agents who previously imported and supplied us from India are now unable to continue their imports."

He added, "Since we have some stock remaining, we can sustain operations for a few more days. However, smaller firms will face production disruptions very soon."

Industry leaders say the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has disrupted global fuel supplies, shipping routes and trade flows, contributing to delays and uncertainty in sourcing raw materials.

As a result, both costs and supply risks are rising simultaneously, adding further strain on industrial production.

PH Creative (BD) Limited, a South Korean company, will set up a manufacturing facility at the Bepza Economic Zone (Bepza EZ) in Mirsharai, Chattogram.

The company will produce a wide range of items, including steel, aluminium and iron frames; fibreglass poles; tents; sleeping bags; camping chairs; and various tent accessories such as PVC wear covers, caps, chair patches, hangers and hammers.

It will also manufacture trolley bags, handbags and garment accessories, including toggles and beads.

The investment will create employment opportunities for around 2,000 Bangladeshi nationals, according to a press release.

Md Tanvir Hossain, executive director for investment promotion at the Bangladesh Export Processing Zones Authority (Bepza), and Jin Ho Bae, chairman of PH Creative (BD) Limited, signed the agreement at the Bepza Complex in Dhaka today.

Mohammad Moazzem Hossain, executive chairman of Bepza, attended the signing ceremony and thanked the South Korean company for choosing Bangladesh, particularly the Bepza Economic Zone, as its investment destination.

He also encouraged the firm and other South Korean investors to explore further opportunities in high-tech sectors, especially semiconductors and electronic products.

Exporters and manufacturers in Bangladesh are facing growing pressure as rising raw material costs linked to the Middle East war begin to affect previously confirmed orders, limiting their ability to adjust prices and increasing the risk of financial losses.

As prices continue to surge, exporters and manufacturers with pre-existing orders are bracing for significant losses.

ABM Shamsuddin, managing director of knitwear manufacturer Hannan Group, said, "As we have already finalised our export orders, it will not be possible to pass the additional costs on to the buyers. We are forced to absorb these expenses, which may result in losses given our already thin profit margins."

He added, "We anticipate that fabric prices may climb further, as suppliers are now issuing proforma invoices with extremely short validity periods, often less than seven days."

Shamim Ahmed, president of the Bangladesh Plastic Goods Manufacturers and Exporters Association, said, "Due to the fresh hike in raw material prices, many plastic product manufacturers will face losses because they have already accepted purchase orders. It will not be possible to collect the additional costs from the buyers."

However, he added that for new orders, it may be possible to negotiate higher prices to reflect increased costs.

Garment industry stakeholders said weakening global demand for apparel is making it difficult to pass on higher production costs to international buyers, adding further pressure on exporters already dealing with market uncertainty.

Overall economic growth in Bangladesh slowed to 3.03% in the second quarter (October–December) of the 2025–26 fiscal year, down from 3.53% in the same period of the previous year, according to data released by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics yesterday (6 April).

However, growth was comparatively stronger in the first quarter, reaching 4.96%, up from 3.91% a year earlier.

According to BBS data, the country's GDP at current prices increased to Tk15,176 billion in the second quarter, compared to Tk13,901 billion in the same period of FY2024–25. This indicates that while growth momentum has slowed, the overall size of the economy continues to expand.

Sector-wise performance

The agriculture sector maintained a positive trend, recording 3.68% growth in the second quarter, up from 1.90% in the same period last year. The sector also showed improvement in the first quarter, with growth at 2.11%, compared to a negative 0.12% a year earlier.

In contrast, the industrial sector experienced a significant slowdown. Growth dropped sharply to 1.27% in the second quarter, compared to 5.78% in the same period of the previous year. However, the sector had performed better in the first quarter, posting a 6.82% growth.

The service sector remained relatively stable, growing by 4.45% in the second quarter, up from 3.48% a year earlier. In the first quarter, growth in the sector was also similar at 4.51%.

