Bangladesh Bank (BB) has instructed all scheduled banks to set and disburse specific credit targets for raw hide traders to ensure smooth collection, preservation, and marketing of hides during the upcoming Eid-ul-Azha.

The directive was issued today through BRPD Circular, highlighting the leather sector as a vital labour-intensive and export-oriented industry, reports BSS.

The central bank noted that the sector plays a significant role in generating national income and foreign exchange, largely depending on domestically sourced raw materials.

According to the circular, nearly 50 percent of the industry’s annual raw material supply comes from animals sacrificed during Eid-ul-Azha, making timely and adequate financing crucial for maintaining economic stability in the sector.

To ensure sufficient liquidity, the central bank directed that the credit target for raw hide purchases in 2026 must not be lower than the target set for 2025.

It also stressed that financing facilities must reach the grassroots level, enabling seasonal traders and small-scale merchants to actively participate in the procurement process. Loans are to be disbursed based on established bank-client relationships.

In a move to facilitate fresh financing, the central bank has allowed the rescheduling and relaxation of existing loans, including those of defaulted borrowers in the leather sector. Globaltrade insights

Banks have been instructed to complete the rescheduling process—along with compromised amount arrangements—by June 30, 2026. This measure is intended to help borrowers clear outstanding obligations and access new funds for the current season.

For monitoring and compliance, all scheduled banks are required to submit detailed reports on their credit targets and actual disbursements, following the prescribed format, to the Director of the Banking Regulation and Policy Department-1 by July 31, 2026.

The directive was issued under Section 45 of the Bank Company Act, 1991.

The government is advancing discussions with UAE-based port operator DP World on the long-term leasing of Chattogram Port’s largest functional New Mooring Container Terminal (NCT).

The company has also proposed operating the adjoining Chittagong Container Terminal (CCT) along with NCT as a single integrated terminal.

The last interim government was close to finalising a deal with DP World to operate NCT. But in the wake of a wildcat strike enforced by port employees and workers, it has to suspend the move just before the parliamentary election in February. The new government, however, is continuing the talks.

At the fourth joint public-private partnership platform meeting of the Bangladesh-Dubai government-to-government platform held in Dubai on April 8, it was agreed that negotiations should be concluded within the validity period of the request for proposal for NCT.

According to meeting minutes obtained by The Daily Star, the session was convened to review the progress of four projects currently placed on the platform and to discuss next steps.

NCT topped the list of projects, which also included Bay Container Terminal, Dhirasram Inland Container Depot (ICD), and a digital platform with a single window system.

The agenda also featured three other projects, including modernisation of the CCT, the port’s oldest container terminal with two jetties.

According to the minutes, the UAE firm expressed interest in modernising and operating CCT, adjoining NCT, to develop them as one integrated terminal.

The Bangladesh government agreed to consider placing CCT on the Bangladesh-Dubai Joint Platform and to discuss it as a separate project in future meetings.

The CCT has the capacity to handle 6 lakh twenty-foot equivalent units of containers every year.

At the meeting, DP World requested greater transparency on the revenue, cost, and manpower structure of the Chittagong Port Authority with respect to NCT’s operation.

The firm also stressed the need to reconsider the proposed 15-year concession tenure and the additional expenditure required for modernising the terminal.

It was decided that DP World, as the bidder for the NCT project, should submit all comments, suggestions, concerns, negotiation milestones, and a revised bid, if necessary, at the earliest.

Regarding Dhirasram ICD, to be built by Bangladesh Railway, DP World as the intended operator, is set to submit a refreshed formal technical recommendation. The firm also expressed interest in considering capital investments in locomotives, rolling stock, and other rail freight infrastructure.

Discussions were also held on three other projects, including a free trade zone adjoining Chattogram Port, CCT, and Nimtala ICD.

Ashik Chowdhury, chairman of the Bangladesh Investment Development Authority and executive director of the Public Private Partnership Authority, led the four-member Bangladesh delegation.

It included the then shipping ministry secretary, Dr Nurun Nahar Chowdhury, and Bangladeshi ambassador to the UAE, Tareq Ahmed.

The government has moved to deepen energy cooperation with India by proposing a government-to-government (G2G) refining arrangement aimed at ensuring a stable supply of petroleum products as global markets remain volatile.

In a letter dated 16 April 2026 and marked urgent, the Energy and Mineral Resources Division under the power, energy and mineral resources ministry requested the foreign ministry to initiate diplomatic engagement with the Indian government.

The communication, addressed to the foreign secretary and copied to the director general of the South Asia wing, a source at the Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation told The Business Standard.

Foreign ministry officials said the request has already been conveyed to the Indian High Commission in Dhaka, although no response has yet been received.

The proposal comes amid growing concern over fuel supply security, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Proposed tolling arrangement

At the centre of the initiative is a tolling model under which crude oil owned or financed by Bangladesh would be processed in Indian refineries, with Bangladesh paying refining fees and associated logistics costs.

The Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation (BPC) has been designated as the implementing agency and will lead technical and commercial negotiations once formal engagement begins. Officials said the proposal requires priority consideration given its importance to national energy security.

When contacted by TBS, an official from the South Asia wing of the foreign ministry declined to comment, saying the matter involves two countries and is subject to confidentiality.

Strategic rationale

Officials say the move reflects structural limitations in Bangladesh's domestic refining capacity. The country relies heavily on Eastern Refinery Limited, which remains constrained in both scale and technological capability.

With demand for petroleum products rising across power generation, transport, agriculture and industry, the gap between domestic refining capacity and consumption has widened.

The proposed arrangement with India is therefore being viewed as a strategic effort to diversify supply mechanisms without requiring immediate large-scale investment in domestic refining upgrades. India's extensive and technologically advanced refining infrastructure, capable of processing crude from diverse sources, makes it a natural partner.

Operational framework

Under the proposed model, designated Indian state-owned oil companies would procure crude oil, potentially in coordination with the Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation, and refine it on Bangladesh's behalf. The refined products would then be supplied back to Bangladesh.

The Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation would bear the full cost, including crude procurement, tolling charges and logistics. Officials said this approach would allow Bangladesh to access diversified crude supplies while utilising India's refining capacity.

The Energy and Mineral Resources Division has sought diplomatic facilitation to engage relevant Indian authorities and companies and to establish a platform for technical and commercial discussions.

Benefits and risks

Officials said the arrangement could enhance supply security by reducing exposure to spot market volatility and geopolitical disruptions, while also offering potential cost advantages through access to competitively priced refined fuels.

The model may also improve sourcing flexibility by leveraging India's broad crude procurement network and could be implemented more quickly than expanding domestic refining capacity, which requires substantial investment and long lead times.

However, concerns remain over increased dependence on external infrastructure, which could affect long-term energy sovereignty. Questions around pricing transparency and the need for robust negotiation of tolling fees have also been raised.

Officials noted that reliance on a single regional partner may carry geopolitical risks, particularly during periods of diplomatic strain. There are also concerns that the arrangement could delay investment in domestic refining facilities, including the expansion of Eastern Refinery Limited.

In addition, payments for refining services and logistics in foreign currency could place further pressure on Bangladesh's foreign exchange reserves.

Balancing immediate needs with long-term goals

Energy experts suggest the proposed arrangement could serve as a short- to medium-term solution but should not replace efforts to strengthen domestic refining capacity.