Despite support from agriculture and services, the slowdown in the industrial sector weighed on overall growth. Experts say that boosting investment, ensuring energy supply, and recovering global demand will be crucial to reviving momentum in the industrial sector.

Bangladesh's heavy dependence on Middle East-based energy supplies has created a major risk for the country's economic growth, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said today (6 April).

"Uncertainties in the essential commodity supply chain, including energy security caused by recent global war situations, could make achieving growth forecasts challenging," he said while presenting the budget implementation progress report for the first quarter of the current 2025-26 fiscal year in parliament.

During his address, the minister emphasised that addressing the severe economic challenges left behind by eighteen years of financial mismanagement and looting is now a primary goal, alongside improving living standards and increasing employment opportunities.

Noting that while the global economy showed signs of recovery from the instability of the last five years, the minister warned that recent global volatility, including the Iran-Israel conflict, could make the economic path ahead even more difficult.

Citing forecasts from the International Monetary Fund, the minister mentioned that growth in advanced economies is expected to stabilise at 1.7% in 2025, while emerging and developing Asian countries may see growth near 5%.

Global inflation, which was 8.7% in 2022, is projected to drop to 4.2% in 2025 and 3.8% in 2026.

He noted that inflation in China and India – Bangladesh's primary import sources – is expected to remain near 2% and 4% respectively, which should assist in controlling domestic inflation.

Regarding domestic performance, the minister explained that while contractionary policies aimed at controlling high inflation slowed GDP growth in the 2024-25 fiscal year, recent government initiatives are expected to revitalise the economy.

He highlighted that food grain stocks remain satisfactory and duty concessions on imports are helping manage prices.

Data from the first quarter of the current fiscal year shows an increase in production across large, medium, and small industries.

Additionally, during the July-September period, remittance and export earnings grew by 15.94% and 5.26% respectively compared to the previous year.

By the end of September 2025, general inflation stood at 9.45%, with food inflation at 9.58% and non-food inflation at 9.33%.

To bring these numbers down, the government has implemented various measures including contractionary monetary policy and the cancellation of less important projects.

The government has set a target to reduce average inflation to 7% in the current 2025-26 fiscal year, with further targets of 6%, 5.5%, and 5% for the subsequent three fiscal years, alongside an expected acceleration in GDP growth.

Trust Bank PLC has launched its distribution finance facility for TAP distributors, dealers, and merchants at the bank's head office in Jahangir Gate.

The programme was attended by the Managing Director & CEO of Trust Bank PLC, Ahsan Zaman Chowdhury, in the presence of senior officials from both organisations.

The facility will provide working capital financing to TAP's distribution network, with the aim of promoting digital financial services and supporting the expansion of the SME sector across Bangladesh.

Inflow of remittances witnessed a year-on-year growth of 425.3 percent reaching US$339 million in the first four days of April, according to the latest data of Bangladesh Bank (BB) issued.

Last year, during the same period, the country’s remittance inflow was $65 million.

During the July to April 5, 2026 of the current fiscal year, expatriates sent remittances of $26,548 million, which was $21,850 million during the same period of the previous fiscal year.

The Opec+ oil cartel agreed on Sunday to again increase oil production quotas, while warning that repairing energy facilities, such as those damaged in the Middle East war, is “costly and takes a long time”.

For the second month in a row, Opec+ countries -- which include key oil producers Russia and Saudi Arabia, as well as several Gulf countries that have been targets of Iranian airstrikes -- agreed to raise quotas by 206,000 barrels per day (bpd) from May.

But Opec+ warned that damage to energy infrastructure increases oil market volatility, potentially hitting global supplies well into the future.

Its statement also stressed “the critical importance of safeguarding international maritime routes to ensure the uninterrupted flow of energy”.

The text did not mention the Iran war directly, but the conflict -- which has roiled global energy markets and caused prices to surge -- clearly weighed on the decision.

The United States and Israel began striking Iran on February 28, and Tehran has retaliated by striking targets across the region.

In addition to hitting key energy facilities in a number of neighbouring countries, Iran has virtually halted ship traffic through the vital Strait of Hormuz by threatening to attack tankers passing without permission.

That has badly restricted exports from the Gulf region, and raised questions about whether oil can reach global markets even if Opec+ members in the region manage to ramp up production.

Before the war, about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) passed through the Strait.

Ukraine has also been striking Russian oil industry facilities as it seeks to fight back against Moscow’s ongoing invasion.

Last month, the eight-strong V8 (Voluntary Eight) group in the Opec+ cartel also raised production quotas by 206,000 bpd.

On Sunday, the V8 said in a statement that “any actions undermining energy supply security, whether through attacks on infrastructure or disruption of international maritime routes, increase market volatility” and make it more difficult for Opec+ to manage global prices.

The eight countries -- Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman -- praised members that managed to find alternate exports routes to deliver oil, “which have contributed to reducing market volatility”.

Prime Bank PLC has reached a major milestone by becoming the first bank in Bangladesh to offer a consumer loan secured against treasury bonds.

The initiative marks a significant development in the country's banking and financial services sector.

After receiving guidance from Bangladesh Bank on Thursday evening, 2 April 2026, the bank completed the first loan disbursement by the following morning. The swift turnaround, the bank said, reflects strong operational coordination and execution capacity across the institution.

The new product enables customers to unlock liquidity by borrowing against their treasury bond holdings, allowing them to meet financial needs without selling their investments. According to the bank, the offering reflects Prime Bank's commitment to delivering modern, customer-focused financial solutions in response to evolving market demand.

The rollout of the initiative was made possible through close collaboration among several teams, including Gulshan Branch, the Credit Administration Division, Credit Risk Management, and the Wealth Management unit. Their coordinated efforts ensured a smooth and rapid approval and disbursement process.

Additional Managing Director of Prime Bank PLC M Nazeem A Choudhury said, "This achievement reflects our capacity to innovate within regulatory frameworks while delivering meaningful value to our customers. We remain focused on introducing progressive financial solutions that enhance accessibility, flexibility and efficiency."

With this development, Prime Bank continues to strengthen its reputation as a forward-looking financial institution, setting new standards in innovation and contributing to the evolution of Bangladesh's banking landscape.

Bangladesh’s stock market fell to a nearly two-and-a-half-month low yesterday, with the benchmark index dropping more than 2 percent amid rising concerns over global energy prices following escalating tensions in the Middle East.

The DSEX, the prime index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange, declined by 107.46 points, or 2.06 percent, to close at 5,112.27. The index last hovered near this level on January 26.

Market participants attributed the downturn to growing uncertainty surrounding the conflict involving the United States, Israel and Iran, which has heightened fears of prolonged energy price volatility.

“As tensions escalated over the weekend, investors became concerned that energy prices could rise further or remain elevated for a longer period,” said Asif Khan, chairman of EDGE AMC (Asset Management Company) Limited.

The other two indices on the DSE also declined.

The shariah-based DSES fell 18.47 points, or 1.74 percent, to 1,041.10, while the blue-chip DS30 index dropped 35.02 points, or 1.77 percent, to 1,945.34.

Turnover stood at Tk 512 crore, down 18.21 percent from the previous trading session. The pharmaceuticals sector dominated trading, accounting for 17.1 percent of total turnover.

Block market transactions amounted to Tk 17.51 crore, representing 3.4 percent of the day’s turnover.

Among the major turnover leaders, Asiatic Laboratories Limited fell 4.52 percent, followed by ACME Pesticides Limited (3.81 percent), Summit Alliance Port Limited (0.99 percent), and Dominage Steel Building System Limited (1.35 percent).

Out of the traded issues, only 25 advanced, while 354 declined and the rest remained unchanged.

According to a daily market update by Shanta Securities, the downturn was driven by negative movements in travel and leisure, banking, and paper and printing stocks, despite gains in debentures, information technology and miscellaneous sectors.

No sector ended in positive territory, with mutual funds, ceramics and jute among the worst performers, said UCB Stock Brokerage Limited.