They argue that Bangladesh needs a balanced strategy that combines regional cooperation for immediate supply stability with accelerated investment in local infrastructure, warning that overreliance on external facilities could create long-term vulnerabilities.

The government has also been exploring plans to expand refining capacity and develop energy infrastructure, although progress has been slow due to financing constraints.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) expects that there will be a “significant growth in demand” from the private sector for its investment services in Bangladesh, a senior official said.

The increased demand is likely as a new government has been in power since February, and things have started to stabilise, said Isabel Chatterton, director general of the Private Sector Operations Department at ADB.

She made the remarks in response to a query at a media briefing on Monday on the sidelines of the four-day ADB Annual Meeting taking place in Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

She said Asia and the Pacific face a multi-trillion-dollar infrastructure financing gap, with rising development needs that public finance alone cannot meet.

“Private capital is essential as development needs far exceed public resources,” she said. “Private finance can scale solutions, but policy uncertainty and unmanaged risks still deter investment.”

ADB officials said the multilateral bank helps transform high-potential sectors into investable markets. “We crowd in private capital.”

Under private sector operations, the total outstanding balances and undisbursed commitments of ADB’s private sector transactions in Bangladesh stood at $784.7 million as of 31 December 2024, representing 5.21 percent of ADB’s total private sector portfolio.

ADB’s cumulative public and private sector loan and grant disbursements to Bangladesh amount to $27.48 billion, according to the bank.

“We are very, very active in the Bangladesh market,” she said.

ADB’s private sector operations include financing trade and supply chains, the microfinance programme, and energy projects.

Under the microfinance programme, ADB works through financial entities in Bangladesh, which in turn support microfinance activities.

“So, what we do is we give them loans,” she said. “In our case, it depends on demand from the banks, and it could vary, but very often these credit lines get disbursed very quickly.”

But disbursement slows in the event of unexpected developments in an economy, in what she described as “a natural catastrophe or other unforeseen events.”

Chatterton said demand for loans from the private sector keeps growing, and banks and microfinance institutions know that their sectors are doing very, very well.

She said ADB’s microfinance programme has helped mobilise $800 million for microfinance institutions in Bangladesh.

The ADB, in October last year, signed a $30 million agreement with Envoy Textiles under its sustainability-linked loans programme. Such loans are performance-based instruments tied to measurable indicators, such as rooftop solar capacity and greenhouse gas emissions reductions.

Chatterton said such initiatives are going to incentivise emissions reductions in the textile sector.

“As many of you know, Bangladesh is well known for its thriving garment manufacturing industry. We were very pleased last year to support Envoy through our engagement.”

The National Board of Revenue is planning to expand the value-added tax (VAT) base to the grassroots, netting even small businesses at district, upazila, and village levels to boost overall revenues and raise the country's low tax-to-GDP ratio.

The plan includes introducing a "token" VAT between Tk500 and Tk1,000 on trial basis for small businesses and making Business Identification Number (BIN) mandatory for bank accounts and trade licences, according to officials familiar with the initiative.

The plan, if approved by the finance minister and the prime minister, may be included in the budget for the 2026-27 fiscal year (FY27), they said.

Revenue officials said they are looking to explore revenue potentials at the grassroots where a large portion of economic activity remains outside the formal tax system.

"We have plans to extend VAT coverage down to the rural level," a senior NBR official said on condition of anonymity. "Initially, a small fixed VAT could help smaller traders become accustomed to tax compliance," he added.

Making BIN mandatory for bank accounts and trade licences could be an effective way to bring more businesses into the net, the official said.

During pre-budget talks NBR Chairman Abdur Rahman Khan also hinted at such measures -- introducing a limited VAT for certain segments on a trial basis if necessary.

"To increase VAT collection, we need to both reduce exemptions and expand the base," another NBR official said, referring to IMF's condition for an ongoing loan package to raise tax-GDP ratio, which is among the lowest in the region.

Businesses and economists, while appreciating such initiatives to expand VAT network and include a vast untaxed economy into tax network, have warned that abrupt imposition of blanket VAT for all rural businesses could backfire.

Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue, welcomed the initiative to broaden the VAT base but cautioned against increasing complexity or compliance costs.

"Collecting small amounts of VAT from small businesses is possible, but the government must ensure that the revenue actually reaches the state treasury and does not lead to additional informal payments," she said.

Taskeen Ahmed, president of the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry, pointed out the regional imbalance in revenue collection. Dhaka and Chattogram together account for around 45% of the country's economic activity, yet generate nearly 85% of total revenue.

"This indicates that a large portion of economic activity outside these areas remains untaxed," he said. "However, expanding VAT coverage to the grassroots should be done gradually over four to five years to minimise risks and ensure sustainability."

The proposed "token" VAT system has drawn comparisons with the previously scrapped package VAT regime, under which businesses paid a fixed amount based on estimated turnover.

Former NBR member Md Farid Uddin warned that the earlier system was abandoned due to widespread irregularities and collusion between field officials and businesses.

"If similar methods are reintroduced without strong safeguards, the same problems may resurface," he said.

Revenue drastically fell short of target in March, driven by declines in import duties because of the Middle East war and slow economic activities. However, VAT and income tax revenues saw growth in March.

Nine months' data show overall revenues, though marked 11% growth year-on-year, remained about Tk98,000 crore behind the target for the period. This fiscal year's revenue target is Tk6.97 lakh crore and the NBR is set to face even a bigger target for the next year, prompting it to explore all possible ways to generate more revenues.

Rural economy expands, largely untaxed

The latest Economic Census 2024 by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics estimates the number of economic units in the country at 1.17 crore, up from 78 lakh in 2013. Over 99% of those units are cottage, micro and small businesses, with 74% operating in rural areas.

But the expansion of the rural economy is not reflected in the tax scene. According to NBR data, around 8 lakh businesses currently hold BINs, of which just over 5 lakh submit VAT returns. The NBR chairman believes that at least 1 crore businesses should ideally be brought under VAT registration.

Trade licences are issued by city corporations, municipalities, or union councils, but the revenue authority does not have any consolidated data about how much of those businesses are active. Similarly, while Bangladesh's banking sector holds over 17 crore accounts, there is no clear data on how many are business or current accounts.

The lack of data has prompted the NBR to venture on new initiatives to explore the revenue potentials in the grassroots economic and business activities, officials said.

Concerns over blanket enforcement

Business leaders and tax experts have cautioned against a blanket approach to VAT expansion, warning that it could backfire if not implemented carefully.

Abdul Wahed, former director of the Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FBCCI) and president of the Chapainawabganj Chamber of Commerce and Industry, said making BIN mandatory for all small businesses could discourage them from renewing trade licences.

"If a fixed VAT system is introduced without proper oversight, it could also increase corruption at the field level."

A former NBR member who worked on VAT policy echoed similar concerns, arguing that while expanding the VAT base is necessary, enforcement mechanisms must be realistic.

"Forcing all businesses to obtain VAT registration as a precondition for basic operations like banking or licensing could create unintended consequences," he said.

"Past experience shows that VAT collection has been growing faster than income tax and customs duties. The focus should also remain on strengthening income tax collection."

Job creation in Bangladesh is failing to keep pace with a rapidly expanding workforce, while nearly half of workers call for short-term technical training and more than half of young people report an urgent need for digital skills, according to the latest International Labour Organization report.Diaspora community forum

The findings also show that though 95.2 per cent of workers in Bangladesh rely on informal learning, the absence of its formal recognition left the vast majority of skills uncertified and undervalued.

The ILO on Tuesday launched its dedicated thematic publication, ‘The World of Work Report: Lifelong Learning and Skills for the Future,’ which painted an elaborate picture of the evolving labour market of Bangladesh.

It highlighted a growing imbalance between labour supply and demand, with new data pointing to significant gaps in job creation, skills development, and access to training.

While the country’s workforce continued to expand rapidly, investment in technical, digital, and work-based learning remained limited, raising concerns over long-term employability and economic resilience.

The report identified several priority areas that Bangladesh must address to future-proof its workforce amid structural shifts driven by digitalisation and the global transition towards greener economies.

Though, it noted, lifelong learning is widely recognised as essential, access to such opportunities remains highly unequal and restricted, particularly for vulnerable groups.

A detailed analysis of survey data revealed a substantial unmet demand for training.

Informal learning, primarily through hands-on experience, dominated the skills landscape, with participation reaching 95.2 per cent.

In contrast, only 12 per cent of the working-age population engaged in formal or non-formal education and training in 2025.

The report highlighted stark inequalities in access to training based on education levels.

Among adults with secondary education, 25.7 per cent participated in learning activities, compared with just 3.7 per cent of those without secondary education, it said.

Occupational differences are equally pronounced, with participation rates the highest among professionals at 36.9 per cent and technicians at 33.5 per cent, but falling sharply to only 3.5 per cent among workers in elementary occupations, the report said.

According to the report, formal sector workers are more than three times as likely to engage in structured learning, with participation at 37.2 per cent, compared with just 10.8 per cent among informal workers.

The survey findings also pointed to a clear demand for practical and future-oriented skills.

It mentioned that nearly 48.5 per cent of respondents identified short-term technical training as their most pressing need, reflecting a preference for targeted, job-relevant learning.

Digital literacy has emerged as a critical priority, particularly among younger workers, with more than half of those aged 15 to 24 expressing a need for training in digital and computer skills, it said.

According to the ILo report, non-formal training in Bangladesh at present is largely occupation-specific, accounting for 57 per cent of such programmes, followed by digital skills at 19.2 per cent and personal development at 15.5 per cent.Diaspora community forum

However, the report stressed that focusing solely on technical competencies was insufficient.

It said that employers were increasingly seeking ‘rounded’ skill profiles that combined technical expertise with cognitive abilities and socio-emotional skills such as communication, teamwork, and leadership.

Work-based learning, the report said, is a highly effective yet underutilised pathway for skills development, noting that around 72 per cent of respondents who had participated in apprenticeships or internships reported improved job performance as a direct result.

Despite this fact, it added, participation remained extremely low, with 93 per cent of respondents stating that they had not engaged in any work-based training over the past three years.

It further underscored the importance of recognising informal learning, given its near-universal prevalence, warning that without systems to validate skills acquired through experience, many workers, particularly those in the informal economy, remained excluded from better employment opportunities due to a lack of certification.

Drawing on worker surveys, online vacancy analysis, institutional data, and a review of 174 studies, the report warned that insufficient investment in inclusive learning systems could widen inequalities both within and between countries.

Aligning skills development with labour market demand, it argued, is essential to ensure that economic transformation benefits all segments of society.

‘Lifelong learning is the bridge between today’s jobs and tomorrow’s opportunities. It is not only about employability and productivity, but also about supporting decent work, driving true innovation, and building resilient societies,’ said ILO director general Gilbert F Houngbo.

The ILO findings also reflected global trends observed in Bangladesh, including increasing demand from employers for a combination of technical and soft skills.

ILO country director for Bangladesh Max Tuñón said that the report’s findings revealed several global trends that were also observed in Bangladesh, including employers’ demand for workers with a combination of technical and soft skills.

‘For that, we need to address the institutional fragmentation and work more closely with the private sector, to deliver quality training that meets the needs of a rapidly changing labour market,’ he said.

By addressing these gaps and aligning skills development systems with evolving labour market needs, the report recommended, Bangladesh could harness its demographic momentum to generate sustainable and decent employment while enhancing productivity and competitiveness across the economy.

High-speed travel across Dhaka seems no distant dream now as a multifaceted elevated expressway over the crammed capital gets the go-ahead after an updated feasibility study that estimates the cost at Tk 430 billion.
FE

The new government has in principle decided to construct the 39-kilometre Dhaka East-West Elevated Expressway (DEWEE) which is to connect three major national highways, including Dhaka-Chottagram with Dhaka-Aricha and Dhaka-Mawa through Narayanganj district, enabling traffic to pass through at a high speed.

Rail, Road Transport and Bridges and Shipping Minister Shaikh Rabiul Alam shared the BNP government's view on the megaproject at a stakeholder workshop organised Tuesday in the city to roll out the findings of the fresh feasibility study on the DEWEE.

State Minister for Road Transport and Bridges Razib Ahsan was also present as special guest.

The minister terms the project "highly necessary to bring positive transformation in the transport system" but lays importance on proper and timely implementation so the high-cost project does not become a burden on the country's economy. Globaleconomy insights

"The nearly 39-kilometre expressway is expected play role in improving regional connectivity by linking Chattogram, Sylhet, Barishal and Khulna divisions with northern regions without requiring traffic to pass through the main Dhaka city," he adds

The updated feasibility study proposes estimated cost of the DEWEE around Tk 430 billion which, however, suggests change in its original design to develop the elevated corridor with high-speed travel of up to 120km/h.

Civil-work part of the DEWEE project would require Tk 220 billion while Tk 140 billion would be needed for land acquisition and rehabilitation as 84 per cent of 804.61 acres of land along the route will be privately owned.

Bangladesh Bridges Authority (BBA) organised the stakeholder workshop at a city hotel after Infrastructure Investment Facilitation Company (IIFC) submitted the report as the transaction adviser to update previous study report.

After the first FS was completed in 2017, the DEWEE project was approved from the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs to develop the corridor under public- private partnership (PPP). Initiative to conduct the fresh study resumed in December 2024. GeographicReference

While presenting the key features of the DWEEE, BBA Chief Engineer Quazi Ferdous said corridor is proposed to be developed from Hemayetpur in Savar to Langalbandh in Narayanganj via Savar, Keraniganj, Fatullah, Siddhirganj and Bandar upazila.

The minister said, "The BNP is committed to developing various infrastructures necessary for the country without misuse of government funds centering causes like delay in land acquisition and implementation."

Chaired by Bridges Division Secretary Mohammad Abdur Rouf, the workshop was also addressed, among others, by Panel of Experts Prof M Shamim Z Bosunia, Roads and Highways Department Chief Engineer Syed Moinul Hasan and Managing Director of Mass Rapid Transit COmpay Ltd Md Shaugatul Alam.

Representatives from different government agencies and private sectors, including Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, shared their views on the feasibility-study findings, lying importance on integration with the 20-year Updating Revised Strategic Transport Plan.

Professor Mohammad Hadiuzzaman stresses setting a standard of the expressway, including elevated one, and suggests planning the expressway corridor in a way to have link with other expressways. Bangladeshbusiness directory

Other stakeholders point out the scope of limiting the inner and outer ring road as per the URSPT as the corridor is suggested over it.