At the Chittagong Stock Exchange, the CASPI index also declined, shedding 228.40 points, or 1.55 percent, to close at 14,473.09.

The government is set to borrow an additional Tk 5,000 crore from the banking sector through a special auction of 91-day treasury bills on April 8, according to Bangladesh Bank (BB) officials.

This will be the new government’s second such off-cycle borrowing in just over a week, which will effectively push the total bank borrowing for the fiscal year 2025-26 (FY26) well past the full-year target set in the budget.

The surge in borrowing comes as the government struggles to balance rising expenditure against weak revenue mobilisation.

Spending pressures have mounted from several fronts: emergency fuel oil purchases amid elevated global energy costs linked to the US-Israeli war on Iran, new welfare initiatives including the family card scheme and farm loan waivers, and broader expansion in public outlays, said officials familiar with the matter.

Election expenditure by the interim government had also drained state funds.

At the same time, the National Board of Revenue fell short of its eight-month collection target by 28 percent, leaving a gap of Tk 71,472 crore.

According to central bank data, the government had already raised Tk 5,000 crore through a similar special auction on April 1. Combined with regular borrowing, the two tranches will effectively breach the Tk 1,04,000 crore ceiling set for banking system borrowing in the FY26 budget.

Between July last year and April 1, the interim government and the new BNP-led government had together borrowed at least Tk 1,03,526 crore, or 99.54 percent of the annual target, with nearly three months of the fiscal year still remaining.

A year earlier, net borrowing over the same period stood at Tk 27,739 crore.

Of the amount borrowed so far this fiscal year, Tk 17,386 crore came from the central bank directly, Tk 71,575 crore from commercial banks, and Tk 9,564 crore from non-bank sources.

As per the FY26 budget, borrowing targets from non-banking systems and foreign sources were set at Tk 21,000 crore and Tk 96,000 crore respectively.

Analysts note that borrowing directly from the central bank carries particular inflation risks. However, a structural factor has enabled the current pace of commercial bank borrowing: anaemic private sector credit demand.

Private sector credit growth fell to a decade-low of 6.03 percent in January and remained unchanged in February, BB data show. With few private borrowers, commercial banks have been willing to lend to the government instead.

“The government generally borrows through special treasury bills when its demand for funds increases,” said Md Ezazul Islam, director general of the Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management. “Weak revenue collection could also be driving the special auction.”

The government finances budget deficits and public expenditure by issuing treasury bills – short-term instruments – and bonds for longer tenors. These are sold through the central bank to commercial banks, financial institutions, and individual investors, and are considered low-risk investments.

With banking system borrowing already at the annual ceiling and the fiscal year not yet done, economists warn the trajectory raises fresh concerns about inflation, crowding out of private investment, and longer-term fiscal sustainability.

Inflation eased to 8.71 percent in March, offering slight relief to consumers, but analysts warn that prices may remain sticky in the coming months as the US-Israel war on Iran drives up costs and disrupts supply chains.

Food price inflation fell to 8.24 percent from 9.3 percent the previous month, according to data released yesterday by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics. Non-food inflation, however, edged up to 9.09 percent from 9.01 percent in February.

The moderation follows a spike to 9.13 percent in February, a ten-month high, when higher food prices ahead of Ramadan and increased election-related spending fuelled demand, pushing the Consumer Price Index.

Md Deen Islam, professor of economics at Dhaka University, said, “Food prices carry a large weight in the consumer basket, and the decline in inflation might be driven mainly by a moderation in food prices.”

Three factors -- improved supply of food due to no major climate shock, the lagged effects of relatively tighter monetary policy, and subdued aggregate demand -- may have helped contain overall price increases, he added.

However, the persistence and slight increase in non-food inflation to 9.09 percent signal that underlying cost pressures in the economy remain strong, noted the professor.

“Non-food components such as energy, transport, and imported goods continue to be affected by exchange rate depreciation and elevated global prices,” he said.

Bangladesh has been grappling with stubborn inflation for more than three years, with the burden falling hardest on poor and low-income households, who spend a disproportionate share of their earnings on food.