A significant portion of Bangladesh’s population continues to face unmet healthcare needs, driven largely by rising out-of-pocket expenditures, according to a study of Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies.Geographic Reference

Although unmet healthcare needs persist across all segments of society, the financial burden falls disproportionately on the poor, it showed.

The research by Abdur Razzaque Sarker of BIDS underscored that OOP spending remains the dominant mode of healthcare financing in the country, with its share reaching an alarming 79 per cent in 2024.

The study titled ‘Re-thinking unmet healthcare needs and dynamics of out-of-pocket expenditure in Bangladesh,’ was conducted under BIDS’ population studies division.

The study utilised data from the latest Household Income and Expenditure Survey 2022, comprising 14,400 households and 62,387 individuals where descriptive statistics were employed to analyses and summaries the percentage of unmet need, service utilisation across providers.

The distribution of benefits from public spending and progressivity/regressivity is assessed using benefit and financing incidence analysis.

The findings revealed that around 22 per cent of the population reported a need for healthcare services on a monthly basis. Among them, 15 per cent experienced unmet healthcare needs, accounting for 65 per cent of the total need.

Unmet needs were found to be significantly higher in rural areas compared to urban centres—68 per cent versus 59 per cent. Regionally, the highest levels of unmet need were recorded in Narail, 81 per cent, and Habiganj, 80 per cent, while the lowest was observed in Feni, 18 per cent.

On average, Bangladeshi households spend Tk 3,454 per month on healthcare, representing about 11 per cent of total household expenditure. Medicines and diagnostic services were identified as the primary cost drivers.

The study noted that while public healthcare services are relatively equitably utilised, private healthcare services remain disproportionately concentrated among wealthier groups.

Despite higher absolute spending among the rich, poorer households bear a significantly heavier financial burden.

Healthcare expenses account for about 35 per cent of total income for the poorest households, compared to just 5 per cent for the wealthiest, indicating a regressive healthcare financing system.

The heavy reliance on OOP payments often leads to catastrophic health expenditures, limiting access to necessary care and pushing vulnerable households further into poverty.

The study concluded that although unmet healthcare needs persist across all segments of society, the financial burden falls disproportionately on the poor.

To address these challenges, the researcher recommended urgent reforms in healthcare financing, particularly the development and implementation of risk-pooling mechanisms such as social health insurance.

Such measures, the study suggested, are essential for reducing inequality in healthcare access and achieving Universal Health Coverage in Bangladesh.

The government launches a broad-based drive to augment revenue receipts outside the NBR purview with a target of netting Tk 910 billion for the forthcoming fiscal year, as a bigger budget is imminent.
FE

Official count shows the amount for the fiscal 2026-27 is 39.5-percent higher from that of the outgoing fiscal year's target.

Of the total sum, the Finance Division is set to fix a non-tax revenue target of Tk 660 billion, up from Tk 460 billion in the current fiscal year, 2025-26, while the target for non-NBR taxes is expected to be raised to Tk 250 billion from Tk 190 billion.

Non-tax revenue is expected to rise by 43.48 per cent while Non-NBR tax collection is projected to increase by 31.58 per cent in the next fiscal year, reveals a proposal placed at the Budget Monitoring and Resource Committee meeting recently hosted by the Finance Division.

The just-in government is deemed under tremendous pressure to increase revenue collection to create requisite fiscal space for funding poor people's needs.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) wants Bangladesh substantially enhances its tax-to-GDP ratio to 9.21 per cent by next fiscal year from the current rate of 6.9 per cent.

To achieve the targeted tax-to-GDP ratio of 9.21 the government is going to set total revenue-collection target at Tk 6.95 trillion for the upcoming fiscal year, up by 23.23 per cent from the original one for the current fiscal year.

A review of internal government data, however, shows actual non-tax revenue collection has consistently lagged behind budgetary targets, with performance deteriorating in recent years.

In FY2023-24, actual receipts came to just 55.63 per cent of the original target, down from 70.47 per cent in FY 2018-19.

Officials say the latest push focuses on modernising collection systems, rationalising fees, expanding revenue bases, and enforcing stricter process for recovery of government dues.

The non-NBR tax collection exceeded 80 per cent of the targets on average in FY2016-17 and FY2017-18, but in the subsequent years, receipts from this segment fell to nearly 40 per cent of the original budgetary targets.

The Finance Division has recommended that all ministries and divisions focus on modernised and automated revenue collection, mandatory use of A-challan, rationalisation of outdated fees, and expansion of revenue bases ahead of the national budget formulation.

In tripartite meetings held with various ministries during the budget-preparation process in last few weeks, the Finance Division also emphasised "stricter enforcement, improved asset management, and recovery of long-pending government dues, particularly in sectors such as transport, housing, and infrastructure where collection performance remains weak".

At the core of the recommendations is a push for ministry-specific accountability through realistic target setting, stronger governance, and data-driven reforms aimed at reducing revenue leakages and improving overall fiscal sustainability, according to an analysis of the minutes of 18 such meetings.

The minutes reveal that the Ministry of Food will be the largest contributor of non-tax revenues in the next fiscal year, with a recommended target of Tk 226.35 billion, largely driven by food-grain sales.

Major non-tax revenue sources include licence fees, fines and penalties, forfeiture of deposits, rent from non-residential buildings, government vehicle-usage fees, and proceeds from the sale of tender and other documents, though collection efficiency remains suboptimal.

The Finance Division has recommended reviewing these revenue streams, expanding their coverage, and rationally adjusting fees and charges, with the Finance Secretary noting that such reforms could "significantly improve overall revenue mobilisation".

Road Transport and Highways Division (RTHD) has been assigned to mobilise Tk 67.87 billion, but concerns persist over the weak collection by agencies like the Roads and Highways Department (RHD) and Bangladesh Road Transport Authority (BRTA).

The authorities have been advised to strengthen enforcement of vehicle registration and fitness certification and modernise toll-collection systems, claiming that a 25-percent hike in BRTA fees in December 2022 fails to ensure revenue growth.

The division has also been asked to recover Tk 12.85 billion in outstanding dues from Bangladesh Road Transport Corporation (BRTC).

The Ministry of Industries, with a target of Tk 10.42 billion, has been experiencing declining collection and has been advised to automate revenue processes and expand coverage. The Ministry of Housing and Public Works has been flagged for a sharp drop in rental income and asked to incorporate additional sources like transfer and mutation fees into its estimates.

In contrast, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has seen its revenue target sharply revised upward to Tk 1.0 billion from Tk 181.8 million after recent collections exceeded earlier projections.

Smaller ministries, including Women and Children Affairs and Social Welfare, have been instructed to revise outmoded fee structures.

The review also has highlighted governance concerns, particularly in the Bridges Division, where outstanding government loans amounting to around Tk 8.0 billion remain unsettled, including some agreements dating back to 1994.

Officials note a structural shift in revenue composition, with non-tax revenue gaining prominence as non-NBR taxes continue to under-perform.

"Boosting government revenue requires equal emphasis on both tax and non-tax streams -- from within and beyond the National Board of Revenue as non-NBR sources should account for a quarter of total receipts," says Prof Mustafizur Rahman, Distinguished Fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD).

He told The Financial Express that significant inefficiencies persist in revenue collection, noting that in many cases tolls or rents due to the government are leased out to private parties at lower rates, leading to revenue losses. FinancialNews Subscription

"While discussions often focus on expanding the tax base or leveraging technology in tax administration, equal importance should be given to addressing leakages and structural weaknesses in non-tax revenue streams," he suggests.

Expressing concern over the performance of state-owned corporations and industrial enterprises, he says it is important to examine why many public entities have been incurring losses for decades.

Development cooperation, trade and regional security issues besides Prime Minister Tarique Rahman's possible China visit may come up prominently during discussion between foreign minister Khalilur Rahman and top Chinese officials.
FE

The foreign minister starts for Beijing today (Tuesday) for talks with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi, as both countries seek to recalibrate relations amid shifting geopolitical and domestic dynamics.

Scheduled for May 5-7, the visit at the invitation of China's foreign ministry is expected to cover a wide-ranging agenda inclusive of possible future visit to China by Prime Minister Tarique Rahman.

There are speculations in the diplomatic circles that such a top-level visit may take place by July this year.

The Chinese government has extended invitation to Tarique Rahman for a visit to China, soon after he became prime minister in February this year.

However, regarding the trip of the foreign minister to Beijing, officials say this visit could serve as an important avenue for positive engagement.

"In light of the new context and evolving global realities, both sides will have to define the contours of their relationship in the coming days," one of the diplomatic sources notes.

Although Beijing has maintained strong interest in Bangladesh, it had limited engagement with the previous interim administration. With an elected government now in place, Chinese officials are expected to pursue deeper cooperation, building on past experience with the current leadership.

At the same time, the ruling Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) may need to reassess its approach to China after a prolonged period out of power.

Officials in Dhaka and Beijing have outlined key priorities for the talks. Bangladesh is expected to push for progress on the modernisation of Mongla Port, the expansion of agricultural exports such as jackfruit, and the launch of direct flights on Guangzhou-Chattogram and Shanghai-Chattogram routes. City& Local Guides

Other issues likely to feature talks include the relocation of Chinese industries, development of Chinese-backed economic zones, and renewed efforts to address the Rohingya crisis.

Dhaka is also expected to seek Beijing's support for its candidacy for the presidency of the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly.

China, one of Bangladesh's largest development partners, is likely to emphasise cooperation on the proposed Teesta megaproject, alongside broader engagement under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

Beijing may also seek to expand its strategic influence through initiatives such as the Global Development Initiative, in the changing global paradigm.

Regional issues are also expected to be on the agenda, including the situation in Myanmar and the wider implications of instability in the Middle East.

Diplomatic sources in Dhaka say Bangladesh could seek about US$2.0 billion in financial assistance from China to address urgent energy needs and support economic stability. The issue may be raised during the visit.

A planned meeting between the two countries' foreign secretaries in Dhaka last month was postponed at Beijing's request, officials have said, with preparation for the ministerial visit continuing.

In a statement Monday, China's foreign ministry described the two countries as "traditional friendly neighbours and comprehensive strategic partners", noting that relations have developed steadily over more than five decades on the basis of mutual respect and equality.

"China attaches great importance to China-Bangladesh relations and is willing to take this visit as an opportunity to work with the new Bangladeshi government to enhance political mutual trust and deepen exchanges and cooperation in various fields," a spokesperson says, adding that Beijing aims to promote high-quality Belt and Road cooperation and further advance the comprehensive strategic partnership.

The 59th annual meeting of the Board of Governors of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) opened today, with its President Masato Kanda urging countries in Asia and the Pacific to “act together to develop together” through stronger cross-border connections to secure the next generation’s future.

“The decisions we make at this new crossroads will secure the future for the next generation,” he told the opening session in Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

“In this fragmented world, traditional and isolated development responses will fail. To survive and thrive in this new era, we must build deeply connected and resilient systems,” he said.

More than 4,000 participants, including policymakers, private sector leaders, development partners, and innovators from over 100 countries, are attending the meeting under the theme “Crossroads of Progress: Advancing the Region’s Connected Future.”

From Bangladesh, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury, Economic Relations Division Secretary Md Shahriar Kader Siddiky, and senior officials are attending the event.

Kanda highlighted how shocks now travel rapidly across borders—through energy markets, supply chains, and digital networks—hitting communities least able to absorb them. Addressing these challenges requires coordinated regional solutions that go beyond national boundaries, he said.

The ADB is responding by scaling up investments and accelerating reforms to help countries integrate infrastructure, markets, and institutions across the region, he added.

Kanda noted that the ADB has moved decisively to provide crisis-response support to its members during the ongoing Middle East conflict, becoming the first development partner to offer financial assistance to affected countries, which are expected to face heightened economic pressures.

Last year, the ADB provided $29.3 billion in financial support to the region while implementing reforms to deliver assistance more quickly and at scale.

The ADB president cited the launch of a $70 billion initiative to build regional systems, including $50 billion for a pan-Asian power grid to integrate renewable energy across borders, enhance energy security, and lower emissions.

Another $20 billion initiative aims to expand cross-border digital connectivity and narrow the region’s digital divide.

Kanda described the ADB as “an anchor of stability,” uniquely positioned to help steer the region through geopolitical fragmentation, conflict, economic disruptions, and escalating environmental stress.

“ADB is the main bank for the region. We have an unmatched regional mandate,” he said.

However, the ADB’s work is far from finished, Kanda added, noting that the bank will leverage its operational capabilities as a financier, advisor, and mobiliser to address challenges such as mobilising private sector funds for development and reversing environmental degradation.

“The work ahead is immense, but our purpose is clear. We have the strategy. We have the resources. We have the collective will to execute,” he said.

Founded in 1966, the ADB is a multilateral development bank supporting inclusive, resilient, and sustainable growth across Asia and the Pacific. It is owned by 69 members, including 50 from the region.

Bangladesh joined the ADB in 1973. As of December 31, 2025, the ADB had committed 758 public sector loans, grants, and technical assistance totalling $35.6 billion to Bangladesh. Its current public sector portfolio in the country includes 57 loans and 4 grants worth $9.5 billion, according to the ADB.

Bangladesh Bank's planned Tk40,000 crore refinance scheme to revive closed factories has raised concerns among economists and officials over its potential macroeconomic impact.

The initiative aims to boost production and protect jobs, but questions remain over how it will be financed.

Analysts say the source of funds will be critical in determining whether the scheme adds pressure on prices.

Concerns over inflation

Economists and central bank officials have cautioned that financing the scheme through fresh money creation could increase inflationary pressure by expanding the money supply.

Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue, said the issue is particularly important at a time when many banks are facing liquidity shortages and government revenue growth remains under strain.

"At present, many banks are facing liquidity shortages, and government revenue growth is also under pressure. If the central bank directly finances the scheme, it could add to inflationary pressure by increasing the money supply," she said.

She suggested that the fund could be mobilised through a combination of sources, including banks with stronger liquidity positions and allocations from the national budget, to help reduce inflation risks.

A senior Bangladesh Bank official also warned that injecting the full amount through the central bank could have a multiplied impact on overall liquidity due to the money multiplier effect.

"If the full Tk40,000 crore is injected by the central bank, the overall impact on the economy could be several times higher, putting additional pressure on prices," the official said.

The official added that such a move could complicate the central bank's efforts to control inflation, potentially creating a policy trade-off between maintaining price stability and supporting employment and industrial recovery.

Bangladeshi garment exporters will today ask visiting US trade officials in Dhaka to clarify how a promised zero reciprocal tariff will apply to apparel made with American cotton and other US textile inputs.