In March, rural inflation was marginally higher at 8.72 percent compared to 8.68 percent in urban areas.

Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank’s Dhaka office, said food inflation above 8 percent shows that price pressures persist.

“A slight easing in March is not unusual, but it does not mean inflationary pressure has disappeared,” he said.

Birupaksha Paul, professor of economics at the State University of New York, echoed the sentiment, saying the decline in inflation is not significant. “Expected inflation is on the rise and most part of it is fear driven.”

Ashikur Rahman, principal economist at the Policy Research Institute (PRI), said the March moderation should be read with caution.

“The spike observed in February was largely driven by a temporary surge in consumption, typically associated with heightened political and electoral activity.

“Such demand-side pressures tend to be short-lived, and the subsequent correction in March reflects the dissipation of this transient effect rather than a structural easing of inflationary pressures,” he said.

The economist pointed out that the broader inflation outlook remains fragile. Rising global fuel costs from the Middle East conflict could force adjustments in administered energy prices, with direct and second-round effects on transport, production, and food supply chains.

Besides, he added, “Supply chain disruptions stemming from the conflict could elevate import costs, particularly for essential commodities, thereby feeding into domestic inflation.”

Hussain, meanwhile, noted that government-set fuel prices remained unchanged, with even an expected April adjustment deferred. “If fuel prices had been adjusted at the pump level, the impact would have shown up in the CPI,” he said. “But the impact is inevitable.”

For instance, he pointed out that the exchange rate already saw an impact in March. In the interbank market, the rate increased by nearly one taka. But the effect of that on import prices will take time -- likely showing up in April -- because payments for March imports were largely made earlier.

Prof Islam said the divergence between declining food inflation and rising non-food inflation suggests the recent improvement is narrow and not yet indicative of a broad-based disinflation.

He expects inflation to remain relatively sticky in the near term, with the Middle East conflict posing a significant upside risk.

In this context, PRI’s Rahman said macroeconomic management must stay vigilant.

He backed Bangladesh Bank’s contractionary monetary policy stance as “necessary to contain demand-side pressures,” but added that monetary policy alone would not suffice.

“Complementary fiscal discipline and targeted supply-side interventions, particularly to stabilise food markets, will be critical in anchoring inflation expectations and safeguarding macroeconomic stability in the months ahead,” he said.

OPEC+ agreed ‌on Sunday to raise its oil output quotas by 206,000 barrels per day for May, a modest rise that will largely exist on paper as its key members are unable to raise production due to the US-Israeli war with Iran.

The war has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz - the world's most important oil route - since the end of February and cut ​exports from OPEC+ members Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq, the only countries in the group which were able to significantly raise ​production even before the conflict began.

Crude prices have surged to a four-year high close to $120 a barrel, translating into soaring ⁠prices for transport fuels which are pressuring consumers and businesses across the globe, and triggering government action to conserve supplies.

The OPEC+ quota increase of 206,000 bpd ​represents less than 2% of the supply disrupted by the Hormuz closure, but it signals readiness to raise output once the waterway reopens, OPEC+ sources have said. Consultancy ​Energy Aspects called the increase "academic" as long as disruptions in the strait persist.

"In reality it adds very few barrels to the market," said Jorge Leon, a former OPEC official who now works as head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy.

"When the Strait of Hormuz is closed additional barrels from OPEC+ become largely irrelevant."

OPEC+ CONCERNED ABOUT ATTACKS ON ENERGY ASSETS

Eight members of ​OPEC+ agreed to the increase in May quotas at a virtual meeting on Sunday, OPEC+ said in a statement.

Besides the disruptions affecting Gulf members, others ​such as Russia are unable to increase output - in Moscow's case due to Western sanctions and damage to infrastructure inflicted during the war with Ukraine.

Inside the Gulf, damage to infrastructure from ‌missile and ⁠drone attacks has also been severe. Several Gulf officials have said it would take months to resume normal operations and reach production targets even if the war stopped and Hormuz reopened immediately.