The provision is included in the US-Bangladesh Agreement on Reciprocal Trade signed in February this year, but exporters say they have yet to benefit from it.

“We will raise this issue with the USTR high-ups in the meeting tomorrow [Tuesday],” said Mahmud Hasan Khan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA).

A delegation from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), led by Assistant US Trade Representative for South and Central Asia Brendan Lynch, will visit Dhaka from May 5 to May 7.

In a statement issued ahead of the visit, the US Embassy in Dhaka said the United States looks forward to partnering on the implementation of the reciprocal trade agreement. The delegation is expected to discuss ways to strengthen trade and investment ties.

Under Article 5.3 of the reciprocal trade agreement, the United States commits to establishing a mechanism allowing certain textile and apparel goods from Bangladesh to enter the American market at a zero reciprocal tariff rate.

The deal says that a to be specified volume of apparel and textile imports from Bangladesh may qualify for the reduced rate. That volume will be determined in relation to the quantity of US-produced cotton and man-made fibre textile inputs exported to Bangladesh.

However, BGMEA President Khan said Bangladesh is not currently enjoying the benefits in the US market.

He said the zero-duty facility would be the main agenda at the scheduled meeting between the visiting officials and BGMEA leaders in Dhaka.

A senior commerce ministry official said the USTR delegation will also meet Commerce Minister Khandakar Abdul Muktadir at the secretariat today. Discussions are expected to cover the reciprocal trade deal, broader bilateral trade matters, labour rights and intellectual property.

The USTR is currently conducting two investigations covering 60 countries, including Bangladesh. One is about forced labour in industrial units, while the other relates to industrial overcapacity that could hurt the US manufacturers.

In a position paper submitted to the commerce ministry recently, BGMEA said the Bangladesh garment industry does not have overproduction capacity that could harm the American manufacturing sector and is free from forced labour, as exporters comply with internationally recognised labour laws.

The association said that in a market-driven economy, production levels constantly adjust to shifts in demand, input costs and supply chain conditions. Determining “excess capacity” without clear parameters or methodology is a major challenge.

According to USTR data, US goods trade with Bangladesh totalled an estimated $11.8 billion in 2025. US imports from Bangladesh stood at $9.5 billion, up 13.3 percent from 2024, while US exports to Bangladesh were $2.3 billion, up 1.4 percent.

The US goods trade deficit with Bangladesh was $7.1 billion in 2025, a 17.9 percent increase from the previous year.

Garments account for 86 percent of Bangladesh’s exports to the United States.

In its position paper, BGMEA said the Bangladesh apparel sector has not expanded suddenly or in a way that would indicate structural excess capacity. The industry growth should be viewed over the long term.

Over the past decade, the sector has followed a steady growth path, it said, driven by global demand and shifting sourcing strategies rather than policy-induced expansion.

After more than four decades of development, Bangladesh exported garment products worth $39.3 billion in fiscal year 2024-25, accounting for nearly 7 percent of the global apparel market. It is now the world’s second-largest garment exporter after China.

In 2025, Bangladesh accounted for 10.73 percent of US apparel imports by volume and 10.53 percent by value, according to the American Apparel and Footwear Association (AAFA).

This week, a separate USTR report said Bangladesh has stayed off the latest US intellectual property rights watch lists. However, Washington urged Dhaka to strengthen enforcement to prevent unfair trade practices.

In its annual Special 301 Report, the USTR identified 26 trading partners with concerns over intellectual property protection and enforcement.

After the onset of the US-Israel war on Iran, some policymakers initially took a firm stance, publicly claiming credit for not adjusting fuel prices to shield consumers from global shocks. They argued that they did not want to pass the burden onto the people.

However, the government could not maintain its stance as it quickly unravelled under fiscal and market realities.

Within weeks, the government reversed course. It raised the price of a 12 kg liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinder by 45 percent after two successive hikes in April.

On April 18, it also pushed fuel prices to record highs: diesel rose by Tk 15 per litre to Tk 115, octane by Tk 20 to Tk 140, petrol by Tk 19 to Tk 135, and kerosene by Tk 18 to Tk 130.

The scale and timing of these adjustments suggest that fiscal constraints, subsidy pressures, and external account vulnerabilities outweighed earlier political commitments.

From a macroeconomic perspective, such hikes drive costs and thus prices of commodities in the supply chain, as higher energy costs spread through transport, production, and supply chains, often creating second-round effects in import-dependent economies like Bangladesh.

A recent report on inflation dynamics of Bangladesh by the central bank showed gas price hikes have pushed up energy inflation to 14.9 percent during the January-March quarter of the current fiscal year 2025-26 from 14.4 percent in the previous quarter.

Economists say the effect of hiking petroleum prices is going to be felt soon, and consumers have already begun to feel the pinch. Transport costs for both passengers and freight have gone up. Farmers complained about the higher cost of harvesting rice and threshing the grains. Consumer goods companies are reducing pack sizes and squeezing margins to cope.

Yet, two ministers -- finance and commerce -- downplayed the inflationary risks.

According to a report published in this newspaper on April 20, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said, “It may increase or it may not. If the supply side remains stable, then prices may not rise.”

In reply to a question in the parliament, Commerce Minister Khandakar Abdul Muktadir said it was unlikely that the recent fuel price hike would exacerbate inflation, terming the adjustment “moderate.”

He said the 15 percent increase in diesel prices may raise commodity prices by around Tk 0.30 per kg. However, he said this would not have any major impact on overall inflation, which has remained around 9 percent for more than three years, deepening consumers’ woes.

The wage rate index for unskilled workers illustrates this trend. Inflation has outpaced wage growth for 50 consecutive months, steadily eroding the purchasing power of consumers, particularly those in middle- and lower-income groups. It means that real wages have been in the negative for more than four years.

Consumers are set to face further pressure as the commerce ministry has allowed refiners to raise soybean oil prices by Tk 4 per litre, or 2 percent.

The situation worsened by earlier supply disruptions triggered by the Iran War, which had already pushed up global energy and transport costs. Diesel-dependent sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing, and transport are now under additional pressure, raising concerns that the increased costs will eventually be passed on to consumers in an already high-inflation economy.

Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), said the recent fuel price hike is likely to ripple across the economy through a “multiplier effect.”

He noted that fuel acts as a “barometer of commodity prices,” meaning its increase will inevitably influence a wide range of goods, though not uniformly.

He explained that the current situation reflects “cost-push inflation,” driven by rising input costs rather than demand.

However, he cautioned against overstating the scale of the impact, emphasising that the extent of price increases will depend on how significant fuel costs are within each product’s overall cost structure.

“If fuel accounts for a portion of total costs, a 15 percent increase in fuel prices does not translate into a 15 percent rise in final prices,” he said, illustrating that the actual effect would be proportionally smaller.

Rahman stressed that while some level of price increase is unavoidable, the degree to which it affects consumers will depend heavily on market behaviour and oversight.

“The pass-through to retail prices depends significantly on market management,” he said, warning that unchecked responses, such as transport operators raising fares disproportionately, could worsen inflationary pressures.

He also underscored the growing importance of regulatory monitoring, particularly in sectors with administered pricing, and highlighted the need for stronger safeguards for vulnerable groups.

“For low-income people, even a small increase in prices creates significant hardship,” he said, adding that effective implementation of social safety measures will be critical to easing the burden.

Mohammad Abdur Razzaque, chairman of the Research and Policy Integration for Development, echoed similar concerns, warning that higher energy prices would inevitably feed into overall price levels.

“If energy and oil prices increase, our price levels will increase. This is almost inevitable,” he said. “There is a ‘one-to-one’ correspondence, as the transmission channel is very deep.”

He explained that a fuel price increase typically triggers broader inflationary pressures across the economy.

“When oil prices increase, we’ve seen a 15-20 percent increase across different varieties. It exerts pressure on other supply chain elements, which overall impacts our prices. They might be saying it for political reasons, but the economic reality is that this will fuel inflationary pressure further,” he added.

Razzaque also noted that the impact is more severe in Bangladesh compared to other countries due to already elevated inflation.

“It’s not just happening in Bangladesh; many countries have already increased their fuel prices. The problem for Bangladesh is that our baseline inflation rate was already high, hovering around 9 to 10 percent. When this impact is added, it creates even more pressure. In countries like Cambodia, where inflation was lower, it was easier to absorb. But for us, it’s almost inevitable that prices will go up,” he said.

He also raised concerns over inflation measurement, especially LPG pricing. He said the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) relies on government-set rates, which may not reflect market reality.

Razzaque added that official figures could be misleading if based on listed prices rather than what consumers actually pay, urging surveys of real market prices for more accurate inflation data.

Bangladesh’s total public debt burden has crossed Tk 22 lakh crore by December 2025 with a growing reliance on domestic sources as the government looks to “insulate the economy from foreign currency risks”.

Of the total debt, Tk 3 lakh crore was borrowed during the interim government period, according to the finance ministry’s latest quarterly bulletin.

The bulletin states the public debt stood at Tk 18.9 lakh crore at the end of June 2024, just a month before the interim administration assumed power. The figure was Tk 13.44 lakh crore at the end of June 2022.

During the interim period, domestic debt rose by Tk 1.70 lakh crore, reaching Tk 12.5 lakh crore by December. Foreign loans increased by Tk 1.47 lakh crore to Tk 9.59 lakh crore in the same period.

Domestic borrowing dominates the government’s overall debt portfolio. As of December 31, 2025, the domestic and external liabilities constituted 57 percent and 43 percent of the total government debt stock, respectively.

“By focusing on the local market, the government is deepening domestic liquidity while reducing its exposure to exchange rate fluctuations,” said the bulletin.

During the July-December period of the current fiscal year, the government’s total borrowing rose by Tk 62,428 crore, or 13 percent, compared to the same period a year earlier.

During the period, loans from the foreign sector dropped by 59 percent to Tk 10,130 crore, while domestic borrowing surged 70 percent to Tk 52,298 crore.

Of the domestic borrowing, Tk 19,470 crore was borrowed from the central bank alone.

Most of the domestic loans were raised through government securities. “A key feature of the government’s approach was a clear shift toward long-term debt,” the finance ministry said.

Meanwhile, total interest payment during the July-December period rose by 22 percent to Tk 71,253 crore. Of these, interest payment for domestic borrowing stood at Tk 61,866 crore, a 25 percent surge from the same period a year ago.

While increased domestic borrowing often raises concerns about “crowding out,” the current landscape suggests a unique window of opportunity, said the ministry.

It argued that ample liquidity in stronger banks, falling yields on government securities, and subdued private-sector credit demand create conditions for sustainable domestic financing without crowding out private borrowers.

By leveraging this internal liquidity, the state is building a more resilient and self-reliant fiscal framework that maintains stability without straining the private credit market, it added.

Mobile operators have called on the National Board of Revenue (NBR) to withdraw value-added tax (VAT) on spectrum and spectrum-related fees, arguing the levy contradicts global norms and undermines investment in the sector.

In a recent letter sent to the NBR chairman, the Association of Mobile Telecom Operators of Bangladesh (AMTOB) described the proposed withdrawal as a vital step to rectify a fundamental misalignment in Bangladesh’s VAT regime.

The association said radio spectrum, the finite range of frequencies over which all wireless communication travels, is an intangible national resource administered by the Bangladesh Telecommunication Regulatory Commission (BTRC).

“Its [radio spectrum] assignment, renewal, and usage confer a sovereign regulatory right -- not a commercial supply of goods or services under any legal interpretation,” wrote Mohammad Zulfikar, the association’s secretary general.

Hence, imposing VAT on spectrum and spectrum fees, AMTOB argued, effectively turns a regulatory charge into a taxable transaction.

“Imposing VAT here transforms a non-commercial regulatory grant into an artificial taxable event,” it added.

According to the letter, telecom companies are required to pay VAT on spectrum fees without being able to claim input tax credits, increasing operational costs.

It said the BTRC’s lack of VAT registration prevents it from issuing standard invoices. “This renders the VAT non-creditable and traps it as a pure cost to the operators.”

AMTOB warned that the arrangement stifles network investment, 5G rollout, and rural coverage expansion.

It cited frameworks in the European Union, India, the United Kingdom, and Australia, where spectrum charges are treated as sovereign regulatory fees outside the VAT net.

“Bangladesh’s current approach deviates from this consensus, creating indefensible inefficiencies,” the letter said.

The association noted that the sector already carries a heavy tax burden -- corporate income tax, BTRC revenue sharing, spectrum and licence fees, and VAT on services.

“In 2024, we contributed approximately Tk 22,000 crore,” the letter noted, warning that additional non-creditable taxes could affect affordability and innovation in the sector.

In the letter, AMTOB placed two demands before the tax authority: the immediate withdrawal of VAT on spectrum-related payments, and formal clarification categorising these charges as sovereign regulatory fees outside the VAT net.

Shahed Alam, chief corporate and regulatory officer at Robi Axiata, said, “Treating spectrum fees as VAT-exempt regulatory charges, in alignment with global best practices, would restore tax neutrality, reduce financial pressure, and improve cost efficiency.”

Indian businesses have urged Bangladesh to ensure institutional stability, policy consistency, and reduce logistics bottlenecks to enhance bilateral trade and attract foreign direct investment (FDI).

They also expressed optimism that the proposed Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (Cepa) between the two neighbouring countries could significantly expand trade and investment flows.

The observations came during a meeting between leaders of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and a visiting Bangladeshi media delegation in New Delhi.

Pankaj Tandon, a member of CII's South Asia Committee, said that strengthening institutions and ensuring policy predictability are key to boosting investor confidence.

"To boost investment and trade, Bangladesh needs institutional stability, policy consistency, and stronger institutional accountability," he noted.

He added that the current phase of Bangladesh-India relations is critical not only for sustaining existing ties but also for shaping the next stage of economic partnership to support Bangladesh's long-term growth and competitiveness.

Describing Bangladesh as India's largest trading partner in South Asia, Tandon said bilateral trade stood at over $13 billion in the 2024-25 fiscal year.

"Bangladesh's industrial strength and India's manufacturing and services sectors complement each other, creating opportunities for integrated regional value chains," he said.

He also highlighted potential areas of collaboration, including medical tourism, food processing, agricultural value chains, the digital economy, startups, energy cooperation, and SME linkages.

According to Tandon, India's expertise in digital public infrastructure, fintech, renewable energy, manufacturing excellence, and sustainable development could support Bangladesh's economic transformation.

Regarding restrictions on Bangladesh's ready-made garment (RMG) exports through Indian land ports, he said CII could work jointly on the issue if Bangladeshi business chambers formally raise it.