A separate OPEC+ panel that also met on Sunday, called the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, expressed concern about attacks on energy assets, saying they were expensive and time-consuming to repair and so have an impact on supply, OPEC+ said in a statement.

Two months into the Iran war, and the feds, still on the sidelines, are waiting—the riskiest strategy of all.

Iran said on Saturday Iraq was from any ​restrictions to transit Hormuz, and shipping ​data on Sunday showed a tanker ⁠loaded with Iraqi crude passing through the strait. Still, it remains to be seen if more vessels will take the risk involved, a source close to the issue said.

WAR CAUSES WORLD'S WORST OIL SUPPLY DISRUPTION

May's OPEC+ increase is the ​same as the eight members had agreed for April at their last meeting held on March 1, just as the ​war began to disrupt ⁠oil flows.

A month later, the largest oil supply disruption on record is estimated to have removed as many as 12 to 15 million bpd or up to 15% of global supply.

Oil prices could spike above $150 - an all-time high - if flows via Hormuz remain disrupted into mid-May, JPMorgan said on Thursday.

OPEC+ groups 22 members including Iran. In recent years ⁠only the ​eight countries meeting on Sunday have been involved in monthly production decisions, and they started in ​2025 to unwind previously agreed output cuts to regain market share.

The eight raised production quotas by about 2.9 million bpd from April 2025 through December 2025, before pausing increases for January to ​March 2026.

The eight hold their next meeting on May 3.

The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) has ordered a formal enquiry into Robi Axiata, the country's second-largest mobile network operator, over alleged financial irregularities, governance concerns and disclosure failures.

The decision was taken in the last week of March, when the Commission exercised its statutory authority to launch an investigation and appoint a dedicated enquiry team.

BSEC director and spokesman Abul Kalam told TBS that the investigation committee was formed based on specific complaints received by the regulator. He said the complaints involve possible financial irregularities and violations of laws and regulations.

The committee will closely examine financial records, compliance with securities rules, corporate governance practices, and whether any material information was concealed or misreported, Kalam said.

He added that the purpose of the investigation is to verify the facts and recommend appropriate actions based on the findings.

Shahed Alam, chief corporate and regulatory officer of Robi Axiata, said, "We are conducting all our activities in full compliance with applicable laws and regulations and will provide all necessary support to the relevant regulatory authority."

On Sunday, the company's share price fell 2.40% to Tk28.50 on the DSE.

Probe committee

In an official order, BSEC said the enquiry will focus on issues outlined in the Terms of Reference, including accounting treatment, related-party transactions, corporate governance practices, and compliance with disclosure requirements during the financial years 2021 and 2022.

The three-member enquiry committee, comprises Md Rafiqunnabi, deputy director of BSEC; Tanmoy Kumar Ghosh, assistant director of BSEC; and Gias Uddin, manager of the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

The committee has been instructed to complete the enquiry and submit its report within 60 working days from the date of the order.

Accounting and management review

One of the central areas of investigation involves alleged accounting irregularities, specifically claims of "masking", where operating expenditures were reportedly misclassified as capital expenditures in FY21 and FY22.

The regulator will examine the scale of such misclassifications, identify potential beneficiaries, and assess the overall financial impact on the company's reported performance.

The inquiry will also assess the involvement of senior management, including the chief executive officer, chief financial officer and the board audit committee, to determine whether these practices were approved, ignored or concealed.

Related-party transactions, governance

Another key focus area is conflicts of interest and related-party transactions. The BSEC will examine the dual role of Thayaparan S Sangarapillai, who served as chairman of Robi Axiata while also acting as an independent director of EDOTCO Group Sdn Bhd from 2016 to 2025.

All transactions between Robi Axiata and EDOTCO, including lease agreements, infrastructure-sharing arrangements and any share transfers, will be reviewed to determine whether they were conducted at arm's length or resulted in any value leakage to Axiata Group Berhad or its affiliates.

Corporate governance issues are also under scrutiny. The inquiry will investigate the resignations of independent directors Akhtar Sanjida Kasem and Kamran Bakr, who reportedly stepped down citing "undue interference" in board affairs.