He reaffirmed CII's commitment to working closely with Bangladeshi organisations to deepen bilateral business-to-business engagement and strengthen economic cooperation.

At the event, Geetanjali Nataraj of CII delivered a presentation, while Manish Mohan, director of CII, also spoke.

Farmer Suman Tarfadar cultivated boro paddy on nearly 10 acres of land this year in the haor region. Continuous rainfall submerged and destroyed paddy on around seven acres of his land.

Of the crop he managed to harvest, half could not be dried due to a lack of sunshine and has already started sprouting. Altogether, he now expects to boil and store paddy from only one to one-and-a-half acres.

The farmer from Kadirpur Haor in Khaliajuri Upazila told TBS that despite farming on his own land, he spent nearly Tk3 lakh this season. Most of the crop went under water, while much of the harvested grain has sprouted. "No one will buy this paddy. Only a small amount can be saved. I have never suffered such losses before," he said.

He added that no one wants to buy wet paddy. Some grain from the field was sold for Tk500-Tk600 per maund. Those who managed to harvest and dry before the rain were getting slightly better prices. In previous years, raw paddy from the field sold for Tk800-Tk900 per maund.

This is not just Suman Tarfadar's story, but the reality for farmers across the haor belt. Heavy rain that began in the last week of April submerged paddy on more than 47,000 hectares across seven haor districts — Sunamganj, Sylhet, Habiganj, Moulvibazar, Netrokona, Kishoreganj and Brahmanbaria.

In the four districts of Sylhet division alone, nearly 34,000 hectares have gone under water.

According to the Department of Agricultural Extension, around 25% of paddy still remains in the fields. Farmers and locals, however, say the actual losses are much higher.

Most of Bangladesh's rice is produced during the boro season, with around 10% coming from haor areas. Sources at the agricultural extension department said boro paddy was cultivated on 9,63,000 hectares in the seven haor districts this year. Of that, 4,55,000 hectares were in haor areas and 5,08,000 hectares in non-haor areas.

Farmer Babulal Das from Kalnigar said he cultivated boro on 10 bighas of land. Harvesting is nearly complete, but drying the grain is impossible. "The yard and roads are wet from rain, and the fields are under water. I have nowhere to dry the paddy. It is now sprouting and will be useless," he said.

Farmer Mahbub Alam from Naluar Haor said he harvested paddy standing in water during rainfall, but without sunshine it cannot be dried. "The paddy is rotting, the straw is being ruined. We are in great distress," he said.

Woman farmer Sabana Begum from Shanir Haor said boiled paddy from 36 decimals of land could not be dried because of nonstop rain. "The paddy is rotting and giving off a smell. I cry when I look at it," she said.

Sources at the Department of Agricultural Extension said 57% of boro harvesting has been completed in Sylhet division this season. This includes 75% in haor areas and 33% in non-haor areas.

Additional director of the department in Sylhet division, Dr Md Mosharraf Hossain, said the remaining 25% of submerged paddy in haor areas could be completely lost. More grain is also likely to be damaged because it cannot be dried.

"There is no artificial arrangement to dry so much paddy at once. We have to depend on nature," he said. He added that the government began rice and paddy procurement from Sunday, which could reduce farmers' losses somewhat. Losses could fall further if mill owners began buying paddy, but they have not yet started purchases.

Meanwhile, the Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre under the Bangladesh Water Development Board said water in several rivers of the north-eastern haor basin is already flowing above pre-monsoon danger levels.

These include points on the Naljur River, Baulai River, Bhugai-Kangsha River, Someshwari River, Mogra River, Kalni-Kushiyara River and Sutang River.

Over the past 24 hours, moderate to heavy rainfall occurred upstream and across haor areas, and rain may continue for the next three days. As a result, water levels in the Surma River and Kushiyara River may rise further, crossing danger levels at some points by the second day and creating flooding in low-lying areas of Sylhet and Sunamganj.

Water levels in the Bhugai-Kangsha River, Someshwari River and Dhanu-Baulai Basin may remain stable over the next three days, though flooding in adjacent lowlands may continue.

In Moulvibazar and Habiganj, water in the Manu River, Khowai River and Juri River may stay stable for two days before rising on the third day, with the Juri River nearing warning level.

Overall, the agency said continuous rainfall is likely to prolong ongoing flooding in low-lying haor areas of the north-east, while creating fresh flood risks in some locations.

The country’s remittance inflow has reached $315 million in the first three days of May, reflecting sustained strong inflows from expatriate Bangladeshis, according to data released by the Bangladesh Bank (BB) on Monday.
FE

During this period, remittance receipts reached $315 million, marking a 260.1 percent increase year-on-year compared to $88 million in the same period last year.

On a cumulative basis, expatriate Bangladeshis sent $29,648 million in remittances from July to May 3, of the current fiscal year, significantly higher than $24,625 million recorded in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal year.

The continued rise in remittance inflow is playing a vital role in supporting external sector stability, strengthening foreign exchange reserves, and contributing to overall macroeconomic resilience.

An internal Bangladesh Bank (BB) document has revealed significant exposure of the country’s banking sector to high-risk of defaulted loans linked to six major business conglomerates.
FE

The confidential analysis highlights widespread vulnerabilities across multiple banks, raising concerns over asset quality and risk management in the financial sector.

The document, titled “Selected Lead Banks, Impacted by Six Groups”, categorises affected financial institutions based on their exposure to non-performing loans associated with six business groups. The groups or individuals identified are: Saifuzzaman Chowdhury, S Alam, Beximco, Sikdar, Nassa and Orion.

According to the data, Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC appears in five of the six exposure categories, indicating extensive involvement across multiple high-risk loan portfolios. Newly consolidated Sammilito Islami Bank PLC is listed under all six groups, suggesting that its balance sheet carries significant inherited non-performing assets from merged weak banks.

Other banks appearing frequently across the exposure lists include First Security Islami Bank, Social Islami Bank, Union Bank, Janata Bank, Rupali Bank, IFIC Bank, United Commercial Bank, AB Bank and Al-Arafah Islami Bank.

State-owned banks such as Sonali Bank and Agrani Bank are also shown to have notable exposure to defaulted loans linked to the identified groups.

In response to the rising systemic risk, Bangladesh Bank has initiated steps to assign selected institutions as “lead banks” to coordinate recovery efforts in collaboration with international firms.

The criteria for selecting lead banks reportedly prioritise institutions with prior experience in handling international non-disclosure agreements (NDAs), enabling them to manage complex negotiations and recovery processes.

The designated lead banks for each group are as follows:

Saifuzzaman Chowdhury group: United Commercial Bank PLC (lead), Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC, Al-Arafah Islami Bank PLC

S Alam group: Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC (lead), Janata Bank PLC, Sammilito Islami Bank PLC.

Beximco group: National Bank PLC (lead), Janata Bank PLC.

Sikdar group: IFIC Bank PLC (lead), Sammilito Islami Bank PLC, Agrani Bank PLC.

Nassa group: National Bank PLC (lead), IFIC Bank PLC, Al-Arafah Islami Bank PLC.

Orion group: United Commercial Bank PLC (lead), Agrani Bank PLC.

The document also states that banks undergoing or scheduled for merger will not be eligible to act as lead banks, reflecting ongoing policy considerations within Bangladesh Bank.

Officials said the move indicates a shift towards a more coordinated and externally supported recovery strategy aimed at addressing long-standing default loan problems in the banking sector.