The regulator will also review the fairness and independence of an internal inquiry process chaired by Sangarapillai, particularly in light of previous allegations against him.

The investigation will assess whether principles of natural justice, impartiality and shareholder protection were properly upheld.

Disclosure and shareholder concerns

In addition, the Commission will examine Robi Axiata's annual reports for 2021 and 2022 to determine whether there were any omissions of material information.

Compliance relating to the disclosure of material non-operating income and expenses, as well as transparency in related-party transactions, will also be reviewed.

Shareholder concerns raised at the company's last annual general meeting will be part of the enquiry, particularly issues related to expenses on legal proceedings and forensic audit costs, as well as the company's alleged lack of response to investor queries.

Financial performance

Robi Axiata posted a net profit of Tk937 crore in 2025, its first annual profit since listing on the stock exchange five years ago. The earnings represent a 33.3% year-on-year increase compared to 2024.

Riding on improved profitability, the board recommended a 17.5% cash dividend, or Tk1.75 per share, the highest since its market debut in 2020.

The proposed payout accounts for 97.8% of the company's total profit for the year. In 2024, Robi Axiata declared a 15% cash dividend.

Market stakeholders have urged the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) to expedite the listing of profitable state-owned enterprises, calling on the regulator to present the issue to the newly elected government as a priority to help revive the struggling capital market.

The call came during a monthly coordination meeting held at the commission's headquarters today (5 April), where senior officials, including Chairman Khondoker Rashed Maqsood and other commissioners, met with representatives from various market institutions and stakeholder groups.

The meeting focused on a wide range of pressing issues affecting the country's capital market, with particular emphasis on increasing the supply of quality stocks.

Participants stressed that the prolonged absence of new listings has significantly weakened investor confidence and reduced market depth.

Although new initial public offering (IPO) regulations have already been introduced, they noted that the pipeline of fresh listings remains thin. In this context, the listing of profitable government-owned companies was identified as one of the most effective ways to inject momentum into the market.

Saiful Islam, president of the DSE Brokers Association of Bangladesh, told The Business Standard that the market has been in decline for an extended period and requires immediate intervention.

He said initiatives to list state-owned enterprises had been taken during the interim government's tenure, with some preparatory work already completed. With a new government now in place, he urged the regulator to act swiftly to move the process forward.

Highlighting a specific case, he pointed to Central Depository Bangladesh Limited as a profitable institution that continues to generate strong earnings from its core operations but remains unlisted.

He called for expedited steps to bring the company to the market, saying such a move would enhance transparency and offer investors access to a fundamentally strong entity.

Governance reforms, market development

Another key issue raised at the meeting was the long-pending review of the demutualisation scheme of the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

Stakeholders expressed concern over the lack of visible progress in revisiting the framework, which they said is essential for improving governance and operational efficiency at the bourse.

In response, the BSEC chairman assured participants that the commission would take necessary steps in this regard.

The discussion also covered broader reform initiatives, including efforts to upgrade the market from frontier to emerging status, implementation of electronic know-your-customer (e-KYC) systems, and plans to launch a commodity exchange.

Participants stressed the need for stronger coordination among market institutions, improved corporate governance, and stricter measures to prevent manipulation and irregularities.

They also discussed expanding investor education programmes, introducing new financial products, and ensuring the accuracy of price-sensitive information disclosures.

Addressing investor protection, stakeholders highlighted the importance of compensating affected investors through dedicated protection funds, as well as resolving issues related to negative equity and unrealised losses.

During the meeting, the BSEC Chairman Maqsood reiterated the commission's commitment to ongoing reforms, noting that major regulatory frameworks – including new margin rules, mutual fund regulations, and public offering rules – have already been introduced.

He added that corporate governance regulations are in the pipeline and will be finalised soon.

The chairman said bringing large public-interest companies into the capital market remains a top priority for the regulator, but achieving this would require strong government support and cooperation from all relevant stakeholders.